FinalWin Prob.pScore
2028%104
104
772%112
100
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
109.59593.8
HOU logo HOU
105.39596.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.
RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.104
100
Q4 - 0:01.6RocketsDillon Brooks makes three point pullup jump shot104
100
Q4 - 0:04.0HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2104
97
Q4 - 0:04.0HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2103
97
Q4 - 0:04.0RocketsAaron Holiday personal foul (Take) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)102
97
Q4 - 0:06.0RocketsCam Whitmore makes three point pullup jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)102
97
Q4 - 0:09.9RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound102
94
Q4 - 0:12.3HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot102
94
Q4 - 0:33.9HeatAlec Burks makes regular free throw 1 of 1102
94
Q4 - 0:33.9RocketsAaron Holiday personal foul (Away from play) (Alec Burks draws the foul)101
94
Q4 - 0:35.7HeatNikola Jovic makes technical free throw 1 of 1101
94
Q4 - 0:35.7HeatNikola Jovic makes technical free throw 1 of 1100
94
Q4 - 0:35.7HeatTyler Herro technical foul99
94
Q4 - 0:35.7HeatTerry Rozier technical foul99
94
Q4 - 0:35.7RocketsAmen Thompson technical foul99
94
Q4 - 0:35.7RocketsJalen Green technical foul99
94
Q4 - 0:35.7RocketsBen Sullivan technical foul99
94
Q4 - 0:35.7RocketsIme Udoka technical foul99
94
Q4 - 0:39.9RocketsAmen Thompson personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)99
94
Q4 - 0:47.4HeatTyler Herro makes technical free throw 1 of 199
94
Q4 - 0:47.4RocketsFred VanVleet technical foul98
94
Q4 - 0:47.4RocketsRockets turnover (5-second violation)98
94
Q4 - 0:47.4HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)98
94
Q4 - 1:09HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound95
94
Q4 - 1:11RocketsDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot95
94
Q4 - 1:26RocketsJabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound95
94
Q4 - 1:28HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot95
94
Q4 - 1:45HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound95
94
Q4 - 1:47RocketsJalen Green misses three point pullup jump shot95
94
Q4 - 1:56HeatTyler Herro makes two point fadeaway jump shot95
94
Q4 - 2:10HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound93
94
Q4 - 2:11RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point tip layup93
94
Q4 - 2:11RocketsAlperen Sengun offensive rebound93
94
Q4 - 2:15RocketsDillon Brooks misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot93
94
Q4 - 2:32RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound93
94
Q4 - 2:33HeatTyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot93
94
Q4 - 2:47RocketsDillon Brooks makes two point driving layup (Fred VanVleet assists)93
94
Q4 - 3:05RocketsJalen Green defensive rebound93
92
Q4 - 3:08HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot93
92
Q4 - 3:21RocketsAlperen Sengun turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)93
92
Q4 - 3:44RocketsAmen Thompson defensive rebound93
92
Q4 - 3:44HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 2 of 293
92
Q4 - 3:44HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 293
92
Q4 - 3:44RocketsAlperen Sengun shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)92
92
Q4 - 3:59HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound92
92
Q4 - 4:02RocketsHaywood Highsmith blocks Fred VanVleet's three point pullup jump shot92
92
Q4 - 4:07HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)92
92
Q4 - 4:11RocketsFred VanVleet offensive rebound92
92
Q4 - 4:11RocketsJalen Green misses three point stepback jump shot92
92
Q4 - 4:17RocketsAmen Thompson offensive rebound92
92
Q4 - 4:18RocketsFred VanVleet misses three point pullup jump shot92
92
Q4 - 4:47HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)92
92
Q4 - 5:02HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound89
92
Q4 - 5:04RocketsDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot89
92
Q4 - 5:18HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 289
92
Q4 - 5:18HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 288
92
Q4 - 5:18RocketsAmen Thompson shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)87
92
Q4 - 5:39HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound87
92
Q4 - 5:42RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point driving finger roll layup87
92
Q4 - 6:01HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (traveling)87
92
Q4 - 6:01HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound87
92
Q4 - 6:05HeatTyler Herro misses three point running pullup jump shot87
92
Q4 - 6:09HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound87
92
Q4 - 6:11RocketsAlperen Sengun misses three point jump shot87
92
Q4 - 6:19RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound87
92
Q4 - 6:19HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving layup87
92
Q4 - 6:32HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound87
92
Q4 - 6:34RocketsJalen Green misses three point pullup jump shot87
92
Q4 - 6:57HeatTyler Herro makes two point stepback jump shot87
92
Q4 - 7:09HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound85
92
Q4 - 7:13RocketsJabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot85
92
Q4 - 7:23RocketsJalen Green offensive rebound85
92
Q4 - 7:23RocketsDillon Brooks misses two point tip layup85
92
Q4 - 7:23RocketsDillon Brooks offensive rebound85
92
Q4 - 7:28RocketsFred VanVleet misses two point pullup jump shot85
92
Q4 - 7:34HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Loose ball) (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)85
92
Q4 - 7:34RocketsRockets offensive rebound85
92
Q4 - 7:35RocketsDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot85
92
Q4 - 7:54HeatTerry Rozier turnover (out of bounds bad pass)85
92
Q4 - 8:10RocketsFred VanVleet makes two point driving layup (Alperen Sengun assists)85
92
Q4 - 8:20RocketsCam Whitmore defensive rebound85
90
Q4 - 8:22HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot85
90
Q4 - 8:35RocketsAlperen Sengun turnover (out of bounds lost ball)85
90
Q4 - 8:39HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)85
90
Q4 - 8:43RocketsAlperen Sengun offensive rebound85
90
Q4 - 8:45RocketsCam Whitmore misses two point turnaround jump shot85
90
Q4 - 8:59RocketsDillon Brooks defensive rebound85
90
Q4 - 9:01HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot85
90
Q4 - 9:17RocketsFred VanVleet makes three point pullup jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)85
90
Q4 - 9:28RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound85
87
Q4 - 9:29HeatAlec Burks misses three point jump shot85
87
Q4 - 9:43HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound85
87
Q4 - 9:45RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point turnaround hook shot85
87
Q4 - 10:00HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point putback layup85
87
Q4 - 10:02HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound83
87
Q4 - 10:03HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point layup83
87
Q4 - 10:26RocketsFred VanVleet makes three point running pullup jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)83
87
Q4 - 10:28RocketsFred VanVleet defensive rebound83
84
Q4 - 10:31HeatFred VanVleet blocks Terry Rozier's two point driving layup83
84
Q4 - 10:49HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound83
84
Q4 - 10:52RocketsFred VanVleet misses three point pullup jump shot83
84
Q4 - 11:04RocketsFred VanVleet offensive rebound83
84
Q4 - 11:04RocketsCam Whitmore misses two point running layup83
84
Q4 - 11:10RocketsCam Whitmore defensive rebound83
84
Q4 - 11:11HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot83
84
Q4 - 11:19HeatHeat offensive rebound83
84
Q4 - 11:19HeatDillon Brooks blocks Nikola Jovic's two point driving layup83
84
Q4 - 11:34RocketsAlperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 283
84
Q4 - 11:34RocketsAlperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 283
83
Q4 - 11:34HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)83
82
Q4 - 11:46RocketsCam Whitmore defensive rebound83
82
Q4 - 11:46HeatKel'el Ware misses regular free throw 1 of 183
82
Q4 - 11:46RocketsAlperen Sengun shooting foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)83
82
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.81
82
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point reverse layup (Nikola Jovic assists)81
82
Q3 - 0:19.6RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point putback layup79
82
Q3 - 0:19.6RocketsAlperen Sengun offensive rebound79
80
Q3 - 0:22.2RocketsAaron Holiday misses two point driving floating jump shot79
80
Q3 - 0:31.8HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot79
80
Q3 - 0:45.1HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound77
80
Q3 - 0:45.1RocketsJalen Green misses regular free throw 2 of 277
80
Q3 - 0:45.1RocketsJalen Green makes regular free throw 1 of 277
80
Q3 - 0:45.1HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Jalen Green draws the foul)77
79
Q3 - 1:03HeatNikola Jovic makes three point running jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)77
79
Q3 - 1:09HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound74
79
Q3 - 1:11RocketsJabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot74
79
Q3 - 1:15RocketsAmen Thompson offensive rebound74
79
Q3 - 1:19RocketsKel'el Ware blocks Alperen Sengun's two point driving hook shot74
79
Q3 - 1:32HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)74
79
Q3 - 1:42HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound72
79
Q3 - 1:45RocketsJalen Green misses two point pullup jump shot72
79
Q3 - 1:53HeatKel'el Ware makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)72
79
Q3 - 2:09RocketsAmen Thompson makes two point driving layup70
79
Q3 - 2:19HeatAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)70
77
Q3 - 2:30RocketsAaron Holiday personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)67
77
Q3 - 2:42RocketsAaron Holiday makes two point driving layup67
77
Q3 - 2:52RocketsSteven Adams defensive rebound67
75
Q3 - 2:54HeatAlec Burks misses three point jump shot67
75
Q3 - 3:05HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound67
75
Q3 - 3:05RocketsDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot67
75
Q3 - 3:06RocketsSteven Adams offensive rebound67
75
Q3 - 3:08RocketsJalen Green misses two point driving layup67
75
Q3 - 3:25HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 267
75
Q3 - 3:25HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 1 of 266
75
Q3 - 3:25RocketsDillon Brooks shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)66
75
Q3 - 3:31HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound66
75
Q3 - 3:33RocketsAaron Holiday misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot66
75
Q3 - 3:38RocketsSteven Adams offensive rebound66
75
Q3 - 3:42RocketsJalen Green misses three point stepback jump shot66
75
Q3 - 4:02HeatKel'el Ware turnover (traveling)66
75
Q3 - 4:26RocketsJalen Green makes two point pullup jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)66
75
Q3 - 4:39HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)66
73
Q3 - 4:49RocketsFred VanVleet turnover (offensive foul)63
73
Q3 - 4:49RocketsFred VanVleet offensive foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)63
73
Q3 - 5:03HeatNikola Jovic makes two point hook shot63
73
Q3 - 5:19RocketsJalen Green makes three point running pullup jump shot61
73
Q3 - 5:26RocketsSteven Adams defensive rebound61
70
Q3 - 5:28HeatKevin Love misses two point floating jump shot61
70
Q3 - 5:50RocketsJalen Green makes two point pullup jump shot61
70
Q3 - 6:01HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)61
68
Q3 - 6:13HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)61
68
Q3 - 6:16HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound58
68
Q3 - 6:18HeatKevin Love misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot58
68
Q3 - 6:30HeatKevin Love defensive rebound58
68
Q3 - 6:31RocketsDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot58
68
Q3 - 6:51RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound58
68
Q3 - 6:52HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot58
68
Q3 - 7:10HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound58
68
Q3 - 7:12RocketsDillon Brooks misses two point running layup58
68
Q3 - 7:19Jump ball. Fred VanVleet vs. Tyler Herro (Jabari Smith Jr. gains possession)58
68
Q3 - 7:33RocketsJalen Green makes regular free throw 2 of 258
68
Q3 - 7:33RocketsJalen Green makes regular free throw 1 of 258
67
Q3 - 7:33HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Jalen Green draws the foul)58
66
Q3 - 7:45HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 258
66
Q3 - 7:45HeatKevin Love misses regular free throw 1 of 257
66
Q3 - 7:45RocketsFred VanVleet shooting foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)57
66
Q3 - 7:56RocketsAlperen Sengun turnover (lost ball) (Terry Rozier steals)57
66
Q3 - 8:04RocketsFred VanVleet defensive rebound57
66
Q3 - 8:06HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating bank jump shot57
66
Q3 - 8:23HeatBam Adebayo technical foul (Double)57
66
Q3 - 8:23RocketsDillon Brooks technical foul (Double)57
66
Q3 - 8:25RocketsDillon Brooks makes three point running pullup jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)57
66
Q3 - 8:29HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Fred VanVleet steals)57
63
Q3 - 8:41RocketsJalen Green makes two point driving layup57
63
Q3 - 8:57HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating bank jump shot57
61
Q3 - 9:04HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound55
61
Q3 - 9:04RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot55
61
Q3 - 9:18RocketsDillon Brooks defensive rebound55
61
Q3 - 9:19HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot55
61
Q3 - 9:37RocketsJabari Smith Jr. makes three point jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)55
61
Q3 - 9:44HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)55
58
Q3 - 9:50HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound55
58
Q3 - 9:53RocketsJalen Green misses three point pullup jump shot55
58
Q3 - 10:03RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound55
58
Q3 - 10:04HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot55
58
Q3 - 10:13RocketsDillon Brooks makes regular free throw 1 of 155
58
Q3 - 10:13HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Dillon Brooks draws the foul)55
57
Q3 - 10:18RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound55
55
Q3 - 10:18HeatAlperen Sengun blocks Terry Rozier's two point driving reverse layup55
55
Q3 - 10:22HeatTerry Rozier offensive rebound55
55
Q3 - 10:24HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot55
55
Q3 - 10:40RocketsDillon Brooks makes three point pullup jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)55
55
Q3 - 10:46HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point tip layup55
52
Q3 - 10:46HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound53
52
Q3 - 10:49HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot53
52
Q3 - 11:19RocketsJalen Green makes two point running layup53
52
Q3 - 11:20RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound53
50
Q3 - 11:24HeatTerry Rozier misses three point running jump shot53
50
Q3 - 11:34RocketsAlperen Sengun turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)53
50
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.53
50
Q2 - 0:00.0RocketsRockets offensive rebound53
50
Q2 - 0:00.0RocketsDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot53
50
Q2 - 0:12.4RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound53
50
Q2 - 0:14.1HeatTerry Rozier misses three point pullup jump shot53
50
Q2 - 0:31.9RocketsFred VanVleet makes three point jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)53
50
Q2 - 0:46.2RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound53
47
Q2 - 0:48.7HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot53
47
Q2 - 1:02HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound53
47
Q2 - 1:04HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot53
47
Q2 - 1:08HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound53
47
Q2 - 1:10HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot53
47
Q2 - 1:23HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound53
47
Q2 - 1:24RocketsJalen Green misses two point pullup jump shot53
47
Q2 - 1:39HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point putback layup53
47
Q2 - 1:39HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound51
47
Q2 - 1:40HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving finger roll layup51
47
Q2 - 2:00RocketsJalen Green turnover (offensive foul)51
47
Q2 - 2:00RocketsJalen Green offensive foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)51
47
Q2 - 2:07HeatNikola Jovic personal foul (Loose ball) (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)51
47
Q2 - 2:08RocketsAlperen Sengun offensive rebound51
47
Q2 - 2:10RocketsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot51
47
Q2 - 2:32HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)51
47
Q2 - 2:46RocketsJalen Green makes two point fadeaway jump shot48
47
Q2 - 3:00RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound48
45
Q2 - 3:00HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 248
45
Q2 - 3:00HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 248
45
Q2 - 3:00RocketsFred VanVleet shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)47
45
Q2 - 3:00HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound47
45
Q2 - 3:01HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving reverse layup47
45
Q2 - 3:10HeatHeat defensive rebound47
45
Q2 - 3:12RocketsFred VanVleet misses two point pullup jump shot47
45
Q2 - 3:27HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (out of bounds step)47
45
Q2 - 3:34HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound47
45
Q2 - 3:35RocketsJalen Green misses two point driving finger roll layup47
45
Q2 - 3:45HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 247
45
Q2 - 3:45HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 246
45
Q2 - 3:45RocketsJabari Smith Jr. shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)46
45
Q2 - 3:45HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound46
45
Q2 - 3:47HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot46
45
Q2 - 4:00RocketsAmen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 246
45
Q2 - 4:00RocketsAmen Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 246
44
Q2 - 4:00HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)46
44
Q2 - 4:00RocketsAmen Thompson offensive rebound46
44
Q2 - 4:02RocketsFred VanVleet misses two point driving layup46
44
Q2 - 4:09RocketsFred VanVleet defensive rebound46
44
Q2 - 4:11HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot46
44
Q2 - 4:22RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point layup (Fred VanVleet assists)46
44
Q2 - 4:35RocketsFred VanVleet defensive rebound46
42
Q2 - 4:37HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 2 of 246
42
Q2 - 4:37HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 246
42
Q2 - 4:37RocketsAmen Thompson shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)45
42
Q2 - 4:56RocketsDillon Brooks makes three point jump shot (Jalen Green assists)45
42
Q2 - 5:11HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)45
39
Q2 - 5:33RocketsJalen Green personal foul (Loose ball) (Alec Burks draws the foul)43
39
Q2 - 5:33RocketsFred VanVleet turnover (bad pass)43
39
Q2 - 5:53HeatTyler Herro makes two point running reverse layup (Nikola Jovic assists)43
39
Q2 - 6:00HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound41
39
Q2 - 6:03RocketsJalen Green misses three point jump shot41
39
Q2 - 6:17HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Tyler Herro assists)41
39
Q2 - 6:35RocketsFred VanVleet makes two point pullup jump shot (Steven Adams assists)39
39
Q2 - 6:51HeatTerry Rozier turnover (out of bounds lost ball)39
37
Q2 - 6:57HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound39
37
Q2 - 6:58RocketsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot39
37
Q2 - 7:20HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)39
37
Q2 - 7:34HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound37
37
Q2 - 7:36RocketsAaron Holiday misses three point stepback jump shot37
37
Q2 - 7:47RocketsAmen Thompson defensive rebound37
37
Q2 - 7:47HeatTerry Rozier misses three point running jump shot37
37
Q2 - 7:52HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound37
37
Q2 - 7:53RocketsDillon Brooks misses two point driving layup37
37
Q2 - 8:14HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)37
37
Q2 - 8:14HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Charge) (Dillon Brooks draws the foul)37
37
Q2 - 8:39RocketsSteven Adams makes two point floating jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)37
37
Q2 - 8:48RocketsSteven Adams defensive rebound37
35
Q2 - 8:51HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot37
35
Q2 - 9:02RocketsAlperen Sengun turnover (offensive foul)37
35
Q2 - 9:02RocketsAlperen Sengun offensive foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)37
35
Q2 - 9:17HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 237
35
Q2 - 9:17HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 236
35
Q2 - 9:17RocketsAlperen Sengun shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)35
35
Q2 - 9:20HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound35
35
Q2 - 9:23RocketsTerry Rozier blocks Cam Whitmore's two point cutting dunk35
35
Q2 - 9:43HeatAlec Burks turnover (out of bounds bad pass)35
35
Q2 - 10:03RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point driving layup35
35
Q2 - 10:20RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound35
33
Q2 - 10:24HeatAlec Burks misses three point jump shot35
33
Q2 - 10:34RocketsDillon Brooks personal foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)35
33
Q2 - 10:40RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point driving finger roll layup (Aaron Holiday assists)35
33
Q2 - 10:51HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving layup (Kel'el Ware assists)35
31
Q2 - 11:13RocketsCam Whitmore makes two point dunk (Amen Thompson assists)33
31
Q2 - 11:20HeatNikola Jovic makes two point driving layup (Kel'el Ware assists)33
29
Q2 - 11:22HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound31
29
Q2 - 11:24HeatNikola Jovic misses two point tip layup31
29
Q2 - 11:24HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound31
29
Q2 - 11:30HeatAlec Burks misses three point pullup jump shot31
29
Q2 - 11:50RocketsAmen Thompson makes two point driving dunk (Aaron Holiday assists)31
29
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.31
27
Q1 - 0:00.0RocketsRockets offensive rebound31
27
Q1 - 0:00.0RocketsAmen Thompson misses three point bank jump shot31
27
Q1 - 0:02.5HeatTerry Rozier makes two point stepback jump shot31
27
Q1 - 0:15.7HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound29
27
Q1 - 0:19.1RocketsAmen Thompson misses two point driving floating jump shot29
27
Q1 - 0:33.7HeatAlec Burks turnover (offensive foul)29
27
Q1 - 0:33.7HeatAlec Burks offensive foul (Aaron Holiday draws the foul)29
27
Q1 - 0:40.1RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)29
27
Q1 - 0:53.3HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving floating bank jump shot29
25
Q1 - 1:01HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound27
25
Q1 - 1:03RocketsJabari Smith Jr. misses two point jump shot27
25
Q1 - 1:12HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 127
25
Q1 - 1:12RocketsJabari Smith Jr. shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)26
25
Q1 - 1:35RocketsCam Whitmore makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Amen Thompson assists)23
25
Q1 - 1:40HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (bad pass) (Amen Thompson steals)23
23
Q1 - 1:50HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound23
23
Q1 - 1:52RocketsCam Whitmore misses three point stepback jump shot23
23
Q1 - 2:00RocketsJabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound23
23
Q1 - 2:02RocketsFred VanVleet misses two point pullup jump shot23
23
Q1 - 2:13RocketsSteven Adams defensive rebound23
23
Q1 - 2:17HeatTyler Herro misses three point running jump shot23
23
Q1 - 2:21RocketsJabari Smith Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)23
23
Q1 - 2:40HeatKel'el Ware makes regular free throw 2 of 223
23
Q1 - 2:40HeatKel'el Ware misses regular free throw 1 of 222
23
Q1 - 2:40RocketsSteven Adams shooting foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)22
23
Q1 - 2:51RocketsSteven Adams makes two point tip layup22
23
Q1 - 2:51RocketsSteven Adams offensive rebound22
21
Q1 - 2:54RocketsFred VanVleet misses two point driving floating bank jump shot22
21
Q1 - 3:21HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup22
21
Q1 - 3:40RocketsDillon Brooks makes two point cutting layup (Steven Adams assists)20
21
Q1 - 3:45RocketsSteven Adams offensive rebound20
19
Q1 - 3:45RocketsDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot20
19
Q1 - 3:48RocketsSteven Adams offensive rebound20
19
Q1 - 3:50RocketsJalen Green misses two point stepback jump shot20
19
Q1 - 4:02HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup bank jump shot20
19
Q1 - 4:23RocketsDillon Brooks makes three point jump shot (Steven Adams assists)18
19
Q1 - 4:41RocketsRockets defensive rebound18
16
Q1 - 4:44HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot18
16
Q1 - 4:55HeatKevin Love defensive rebound18
16
Q1 - 4:56RocketsSteven Adams misses two point turnaround hook shot18
16
Q1 - 5:14HeatTerry Rozier makes two point running layup18
16
Q1 - 5:17HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound16
16
Q1 - 5:20RocketsDillon Brooks misses two point floating jump shot16
16
Q1 - 5:33HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)16
16
Q1 - 5:33HeatKevin Love offensive rebound16
16
Q1 - 5:33HeatKevin Love misses two point driving layup16
16
Q1 - 6:01RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point running layup (Fred VanVleet assists)16
16
Q1 - 6:10RocketsFred VanVleet defensive rebound16
14
Q1 - 6:13HeatFred VanVleet blocks Terry Rozier's two point driving layup16
14
Q1 - 6:18RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point tip layup16
14
Q1 - 6:18RocketsAlperen Sengun offensive rebound16
12
Q1 - 6:23RocketsJalen Green misses two point running reverse layup16
12
Q1 - 6:29HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Fred VanVleet steals)16
12
Q1 - 6:39HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound16
12
Q1 - 6:40RocketsJabari Smith Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot16
12
Q1 - 7:08HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)16
12
Q1 - 7:17RocketsFred VanVleet turnover (out of bounds bad pass)13
12
Q1 - 7:20RocketsJabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound13
12
Q1 - 7:21HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot13
12
Q1 - 7:27HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound13
12
Q1 - 7:30RocketsJabari Smith Jr. misses two point pullup jump shot13
12
Q1 - 7:47HeatTerry Rozier makes two point running finger roll layup13
12
Q1 - 7:53HeatKevin Love defensive rebound11
12
Q1 - 7:55RocketsJalen Green misses three point pullup jump shot11
12
Q1 - 8:13HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)11
12
Q1 - 8:27HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound9
12
Q1 - 8:31RocketsJabari Smith Jr. misses three point running jump shot9
12
Q1 - 8:33RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound9
12
Q1 - 8:36HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot9
12
Q1 - 8:46HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound9
12
Q1 - 8:49RocketsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot9
12
Q1 - 8:50RocketsJalen Green offensive rebound9
12
Q1 - 8:53RocketsJalen Green misses two point driving finger roll layup9
12
Q1 - 9:08HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot (Kevin Love assists)9
12
Q1 - 9:14RocketsDillon Brooks turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)6
12
Q1 - 9:29HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)6
12
Q1 - 9:45RocketsJalen Green makes regular free throw 3 of 34
12
Q1 - 9:45RocketsJalen Green makes regular free throw 2 of 34
11
Q1 - 9:45RocketsJalen Green makes regular free throw 1 of 34
10
Q1 - 9:45HeatTerry Rozier shooting foul (Jalen Green draws the foul)4
9
Q1 - 9:53HeatKevin Love makes two point putback layup4
9
Q1 - 9:54HeatKevin Love offensive rebound2
9
Q1 - 9:56HeatKevin Love misses two point tip layup2
9
Q1 - 9:56HeatKevin Love offensive rebound2
9
Q1 - 9:59HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot2
9
Q1 - 10:17RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point driving layup2
9
Q1 - 10:30RocketsDillon Brooks defensive rebound2
7
Q1 - 10:31HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot2
7
Q1 - 10:54RocketsFred VanVleet makes three point jump shot (Jalen Green assists)2
7
Q1 - 11:04HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 22
4
Q1 - 11:04HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 21
4
Q1 - 11:04RocketsFred VanVleet shooting foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)0
4
Q1 - 11:17RocketsJabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 10
4
Q1 - 11:17HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Jabari Smith Jr. draws the foul)0
3
Q1 - 11:31RocketsRockets defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:31HeatKevin Love misses two point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 11:42RocketsJabari Smith Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)0
0
Q1 - 11:45HeatKevin Love turnover (lost ball) (Alperen Sengun steals)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Alperen Sengun (Kevin Love gains possession)0
0
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.6%
HOU
0.94 47.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
23
61%
HOU
18
25
72%
Midrange
MIA
13
28
46%
HOU
7
32
22%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
33
30%
45%
HOU
13
19.5
40
33%
49%
Free Throws
MIA
20
28
71%
HOU
11
13
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro2768%13.5 / 20
N. Jović1890%9.0 / 10
H. Highsmith1583%7.5 / 9
T. Rozier1435%7.0 / 20
B. Adebayo1240%6.0 / 15
K. Ware788%3.5 / 4
K. Love528%2.5 / 9
A. Burks440%2.0 / 5
J. Jaquez233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Brooks2255%11.0 / 20
J. Green1941%9.5 / 23
A. Sengun1860%9.0 / 15
F. VanVleet1647%8.0 / 17
J. Smith744%3.5 / 8
C. Whitmore750%3.5 / 7
A. Thompson550%2.5 / 5
S. Adams467%2.0 / 3
A. Holiday225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+16
-14
97
HOU
83
+22
-12
105
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.6%
HOU
0.94 47.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.4
114.9
MIA 109.5 +4.2
HOU 105.3
Pace
97.2
99.0
MIA 93.8
HOU 96.2 +2.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
14.8
MIA 15.4
HOU 15.0 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.4%
52.3%
MIA 50.0% +4.1%
HOU 45.9%
TO %
12.8%
13.1%
MIA 13.5%
HOU 11.2% +2.3%
ORB %
22.3%
31.7%
MIA 31.3%
HOU 33.9% +2.6%
FTrt
23.2
24.2
MIA 33.3 +19.9
HOU 13.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
54.9%
MIA 56.8%
HOU 63.2% +6.4%
STL %
8.3%
8.4%
MIA 6.3% +1.0%
HOU 5.3%
BLK %
7.6%
9.3%
MIA 5.3%
HOU 7.8% +2.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
53.9%
MIA 53.6% +6.4%
HOU 47.2%
Rim FG%
62.5%
61.5%
MIA 60.9%
HOU 72.0% +11.1%
Mid FG%
44.4%
40.4%
MIA 46.4% +24.5%
HOU 21.9%
3P %
36.7%
35.3%
MIA 30.3%
HOU 32.5% +2.2%
FT %
79.1%
73.8%
MIA 71.4%
HOU 84.6% +13.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
33.3%
MIA 27.4% +1.6%
HOU 25.8%
Mid Att. %
27.5%
28.3%
MIA 33.3%
HOU 33.0% +0.3%
3P Att. %
42.9%
38.4%
MIA 39.3%
HOU 41.2% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.2 and 2.2.
Game TotalsMIAHOU
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points104100
Rebounds5252
Assists2124
Steals65
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)12 (1)
Fouls1421
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (1)19 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (1)33 (2)
Field Goals37-8438-97
At-the-Rim FG14-2318-25
Midrange FG13-287-32
2-Point FG27-5125-57
3-Point FG10-3313-40
Free Throws20-2811-13
Fast Break Pts1419
2nd Chance Pts159
Points in Paint4844
Pts off Turnovers1512
Bench Points3118
Biggest Lead812

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#2 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31
38.2
14
35%
5
0
1
1
2
1
1
4
2-2
100%
6-11
55%
0-8
0%
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 28
37.5
15
83%
8
2
2
1
3
1
4
4
0-0
-
3-3
100%
3-6
50%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 25
37.0
27
68%
6
9
0
0
3
2
0
6
4-7
57%
7-10
70%
3-7
43%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 27
34.3
12
40%
10
1
3
0
2
5
2
8
4-6
67%
4-11
36%
0-1
0%
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 36
14.0
5
28%
6
1
0
0
1
1
3
3
3-4
75%
1-6
17%
0-1
0%
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 22
31.0
18
90%
7
6
0
0
0
1
2
5
5-5
100%
2-4
50%
3-5
60%
#18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 33
17.9
4
40%
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
1-1
100%
0-0
-
1-5
20%
#11 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 24
16.4
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
#7 · C · 7'0" 230 · 21
13.7
7
88%
7
2
0
1
1
2
1
6
1-3
33%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
#9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#4 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#16 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#8 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 23
DNP – Coach's Decision
#12 · SG · 6'2" 203 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Achilles; Surgery
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Heel; Inflammation
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 31
DND - Injury/Illness | Right Foot; Inflammation
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 35
DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
54%
52
21
6
3
14
14
15
37
20-28
71%
27-51
53%
10-33
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.