for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, January 1, 2025
FinalWin Prob.pScore
25
Pelicans
31%106
108
13
Heat
69%113
119
ORTG#PossPace
NOP logo NOP
113.79598.5
MIA logo MIA
126.69490.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPelicansQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPelicansQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOPMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.108
0%
119
100%
Q4 - 0:02.3HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)108
0%
119
100%
Q4 - 0:25.8PelicansCJ McCollum turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)108
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.6HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.6HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.6PelicansTrey Murphy III personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)108
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.9PelicansYves Missi makes two point cutting dunk (CJ McCollum assists)108
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot106
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound106
0.3%
115
99.7%
Q4 - 1:03PelicansTrey Murphy III misses three point jump shot106
0.3%
115
99.7%
Q4 - 1:16HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)106
0.8%
115
99.2%
Q4 - 1:39PelicansCJ McCollum makes two point driving finger roll layup106
1.8%
113
98.2%
Q4 - 1:46PelicansCJ McCollum defensive rebound104
1.4%
113
98.6%
Q4 - 1:49HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot104
1.2%
113
98.8%
Q4 - 2:02HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound104
0.7%
113
99.3%
Q4 - 2:04PelicansDejounte Murray misses three point jump shot104
0.9%
113
99.1%
Q4 - 2:19HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback layup104
1.2%
113
98.8%
Q4 - 2:19HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound104
1.7%
111
98.3%
Q4 - 2:20HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point driving reverse layup104
2.6%
111
97.4%
Q4 - 2:47PelicansCJ McCollum makes three point stepback jump shot104
1.7%
111
98.3%
Q4 - 2:49PelicansCJ McCollum offensive rebound101
0.7%
111
99.3%
Q4 - 2:52PelicansCJ McCollum misses regular free throw 2 of 2101
0.9%
111
99.1%
Q4 - 2:52PelicansCJ McCollum makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
1.1%
111
98.9%
Q4 - 2:52HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (CJ McCollum draws the foul)100
1.0%
111
99.0%
Q4 - 3:09HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2100
0.8%
111
99.2%
Q4 - 3:09HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2100
0.8%
110
99.2%
Q4 - 3:09PelicansHerbert Jones personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)100
0.9%
109
99.1%
Q4 - 3:16HeatTyler Herro makes technical free throw 1 of 1100
1.1%
109
98.9%
Q4 - 3:16Pelicans technical foul (Defensive three second)100
1.2%
108
98.8%
Q4 - 3:25PelicansDejounte Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2100
1.6%
108
98.4%
Q4 - 3:25PelicansDejounte Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 299
1.5%
108
98.5%
Q4 - 3:25HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)98
1.4%
108
98.6%
Q4 - 3:33PelicansTrey Murphy III defensive rebound98
2.4%
108
97.6%
Q4 - 3:36HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot98
2.1%
108
97.9%
Q4 - 3:42PelicansDejounte Murray personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)98
1.6%
108
98.4%
Q4 - 3:51PelicansBrandon Boston makes regular free throw 2 of 298
1.6%
108
98.4%
Q4 - 3:51PelicansBrandon Boston makes regular free throw 1 of 297
1.5%
108
98.5%
Q4 - 3:51HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Brandon Boston draws the foul)96
1.4%
108
98.6%
Q4 - 4:02HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Nikola Jovic assists)96
1.1%
108
98.9%
Q4 - 4:21PelicansBrandon Boston makes two point running finger roll layup96
1.5%
106
98.5%
Q4 - 4:25HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Brandon Boston steals)94
1.1%
106
98.9%
Q4 - 4:30PelicansTrey Murphy III turnover (lost ball) (Haywood Highsmith steals)94
0.7%
106
99.3%
Q4 - 4:42HeatNikola Jovic makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)94
1.1%
106
98.9%
Q4 - 5:04PelicansHerbert Jones makes regular free throw 2 of 294
2.3%
104
97.7%
Q4 - 5:04PelicansHerbert Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 293
2.2%
104
97.8%
Q4 - 5:04HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Herbert Jones draws the foul)92
2.1%
104
97.9%
Q4 - 5:07PelicansCJ McCollum defensive rebound92
1.7%
104
98.3%
Q4 - 5:07HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving finger roll layup92
1.6%
104
98.4%
Q4 - 5:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound92
1.2%
104
98.8%
Q4 - 5:24PelicansTrey Murphy III misses three point jump shot92
1.3%
104
98.7%
Q4 - 5:33HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)92
1.7%
104
98.3%
Q4 - 5:55PelicansCJ McCollum makes two point driving floating jump shot (Trey Murphy III assists)92
2.2%
102
97.8%
Q4 - 6:09HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 190
2.4%
102
97.6%
Q4 - 6:09PelicansHerbert Jones shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)90
2.5%
101
97.5%
Q4 - 6:14HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound90
4.0%
99
96.0%
Q4 - 6:16PelicansDejounte Murray misses two point turnaround jump shot90
4.4%
99
95.6%
Q4 - 6:32HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)90
5.4%
99
94.6%
Q4 - 6:44HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound90
6.7%
97
93.3%
Q4 - 6:47HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot90
8.3%
97
91.7%
Q4 - 6:57PelicansDejounte Murray makes two point driving floating jump shot90
6.7%
97
93.3%
Q4 - 7:13HeatNikola Jovic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)88
6.4%
97
93.6%
Q4 - 7:14HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound88
4.7%
97
95.3%
Q4 - 7:16PelicansHerbert Jones misses three point running pullup jump shot88
5.1%
97
94.9%
Q4 - 7:23PelicansHerbert Jones defensive rebound88
6.3%
97
93.7%
Q4 - 7:28HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot88
5.8%
97
94.2%
Q4 - 7:45HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound88
4.7%
97
95.3%
Q4 - 7:47PelicansJordan Hawkins misses two point pullup jump shot88
5.1%
97
94.9%
Q4 - 8:06PelicansYves Missi defensive rebound88
6.9%
97
93.1%
Q4 - 8:06HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot88
6.4%
97
93.6%
Q4 - 8:08HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound88
5.4%
97
94.6%
Q4 - 8:10HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot88
6.4%
97
93.6%
Q4 - 8:22PelicansYves Missi makes regular free throw 2 of 288
5.4%
97
94.6%
Q4 - 8:22PelicansYves Missi misses regular free throw 1 of 287
5.0%
97
95.0%
Q4 - 8:22HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Yves Missi draws the foul)87
5.9%
97
94.1%
Q4 - 8:26PelicansHerbert Jones defensive rebound87
5.5%
97
94.5%
Q4 - 8:28HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup87
5.1%
97
94.9%
Q4 - 8:45HeatTyler Herro makes technical free throw 1 of 187
4.2%
97
95.8%
Q4 - 8:45PelicansHerbert Jones technical foul87
4.5%
96
95.5%
Q4 - 8:46PelicansHerbert Jones makes two point driving dunk (Dejounte Murray assists)87
5.3%
96
94.7%
Q4 - 8:54PelicansYves Missi defensive rebound85
4.3%
96
95.7%
Q4 - 8:57HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot85
4.0%
96
96.0%
Q4 - 9:17PelicansBrandon Boston makes two point running layup (Jordan Hawkins assists)85
3.8%
96
96.2%
Q4 - 9:26PelicansJordan Hawkins defensive rebound83
3.1%
96
96.9%
Q4 - 9:28HeatTyler Herro misses three point running jump shot83
2.9%
96
97.1%
Q4 - 9:31PelicansHerbert Jones turnover (lost ball) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)83
2.4%
96
97.6%
Q4 - 9:36PelicansPelicans offensive rebound83
3.1%
96
96.9%
Q4 - 9:36PelicansDejounte Murray misses three point pullup jump shot83
2.6%
96
97.4%
Q4 - 9:46HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot83
3.1%
96
96.9%
Q4 - 10:08PelicansJordan Hawkins makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)83
4.4%
94
95.6%
Q4 - 10:29HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point turnaround hook shot (Nikola Jovic assists)80
3.0%
94
97.0%
Q4 - 10:52PelicansDejounte Murray makes two point driving floating bank jump shot80
3.6%
92
96.4%
Q4 - 11:09HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 278
3.4%
92
96.6%
Q4 - 11:09HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 278
3.5%
91
96.5%
Q4 - 11:09PelicansHerbert Jones shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)78
3.0%
91
97.0%
Q4 - 11:28PelicansDejounte Murray makes two point driving floating jump shot (Herbert Jones assists)78
3.4%
91
96.6%
Q4 - 11:40HeatKel'el Ware makes regular free throw 2 of 276
2.8%
91
97.2%
Q4 - 11:40HeatKel'el Ware misses regular free throw 1 of 276
2.9%
90
97.1%
Q4 - 11:40PelicansYves Missi shooting foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)76
2.6%
90
97.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.76
2.7%
90
97.3%
Q3 - 0:00.1PelicansPelicans offensive rebound76
3.8%
90
96.2%
Q3 - 0:01.7PelicansDejounte Murray misses three point pullup jump shot76
3.4%
90
96.6%
Q3 - 0:04.3HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)76
3.8%
90
96.2%
Q3 - 0:28.1HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound76
3.1%
90
96.9%
Q3 - 0:29.1PelicansKel'el Ware blocks Dejounte Murray's two point driving finger roll layup76
3.3%
90
96.7%
Q3 - 0:40.0HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point running jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)76
3.8%
90
96.2%
Q3 - 0:45.3HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound76
5.5%
87
94.5%
Q3 - 0:48.4PelicansTrey Murphy III misses three point jump shot76
5.8%
87
94.2%
Q3 - 1:12HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)76
7.2%
87
92.8%
Q3 - 1:17HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound76
10.1%
84
89.9%
Q3 - 1:19PelicansTrey Murphy III misses two point driving layup76
10.6%
84
89.4%
Q3 - 1:29HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving floating bank jump shot76
11.9%
84
88.1%
Q3 - 1:50PelicansJordan Hawkins makes two point running dunk76
13.9%
82
86.1%
Q3 - 1:53HeatNikola Jovic turnover (bad pass) (Jordan Hawkins steals)74
11.9%
82
88.1%
Q3 - 2:02HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound74
10.7%
82
89.3%
Q3 - 2:04PelicansJordan Hawkins misses two point fadeaway jump shot74
11.2%
82
88.8%
Q3 - 2:24HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)74
12.6%
82
87.4%
Q3 - 2:32PelicansTrey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 274
14.4%
80
85.6%
Q3 - 2:32PelicansTrey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 273
14.2%
80
85.8%
Q3 - 2:32HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Trey Murphy III draws the foul)72
13.9%
80
86.1%
Q3 - 2:43PelicansJavonte Green defensive rebound72
12.5%
80
87.5%
Q3 - 2:46HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 272
12.3%
80
87.7%
Q3 - 2:46HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 272
11.0%
80
89.0%
Q3 - 2:46PelicansDaniel Theis shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)72
9.7%
80
90.3%
Q3 - 2:48HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound72
10.6%
80
89.4%
Q3 - 2:50HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround hook shot72
11.9%
80
88.1%
Q3 - 3:04PelicansJavonte Green turnover (out of bounds step)72
11.0%
80
89.0%
Q3 - 3:09PelicansJordan Hawkins defensive rebound72
13.2%
80
86.8%
Q3 - 3:10HeatJordan Hawkins blocks Duncan Robinson's two point driving floating jump shot72
12.5%
80
87.5%
Q3 - 3:23PelicansCJ McCollum makes two point driving reverse layup (Javonte Green assists)72
11.0%
80
89.0%
Q3 - 3:29HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (CJ McCollum draws the foul)70
9.8%
80
90.2%
Q3 - 3:33PelicansJordan Hawkins defensive rebound70
9.8%
80
90.2%
Q3 - 3:36HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot70
9.2%
80
90.8%
Q3 - 3:55HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound70
8.1%
80
91.9%
Q3 - 3:59PelicansJordan Hawkins misses three point jump shot70
8.6%
80
91.4%
Q3 - 4:14HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)70
10.2%
80
89.8%
Q3 - 4:24HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound70
11.6%
78
88.4%
Q3 - 4:26PelicansCJ McCollum misses three point pullup jump shot70
12.1%
78
87.9%
Q3 - 4:47HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)70
13.5%
78
86.5%
Q3 - 5:10PelicansHerbert Jones makes two point floating jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)70
17.8%
75
82.2%
Q3 - 5:26HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point layup (Jimmy Butler assists)68
15.8%
75
84.2%
Q3 - 5:47PelicansTrey Murphy III makes two point running layup68
17.8%
73
82.2%
Q3 - 5:51PelicansTrey Murphy III defensive rebound66
15.8%
73
84.2%
Q3 - 5:55HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving floating bank jump shot66
15.1%
73
84.9%
Q3 - 6:06HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound66
13.9%
73
86.1%
Q3 - 6:08PelicansTrey Murphy III misses three point jump shot66
14.6%
73
85.4%
Q3 - 6:15PelicansCJ McCollum defensive rebound66
16.0%
73
84.0%
Q3 - 6:21HeatTyler Herro misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot66
15.4%
73
84.6%
Q3 - 6:29HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound66
13.9%
73
86.1%
Q3 - 6:30PelicansDejounte Murray misses three point stepback jump shot66
14.5%
73
85.5%
Q3 - 6:47HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)66
16.0%
73
84.0%
Q3 - 7:01PelicansTrey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 266
20.5%
70
79.5%
Q3 - 7:01PelicansTrey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 265
20.3%
70
79.7%
Q3 - 7:01HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Trey Murphy III draws the foul)64
20.0%
70
80.0%
Q3 - 7:16HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)64
18.5%
70
81.5%
Q3 - 7:16HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Trey Murphy III draws the foul)64
16.3%
70
83.7%
Q3 - 7:23PelicansHerbert Jones turnover (traveling)64
16.2%
70
83.8%
Q3 - 7:38HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)64
18.5%
70
81.5%
Q3 - 7:47PelicansCJ McCollum makes two point driving floating jump shot64
22.9%
67
77.1%
Q3 - 7:54HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving layup62
20.8%
67
79.2%
Q3 - 8:11HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound62
22.6%
65
77.4%
Q3 - 8:14PelicansCJ McCollum misses regular free throw 1 of 162
23.0%
65
77.0%
Q3 - 8:14HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (CJ McCollum draws the foul)62
24.7%
65
75.3%
Q3 - 8:17HeatBam Adebayo turnover (back court violation)60
20.8%
65
79.2%
Q3 - 8:32PelicansCJ McCollum makes two point driving layup60
18.2%
65
81.8%
Q3 - 8:50HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)58
16.6%
65
83.4%
Q3 - 8:57PelicansCJ McCollum personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)58
18.2%
63
81.8%
Q3 - 9:14PelicansCJ McCollum makes two point driving floating jump shot58
18.3%
63
81.7%
Q3 - 9:24PelicansYves Missi defensive rebound56
16.8%
63
83.2%
Q3 - 9:25HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot56
16.1%
63
83.9%
Q3 - 9:42HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound56
14.6%
63
85.4%
Q3 - 9:45PelicansTrey Murphy III misses three point stepback jump shot56
15.2%
63
84.8%
Q3 - 9:57PelicansPelicans defensive rebound56
16.7%
63
83.3%
Q3 - 9:58HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point driving floating jump shot56
16.1%
63
83.9%
Q3 - 10:20PelicansTrey Murphy III makes three point jump shot (Yves Missi assists)56
14.9%
63
85.1%
Q3 - 10:27HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)53
12.2%
63
87.8%
Q3 - 10:45PelicansHerbert Jones makes two point driving layup (Dejounte Murray assists)53
13.3%
61
86.7%
Q3 - 11:04HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)51
12.2%
61
87.8%
Q3 - 11:16HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound51
15.0%
58
85.0%
Q3 - 11:16PelicansCJ McCollum misses three point stepback jump shot51
15.6%
58
84.4%
Q3 - 11:26HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)51
16.9%
58
83.1%
Q3 - 11:39HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound51
18.5%
56
81.5%
Q3 - 11:44PelicansTrey Murphy III misses three point jump shot51
19.2%
56
80.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.51
20.8%
56
79.2%
Q2 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound51
18.7%
56
81.3%
Q2 - 0:01.3HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot51
20.0%
56
80.0%
Q2 - 0:07.2HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound51
18.7%
56
81.3%
Q2 - 0:08.5PelicansCJ McCollum misses three point jump shot51
19.3%
56
80.7%
Q2 - 0:28.1HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)51
20.6%
56
79.4%
Q2 - 0:37.1PelicansBrandon Boston makes two point driving layup (CJ McCollum assists)51
25.0%
53
75.0%
Q2 - 0:50.8HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)49
22.7%
53
77.3%
Q2 - 1:12PelicansTrey Murphy III makes two point layup (Daniel Theis assists)49
27.5%
50
72.5%
Q2 - 1:25PelicansDaniel Theis defensive rebound47
24.9%
50
75.1%
Q2 - 1:27HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot47
24.3%
50
75.7%
Q2 - 1:53PelicansBrandon Boston makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Trey Murphy III assists)47
22.9%
50
77.1%
Q2 - 2:09PelicansBrandon Boston defensive rebound45
21.0%
50
79.0%
Q2 - 2:12HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot45
20.3%
50
79.7%
Q2 - 2:30PelicansTrey Murphy III makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (CJ McCollum assists)45
18.9%
50
81.1%
Q2 - 2:53HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (offensive foul)43
17.4%
50
82.6%
Q2 - 2:53HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive foul (Herbert Jones draws the foul)43
15.5%
50
84.5%
Q2 - 2:57HeatHeat offensive rebound43
15.5%
50
84.5%
Q2 - 2:57HeatDaniel Theis blocks Jimmy Butler's two point cutting layup43
16.8%
50
83.2%
Q2 - 3:05HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound43
15.7%
50
84.3%
Q2 - 3:08PelicansTrey Murphy III misses three point stepback jump shot43
16.3%
50
83.7%
Q2 - 3:16PelicansBrandon Boston defensive rebound43
17.7%
50
82.3%
Q2 - 3:20HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot43
17.1%
50
82.9%
Q2 - 3:33PelicansTrey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 243
15.7%
50
84.3%
Q2 - 3:33PelicansTrey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 242
15.6%
50
84.4%
Q2 - 3:33HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Trey Murphy III draws the foul)41
15.4%
50
84.6%
Q2 - 3:49HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds lost ball)41
14.6%
50
85.4%
Q2 - 4:01PelicansTrey Murphy III makes three point pullup jump shot41
13.2%
50
86.8%
Q2 - 4:11HeatBam Adebayo makes two point stepback jump shot38
11.1%
50
88.9%
Q2 - 4:26PelicansHerbert Jones personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)38
12.0%
48
88.0%
Q2 - 4:43PelicansPelicans turnover (shot clock violation)38
12.0%
48
88.0%
Q2 - 4:43PelicansPelicans offensive rebound38
13.4%
48
86.6%
Q2 - 4:45PelicansBrandon Boston misses three point stepback jump shot38
12.4%
48
87.6%
Q2 - 4:57PelicansPelicans offensive rebound38
13.4%
48
86.6%
Q2 - 5:00PelicansCJ McCollum misses two point stepback jump shot38
12.4%
48
87.6%
Q2 - 5:20PelicansPelicans defensive rebound38
13.5%
48
86.5%
Q2 - 5:20HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot38
13.0%
48
87.0%
Q2 - 5:37PelicansBrandon Boston makes two point pullup jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)38
12.0%
48
88.0%
Q2 - 5:45HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (lost ball) (Brandon Boston steals)36
11.1%
48
88.9%
Q2 - 6:03HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound36
10.1%
48
89.9%
Q2 - 6:06PelicansDejounte Murray misses three point jump shot36
10.4%
48
89.6%
Q2 - 6:19HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)36
11.3%
48
88.7%
Q2 - 6:34HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound36
13.3%
45
86.7%
Q2 - 6:37PelicansHerbert Jones misses two point pullup jump shot36
13.8%
45
86.2%
Q2 - 6:48PelicansPelicans defensive rebound36
14.8%
45
85.2%
Q2 - 6:50HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup36
14.4%
45
85.6%
Q2 - 7:06PelicansTrey Murphy III makes two point driving layup (Herbert Jones assists)36
13.6%
45
86.4%
Q2 - 7:18HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup34
12.5%
45
87.5%
Q2 - 7:30PelicansTrey Murphy III makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot34
13.6%
43
86.4%
Q2 - 7:49HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)32
12.5%
43
87.5%
Q2 - 8:12PelicansBrandon Boston makes regular free throw 2 of 232
11.5%
43
88.5%
Q2 - 8:12PelicansBrandon Boston makes regular free throw 1 of 231
11.3%
43
88.7%
Q2 - 8:12HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Brandon Boston draws the foul)30
11.1%
43
88.9%
Q2 - 8:20HeatNikola Jovic turnover (bad pass) (Herbert Jones steals)30
10.6%
43
89.4%
Q2 - 8:34PelicansYves Missi makes two point running finger roll layup (Brandon Boston assists)30
9.6%
43
90.4%
Q2 - 8:37PelicansDejounte Murray defensive rebound28
8.8%
43
91.2%
Q2 - 8:43HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot28
8.6%
43
91.4%
Q2 - 8:46HeatHeat offensive rebound28
8.0%
43
92.0%
Q2 - 8:46HeatYves Missi blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving finger roll layup28
8.6%
43
91.4%
Q2 - 9:01PelicansBrandon Boston personal foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)28
8.2%
43
91.8%
Q2 - 9:12PelicansDejounte Murray makes two point stepback jump shot28
8.2%
43
91.8%
Q2 - 9:39HeatAlec Burks makes three point pullup jump shot (Kel'el Ware assists)26
7.5%
43
92.5%
Q2 - 9:49HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound26
8.9%
40
91.1%
Q2 - 9:54PelicansJordan Hawkins misses two point stepback jump shot26
9.2%
40
90.8%
Q2 - 10:17HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup26
10.1%
40
89.9%
Q2 - 10:26HeatHeat offensive rebound26
10.9%
38
89.1%
Q2 - 10:26HeatJavonte Green blocks Tyler Herro's three point jump shot26
11.6%
38
88.4%
Q2 - 10:30HeatHeat offensive rebound26
10.9%
38
89.1%
Q2 - 10:30HeatJordan Hawkins blocks Alec Burks's two point running layup26
11.6%
38
88.4%
Q2 - 10:34HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound26
10.9%
38
89.1%
Q2 - 10:38PelicansJordan Hawkins misses three point jump shot26
11.2%
38
88.8%
Q2 - 10:40PelicansBrandon Boston offensive rebound26
12.0%
38
88.0%
Q2 - 10:43PelicansBrandon Boston misses two point running reverse layup26
11.2%
38
88.8%
Q2 - 10:47PelicansBrandon Boston defensive rebound26
11.9%
38
88.1%
Q2 - 10:50HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot26
11.6%
38
88.4%
Q2 - 10:59PelicansDejounte Murray turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)26
10.9%
38
89.1%
Q2 - 11:15HeatKel'el Ware makes two point cutting dunk (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)26
12.2%
38
87.8%
Q2 - 11:39PelicansYves Missi makes two point tip layup26
13.1%
36
86.9%
Q2 - 11:39PelicansYves Missi offensive rebound24
12.2%
36
87.8%
Q2 - 11:40PelicansJordan Hawkins misses three point stepback jump shot24
11.4%
36
88.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.24
12.2%
36
87.8%
Q1 - 0:00.7HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Alec Burks assists)24
12.1%
36
87.9%
Q1 - 0:15.2PelicansJavonte Green makes three point jump shot (CJ McCollum assists)24
14.2%
33
85.8%
Q1 - 0:32.8HeatAlec Burks makes regular free throw 3 of 321
12.1%
33
87.9%
Q1 - 0:32.8HeatAlec Burks makes regular free throw 2 of 321
12.3%
32
87.7%
Q1 - 0:32.8HeatAlec Burks makes regular free throw 1 of 321
12.4%
31
87.6%
Q1 - 0:32.8PelicansTrey Murphy III shooting foul (Alec Burks draws the foul)21
12.6%
30
87.4%
Q1 - 0:43.7PelicansCJ McCollum makes regular free throw 2 of 221
14.2%
30
85.8%
Q1 - 0:43.7PelicansCJ McCollum makes regular free throw 1 of 220
14.0%
30
86.0%
Q1 - 0:43.7HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (CJ McCollum draws the foul)19
13.8%
30
86.2%
Q1 - 0:53.0HeatKel'el Ware makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)19
13.1%
30
86.9%
Q1 - 0:58.1HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound19
15.4%
27
84.6%
Q1 - 1:00PelicansJavonte Green misses two point driving floating jump shot19
15.8%
27
84.2%
Q1 - 1:19HeatKel'el Ware makes two point tip layup19
16.8%
27
83.2%
Q1 - 1:20HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound19
18.1%
25
81.9%
Q1 - 1:23HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot19
19.1%
25
80.9%
Q1 - 1:36PelicansCJ McCollum makes two point driving layup19
18.1%
25
81.9%
Q1 - 1:44PelicansDaniel Theis defensive rebound17
16.8%
25
83.2%
Q1 - 1:46HeatDaniel Theis blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point cutting layup17
16.4%
25
83.6%
Q1 - 1:46HeatHeat offensive rebound17
15.5%
25
84.5%
Q1 - 1:46HeatCJ McCollum blocks Nikola Jovic's two point turnaround hook shot17
16.4%
25
83.6%
Q1 - 2:05HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound17
15.8%
25
84.2%
Q1 - 2:07PelicansTrey Murphy III misses two point floating jump shot17
16.2%
25
83.8%
Q1 - 2:21PelicansTrey Murphy III offensive rebound17
17.2%
25
82.8%
Q1 - 2:25PelicansDaniel Theis misses three point jump shot17
16.2%
25
83.8%
Q1 - 2:35HeatNikola Jovic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)17
17.1%
25
82.9%
Q1 - 2:39HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound17
15.7%
25
84.3%
Q1 - 2:42PelicansTrey Murphy III misses three point jump shot17
16.2%
25
83.8%
Q1 - 2:42PelicansJordan Hawkins offensive rebound17
17.1%
25
82.9%
Q1 - 2:46PelicansTrey Murphy III misses two point driving layup17
16.2%
25
83.8%
Q1 - 3:07HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Alec Burks assists)17
17.2%
25
82.8%
Q1 - 3:35PelicansJordan Hawkins makes three point running jump shot (Herbert Jones assists)17
19.6%
22
80.4%
Q1 - 3:39PelicansDaniel Theis defensive rebound14
17.2%
22
82.8%
Q1 - 3:41HeatAlec Burks misses two point driving layup14
16.8%
22
83.2%
Q1 - 4:02HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound14
17.2%
22
82.8%
Q1 - 4:04PelicansTrey Murphy III misses three point pullup jump shot14
17.6%
22
82.4%
Q1 - 4:28PelicansHerbert Jones defensive rebound14
18.6%
22
81.4%
Q1 - 4:31HeatAlec Burks misses three point pullup jump shot14
18.2%
22
81.8%
Q1 - 4:42PelicansTrey Murphy III makes three point running jump shot (Herbert Jones assists)14
17.4%
22
82.6%
Q1 - 4:46PelicansHerbert Jones defensive rebound11
15.7%
22
84.3%
Q1 - 4:51HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot11
15.4%
22
84.6%
Q1 - 5:07PelicansTrey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 111
15.2%
22
84.8%
Q1 - 5:07HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Trey Murphy III draws the foul)10
15.1%
22
84.9%
Q1 - 5:18HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)8
13.8%
22
86.2%
Q1 - 5:29HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound8
14.6%
20
85.4%
Q1 - 5:31PelicansCJ McCollum misses two point running layup8
14.9%
20
85.1%
Q1 - 5:39PelicansDejounte Murray defensive rebound8
15.6%
20
84.4%
Q1 - 5:42HeatBam Adebayo misses three point stepback jump shot8
15.4%
20
84.6%
Q1 - 6:02HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound8
15.2%
20
84.8%
Q1 - 6:05PelicansTrey Murphy III misses three point running pullup jump shot8
15.5%
20
84.5%
Q1 - 6:07PelicansTrey Murphy III defensive rebound8
16.1%
20
83.9%
Q1 - 6:10HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot8
15.9%
20
84.1%
Q1 - 6:28PelicansTrey Murphy III makes three point stepback jump shot (CJ McCollum assists)8
15.6%
20
84.4%
Q1 - 6:44HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 25
14.6%
20
85.4%
Q1 - 6:44HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 25
14.7%
19
85.3%
Q1 - 6:44PelicansYves Missi shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)5
14.8%
18
85.2%
Q1 - 6:55HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound5
15.4%
18
84.6%
Q1 - 6:59PelicansCJ McCollum misses two point driving floating jump shot5
15.7%
18
84.3%
Q1 - 7:16HeatTyler Herro makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot5
16.6%
18
83.4%
Q1 - 7:34PelicansDejounte Murray turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)5
17.6%
16
82.4%
Q1 - 7:48HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 25
18.7%
16
81.3%
Q1 - 7:48HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 25
18.8%
15
81.2%
Q1 - 7:48PelicansYves Missi shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)5
19.0%
14
81.0%
Q1 - 7:51HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound5
19.5%
14
80.5%
Q1 - 7:54PelicansDejounte Murray misses two point stepback jump shot5
19.8%
14
80.2%
Q1 - 8:10HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 15
20.9%
14
79.1%
Q1 - 8:10PelicansHerbert Jones shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)5
21.0%
13
79.0%
Q1 - 8:25HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound5
22.6%
11
77.4%
Q1 - 8:28PelicansCJ McCollum misses three point jump shot5
23.0%
11
77.0%
Q1 - 8:48PelicansDejounte Murray defensive rebound5
24.0%
11
76.0%
Q1 - 8:50HeatBam Adebayo misses three point pullup jump shot5
23.8%
11
76.2%
Q1 - 9:13PelicansDejounte Murray makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Yves Missi assists)5
23.9%
11
76.1%
Q1 - 9:33HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)3
23.9%
11
76.1%
Q1 - 9:41PelicansTrey Murphy III personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)3
24.7%
9
75.3%
Q1 - 9:46PelicansYves Missi turnover (out of bounds lost ball)3
24.9%
9
75.1%
Q1 - 10:01HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving finger roll layup (Tyler Herro assists)3
26.0%
9
74.0%
Q1 - 10:20PelicansTrey Murphy III makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)3
27.1%
7
72.9%
Q1 - 10:30HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Trey Murphy III draws the foul)0
26.6%
7
73.4%
Q1 - 10:40HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)0
27.0%
7
73.0%
Q1 - 10:55PelicansDejounte Murray turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)0
27.9%
5
72.1%
Q1 - 11:09HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)0
28.9%
5
71.1%
Q1 - 11:23PelicansDejounte Murray turnover (out of bounds lost ball)0
29.9%
2
70.1%
Q1 - 11:39HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)0
30.6%
2
69.4%
Q1 - 12:00Yves Missi vs. Bam Adebayo (Tyler Herro gains possession)0
31.3%
0
68.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOP
1.15 57.4%
MIA
1.25 62.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOP
19
25
76%
MIA
18
29
62%
Midrange
NOP
12
21
57%
MIA
12
20
60%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOP
9
13.5
34
26%
40%
MIA
14
21.0
34
41%
62%
Free Throws
NOP
19
22
86%
MIA
17
21
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
NOP logo Pelicans
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Murphy3463%17.0 / 27
C. McCollum2261%11.0 / 18
B. Boston Jr.1478%7.0 / 9
D. Murray1243%6.0 / 14
H. Jones867%4.0 / 6
J. Hawkins844%4.0 / 9
Y. Missi788%3.5 / 4
J. Green375%1.5 / 2
D. Theis0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro3270%16.0 / 23
B. Adebayo2372%11.5 / 16
D. Robinson1765%8.5 / 13
J. Jaquez1255%6.0 / 11
K. Ware10100%5.0 / 5
J. Butler975%4.5 / 6
N. Jović867%4.0 / 6
A. Burks660%3.0 / 5
H. Highsmith217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOP
85
+9
-10
94
MIA
84
+11
-10
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP
1.15 57.4%
MIA
1.25 62.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.6
112.4
NOP 113.7
MIA 126.6 +12.9
Pace
99.8
97.2
NOP 98.5 +7.7
MIA 90.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
14.9
NOP 14.6 +1.2
MIA 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.9%
54.4%
NOP 55.6%
MIA 61.4% +5.8%
TO %
13.9%
12.8%
NOP 10.9% +1.5%
MIA 12.4%
ORB %
26.3%
22.3%
NOP 13.2%
MIA 16.1% +2.9%
FTrt
24.4
23.2
NOP 27.5 +2.2
MIA 25.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.6%
65.3%
NOP 62.5%
MIA 77.3% +14.8%
STL %
8.5%
8.3%
NOP 4.2%
MIA 6.4% +2.2%
BLK %
10.4%
7.6%
NOP 14.3% +12.1%
MIA 2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.8%
56.0%
NOP 57.4%
MIA 62.6% +5.2%
Rim FG%
61.0%
62.5%
NOP 76.0% +13.9%
MIA 62.1%
Mid FG%
40.7%
44.4%
NOP 57.1%
MIA 60.0% +2.9%
3P %
34.7%
36.7%
NOP 26.5%
MIA 41.2% +14.7%
FT %
75.4%
79.1%
NOP 86.4% +5.4%
MIA 81.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.6%
29.6%
NOP 31.3%
MIA 34.9% +3.7%
Mid Att. %
27.9%
27.5%
NOP 26.3%
MIA 24.1% +2.2%
3P Att. %
38.6%
42.9%
NOP 42.5% +1.5%
MIA 41.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOPMIA
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points108119
Rebounds3138
Assists2534
Steals46
Blocks71
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)10 (3)
Fouls1516
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (4)5 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (3)33 (0)
Field Goals40-8044-83
At-the-Rim FG19-2518-29
Midrange FG12-2112-20
2-Point FG31-4630-49
3-Point FG9-3414-34
Free Throws19-2217-21
Fast Break Pts218
2nd Chance Pts58
Points in Paint5652
Pts off Turnovers2011
Bench Points2536
Biggest Lead017

BOXSCORE

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25 New Orleans Pelicans
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Trey Murphy III
#25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 25
39.0
34
63%
4
3
0
0
1
3
1
3
7-7
100%
6-9
67%
5-15
33%
Herbert Jones
#2 · PF · 6'7" 206 · 26
39.0
8
67%
4
4
1
0
2
5
0
4
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
CJ McCollum
#3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 33
34.3
22
61%
4
5
0
1
1
1
1
3
3-5
60%
8-11
73%
1-5
20%
Dejounte Murray
#5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 28
31.3
12
43%
3
7
0
0
4
1
0
3
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
0-5
0%
Yves Missi
#21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 21
29.2
7
88%
4
2
0
1
1
3
1
3
1-2
50%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
Brandon Boston
#11 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 23
20.2
14
78%
4
1
2
0
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
5-6
83%
0-1
0%
Jordan Hawkins
#24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23
20.2
8
44%
4
1
1
2
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-5
40%
Daniel Theis
#10 · C · 6'9" 243 · 33
17.7
0
0%
3
1
0
2
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Javonte Green
#4 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 31
9.1
3
75%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
Jamal Cain
#8 · SF · 6'6" 191 · 26
DNP – Coach's Decision
Antonio Reeves
#12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22
DNP – Coach's Decision
Karlo Matković
#17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Low Back; Disc Protrusion
Trey Jemison III
#55 · C · 6'11" 270 · 25
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jose Alvarado
#15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Hamstring; Strain
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
#50 · PF · 6'8" 242 · 24
DND - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Sprain
Zion Williamson
#1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Hamstring; Strain
Brandon Ingram
#14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
57%
31
25
4
7
10
15
5
26
19-22
86%
31-46
67%
9-34
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.