FinalWin Prob.pScore
1548%113
128
1452%114
115
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
133.39697.1
MIA logo MIA
118.69795.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.128
100%
115
0%
Q4 - 0:00.4PacersPacers turnover (shot clock violation)128
99.9%
115
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.4HeatKel'el Ware makes regular free throw 2 of 2128
99.9%
115
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.4HeatKel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 2128
99.9%
114
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.4PacersJohnny Furphy shooting foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)128
99.9%
113
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.7HeatJosh Christopher defensive rebound128
99.9%
113
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.8PacersKeshad Johnson blocks Bennedict Mathurin's two point pullup jump shot128
99.9%
113
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.5PacersPacers offensive rebound128
99.9%
113
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.5PacersKel'el Ware blocks Bennedict Mathurin's two point driving layup128
99.9%
113
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.3HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Nikola Jovic assists)128
99.9%
113
0.1%
Q4 - 1:10HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound128
99.9%
111
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14PacersThomas Bryant misses three point jump shot128
99.9%
111
0.1%
Q4 - 1:32HeatJosh Christopher turnover (bad pass) (Ben Sheppard steals)128
99.9%
111
0.1%
Q4 - 1:35HeatJosh Christopher defensive rebound128
99.9%
111
0.1%
Q4 - 1:40PacersAndrew Nembhard misses two point pullup jump shot128
99.9%
111
0.1%
Q4 - 2:02HeatKeshad Johnson makes two point cutting layup (Kel'el Ware assists)128
99.9%
111
0.1%
Q4 - 2:19PacersTyrese Haliburton makes two point driving layup (Myles Turner assists)128
99.9%
109
0.1%
Q4 - 2:40HeatTerry Rozier makes two point stepback jump shot (Keshad Johnson assists)126
99.9%
109
0.1%
Q4 - 3:03PacersPascal Siakam makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot126
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 3:23HeatTerry Rozier personal foul (Andrew Nembhard draws the foul)124
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 3:24PacersAndrew Nembhard defensive rebound124
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 3:25HeatMyles Turner blocks Terry Rozier's two point floating jump shot124
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 3:35PacersBennedict Mathurin makes two point running dunk (Andrew Nembhard assists)124
99.7%
107
0.3%
Q4 - 3:39HeatTerry Rozier turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Nembhard steals)122
99.5%
107
0.5%
Q4 - 3:46PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 2122
99.4%
107
0.6%
Q4 - 3:46PacersMyles Turner misses regular free throw 1 of 2121
99.3%
107
0.7%
Q4 - 3:46HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)121
99.5%
107
0.5%
Q4 - 4:09HeatKel'el Ware makes two point cutting dunk (Nikola Jovic assists)121
99.4%
107
0.6%
Q4 - 4:24PacersPascal Siakam makes two point pullup jump shot121
99.6%
105
0.4%
Q4 - 4:26PacersPascal Siakam offensive rebound119
99.4%
105
0.6%
Q4 - 4:28PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point stepback jump shot119
99.3%
105
0.7%
Q4 - 4:46PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound119
99.4%
105
0.6%
Q4 - 4:49HeatKel'el Ware misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot119
99.4%
105
0.6%
Q4 - 5:14PacersTyrese Haliburton makes two point driving finger roll layup119
98.5%
105
1.5%
Q4 - 5:33HeatKel'el Ware makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)117
98.0%
105
2.0%
Q4 - 5:43HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound117
98.9%
102
1.1%
Q4 - 5:47PacersTyrese Haliburton misses regular free throw 2 of 2117
99.0%
102
1.0%
Q4 - 5:47PacersTyrese Haliburton makes regular free throw 1 of 2117
99.2%
102
0.8%
Q4 - 5:47HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Tyrese Haliburton draws the foul)116
99.1%
102
0.9%
Q4 - 5:56PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound116
99.0%
102
1.0%
Q4 - 6:00HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot116
98.8%
102
1.2%
Q4 - 6:07HeatKeshad Johnson defensive rebound116
97.5%
102
2.5%
Q4 - 6:10PacersBennedict Mathurin misses two point pullup jump shot116
97.8%
102
2.2%
Q4 - 6:17PacersPascal Siakam offensive rebound116
98.2%
102
1.8%
Q4 - 6:20PacersMyles Turner misses two point driving floating jump shot116
97.8%
102
2.2%
Q4 - 6:35HeatKeshad Johnson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)116
98.3%
102
1.7%
Q4 - 6:46PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point tip layup116
99.0%
99
1.0%
Q4 - 6:48PacersAndrew Nembhard offensive rebound114
98.7%
99
1.3%
Q4 - 6:49PacersMyles Turner misses two point tip layup114
98.4%
99
1.6%
Q4 - 6:50PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound114
98.7%
99
1.3%
Q4 - 6:51PacersTyrese Haliburton misses two point driving layup114
98.4%
99
1.6%
Q4 - 7:14HeatTerry Rozier turnover (offensive foul)114
98.1%
99
1.9%
Q4 - 7:14HeatTerry Rozier offensive foul (Charge) (Andrew Nembhard draws the foul)114
97.4%
99
2.6%
Q4 - 7:25HeatKeshad Johnson defensive rebound114
97.4%
99
2.6%
Q4 - 7:28PacersJarace Walker misses two point driving finger roll layup114
97.6%
99
2.4%
Q4 - 7:32PacersBen Sheppard offensive rebound114
98.1%
99
1.9%
Q4 - 7:36PacersKel'el Ware blocks Myles Turner's two point jump shot114
97.7%
99
2.3%
Q4 - 7:54HeatKel'el Ware makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)114
98.1%
99
1.9%
Q4 - 8:11HeatHeat defensive rebound114
98.4%
96
1.6%
Q4 - 8:14PacersJarace Walker misses regular free throw 2 of 2114
98.5%
96
1.5%
Q4 - 8:14PacersJarace Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 2114
98.7%
96
1.3%
Q4 - 8:14HeatKeshad Johnson shooting foul (Jarace Walker draws the foul)113
98.6%
96
1.4%
Q4 - 8:34HeatTyler Herro makes two point stepback jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)113
98.5%
96
1.5%
Q4 - 8:40HeatKeshad Johnson defensive rebound113
98.8%
94
1.2%
Q4 - 8:43PacersKel'el Ware blocks Obi Toppin's two point driving floating jump shot113
98.9%
94
1.1%
Q4 - 9:05HeatKel'el Ware makes three point running jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)113
98.8%
94
1.2%
Q4 - 9:07HeatKeshad Johnson defensive rebound113
99.2%
91
0.8%
Q4 - 9:11PacersKeshad Johnson blocks Obi Toppin's two point running layup113
99.3%
91
0.7%
Q4 - 9:17PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound113
99.4%
91
0.6%
Q4 - 9:21HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot113
99.3%
91
0.7%
Q4 - 9:27HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound113
99.2%
91
0.8%
Q4 - 9:28PacersJarace Walker misses two point driving layup113
99.3%
91
0.7%
Q4 - 9:35HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 1113
99.4%
91
0.6%
Q4 - 9:35PacersBen Sheppard shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)113
99.4%
90
0.6%
Q4 - 9:50PacersJarace Walker makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)113
99.6%
88
0.4%
Q4 - 10:04HeatTerry Rozier turnover (bad pass) (T.J. McConnell steals)110
99.1%
88
0.9%
Q4 - 10:13HeatKeshad Johnson defensive rebound110
98.9%
88
1.1%
Q4 - 10:17PacersBen Sheppard misses three point jump shot110
99.0%
88
1.0%
Q4 - 10:30HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)110
99.2%
88
0.8%
Q4 - 10:36PacersJarace Walker personal foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)110
99.3%
86
0.7%
Q4 - 10:37HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound110
99.3%
86
0.7%
Q4 - 10:39PacersKeshad Johnson blocks Pascal Siakam's two point putback layup110
99.4%
86
0.6%
Q4 - 10:41PacersPascal Siakam offensive rebound110
99.5%
86
0.5%
Q4 - 10:45PacersJarace Walker misses two point pullup jump shot110
99.4%
86
0.6%
Q4 - 10:55HeatKeshad Johnson turnover (lost ball) (Ben Sheppard steals)110
99.5%
86
0.5%
Q4 - 10:55HeatKeshad Johnson defensive rebound110
99.3%
86
0.7%
Q4 - 10:58PacersObi Toppin misses three point jump shot110
99.4%
86
0.6%
Q4 - 11:09HeatKel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 1110
99.3%
86
0.7%
Q4 - 11:09PacersJarace Walker shooting foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)110
99.3%
85
0.7%
Q4 - 11:22PacersJarace Walker makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)110
99.5%
83
0.5%
Q4 - 11:42HeatKel'el Ware turnover (out of bounds bad pass)107
99.3%
83
0.7%
Q4 - 11:46PacersPascal Siakam personal foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)107
99.1%
83
0.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.107
99.1%
83
0.9%
Q3 - 0:00.7PacersObi Toppin defensive rebound107
99.1%
83
0.9%
Q3 - 0:03.1HeatTerry Rozier misses two point stepback jump shot107
99.0%
83
1.0%
Q3 - 0:06.6PacersBen Sheppard personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)107
98.9%
83
1.1%
Q3 - 0:21.9PacersObi Toppin turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)107
98.9%
83
1.1%
Q3 - 0:23.9PacersObi Toppin offensive rebound107
99.1%
83
0.9%
Q3 - 0:27.4PacersPascal Siakam misses three point jump shot107
98.9%
83
1.1%
Q3 - 0:34.2PacersObi Toppin defensive rebound107
99.1%
83
0.9%
Q3 - 0:36.6HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving layup107
99.0%
83
1.0%
Q3 - 0:44.0HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound107
98.9%
83
1.1%
Q3 - 0:45.6PacersPascal Siakam misses regular free throw 2 of 2107
98.9%
83
1.1%
Q3 - 0:45.6PacersPascal Siakam misses regular free throw 1 of 2107
99.0%
83
1.0%
Q3 - 0:45.6HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)107
99.2%
83
0.8%
Q3 - 0:50.1HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)107
99.1%
83
0.9%
Q3 - 0:56.9HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound107
99.2%
81
0.8%
Q3 - 0:59.9PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot107
99.3%
81
0.7%
Q3 - 1:08HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop layup (Terry Rozier assists)107
99.1%
81
0.9%
Q3 - 1:23PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point running pullup jump shot107
99.3%
79
0.7%
Q3 - 1:30HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)104
99.0%
79
1.0%
Q3 - 1:30HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound104
98.8%
79
1.2%
Q3 - 1:32HeatBen Sheppard blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving layup104
98.9%
79
1.1%
Q3 - 1:55PacersObi Toppin makes two point cutting layup (Tyrese Haliburton assists)104
98.8%
79
1.2%
Q3 - 2:01PacersTyrese Haliburton defensive rebound102
98.2%
79
1.8%
Q3 - 2:04HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot102
98.1%
79
1.9%
Q3 - 2:21PacersTyrese Haliburton makes two point fadeaway jump shot102
97.8%
79
2.2%
Q3 - 2:36HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving layup100
97.5%
79
2.5%
Q3 - 2:51PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point pullup jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)100
97.8%
77
2.2%
Q3 - 2:56PacersTyrese Haliburton defensive rebound98
97.5%
77
2.5%
Q3 - 2:58HeatMyles Turner blocks Bam Adebayo's two point hook shot98
97.3%
77
2.7%
Q3 - 3:09PacersT.J. McConnell turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)98
96.5%
77
3.5%
Q3 - 3:12PacersBen Sheppard offensive rebound98
97.1%
77
2.9%
Q3 - 3:15PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point stepback jump shot98
96.7%
77
3.3%
Q3 - 3:31HeatNikola Jovic makes two point layup (Terry Rozier assists)98
97.1%
77
2.9%
Q3 - 3:39PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point pullup jump shot98
97.5%
75
2.5%
Q3 - 3:52HeatNikola Jovic makes two point driving dunk (Terry Rozier assists)96
97.2%
75
2.8%
Q3 - 4:04PacersObi Toppin makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)96
97.1%
73
2.9%
Q3 - 4:15HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 293
96.1%
73
3.9%
Q3 - 4:15HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 293
96.1%
72
3.9%
Q3 - 4:15PacersObi Toppin shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)93
96.2%
71
3.8%
Q3 - 4:32PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point pullup jump shot93
96.6%
71
3.4%
Q3 - 4:50HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup (Duncan Robinson assists)90
95.5%
71
4.5%
Q3 - 4:53HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound90
96.1%
69
3.9%
Q3 - 4:55PacersTyrese Haliburton misses regular free throw 1 of 190
96.1%
69
3.9%
Q3 - 4:55HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Tyrese Haliburton draws the foul)90
96.6%
69
3.4%
Q3 - 5:08HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)88
94.9%
69
5.1%
Q3 - 5:19PacersBennedict Mathurin turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)88
95.6%
67
4.4%
Q3 - 5:38HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 288
96.2%
67
3.8%
Q3 - 5:38HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 288
96.3%
66
3.7%
Q3 - 5:38PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)88
96.5%
65
3.5%
Q3 - 5:57PacersTyrese Haliburton makes two point pullup jump shot88
96.7%
65
3.3%
Q3 - 6:07HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)86
95.7%
65
4.3%
Q3 - 6:27PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Bennedict Mathurin assists)86
96.8%
62
3.2%
Q3 - 6:45HeatBam Adebayo makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)83
95.8%
62
4.2%
Q3 - 7:00PacersBennedict Mathurin makes two point cutting layup (Pascal Siakam assists)83
96.3%
60
3.7%
Q3 - 7:17HeatDuncan Robinson turnover81
95.1%
60
4.9%
Q3 - 7:34PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)81
94.4%
60
5.6%
Q3 - 7:48HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)78
92.8%
60
7.2%
Q3 - 8:08PacersPascal Siakam makes three point jump shot (Myles Turner assists)78
93.0%
58
7.0%
Q3 - 8:14PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound75
91.2%
58
8.8%
Q3 - 8:18HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot75
90.8%
58
9.2%
Q3 - 8:38PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 175
89.8%
58
10.2%
Q3 - 8:38HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)74
89.6%
58
10.4%
Q3 - 8:52HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)72
87.3%
58
12.7%
Q3 - 9:02HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound72
89.2%
55
10.8%
Q3 - 9:04PacersPascal Siakam misses regular free throw 2 of 272
89.4%
55
10.6%
Q3 - 9:04PacersPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 272
90.1%
55
9.9%
Q3 - 9:04HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)71
89.9%
55
10.1%
Q3 - 9:24HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)71
89.5%
55
10.5%
Q3 - 9:30HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound71
91.5%
52
8.5%
Q3 - 9:34HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot71
92.4%
52
7.6%
Q3 - 9:42HeatHeat offensive rebound71
91.5%
52
8.5%
Q3 - 9:42HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot71
92.4%
52
7.6%
Q3 - 9:52HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound71
91.6%
52
8.4%
Q3 - 9:54PacersAndrew Nembhard misses two point pullup jump shot71
91.9%
52
8.1%
Q3 - 9:56PacersBennedict Mathurin offensive rebound71
92.7%
52
7.3%
Q3 - 10:01PacersAndrew Nembhard misses three point jump shot71
91.2%
52
8.8%
Q3 - 10:11PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound71
92.1%
52
7.9%
Q3 - 10:15HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot71
91.8%
52
8.2%
Q3 - 10:24HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound71
90.9%
52
9.1%
Q3 - 10:24PacersBennedict Mathurin misses three point pullup jump shot71
91.3%
52
8.7%
Q3 - 10:26PacersAndrew Nembhard offensive rebound71
92.1%
52
7.9%
Q3 - 10:31PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point pullup jump shot71
91.3%
52
8.7%
Q3 - 10:43HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point putback layup71
92.1%
52
7.9%
Q3 - 10:43HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound71
92.8%
50
7.2%
Q3 - 10:47HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot71
93.5%
50
6.5%
Q3 - 11:06PacersBennedict Mathurin makes three point running jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)71
92.4%
50
7.6%
Q3 - 11:10PacersAndrew Nembhard defensive rebound68
90.5%
50
9.5%
Q3 - 11:14HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot68
90.2%
50
9.8%
Q3 - 11:36PacersMyles Turner makes two point cutting layup (Tyrese Haliburton assists)68
89.3%
50
10.7%
Q3 - 11:39PacersAndrew Nembhard offensive rebound66
88.2%
50
11.8%
Q3 - 11:44PacersPascal Siakam misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot66
87.1%
50
12.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.66
88.2%
50
11.8%
Q2 - 0:19.0HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound66
86.2%
50
13.8%
Q2 - 0:22.0PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point jump shot66
86.7%
50
13.3%
Q2 - 0:34.4HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 266
87.6%
50
12.4%
Q2 - 0:34.4HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 266
87.9%
49
12.1%
Q2 - 0:34.4PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)66
86.8%
49
13.2%
Q2 - 0:49.1PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 166
87.7%
49
12.3%
Q2 - 0:49.1HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)65
87.4%
49
12.6%
Q2 - 1:02HeatAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)63
84.1%
49
15.9%
Q2 - 1:13PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point running layup (Tyrese Haliburton assists)63
87.2%
46
12.8%
Q2 - 1:19HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Tyrese Haliburton steals)61
85.7%
46
14.3%
Q2 - 1:35PacersMyles Turner makes two point cutting dunk (Tyrese Haliburton assists)61
84.3%
46
15.7%
Q2 - 1:46HeatKel'el Ware makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)59
82.5%
46
17.5%
Q2 - 2:04PacersBennedict Mathurin makes two point driving floating jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)59
83.2%
44
16.8%
Q2 - 2:30HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)57
81.8%
44
18.2%
Q2 - 2:44HeatTyler Herro makes technical free throw 1 of 157
79.8%
44
20.2%
Q2 - 2:44Pacers technical foul (Defensive three second)57
80.2%
43
19.8%
Q2 - 2:52HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound57
81.6%
43
18.4%
Q2 - 2:58PacersMyles Turner misses two point fadeaway jump shot57
82.2%
43
17.8%
Q2 - 3:17HeatKel'el Ware makes regular free throw 2 of 257
82.7%
43
17.3%
Q2 - 3:17HeatKel'el Ware misses regular free throw 1 of 257
83.1%
42
16.9%
Q2 - 3:17PacersTyrese Haliburton shooting foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)57
82.0%
42
18.0%
Q2 - 3:31HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound57
82.3%
42
17.7%
Q2 - 3:34PacersThomas Bryant misses three point jump shot57
82.9%
42
17.1%
Q2 - 3:46HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point driving dunk57
84.3%
42
15.7%
Q2 - 4:12PacersPascal Siakam makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyrese Haliburton assists)57
84.7%
40
15.3%
Q2 - 4:14PacersAndrew Nembhard defensive rebound55
83.5%
40
16.5%
Q2 - 4:16HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving finger roll layup55
82.9%
40
17.1%
Q2 - 4:27PacersObi Toppin makes two point driving reverse layup (Andrew Nembhard assists)55
81.7%
40
18.3%
Q2 - 4:40HeatNikola Jovic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)53
80.3%
40
19.7%
Q2 - 4:56HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound53
78.2%
40
21.8%
Q2 - 4:59PacersBennedict Mathurin misses three point jump shot53
78.9%
40
21.1%
Q2 - 5:20HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (out of bounds step)53
80.0%
40
20.0%
Q2 - 5:37PacersPascal Siakam makes two point putback layup53
77.7%
40
22.3%
Q2 - 5:39PacersPascal Siakam offensive rebound51
76.3%
40
23.7%
Q2 - 5:41PacersPascal Siakam misses two point driving layup51
74.6%
40
25.4%
Q2 - 5:52PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound51
76.3%
40
23.7%
Q2 - 5:52HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot51
75.5%
40
24.5%
Q2 - 5:56HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound51
73.8%
40
26.2%
Q2 - 5:57PacersPascal Siakam misses two point running layup51
74.6%
40
25.4%
Q2 - 6:10HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)51
75.7%
40
24.3%
Q2 - 6:18HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound51
77.2%
38
22.8%
Q2 - 6:20PacersBennedict Mathurin misses three point stepback jump shot51
77.9%
38
22.1%
Q2 - 6:30PacersJarace Walker defensive rebound51
79.4%
38
20.6%
Q2 - 6:34HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot51
78.8%
38
21.2%
Q2 - 6:45PacersPascal Siakam makes two point layup (Andrew Nembhard assists)51
77.3%
38
22.7%
Q2 - 6:53PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound49
75.8%
38
24.2%
Q2 - 6:56HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot49
75.1%
38
24.9%
Q2 - 7:12PacersPacers turnover (shot clock violation)49
72.9%
38
27.1%
Q2 - 7:12PacersPacers offensive rebound49
75.0%
38
25.0%
Q2 - 7:14PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot49
73.6%
38
26.4%
Q2 - 7:43HeatTyler Herro makes three point running jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)49
75.1%
38
24.9%
Q2 - 7:48PacersT.J. McConnell turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jovic steals)49
78.6%
35
21.4%
Q2 - 7:52HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Ben Sheppard steals)49
80.4%
35
19.6%
Q2 - 8:04PacersMyles Turner makes two point jump shot (Ben Sheppard assists)49
78.0%
35
22.0%
Q2 - 8:14HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 247
76.5%
35
23.5%
Q2 - 8:14HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 247
76.9%
34
23.1%
Q2 - 8:14PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)47
75.5%
34
24.5%
Q2 - 8:28PacersJarace Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 247
76.3%
34
23.7%
Q2 - 8:28PacersJarace Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 246
75.8%
34
24.2%
Q2 - 8:28HeatTerry Rozier shooting foul (Jarace Walker draws the foul)45
75.3%
34
24.7%
Q2 - 8:38PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound45
74.7%
34
25.3%
Q2 - 8:44HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving dunk45
74.0%
34
26.0%
Q2 - 8:50PacersT.J. McConnell personal foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)45
72.4%
34
27.6%
Q2 - 8:56HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound45
72.4%
34
27.6%
Q2 - 8:59PacersBen Sheppard misses three point running pullup jump shot45
73.1%
34
26.9%
Q2 - 9:04HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Jarace Walker steals)45
74.1%
34
25.9%
Q2 - 9:15HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound45
72.1%
34
27.9%
Q2 - 9:17PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point pullup jump shot45
72.7%
34
27.3%
Q2 - 9:37HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)45
74.1%
34
25.9%
Q2 - 9:58PacersJarace Walker makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)45
77.7%
31
22.3%
Q2 - 10:16HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip dunk42
73.8%
31
26.2%
Q2 - 10:16HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound42
75.6%
29
24.4%
Q2 - 10:19HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot42
76.9%
29
23.1%
Q2 - 10:42PacersMyles Turner makes two point jump shot (Jarace Walker assists)42
75.6%
29
24.4%
Q2 - 10:59HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)40
73.8%
29
26.2%
Q2 - 11:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound40
74.8%
27
25.2%
Q2 - 11:10PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point pullup jump shot40
75.3%
27
24.7%
Q2 - 11:20HeatNikola Jovic makes two point driving layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)40
76.6%
27
23.4%
Q2 - 11:45PacersObi Toppin makes two point alley-oop dunk (T.J. McConnell assists)40
78.2%
25
21.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.38
76.7%
25
23.3%
Q1 - 0:03.1PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving floating jump shot38
74.3%
25
25.7%
Q1 - 0:23.0HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot36
72.5%
25
27.5%
Q1 - 0:34.0HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound36
74.3%
23
25.7%
Q1 - 0:37.5PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point pullup jump shot36
74.9%
23
25.1%
Q1 - 0:47.8HeatTerry Rozier makes two point running reverse layup36
76.1%
23
23.9%
Q1 - 0:51.8HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound36
77.7%
21
22.3%
Q1 - 0:54.9PacersObi Toppin misses three point jump shot36
78.2%
21
21.8%
Q1 - 1:10HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 236
78.9%
21
21.1%
Q1 - 1:10HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 236
79.2%
20
20.8%
Q1 - 1:10PacersT.J. McConnell shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)36
79.4%
19
20.6%
Q1 - 1:24PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point jump shot36
80.5%
19
19.5%
Q1 - 1:25PacersTyrese Haliburton offensive rebound33
77.4%
19
22.6%
Q1 - 1:27PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point stepback jump shot33
76.3%
19
23.7%
Q1 - 1:41PacersObi Toppin defensive rebound33
77.4%
19
22.6%
Q1 - 1:45HeatNikola Jovic misses two point hook shot33
76.9%
19
23.1%
Q1 - 2:03PacersBen Sheppard makes three point running jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)33
74.8%
19
25.2%
Q1 - 2:08PacersObi Toppin defensive rebound30
71.7%
19
28.3%
Q1 - 2:10HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving floating bank jump shot30
71.0%
19
29.0%
Q1 - 2:31PacersTyrese Haliburton makes two point pullup jump shot (Thomas Bryant assists)30
69.6%
19
30.4%
Q1 - 2:44HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 228
68.0%
19
32.0%
Q1 - 2:44HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 228
68.2%
18
31.8%
Q1 - 2:44PacersThomas Bryant shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)28
68.6%
17
31.4%
Q1 - 3:00PacersTyrese Haliburton makes two point floating jump shot28
69.6%
17
30.4%
Q1 - 3:16PacersTyrese Haliburton defensive rebound26
67.6%
17
32.4%
Q1 - 3:19HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot26
66.9%
17
33.1%
Q1 - 3:43PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point pullup jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)26
65.3%
17
34.7%
Q1 - 3:58HeatKel'el Ware makes two point running dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)24
63.7%
17
36.3%
Q1 - 4:03PacersBennedict Mathurin turnover (bad pass) (Kel'el Ware steals)24
63.2%
15
36.8%
Q1 - 4:08PacersObi Toppin defensive rebound24
65.2%
15
34.8%
Q1 - 4:11HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot24
64.6%
15
35.4%
Q1 - 4:24PacersObi Toppin makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)24
63.1%
15
36.9%
Q1 - 4:38HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving floating jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)21
59.8%
15
40.2%
Q1 - 4:56PacersThomas Bryant makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)21
61.2%
13
38.8%
Q1 - 5:10HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 218
57.3%
13
42.7%
Q1 - 5:10HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 218
57.6%
12
42.4%
Q1 - 5:10PacersBennedict Mathurin shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)18
57.9%
11
42.1%
Q1 - 5:21PacersAndrew Nembhard personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)18
58.8%
11
41.2%
Q1 - 5:28PacersBennedict Mathurin turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)18
58.7%
11
41.3%
Q1 - 5:44HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup18
60.4%
11
39.6%
Q1 - 5:44HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound18
61.9%
9
38.1%
Q1 - 5:49HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving layup18
63.1%
9
36.9%
Q1 - 5:56HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound18
61.8%
9
38.2%
Q1 - 5:58PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot18
62.3%
9
37.7%
Q1 - 6:10HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point driving layup (Duncan Robinson assists)18
62.9%
9
37.1%
Q1 - 6:31HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound18
64.0%
7
36.0%
Q1 - 6:33PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point running pullup jump shot18
64.4%
7
35.6%
Q1 - 6:38HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Tyrese Haliburton steals)18
65.4%
7
34.6%
Q1 - 6:45PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 1 of 118
63.7%
7
36.3%
Q1 - 6:45HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Bennedict Mathurin draws the foul)17
63.6%
7
36.4%
Q1 - 7:06HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot15
60.4%
7
39.6%
Q1 - 7:13HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound15
61.5%
5
38.5%
Q1 - 7:16PacersBennedict Mathurin misses three point pullup jump shot15
61.9%
5
38.1%
Q1 - 7:21PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound15
62.9%
5
37.1%
Q1 - 7:26HeatTyrese Haliburton blocks Tyler Herro's three point pullup jump shot15
62.3%
5
37.7%
Q1 - 7:49PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)15
60.7%
5
39.3%
Q1 - 8:04HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)12
57.8%
5
42.2%
Q1 - 8:24PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point running layup (Pascal Siakam assists)12
59.6%
2
40.4%
Q1 - 8:27HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Myles Turner steals)10
58.5%
2
41.5%
Q1 - 8:36HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound10
56.9%
2
43.1%
Q1 - 8:39PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot10
57.2%
2
42.8%
Q1 - 8:45PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound10
58.0%
2
42.0%
Q1 - 8:48HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot10
57.5%
2
42.5%
Q1 - 9:05PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)10
55.8%
2
44.2%
Q1 - 9:12PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound7
53.6%
2
46.4%
Q1 - 9:15HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup7
53.2%
2
46.8%
Q1 - 9:33PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point stepback jump shot7
52.1%
2
47.9%
Q1 - 9:51PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound4
50.0%
2
50.0%
Q1 - 9:55HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot4
49.6%
2
50.4%
Q1 - 10:09PacersPascal Siakam makes two point running layup4
48.7%
2
51.3%
Q1 - 10:13PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound2
48.0%
2
52.0%
Q1 - 10:15HeatTyler Herro misses two point fadeaway jump shot2
47.7%
2
52.3%
Q1 - 10:37PacersPascal Siakam makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)2
47.2%
2
52.8%
Q1 - 10:43PacersTyrese Haliburton defensive rebound0
46.7%
2
53.3%
Q1 - 10:47HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point stepback jump shot0
46.6%
2
53.4%
Q1 - 11:08HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound0
46.6%
2
53.4%
Q1 - 11:11PacersAndrew Nembhard misses three point jump shot0
46.8%
2
53.2%
Q1 - 11:20HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Tyrese Haliburton draws the foul)0
47.2%
2
52.8%
Q1 - 11:39HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving finger roll layup (Duncan Robinson assists)0
47.4%
2
52.6%
Q1 - 12:00Myles Turner vs. Bam Adebayo (Jimmy Butler gains possession)0
47.7%
0
52.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.22 61.0%
MIA
1.29 64.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
14
18
78%
MIA
17
18
94%
Midrange
IND
20
38
53%
MIA
15
31
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
17
25.5
40
43%
64%
MIA
11
16.5
26
42%
63%
Free Throws
IND
9
16
56%
MIA
18
21
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Haliburton3375%16.5 / 22
M. Turner2166%10.5 / 16
P. Siakam1860%9.0 / 15
B. Mathurin1250%6.0 / 12
O. Toppin1267%6.0 / 9
J. Walker1275%6.0 / 8
T. McConnell857%4.0 / 7
A. Nembhard643%3.0 / 7
B. Sheppard350%1.5 / 3
T. Bryant350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Ware2596%12.5 / 13
B. Adebayo2067%10.0 / 15
T. Herro1771%8.5 / 12
T. Rozier1662%8.0 / 13
J. Butler964%4.5 / 7
N. Jović850%4.0 / 8
D. Robinson660%3.0 / 5
H. Highsmith675%3.0 / 4
K. Johnson5125%2.5 / 2
A. Burks3150%1.5 / 1
J. Jaquez0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
90
+15
-6
105
MIA
83
+6
-14
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.22 61.0%
MIA
1.29 64.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
115.3
112.4
IND 133.3 +14.8
MIA 118.6
Pace
100.9
97.2
IND 97.1 +1.1
MIA 95.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.0
14.9
IND 14.8 +0.2
MIA 15.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.2%
54.4%
IND 62.0%
MIA 64.7% +2.7%
TO %
12.0%
12.8%
IND 7.2% +8.8%
MIA 16.0%
ORB %
21.3%
22.3%
IND 27.7% +11.6%
MIA 16.1%
FTrt
24.1
23.2
IND 16.7
MIA 28.0 +11.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
67.1%
65.3%
IND 68.6%
MIA 79.1% +10.5%
STL %
8.3%
8.3%
IND 9.4% +3.2%
MIA 6.2%
BLK %
10.2%
7.6%
IND 8.2%
MIA 10.7% +2.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.6%
56.0%
IND 61.0%
MIA 64.6% +3.6%
Rim FG%
66.7%
62.5%
IND 77.8%
MIA 94.4% +16.6%
Mid FG%
45.8%
44.4%
IND 52.6% +4.2%
MIA 48.4%
3P %
36.8%
36.7%
IND 42.5% +0.2%
MIA 42.3%
FT %
78.9%
79.1%
IND 56.3%
MIA 85.7% +29.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.4%
29.6%
IND 18.8%
MIA 24.0% +5.2%
Mid Att. %
28.6%
27.5%
IND 39.6% +1.8%
MIA 41.3%
3P Att. %
40.0%
42.9%
IND 41.7% +7.0%
MIA 34.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions9697
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points128115
Rebounds3939
Assists3534
Steals96
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)6 (2)14 (2)
Fouls1613
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (2)5 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (0)34 (1)
Field Goals51-9643-75
At-the-Rim FG14-1817-18
Midrange FG20-3815-31
2-Point FG34-5632-49
3-Point FG17-4011-26
Free Throws9-1618-21
Fast Break Pts1912
2nd Chance Pts119
Points in Paint5856
Pts off Turnovers239
Bench Points3857
Biggest Lead282

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 25
34.7
33
75%
5
15
2
1
0
1
1
4
1-3
33%
7-8
88%
6-13
46%
#33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 29
34.6
21
66%
5
2
1
2
0
3
1
4
3-4
75%
6-10
60%
2-5
40%
#43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 31
31.9
18
60%
11
4
0
0
0
1
4
7
1-4
25%
7-11
64%
1-2
50%
#00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 23
29.6
12
50%
2
1
0
0
3
1
1
1
1-1
100%
4-7
57%
1-5
20%
#2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 25
29.1
6
43%
6
6
1
0
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-2
0%
#1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 27
20.3
12
67%
6
0
0
0
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
60%
2-4
50%
#26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23
19.9
3
50%
2
1
3
1
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
#9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 33
18.9
8
57%
1
4
1
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
#5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21
13.3
12
75%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
0-3
0%
3-3
100%
#3 · C · 6'10" 248 · 27
7.1
3
50%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
#12 · SG · 6'9" 200 · 20
0.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 38
DNP – Coach's Decision
#29 · PG · 6'5" 173 · 26
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#22 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
#23 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25
DND - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Sprain
#13 · C · 6'11" 240 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Achilles Tendon; Tear
#8 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
128
61%
39
35
9
4
6
16
13
26
9-16
56%
34-56
61%
17-40
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.