Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, December 31, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Grizzlies	51%	120	117	111.4	105	110.0
	13	Suns	49%	119	112	106.7	105	100.4

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+23

-17

111

PHX

+16

-17

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.05 52.7%

PHX

1.08 53.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

12 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 242 · 25	37.9	38	61%	12	4	2	1	5	3	2	10	10-17	59%	8-15	53%	4-9	44%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	36.9	31	60%	5	7	0	1	4	4	1	4	1-3	33%	9-17	53%	4-8	50%
John Konchar #46 · PF · 6'5" 210 · 29	35.6	7	50%	12	4	1	1	0	5	4	8	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 21	31.7	11	39%	6	2	1	0	3	4	3	3	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	2-8	25%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	21.5	2	17%	2	3	1	2	3	4	1	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-3	0%

Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	28.7	17	85%	7	4	2	0	0	2	2	5	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	3-6	50%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	18.6	8	57%	2	0	0	1	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	16.2	2	25%	4	3	2	0	1	3	2	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Colin Castleton #8 · C · 6'10" 250 · 25	12.8	1	17%	1	0	1	0	1	2	1	0	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 28	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus; Strain
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Fifth Metatarsal; Repair
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Concussion; Protocol
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ac Joint; Sprain
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Index Finger; Partial Extensor Hood Tear
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	53%	51	27	10	6	17	29	16	35	22-33	67%	25-50	50%	15-44	34%

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12 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 242 · 25	37.9	38	61%	12	4	2	1	5	3	2	10	10-17	59%	8-15	53%	4-9	44%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	36.9	31	60%	5	7	0	1	4	4	1	4	1-3	33%	9-17	53%	4-8	50%
John Konchar #46 · PF · 6'5" 210 · 29	35.6	7	50%	12	4	1	1	0	5	4	8	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 21	31.7	11	39%	6	2	1	0	3	4	3	3	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	2-8	25%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	21.5	2	17%	2	3	1	2	3	4	1	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-3	0%

Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	28.7	17	85%	7	4	2	0	0	2	2	5	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	3-6	50%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	18.6	8	57%	2	0	0	1	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	16.2	2	25%	4	3	2	0	1	3	2	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Colin Castleton #8 · C · 6'10" 250 · 25	12.8	1	17%	1	0	1	0	1	2	1	0	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 28	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus; Strain
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Fifth Metatarsal; Repair
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Concussion; Protocol
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ac Joint; Sprain
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Index Finger; Partial Extensor Hood Tear
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	53%	51	27	10	6	17	29	16	35	22-33	67%	25-50	50%	15-44	34%

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13 Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Durant #35 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 36	38.5	29	69%	10	6	1	2	3	2	1	9	5-7	71%	9-14	64%	2-5	40%
Tyus Jones #21 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 29	30.4	21	58%	4	2	3	0	5	3	1	3	5-6	83%	5-10	50%	2-5	40%
Devin Booker #1 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 28	30.4	16	35%	4	9	1	0	3	1	1	3	6-6	100%	2-12	17%	2-8	25%
Mason Plumlee #22 · C · 7'0" 254 · 35	27.3	12	100%	8	3	0	3	0	4	2	6	0-0	-	6-6	100%	0-0	-
Bradley Beal #3 · SF · 6'4" 207 · 32	12.0	3	25%	1	2	1	0	1	1	0	1	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%

Ryan Dunn #0 · SF · 6'7" 216 · 22	35.0	8	57%	9	3	2	2	0	3	3	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Josh Okogie #2 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 26	27.6	9	64%	2	0	0	1	1	4	0	2	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Monté Morris #23 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 30	20.0	12	67%	3	2	1	0	1	2	1	2	2-3	67%	5-7	71%	0-1	0%
Oso Ighodaro #4 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 22	17.3	2	25%	2	1	0	2	3	5	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Damion Lee #10 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 32	1.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Bol Bol #11 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jusuf Nurkić #20 · C · 6'11" 290 · 30	NWT - League Suspension
Jalen Bridges #15 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Collin Gillespie #12 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
TyTy Washington Jr. #14 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Grayson Allen #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Soreness
Royce O'Neale #00 · SF · 6'6" 226 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	54%	43	28	9	10	17	25	10	33	19-25	76%	33-62	53%	9-30	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	PHX
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	PHX

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.05 52.7%

PHX

1.08 53.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

47%

PHX

65%

Midrange

MEM

55%

PHX

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

22.5

34%

51%

PHX

13.5

30%

45%

Free Throws

MEM

67%

PHX

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Jackson	38	61%	19.0 / 31
D. Bane	31	60%	15.5 / 26
L. Kennard	17	85%	8.5 / 10
J. Wells	11	39%	5.5 / 14
J. Huff	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Konchar	7	50%	3.5 / 7
S. Pippen	2	17%	1.0 / 6
C. Spencer	2	25%	1.0 / 4
C. Castleton	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Suns

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Durant	29	69%	14.5 / 21
T. Jones	21	58%	10.5 / 18
D. Booker	16	35%	8.0 / 23
M. Plumlee	12	100%	6.0 / 6
M. Morris	12	67%	6.0 / 9
J. Okogie	9	64%	4.5 / 7
R. Dunn	8	57%	4.0 / 7
B. Beal	3	25%	1.5 / 6
O. Ighodaro	2	25%	1.0 / 4
D. Lee	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 117.2 13 114.8	MEM 111.4 +4.8 PHX 106.7
Pace	1 103.7 21 98.2	MEM 110.0 +9.6 PHX 100.4
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.4 4 15.1	MEM 13.1 −1.3 PHX 14.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 55.4% 6 56.1%	MEM 50.5% PHX 50.5%
TO %	25 14.4% 16 13.4%	MEM 13.5% −0.7% PHX 14.2%
ORB %	3 28.7% 26 22.6%	MEM 32.7% +10.5% PHX 22.2%
FTrt	10 24.9 19 24.1	MEM 35.1 +7.9 PHX 27.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 63.5% 6 67.3%	MEM 67.5% +0.8% PHX 66.7%
STL %	7 8.5% 28 7.3%	MEM 9.5% +0.9% PHX 8.6%
BLK %	3 10.8% 17 9.2%	MEM 9.7% PHX 20.0% +10.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.4% 5 57.8%	MEM 52.7% PHX 53.8% +1.1%
Rim FG%	11 65.3% 3 67.3%	MEM 46.7% PHX 64.5% +17.8%
Mid FG%	9 45.4% 1 48.2%	MEM 55.0% +13.1% PHX 41.9%
3P %	12 36.7% 3 37.8%	MEM 34.1% +4.1% PHX 30.0%
FT %	12 78.6% 2 81.0%	MEM 66.7% PHX 76.0% +9.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 30.5% 30 21.8%	MEM 31.9% PHX 33.7% +1.8%
Mid Att. %	26 29.0% 30 34.2%	MEM 21.3% −12.4% PHX 33.7%
3P Att. %	20 40.6% 9 44.0%	MEM 46.8% +14.2% PHX 32.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.02 and 3.02.

Game Totals	MEM	PHX
Possessions	105	105
Possession Minutes	22.9	25.1
Points	117	112
Rebounds	51	43
Assists	27	28
Steals	10	9
Blocks	6	10
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	17 (0)
Fouls	29	25
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (7)	10 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (3)	33 (4)
Field Goals	40-94	42-92
At-the-Rim FG	14-30	20-31
Midrange FG	11-20	13-31
2-Point FG	25-50	33-62
3-Point FG	15-44	9-30
Free Throws	22-33	19-25
Fast Break Pts	8	17
2nd Chance Pts	20	15
Points in Paint	46	54
Pts off Turnovers	17	20
Bench Points	28	31
Biggest Lead	14	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg