Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 3, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Spurs	38%	116	113	113.0	100	96.5
	10	Nuggets	62%	120	110	110.0	100	103.8

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+19

-13

106

DEN

+14

-8

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.07 53.3%

DEN

1.04 51.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

17 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 24	36.2	18	47%	6	6	2	0	0	0	1	5	3-6	50%	6-12	50%	1-4	25%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	33.4	35	76%	18	4	1	2	7	5	3	15	3-4	75%	10-16	63%	4-6	67%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	31.9	8	40%	4	3	0	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-3	0%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	31.2	7	32%	8	11	0	0	1	1	0	8	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-6	17%
Stephon Castle #5 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20	24.5	8	44%	3	4	0	0	1	2	1	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%

Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	26.4	16	57%	4	1	0	0	1	0	2	2	1-1	100%	3-8	38%	3-6	50%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	25.0	15	68%	4	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	3-6	50%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25	16.8	2	50%	4	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 27	14.6	4	40%	5	0	1	1	0	5	3	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Low Back; Tightness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	53%	56	31	4	3	13	15	14	42	8-13	62%	33-63	52%	13-36	36%

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17 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 24	36.2	18	47%	6	6	2	0	0	0	1	5	3-6	50%	6-12	50%	1-4	25%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	33.4	35	76%	18	4	1	2	7	5	3	15	3-4	75%	10-16	63%	4-6	67%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	31.9	8	40%	4	3	0	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-3	0%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	31.2	7	32%	8	11	0	0	1	1	0	8	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-6	17%
Stephon Castle #5 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20	24.5	8	44%	3	4	0	0	1	2	1	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%

Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	26.4	16	57%	4	1	0	0	1	0	2	2	1-1	100%	3-8	38%	3-6	50%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	25.0	15	68%	4	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	3-6	50%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25	16.8	2	50%	4	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 27	14.6	4	40%	5	0	1	1	0	5	3	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Low Back; Tightness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	53%	56	31	4	3	13	15	14	42	8-13	62%	33-63	52%	13-36	36%

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10 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Christian Braun #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	42.8	11	46%	8	5	0	2	0	2	1	7	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	2-6	33%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 27	41.8	22	79%	4	1	0	2	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	5-6	83%	4-8	50%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	36.6	41	51%	18	9	2	0	2	3	4	14	8-9	89%	12-26	46%	3-10	30%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	36.5	14	41%	4	7	0	0	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	4-12	33%	2-5	40%
Russell Westbrook #4 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 36	31.2	9	56%	6	8	2	0	3	5	1	5	0-2	0%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%

Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	22.9	11	79%	1	1	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-6	50%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	18.6	2	25%	2	2	2	2	0	0	1	1	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	5.3	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	4.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	52%	46	33	7	7	8	13	10	36	11-16	69%	27-58	47%	15-39	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.07 53.3%

DEN

1.04 51.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

60%

DEN

58%

Midrange

SAS

45%

DEN

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

19.5

36%

54%

DEN

22.5

38%

58%

Free Throws

SAS

62%

DEN

69%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Wembanyama	35	76%	17.5 / 23
D. Vassell	18	47%	9.0 / 19
K. Johnson	16	57%	8.0 / 14
J. Champagnie	15	68%	7.5 / 11
H. Barnes	8	40%	4.0 / 10
S. Castle	8	44%	4.0 / 9
C. Paul	7	32%	3.5 / 11
Z. Collins	4	40%	2.0 / 5
T. Jones	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	41	51%	20.5 / 40
M. Porter	22	79%	11.0 / 14
J. Murray	14	41%	7.0 / 17
C. Braun	11	46%	5.5 / 12
J. Strawther	11	79%	5.5 / 7
R. Westbrook	9	56%	4.5 / 8
P. Watson	2	25%	1.0 / 4
H. Tyson	0	-	0.0 / 1
D. Jordan	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 113.5 4 118.9	SAS 113.0 +3.0 DEN 110.0
Pace	13 100.1 8 100.6	SAS 96.5 DEN 103.8 +7.3
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.3 22 14.2	SAS 14.9 DEN 13.9 −1.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 54.4% 2 57.3%	SAS 53.0% +2.0% DEN 51.0%
TO %	11 13.2% 15 13.3%	SAS 11.0% DEN 7.1% −3.9%
ORB %	20 24.3% 7 26.7%	SAS 28.0% +8.8% DEN 19.2%
FTrt	22 23.4 5 25.9	SAS 13.1 DEN 16.5 +3.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 68.5% 4 68.3%	SAS 67.4% DEN 78.6% +11.2%
STL %	14 8.2% 19 7.9%	SAS 4.0% DEN 7.0% +3.0%
BLK %	5 10.5% 21 9.0%	SAS 5.2% DEN 11.1% +5.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.3% 2 58.8%	SAS 53.3% +1.4% DEN 51.9%
Rim FG%	14 63.9% 7 66.2%	SAS 60.0% +1.9% DEN 58.1%
Mid FG%	20 41.8% 8 45.5%	SAS 45.5% +12.2% DEN 33.3%
3P %	20 35.7% 5 37.6%	SAS 36.1% DEN 38.5% +2.4%
FT %	21 77.4% 23 77.0%	SAS 61.5% DEN 68.8% +7.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	8 33.7% 1 38.3%	SAS 30.3% DEN 32.0% +1.7%
Mid Att. %	4 22.2% 13 26.1%	SAS 33.3% DEN 27.8% −5.5%
3P Att. %	8 44.1% 30 35.6%	SAS 36.4% DEN 40.2% +3.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Game Totals	SAS	DEN
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	24.9	23.1
Points	113	110
Rebounds	56	46
Assists	31	33
Steals	4	7
Blocks	3	7
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	8 (0)
Fouls	15	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (5)	10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	42 (1)	36 (1)
Field Goals	46-99	42-97
At-the-Rim FG	18-30	18-31
Midrange FG	15-33	9-27
2-Point FG	33-63	27-58
3-Point FG	13-36	15-39
Free Throws	8-13	11-16
Fast Break Pts	15	14
2nd Chance Pts	15	10
Points in Paint	52	48
Pts off Turnovers	9	13
Bench Points	37	13
Biggest Lead	12	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg