Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, January 2, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Blazers	31%	110	106	109.3	97	102.1
	20	Lakers	69%	117	114	117.5	97	92.4

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+13

-18

LAL

+17

-12

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.15 57.6%

LAL

1.12 55.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

28 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	38.8	18	69%	4	3	0	1	0	2	2	2	0-0	-	6-9	67%	2-4	50%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	36.9	19	48%	5	1	1	0	3	2	0	5	6-8	75%	5-11	45%	1-5	20%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 26	36.6	23	64%	3	5	2	0	4	2	0	3	3-3	100%	4-8	50%	4-9	44%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 24	36.0	19	63%	10	4	1	0	2	1	0	10	2-2	100%	7-11	64%	1-3	33%
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 26	21.0	6	75%	6	1	0	0	3	1	1	5	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%

Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 21	32.2	12	67%	5	8	1	1	3	5	1	4	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 21	17.3	4	67%	3	1	0	1	1	0	2	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 24	16.4	3	38%	5	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Dalano Banton #5 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 25	4.8	2	25%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taze Moore #76 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Justin Minaya #10 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	58%	42	24	6	4	18	15	8	34	17-21	81%	31-54	57%	9-26	35%

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28 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	38.8	18	69%	4	3	0	1	0	2	2	2	0-0	-	6-9	67%	2-4	50%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	36.9	19	48%	5	1	1	0	3	2	0	5	6-8	75%	5-11	45%	1-5	20%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 26	36.6	23	64%	3	5	2	0	4	2	0	3	3-3	100%	4-8	50%	4-9	44%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 24	36.0	19	63%	10	4	1	0	2	1	0	10	2-2	100%	7-11	64%	1-3	33%
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 26	21.0	6	75%	6	1	0	0	3	1	1	5	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%

Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 21	32.2	12	67%	5	8	1	1	3	5	1	4	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 21	17.3	4	67%	3	1	0	1	1	0	2	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 24	16.4	3	38%	5	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Dalano Banton #5 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 25	4.8	2	25%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taze Moore #76 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Justin Minaya #10 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	58%	42	24	6	4	18	15	8	34	17-21	81%	31-54	57%	9-26	35%

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20 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Austin Reaves #15 · PG · 6'5" 197 · 27	36.4	15	47%	8	11	2	0	3	3	2	6	3-3	100%	3-6	50%	2-9	22%
LeBron James #23 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 40	36.2	38	73%	3	8	0	0	4	1	1	2	1-2	50%	8-15	53%	7-10	70%
Max Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	31.6	28	78%	3	2	2	1	0	0	0	3	5-5	100%	4-7	57%	5-9	56%
Rui Hachimura #28 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 27	23.4	6	43%	4	3	0	0	2	1	1	3	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-4	0%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 25	17.9	4	50%	6	0	1	1	1	3	2	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Dorian Finney-Smith #17 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 32	24.0	3	25%	4	2	1	0	1	3	2	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Cam Reddish #5 · SF · 6'8" 208 · 25	18.8	2	33%	3	1	1	1	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Christian Koloko #10 · C · 6'11" 225 · 25	18.5	8	50%	8	3	1	0	0	2	6	2	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 24	16.9	6	50%	1	0	0	0	1	4	1	0	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Shake Milton #20 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 28	16.3	4	40%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Oblique; Strain
Quincy Olivari #41 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Armel Traore #94 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Jalen Hood-Schifino #0 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Christian Wood #35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Recovery
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	56%	43	30	8	3	12	17	15	28	13-14	93%	28-51	55%	15-43	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	POR	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.15 57.6%

LAL

1.12 55.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

68%

LAL

73%

Midrange

POR

43%

LAL

22%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

13.5

35%

52%

LAL

22.5

35%

52%

Free Throws

POR

81%

LAL

93%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Simons	23	64%	11.5 / 18
S. Sharpe	19	48%	9.5 / 20
D. Avdija	19	63%	9.5 / 15
T. Camara	18	69%	9.0 / 13
S. Henderson	12	67%	6.0 / 9
D. Ayton	6	75%	3.0 / 4
D. Clingan	4	67%	2.0 / 3
K. Murray	3	38%	1.5 / 4
D. Banton	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	38	73%	19.0 / 26
M. Christie	28	78%	14.0 / 18
A. Reaves	15	47%	7.5 / 16
C. Koloko	8	50%	4.0 / 8
R. Hachimura	6	43%	3.0 / 7
D. Knecht	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Hayes	4	50%	2.0 / 4
S. Milton	4	40%	2.0 / 5
D. Finney-Smith	3	25%	1.5 / 6
C. Reddish	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 110.9 11 114.9	POR 109.3 LAL 117.5 +8.2
Pace	16 99.5 20 98.4	POR 102.1 +9.7 LAL 92.4
Avg. Poss. Time	19 14.3 7 15.0	POR 14.1 −1.5 LAL 15.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 52.1% 8 55.7%	POR 55.6% +1.9% LAL 53.7%
TO %	29 15.1% 14 13.3%	POR 16.8% LAL 11.5% −5.3%
ORB %	2 29.2% 24 23.3%	POR 22.2% LAL 30.6% +8.4%
FTrt	13 24.6 1 27.1	POR 26.3 +11.4 LAL 14.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 58.7% 14 63.5%	POR 60.0% LAL 69.8% +9.8%
STL %	13 8.2% 21 7.8%	POR 6.2% LAL 8.2% +2.0%
BLK %	9 10.0% 24 8.7%	POR 7.8% +2.2% LAL 5.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 54.1% 8 57.6%	POR 57.6% +1.7% LAL 55.9%
Rim FG%	27 60.7% 1 68.0%	POR 67.7% LAL 72.7% +5.0%
Mid FG%	28 39.1% 18 42.1%	POR 43.5% +21.3% LAL 22.2%
3P %	26 34.2% 14 36.6%	POR 34.6% LAL 34.9% +0.3%
FT %	26 76.2% 13 78.5%	POR 81.0% LAL 92.9% +11.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 36.6% 18 31.4%	POR 38.8% +3.6% LAL 35.1%
Mid Att. %	3 21.6% 12 26.1%	POR 28.7% LAL 19.1% −9.6%
3P Att. %	17 41.8% 13 42.5%	POR 32.5% LAL 45.7% +13.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	LAL
Possessions	97	97
Possession Minutes	22.8	25.2
Points	106	114
Rebounds	42	43
Assists	24	30
Steals	6	8
Blocks	4	3
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	12 (1)
Fouls	15	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (5)	15 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (1)	28 (0)
Field Goals	40-80	43-94
At-the-Rim FG	21-31	24-33
Midrange FG	10-23	4-18
2-Point FG	31-54	28-51
3-Point FG	9-26	15-43
Free Throws	17-21	13-14
Fast Break Pts	12	26
2nd Chance Pts	11	11
Points in Paint	54	54
Pts off Turnovers	14	24
Bench Points	21	23
Biggest Lead	8	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg