Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, December 31, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Bucks	51%	116	120	111.1	108	110.0
	17	Pacers	49%	115	112	101.8	110	108.1

Scoring Opportunities

MIL

+13

-12

109

IND

+15

-16

109

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.10 55.0%

IND

1.03 51.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

9 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	36.0	9	32%	4	5	2	0	4	2	2	2	0-0	-	0-5	0%	3-9	33%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30	34.8	30	58%	12	5	2	0	2	4	2	10	8-13	62%	11-20	55%	0-0	-
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 33	30.8	15	58%	6	7	0	0	4	4	2	4	6-6	100%	3-7	43%	1-4	25%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37	23.8	16	67%	5	3	0	0	1	0	1	4	2-2	100%	7-8	88%	0-3	0%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 23	11.8	4	67%	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	30.9	14	47%	15	3	2	0	0	0	4	11	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	0-2	0%
Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26	28.7	14	78%	2	1	2	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	4-5	80%
Taurean Prince #12 · PF · 6'6" 218 · 31	25.4	9	50%	3	2	2	0	1	3	1	2	0-1	0%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	16.3	9	75%	2	1	0	0	0	5	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-6	50%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 22	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Liam Robbins #15 · C · 7'0" 250 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
AJ Johnson #77 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	55%	51	27	10	0	12	22	13	38	18-24	75%	33-64	52%	12-33	36%

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9 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	36.0	9	32%	4	5	2	0	4	2	2	2	0-0	-	0-5	0%	3-9	33%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30	34.8	30	58%	12	5	2	0	2	4	2	10	8-13	62%	11-20	55%	0-0	-
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 33	30.8	15	58%	6	7	0	0	4	4	2	4	6-6	100%	3-7	43%	1-4	25%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37	23.8	16	67%	5	3	0	0	1	0	1	4	2-2	100%	7-8	88%	0-3	0%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 23	11.8	4	67%	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	30.9	14	47%	15	3	2	0	0	0	4	11	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	0-2	0%
Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26	28.7	14	78%	2	1	2	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	4-5	80%
Taurean Prince #12 · PF · 6'6" 218 · 31	25.4	9	50%	3	2	2	0	1	3	1	2	0-1	0%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	16.3	9	75%	2	1	0	0	0	5	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-6	50%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 22	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Liam Robbins #15 · C · 7'0" 250 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
AJ Johnson #77 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	55%	51	27	10	0	12	22	13	38	18-24	75%	33-64	52%	12-33	36%

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17 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 25	38.6	12	35%	7	7	1	2	1	2	2	5	5-6	83%	2-7	29%	1-6	17%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 23	37.0	25	63%	9	2	1	1	6	3	2	7	2-5	40%	7-13	54%	3-5	60%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 29	33.4	16	67%	10	2	0	1	2	3	4	6	0-0	-	5-7	71%	2-5	40%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 25	31.7	10	36%	2	3	0	0	2	4	0	2	0-0	-	2-9	22%	2-5	40%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 31	31.0	20	56%	7	4	0	0	1	3	0	7	5-8	63%	3-7	43%	3-7	43%

Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	18.9	5	50%	7	0	1	1	0	2	0	7	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 33	16.3	6	50%	3	5	2	0	3	0	0	3	0-2	0%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21	15.6	11	79%	1	1	3	1	0	2	0	1	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 27	12.4	4	40%	2	2	0	1	1	0	0	2	2-4	50%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	5.1	3	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Tristen Newton #4 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Enrique Freeman #8 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
James Wiseman #13 · C · 6'11" 240 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	51%	50	26	8	7	16	20	9	41	19-30	63%	27-53	51%	13-37	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	IND
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.10 55.0%

IND

1.03 51.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

62%

IND

81%

Midrange

MIL

40%

IND

31%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

18.0

36%

55%

IND

19.5

35%

53%

Free Throws

MIL

75%

IND

63%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	30	58%	15.0 / 26
B. Lopez	16	67%	8.0 / 12
K. Middleton	15	58%	7.5 / 13
B. Portis	14	47%	7.0 / 15
G. Trent	14	78%	7.0 / 9
D. Lillard	9	32%	4.5 / 14
T. Prince	9	50%	4.5 / 9
A. Green	9	75%	4.5 / 6
A. Jackson	4	67%	2.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Mathurin	25	63%	12.5 / 20
P. Siakam	20	56%	10.0 / 18
M. Turner	16	67%	8.0 / 12
T. Haliburton	12	35%	6.0 / 17
J. Walker	11	79%	5.5 / 7
A. Nembhard	10	36%	5.0 / 14
T. McConnell	6	50%	3.0 / 6
B. Sheppard	5	50%	2.5 / 5
O. Toppin	4	40%	2.0 / 5
T. Bryant	3	-	0.0 / 0

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 115.2 9 115.3	MIL 111.1 +9.3 IND 101.8
Pace	14 99.9 6 100.9	MIL 110.0 +1.9 IND 108.1
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.6 24 14.0	MIL 13.1 −0.2 IND 13.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 56.8% 4 56.2%	MIL 52.6% +0.9% IND 51.7%
TO %	7 12.7% 3 12.0%	MIL 10.0% −4.9% IND 14.9%
ORB %	30 19.3% 29 21.3%	MIL 24.1% +5.0% IND 19.1%
FTrt	3 26.8 17 24.1	MIL 24.7 IND 33.3 +8.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	23 60.7% 8 67.1%	MIL 60.0% IND 65.0% +5.0%
STL %	27 7.3% 10 8.3%	MIL 9.3% +2.0% IND 7.3%
BLK %	20 9.1% 8 10.2%	MIL 0.0% IND 10.9% +10.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 58.6% 7 57.6%	MIL 55.0% +3.6% IND 51.4%
Rim FG%	5 66.9% 6 66.7%	MIL 61.8% IND 81.0% +19.2%
Mid FG%	13 44.1% 6 45.8%	MIL 40.0% +8.7% IND 31.3%
3P %	1 38.7% 9 36.8%	MIL 36.4% +1.3% IND 35.1%
FT %	28 75.0% 9 78.9%	MIL 75.0% +11.7% IND 63.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 30.0% 17 31.4%	MIL 35.1% +11.7% IND 23.3%
Mid Att. %	21 27.5% 24 28.6%	MIL 30.9% −4.6% IND 35.6%
3P Att. %	15 42.4% 21 40.0%	MIL 34.0% IND 41.1% +7.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIL	IND
Possessions	108	110
Possession Minutes	23.6	24.4
Points	120	112
Rebounds	51	50
Assists	27	26
Steals	10	8
Blocks	0	7
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	16 (2)
Fouls	22	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (0)	9 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (3)	41 (2)
Field Goals	45-97	40-90
At-the-Rim FG	21-34	17-21
Midrange FG	12-30	10-32
2-Point FG	33-64	27-53
3-Point FG	12-33	13-37
Free Throws	18-24	19-30
Fast Break Pts	13	22
2nd Chance Pts	21	9
Points in Paint	52	44
Pts off Turnovers	19	12
Bench Points	46	29
Biggest Lead	8	19

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg