Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 1, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Hawks	35%	119	120	110.1	109	113.2
	7	Nuggets	65%	125	139	127.5	109	105.1

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+16

-13

112

DEN

-12

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.07 53.6%

DEN

1.34 66.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

20 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 20	31.6	13	54%	3	2	0	1	1	1	3	0	0-0	-	5-6	83%	1-6	17%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 26	30.3	30	68%	4	9	2	0	4	1	0	4	10-12	83%	4-7	57%	4-10	40%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 22	30.0	9	26%	5	6	3	0	0	1	3	2	0-0	-	3-10	30%	1-7	14%
Garrison Mathews #24 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 28	28.6	9	56%	5	3	0	1	2	3	1	4	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	19.6	4	40%	7	1	1	0	2	1	1	6	0-2	0%	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 25	28.4	14	58%	6	5	0	2	0	5	1	5	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	3-8	38%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 27	26.1	20	63%	4	3	3	0	2	0	2	2	3-5	60%	4-9	44%	3-5	60%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	24.4	9	75%	7	2	1	1	0	3	1	6	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
David Roddy #8 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 24	17.1	10	71%	1	2	0	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-3	67%
Dominick Barlow #0 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 22	4.0	2	33%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Soreness
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Leg; Contusion
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Fractured Fourth Metacarpal
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Injury Management
Cody Zeller #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 32	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	54%	44	34	10	5	13	16	12	32	14-21	67%	29-54	54%	16-46	35%

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20 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 20	31.6	13	54%	3	2	0	1	1	1	3	0	0-0	-	5-6	83%	1-6	17%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 26	30.3	30	68%	4	9	2	0	4	1	0	4	10-12	83%	4-7	57%	4-10	40%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 22	30.0	9	26%	5	6	3	0	0	1	3	2	0-0	-	3-10	30%	1-7	14%
Garrison Mathews #24 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 28	28.6	9	56%	5	3	0	1	2	3	1	4	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	19.6	4	40%	7	1	1	0	2	1	1	6	0-2	0%	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 25	28.4	14	58%	6	5	0	2	0	5	1	5	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	3-8	38%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 27	26.1	20	63%	4	3	3	0	2	0	2	2	3-5	60%	4-9	44%	3-5	60%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	24.4	9	75%	7	2	1	1	0	3	1	6	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
David Roddy #8 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 24	17.1	10	71%	1	2	0	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-3	67%
Dominick Barlow #0 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 22	4.0	2	33%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Soreness
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Leg; Contusion
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Fractured Fourth Metacarpal
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Injury Management
Cody Zeller #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 32	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	54%	44	34	10	5	13	16	12	32	14-21	67%	29-54	54%	16-46	35%

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7 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	35.5	21	62%	3	2	2	1	2	1	1	2	7-7	100%	4-9	44%	2-5	40%
Christian Braun #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	31.8	15	83%	3	4	0	0	0	3	0	3	1-1	100%	7-8	88%	0-1	0%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	29.5	23	64%	17	15	0	1	2	2	3	14	6-6	100%	7-15	47%	1-1	100%
Russell Westbrook #4 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 36	25.6	16	100%	2	11	0	0	2	3	0	2	5-5	100%	4-4	100%	1-2	50%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 27	24.3	21	75%	4	2	1	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	5-9	56%

Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	30.1	13	54%	6	2	2	1	1	2	0	6	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-5	20%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	24.0	11	50%	0	1	2	1	2	2	0	0	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	15.1	8	100%	7	3	1	1	1	1	0	7	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	13.2	7	70%	1	4	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	4.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	3.4	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	3.4	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	139	67%	43	44	8	5	12	16	4	39	21-21	100%	41-64	64%	12-30	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.07 53.6%

DEN

1.34 66.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

76%

DEN

79%

Midrange

ATL

34%

DEN

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

24.0

35%

52%

DEN

18.0

40%

60%

Free Throws

ATL

67%

DEN

100%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Young	30	68%	15.0 / 22
D. Hunter	20	63%	10.0 / 16
V. Krejčí	14	58%	7.0 / 12
Z. Risacher	13	54%	6.5 / 12
D. Roddy	10	71%	5.0 / 7
D. Daniels	9	26%	4.5 / 17
G. Mathews	9	56%	4.5 / 8
O. Okongwu	9	75%	4.5 / 6
C. Capela	4	40%	2.0 / 5
D. Barlow	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	23	64%	11.5 / 18
J. Murray	21	62%	10.5 / 17
M. Porter	21	75%	10.5 / 14
R. Westbrook	16	100%	8.0 / 8
C. Braun	15	83%	7.5 / 9
J. Strawther	13	54%	6.5 / 12
P. Watson	11	50%	5.5 / 11
D. Jordan	8	100%	4.0 / 4
J. Pickett	7	70%	3.5 / 5
Z. Nnaji	2	50%	1.0 / 2
S. Jones	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 113.7 4 118.9	ATL 110.1 DEN 127.5 +17.4
Pace	3 103.4 8 100.6	ATL 113.2 +8.1 DEN 105.1
Avg. Poss. Time	30 13.3 22 14.2	ATL 12.7 −1.0 DEN 13.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 54.6% 2 57.3%	ATL 53.0% DEN 62.8% +9.8%
TO %	23 14.1% 15 13.3%	ATL 11.4% DEN 11.2% −0.2%
ORB %	10 26.3% 7 26.7%	ATL 23.5% +12.4% DEN 11.1%
FTrt	8 25.2 5 25.9	ATL 21.0 DEN 22.3 +1.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 68.3% 4 68.3%	ATL 75.6% DEN 83.0% +7.4%
STL %	4 9.4% 19 7.9%	ATL 9.2% +1.9% DEN 7.3%
BLK %	11 9.7% 21 9.0%	ATL 7.8% DEN 9.3% +1.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 56.5% 2 58.8%	ATL 53.6% DEN 66.8% +13.2%
Rim FG%	20 62.9% 7 66.2%	ATL 76.0% DEN 79.1% +3.1%
Mid FG%	11 44.5% 8 45.5%	ATL 34.5% +1.2% DEN 33.3%
3P %	18 35.8% 5 37.6%	ATL 34.8% DEN 40.0% +5.2%
FT %	18 77.5% 23 77.0%	ATL 66.7% DEN 100.0% +33.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 34.1% 1 38.3%	ATL 25.0% DEN 45.7% +20.7%
Mid Att. %	10 24.8% 13 26.1%	ATL 29.0% DEN 22.3% −6.7%
3P Att. %	19 41.0% 30 35.6%	ATL 46.0% +14.1% DEN 31.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Game Totals	ATL	DEN
Possessions	109	109
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.9
Points	120	139
Rebounds	44	43
Assists	34	44
Steals	10	8
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	12 (1)
Fouls	16	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (4)	4 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (2)	39 (3)
Field Goals	45-100	53-94
At-the-Rim FG	19-25	34-43
Midrange FG	10-29	7-21
2-Point FG	29-54	41-64
3-Point FG	16-46	12-30
Free Throws	14-21	21-21
Fast Break Pts	17	21
2nd Chance Pts	21	4
Points in Paint	54	76
Pts off Turnovers	11	14
Bench Points	55	43
Biggest Lead	5	27

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg