Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, January 2, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	7	76ers	42%	111	105	106.1	99	97.0
	13	Warriors	58%	114	139	140.4	99	101.1

Scoring Opportunities

PHI

+11

-11

GSW

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

1.06 53.0%

GSW

1.45 72.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

7 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paul George #8 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35	32.2	19	73%	2	0	0	0	2	2	0	2	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	3-6	50%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24	32.0	14	47%	3	6	4	2	3	2	0	3	4-4	100%	2-7	29%	2-6	33%
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 31	31.0	28	56%	14	2	1	2	2	2	3	11	11-14	79%	7-16	44%	1-3	33%
Caleb Martin #16 · PF · 6'5" 205 · 29	21.7	2	20%	0	2	2	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Kyle Lowry #7 · SG · 6'0" 196 · 39	9.6	2	33%	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%

Guerschon Yabusele #28 · PF · 6'7" 265 · 29	31.4	13	81%	6	2	0	0	0	2	2	4	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Ricky Council IV #14 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	26.8	12	60%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	3-4	75%	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Jeff Dowtin Jr. #11 · PG · 6'3" 177 · 28	15.1	6	43%	1	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Eric Gordon #23 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 36	14.3	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Adem Bona #30 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 22	9.2	0	0%	3	0	1	2	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Justin Edwards #19 · SG · 6'7" 217 · 21	9.2	4	40%	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Reggie Jackson #00 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 35	7.5	2	33%	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Pete Nance #22 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
KJ Martin #1 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Stress Reaction
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Sprain
Andre Drummond #5 · C · 6'11" 279 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Sprain
Jared McCain #20 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	53%	33	17	11	6	11	16	6	27	28-34	82%	25-50	50%	9-31	29%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

7 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paul George #8 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35	32.2	19	73%	2	0	0	0	2	2	0	2	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	3-6	50%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24	32.0	14	47%	3	6	4	2	3	2	0	3	4-4	100%	2-7	29%	2-6	33%
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 31	31.0	28	56%	14	2	1	2	2	2	3	11	11-14	79%	7-16	44%	1-3	33%
Caleb Martin #16 · PF · 6'5" 205 · 29	21.7	2	20%	0	2	2	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Kyle Lowry #7 · SG · 6'0" 196 · 39	9.6	2	33%	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%

Guerschon Yabusele #28 · PF · 6'7" 265 · 29	31.4	13	81%	6	2	0	0	0	2	2	4	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Ricky Council IV #14 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	26.8	12	60%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	3-4	75%	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Jeff Dowtin Jr. #11 · PG · 6'3" 177 · 28	15.1	6	43%	1	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Eric Gordon #23 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 36	14.3	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Adem Bona #30 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 22	9.2	0	0%	3	0	1	2	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Justin Edwards #19 · SG · 6'7" 217 · 21	9.2	4	40%	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Reggie Jackson #00 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 35	7.5	2	33%	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Pete Nance #22 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
KJ Martin #1 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Stress Reaction
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Sprain
Andre Drummond #5 · C · 6'11" 279 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Sprain
Jared McCain #20 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	53%	33	17	11	6	11	16	6	27	28-34	82%	25-50	50%	9-31	29%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

13 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 35	30.6	15	68%	6	7	0	3	3	3	0	6	2-2	100%	5-5	100%	1-5	20%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 37	29.8	30	100%	6	10	1	0	2	1	1	5	0-0	-	3-7	43%	8-8	100%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 30	26.1	15	63%	7	4	0	1	1	2	1	6	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	1-4	25%
Dennis Schröder #71 · SG · 6'1" 175 · 31	25.3	15	75%	4	6	2	0	0	4	2	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	3-4	75%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 25	21.0	3	25%	5	3	0	1	1	3	1	4	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	0-0	-

Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 22	25.4	20	83%	5	5	1	0	1	2	0	5	2-3	67%	6-8	75%	2-3	67%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 32	20.7	3	30%	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 27	15.7	10	71%	2	1	0	1	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 23	15.4	12	120%	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-5	80%
Kevon Looney #5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 29	7.5	6	100%	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	2	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 31	7.5	8	100%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-3	67%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23	7.5	2	50%	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 28	7.5	0	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Gary Payton II #0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Abdominal; Tightness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	139	72%	43	41	5	8	11	22	5	38	11-15	73%	31-48	65%	22-39	56%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	GSW

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

1.06 53.0%

GSW

1.45 72.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

PHI

61%

GSW

85%

Midrange

PHI

44%

GSW

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

PHI

13.5

29%

44%

GSW

33.0

56%

85%

Free Throws

PHI

82%

GSW

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Embiid	28	56%	14.0 / 25
P. George	19	73%	9.5 / 13
T. Maxey	14	47%	7.0 / 15
G. Yabusele	13	81%	6.5 / 8
R. Council	12	60%	6.0 / 10
J. Dowtin	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Edwards	4	40%	2.0 / 5
E. Gordon	3	75%	1.5 / 2
C. Martin	2	20%	1.0 / 5
K. Lowry	2	33%	1.0 / 3
R. Jackson	2	33%	1.0 / 3
A. Bona	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	30	100%	15.0 / 15
J. Kuminga	20	83%	10.0 / 12
D. Green	15	68%	7.5 / 11
A. Wiggins	15	63%	7.5 / 12
D. Schröder	15	75%	7.5 / 10
M. Moody	12	120%	6.0 / 5
L. Waters	10	71%	5.0 / 7
K. Anderson	8	100%	4.0 / 4
K. Looney	6	100%	3.0 / 3
T. Jackson-Davis	3	25%	1.5 / 6
B. Hield	3	30%	1.5 / 5
G. Santos	2	50%	1.0 / 2
P. Spencer	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 110.9 16 114.2	PHI 106.1 GSW 140.4 +34.3
Pace	22 98.2 17 99.4	PHI 97.0 GSW 101.1 +4.1
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.8 18 14.3	PHI 14.8 GSW 14.2 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	22 52.7% 20 53.6%	PHI 47.5% GSW 73.6% +26.1%
TO %	9 13.0% 13 13.2%	PHI 10.3% −1.1% GSW 11.4%
ORB %	22 23.4% 5 27.3%	PHI 13.6% GSW 15.6% +2.0%
FTrt	6 25.7 14 24.4	PHI 42.0 +24.8 GSW 17.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	29 58.4% 1 71.4%	PHI 50.0% GSW 77.4% +27.4%
STL %	5 9.3% 3 9.4%	PHI 11.1% +6.0% GSW 5.1%
BLK %	19 9.1% 13 9.5%	PHI 12.5% GSW 16.0% +3.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 54.8% 21 55.3%	PHI 53.0% GSW 72.4% +19.4%
Rim FG%	23 61.8% 21 62.7%	PHI 61.1% GSW 85.0% +23.9%
Mid FG%	19 42.0% 25 39.9%	PHI 43.8% GSW 50.0% +6.2%
3P %	27 34.1% 16 36.4%	PHI 29.0% GSW 56.4% +27.4%
FT %	15 78.0% 25 76.3%	PHI 82.4% +9.1% GSW 73.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 34.0% 23 30.1%	PHI 22.2% GSW 23.0% +0.8%
Mid Att. %	8 23.5% 7 23.1%	PHI 39.5% GSW 32.2% −7.3%
3P Att. %	14 42.5% 2 46.9%	PHI 38.3% GSW 44.8% +6.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	PHI	GSW
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.5
Points	105	139
Rebounds	33	43
Assists	17	41
Steals	11	5
Blocks	6	8
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	11 (1)
Fouls	16	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (5)	5 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (0)	38 (1)
Field Goals	34-81	53-87
At-the-Rim FG	11-18	17-20
Midrange FG	14-32	14-28
2-Point FG	25-50	31-48
3-Point FG	9-31	22-39
Free Throws	28-34	11-15
Fast Break Pts	9	20
2nd Chance Pts	13	8
Points in Paint	36	54
Pts off Turnovers	6	10
Bench Points	40	61
Biggest Lead	0	36

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg