Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 3, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Wizards	38%	114	120	118.8	101	113.5
	24	Pelicans	62%	118	132	128.2	103	92.8

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+16

-21

NOP

+14

-7

110

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.24 61.9%

NOP

1.20 60.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 19	36.2	8	50%	3	6	0	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-3	0%
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 26	30.7	26	62%	4	7	1	0	3	4	1	3	7-8	88%	5-8	63%	3-10	30%
Justin Champagnie #9 · PF · 6'6" 206 · 24	29.9	12	67%	7	1	3	0	3	2	2	5	0-2	0%	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 29	28.5	14	78%	7	1	1	0	2	0	1	6	0-2	0%	7-7	100%	0-1	0%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	27.3	19	63%	7	5	0	0	2	4	3	4	5-5	100%	7-11	64%	0-2	0%

Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	24.8	16	57%	3	3	0	0	1	0	1	2	8-8	100%	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	21.1	8	80%	2	1	0	0	1	4	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	19.6	9	45%	10	2	0	0	4	3	3	7	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	17.5	5	83%	5	1	1	0	3	5	2	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	1.1	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	1.1	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL surgery
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Non-Covid illness
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	62%	48	28	6	0	21	23	14	34	21-27	78%	36-56	64%	9-28	32%

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30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 19	36.2	8	50%	3	6	0	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-3	0%
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 26	30.7	26	62%	4	7	1	0	3	4	1	3	7-8	88%	5-8	63%	3-10	30%
Justin Champagnie #9 · PF · 6'6" 206 · 24	29.9	12	67%	7	1	3	0	3	2	2	5	0-2	0%	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 29	28.5	14	78%	7	1	1	0	2	0	1	6	0-2	0%	7-7	100%	0-1	0%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	27.3	19	63%	7	5	0	0	2	4	3	4	5-5	100%	7-11	64%	0-2	0%

Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	24.8	16	57%	3	3	0	0	1	0	1	2	8-8	100%	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	21.1	8	80%	2	1	0	0	1	4	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	19.6	9	45%	10	2	0	0	4	3	3	7	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	17.5	5	83%	5	1	1	0	3	5	2	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	1.1	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	1.1	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL surgery
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Non-Covid illness
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	62%	48	28	6	0	21	23	14	34	21-27	78%	36-56	64%	9-28	32%

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24 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 25	34.5	17	40%	5	5	1	2	1	2	2	3	5-5	100%	3-11	27%	2-8	25%
Herbert Jones #2 · PF · 6'7" 206 · 26	33.3	10	83%	1	6	2	0	1	5	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 21	32.5	12	67%	11	3	0	1	1	2	6	5	2-4	50%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 33	30.7	50	86%	3	2	0	0	1	2	1	2	4-4	100%	8-11	73%	10-16	63%
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 28	28.3	11	42%	4	12	3	1	1	2	1	3	3-3	100%	4-10	40%	0-2	0%

Brandon Boston #11 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 23	26.2	13	81%	4	3	0	1	1	4	1	3	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	1-2	50%
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 27	19.7	5	42%	2	3	3	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	16.5	4	29%	2	2	0	1	0	1	0	2	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Daniel Theis #10 · C · 6'9" 243 · 33	15.4	7	58%	4	0	0	0	1	2	1	3	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	2.9	3	150%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Javonte Green #4 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Jemison III #55 · C · 6'10" 270 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Disc Protrusion
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Brandon Ingram #14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	60%	37	36	10	6	7	22	13	24	18-22	82%	30-55	55%	18-41	44%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	NOP
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	NOP

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.24 61.9%

NOP

1.20 60.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

69%

NOP

68%

Midrange

WAS

50%

NOP

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

13.5

32%

48%

NOP

27.0

44%

66%

Free Throws

WAS

78%

NOP

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Poole	26	62%	13.0 / 21
A. Sarr	19	63%	9.5 / 15
M. Brogdon	16	57%	8.0 / 14
K. Kuzma	14	78%	7.0 / 9
J. Champagnie	12	67%	6.0 / 9
J. Valančiūnas	9	45%	4.5 / 10
B. Carrington	8	50%	4.0 / 8
C. Kispert	8	80%	4.0 / 5
K. George	5	83%	2.5 / 3
P. Baldwin	3	150%	1.5 / 1
J. Butler	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. McCollum	50	86%	25.0 / 29
T. Murphy	17	40%	8.5 / 21
B. Boston Jr.	13	81%	6.5 / 8
Y. Missi	12	67%	6.0 / 9
D. Murray	11	42%	5.5 / 13
H. Jones	10	83%	5.0 / 6
D. Theis	7	58%	3.5 / 6
J. Alvarado	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Hawkins	4	29%	2.0 / 7
J. Robinson-Earl	3	150%	1.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	30 105.8 25 109.6	WAS 118.8 NOP 128.2 +9.3
Pace	4 101.8 15 99.8	WAS 113.5 +20.8 NOP 92.8
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 17 14.4	WAS 12.7 −2.8 NOP 15.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 51.2% 26 51.9%	WAS 58.9% NOP 59.4% +0.5%
TO %	27 14.6% 20 13.9%	WAS 18.0% NOP 7.0% −11.0%
ORB %	25 22.7% 9 26.3%	WAS 36.8% +9.1% NOP 27.7%
FTrt	26 22.9 15 24.4	WAS 32.1 +9.2 NOP 22.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 63.7% 13 63.6%	WAS 62.2% NOP 75.0% +12.8%
STL %	25 7.4% 8 8.5%	WAS 5.9% NOP 9.7% +3.8%
BLK %	12 9.6% 7 10.4%	WAS 0.0% NOP 10.7% +10.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 53.2% 26 53.8%	WAS 61.9% +1.9% NOP 60.0%
Rim FG%	17 63.7% 26 61.0%	WAS 69.0% +1.4% NOP 67.6%
Mid FG%	30 38.0% 23 40.7%	WAS 50.0% +16.7% NOP 33.3%
3P %	29 33.5% 24 34.7%	WAS 32.1% NOP 43.9% +11.8%
FT %	16 77.8% 27 75.4%	WAS 77.8% NOP 81.8% +4.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 30.5% 9 33.6%	WAS 50.0% +14.6% NOP 35.4%
Mid Att. %	11 25.9% 22 27.9%	WAS 16.7% −5.2% NOP 21.9%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 26 38.6%	WAS 33.3% NOP 42.7% +9.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	NOP
Possessions	101	103
Possession Minutes	21.4	26.6
Points	120	132
Rebounds	48	37
Assists	28	36
Steals	6	10
Blocks	0	6
Turnovers (Team)	21 (0)	7 (1)
Fouls	23	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (2)	13 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (1)	24 (2)
Field Goals	45-84	48-96
At-the-Rim FG	29-42	23-34
Midrange FG	7-14	7-21
2-Point FG	36-56	30-55
3-Point FG	9-28	18-41
Free Throws	21-27	18-22
Fast Break Pts	18	19
2nd Chance Pts	19	21
Points in Paint	72	54
Pts off Turnovers	8	32
Bench Points	41	32
Biggest Lead	8	17

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg