Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, December 29, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Spurs	37%	106	110	113.4	97	99.6
	6	Timberwolves	63%	111	112	115.5	97	94.6

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+12

-9

100

MIN

+24

-10

111

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.10 55.0%

MIN

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

15 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	37.4	5	31%	4	1	0	1	3	5	1	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-3	33%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	36.7	34	53%	8	2	1	2	1	0	2	6	4-5	80%	9-18	50%	4-12	33%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 24	36.3	22	73%	7	4	0	0	0	1	2	5	3-4	75%	5-7	71%	3-7	43%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	34.8	6	38%	5	14	4	0	0	2	0	5	6-6	100%	0-2	0%	0-4	0%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	33.7	24	109%	5	0	0	0	0	2	2	3	5-5	100%	5-5	100%	3-4	75%

Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	17.5	13	50%	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	3-6	50%	5-6	83%	0-5	0%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25	13.3	2	50%	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	11.4	0	0%	1	1	1	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Stephon Castle #5 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 20	7.6	0	0%	0	1	0	0	4	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 27	6.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	4.7	4	100%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	55%	41	25	6	4	9	18	8	33	23-28	82%	27-48	56%	11-39	28%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

15 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	37.4	5	31%	4	1	0	1	3	5	1	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-3	33%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	36.7	34	53%	8	2	1	2	1	0	2	6	4-5	80%	9-18	50%	4-12	33%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 24	36.3	22	73%	7	4	0	0	0	1	2	5	3-4	75%	5-7	71%	3-7	43%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	34.8	6	38%	5	14	4	0	0	2	0	5	6-6	100%	0-2	0%	0-4	0%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	33.7	24	109%	5	0	0	0	0	2	2	3	5-5	100%	5-5	100%	3-4	75%

Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	17.5	13	50%	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	3-6	50%	5-6	83%	0-5	0%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25	13.3	2	50%	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	11.4	0	0%	1	1	1	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Stephon Castle #5 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 20	7.6	0	0%	0	1	0	0	4	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 27	6.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	4.7	4	100%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	55%	41	25	6	4	9	18	8	33	23-28	82%	27-48	56%	11-39	28%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

6 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	38.2	14	35%	8	4	0	1	2	1	1	7	1-1	100%	5-11	45%	1-9	11%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	34.8	16	47%	4	4	0	0	1	1	1	3	2-2	100%	7-9	78%	0-7	0%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	32.1	12	50%	10	1	1	1	2	5	4	6	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-4	0%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	30.6	17	57%	15	2	0	2	1	4	11	4	5-6	83%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	22.8	5	42%	2	3	0	0	0	3	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-4	25%

Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 28	33.7	26	72%	7	4	1	0	2	1	1	6	5-6	83%	3-5	60%	5-10	50%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 25	20.5	11	46%	4	2	1	1	0	4	0	4	0-2	0%	4-7	57%	1-4	25%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	15.9	6	60%	2	2	1	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	11.4	5	63%	4	1	0	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Terrence Shannon Jr. #00 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jesse Edwards #14 · C · 7'0" 236 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Daishen Nix #1 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	51%	56	23	4	5	10	23	18	38	15-19	79%	32-56	57%	11-44	25%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MIN

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.10 55.0%

MIN

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

58%

MIN

62%

Midrange

SAS

54%

MIN

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

16.5

28%

42%

MIN

16.5

25%

38%

Free Throws

SAS

82%

MIN

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Wembanyama	34	53%	17.0 / 32
H. Barnes	24	109%	12.0 / 11
D. Vassell	22	73%	11.0 / 15
K. Johnson	13	50%	6.5 / 13
C. Paul	6	38%	3.0 / 8
J. Sochan	5	31%	2.5 / 8
C. Bassey	4	100%	2.0 / 2
T. Jones	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Champagnie	0	-	0.0 / 4
S. Castle	0	-	0.0 / 1
Z. Collins	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DiVincenzo	26	72%	13.0 / 18
R. Gobert	17	57%	8.5 / 15
J. Randle	16	47%	8.0 / 17
A. Edwards	14	35%	7.0 / 20
J. McDaniels	12	50%	6.0 / 12
N. Reid	11	46%	5.5 / 12
N. Alexander-Walker	6	60%	3.0 / 5
M. Conley	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Minott	5	63%	2.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 113.5 8 115.7	SAS 113.4 MIN 115.5 +2.1
Pace	13 100.1 25 98.1	SAS 99.6 +5.0 MIN 94.6
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.3 11 14.8	SAS 14.5 −0.8 MIN 15.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 54.4% 10 55.4%	SAS 50.0% +1.5% MIN 48.5%
TO %	11 13.2% 19 13.9%	SAS 9.1% MIN 8.4% −0.7%
ORB %	20 24.3% 14 25.7%	SAS 17.4% MIN 35.3% +17.9%
FTrt	22 23.4 11 24.9	SAS 32.2 +13.2 MIN 19.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 68.5% 11 63.7%	SAS 65.8% +12.3% MIN 53.5%
STL %	14 8.2% 16 8.1%	SAS 6.2% +2.1% MIN 4.1%
BLK %	5 10.5% 14 9.5%	SAS 7.1% MIN 10.4% +3.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.3% 11 57.3%	SAS 55.0% +4.5% MIN 50.5%
Rim FG%	14 63.9% 12 64.8%	SAS 58.3% MIN 61.8% +3.5%
Mid FG%	20 41.8% 27 39.5%	SAS 54.2% +4.2% MIN 50.0%
3P %	20 35.7% 4 37.7%	SAS 28.2% +3.2% MIN 25.0%
FT %	21 77.4% 10 78.9%	SAS 82.1% +3.2% MIN 78.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	8 33.7% 12 32.2%	SAS 27.6% MIN 34.0% +6.4%
Mid Att. %	4 22.2% 6 22.3%	SAS 27.6% MIN 22.0% −5.6%
3P Att. %	8 44.1% 6 45.5%	SAS 44.8% +0.8% MIN 44.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	MIN
Possessions	97	97
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	110	112
Rebounds	41	56
Assists	25	23
Steals	6	4
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	10 (0)
Fouls	18	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (4)	18 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (2)	38 (4)
Field Goals	38-87	43-100
At-the-Rim FG	14-24	21-34
Midrange FG	13-24	11-22
2-Point FG	27-48	32-56
3-Point FG	11-39	11-44
Free Throws	23-28	15-19
Fast Break Pts	10	9
2nd Chance Pts	15	20
Points in Paint	40	60
Pts off Turnovers	15	4
Bench Points	19	48
Biggest Lead	12	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg