Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, December 31, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Raptors	14%	107	71	72.4	98	95.2
	1	Celtics	86%	122	125	130.2	96	98.9

Scoring Opportunities

TOR

+18

-21

BOS

+12

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

0.75 37.4%

BOS

1.32 65.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

26 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Scottie Barnes #4 · SF · 6'8" 237 · 23	31.2	16	40%	13	2	2	1	6	0	2	11	1-1	100%	6-11	55%	1-8	13%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 29	29.7	7	70%	13	3	2	1	1	3	4	9	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 26	26.1	9	90%	2	3	0	0	5	2	0	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	2-2	100%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 25	24.7	2	14%	3	1	0	1	3	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 20	22.4	3	14%	2	2	0	1	1	1	1	1	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	0-4	0%

Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 22	24.5	5	25%	1	3	2	0	3	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-5	20%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 28	19.4	6	38%	2	1	1	0	0	3	1	1	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	1-2	50%
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 24	19.0	9	56%	3	2	0	0	1	2	3	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-6	50%
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 32	14.4	7	44%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 34	9.8	5	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	6.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ulrich Chomche #22 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 19	4.5	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 24	4.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 26	4.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Tightness
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Partial UCL Tear
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	71	37%	44	18	8	4	21	16	14	30	7-11	64%	17-46	37%	10-40	25%

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26 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Scottie Barnes #4 · SF · 6'8" 237 · 23	31.2	16	40%	13	2	2	1	6	0	2	11	1-1	100%	6-11	55%	1-8	13%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 29	29.7	7	70%	13	3	2	1	1	3	4	9	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 26	26.1	9	90%	2	3	0	0	5	2	0	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	2-2	100%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 25	24.7	2	14%	3	1	0	1	3	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 20	22.4	3	14%	2	2	0	1	1	1	1	1	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	0-4	0%

Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 22	24.5	5	25%	1	3	2	0	3	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-5	20%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 28	19.4	6	38%	2	1	1	0	0	3	1	1	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	1-2	50%
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 24	19.0	9	56%	3	2	0	0	1	2	3	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-6	50%
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 32	14.4	7	44%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 34	9.8	5	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	6.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ulrich Chomche #22 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 19	4.5	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 24	4.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 26	4.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Tightness
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Partial UCL Tear
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	71	37%	44	18	8	4	21	16	14	30	7-11	64%	17-46	37%	10-40	25%

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1 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 27	29.4	23	64%	8	3	1	0	3	2	0	8	7-11	64%	2-4	50%	4-9	44%
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 30	27.4	16	89%	4	3	1	4	2	2	0	4	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	3-3	100%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 28	25.5	12	46%	9	3	1	0	3	1	5	4	0-0	-	6-11	55%	0-2	0%
Jrue Holiday #4 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 35	25.1	14	88%	1	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	4-5	80%
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 39	21.0	0	0%	6	4	2	0	0	1	0	6	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-6	0%

Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 27	22.9	19	73%	6	4	3	0	2	1	1	5	0-0	-	2-5	40%	5-8	63%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 25	18.6	8	80%	4	0	1	2	0	1	3	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 27	17.8	12	86%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-7	57%
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 29	13.1	2	50%	4	2	0	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 21	12.0	10	71%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	1-1	100%
Drew Peterson #13 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 25	12.0	5	83%	4	2	0	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Xavier Tillman #26 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 26	9.1	2	100%	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jaden Springer #44 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 22	6.2	2	100%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Anton Watson #28 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	66%	49	29	14	7	13	10	11	38	9-15	60%	25-44	57%	22-43	51%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	BOS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

TOR

0.75 37.4%

BOS

1.32 65.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

37%

BOS

64%

Midrange

TOR

37%

BOS

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

15.0

25%

38%

BOS

33.0

51%

77%

Free Throws

TOR

64%

BOS

60%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Barnes	16	40%	8.0 / 20
D. Mitchell	9	90%	4.5 / 5
J. Battle	9	56%	4.5 / 8
J. Poeltl	7	70%	3.5 / 5
C. Boucher	7	44%	3.5 / 8
B. Brown	6	38%	3.0 / 8
J. Shead	5	25%	2.5 / 10
K. Olynyk	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Walter	3	14%	1.5 / 11
O. Agbaji	2	14%	1.0 / 7
U. Chomche	2	100%	1.0 / 1
A. Lawson	0	-	0.0 / 3
B. Fernando	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Tatum	23	64%	11.5 / 18
P. Pritchard	19	73%	9.5 / 13
D. White	16	89%	8.0 / 9
J. Holiday	14	88%	7.0 / 8
J. Brown	12	46%	6.0 / 13
S. Hauser	12	86%	6.0 / 7
J. Walsh	10	71%	5.0 / 7
N. Queta	8	80%	4.0 / 5
D. Peterson	5	83%	2.5 / 3
L. Kornet	2	50%	1.0 / 2
X. Tillman	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Springer	2	100%	1.0 / 1
A. Horford	0	-	0.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 109.5 2 119.5	TOR 72.4 BOS 130.2 +57.8
Pace	9 100.6 29 96.6	TOR 95.2 BOS 98.9 +3.7
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 2 15.5	TOR 15.1 BOS 14.6 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 52.2% 5 56.1%	TOR 37.2% BOS 66.7% +29.5%
TO %	26 14.5% 2 11.7%	TOR 18.8% BOS 12.2% −6.6%
ORB %	4 27.3% 15 25.6%	TOR 26.9% +0.1% BOS 26.8%
FTrt	25 23.2 30 21.2	TOR 12.8 BOS 17.2 +4.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 68.5% 20 62.8%	TOR 66.7% +5.0% BOS 61.7%
STL %	18 8.0% 26 7.4%	TOR 8.2% BOS 14.6% +6.4%
BLK %	27 8.4% 4 10.5%	TOR 9.1% BOS 15.2% +6.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 53.8% 6 57.8%	TOR 37.4% BOS 65.8% +28.4%
Rim FG%	28 60.2% 4 67.3%	TOR 37.0% BOS 64.3% +27.3%
Mid FG%	21 41.5% 14 43.9%	TOR 36.8% BOS 43.8% +7.0%
3P %	23 34.8% 10 36.8%	TOR 25.0% BOS 51.2% +26.2%
FT %	29 74.8% 6 79.9%	TOR 63.6% +3.6% BOS 60.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 36.2% 29 26.2%	TOR 31.4% BOS 32.2% +0.8%
Mid Att. %	17 26.5% 1 20.2%	TOR 22.1% BOS 18.4% −3.7%
3P Att. %	29 37.3% 1 53.6%	TOR 46.5% BOS 49.4% +2.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.17 and 3.17.

Game Totals	TOR	BOS
Possessions	98	96
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	71	125
Rebounds	44	49
Assists	18	29
Steals	8	14
Blocks	4	7
Turnovers (Team)	21 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls	16	10
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (4)	11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (1)	38 (4)
Field Goals	27-86	47-87
At-the-Rim FG	10-27	18-28
Midrange FG	7-19	7-16
2-Point FG	17-46	25-44
3-Point FG	10-40	22-43
Free Throws	7-11	9-15
Fast Break Pts	15	17
2nd Chance Pts	10	16
Points in Paint	26	44
Pts off Turnovers	9	20
Bench Points	34	60
Biggest Lead	4	56

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg