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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 3, 2025
9:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Spurs38%116113
10Nuggets62%120110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 24.4
36.2
30.1
18
48%
6
6
2
1
0
0
1
5
3-6
50%
6-12
4-8
50%
52%
1-4
25%
Victor Wembanyama
F-C · 7'3" 235 · 21.0
33.4
30.7
35
74%
18
4
1
1
2
7
3
15
3-4
75%
10-16
6-10
63%
56%
4-6
67%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 32.6
31.9
24.6
8
40%
4
3
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
51%
0-3
0%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 39.7
31.2
26.1
7
32%
8
11
0
1
0
1
0
8
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
51%
1-6
17%
Stephon Castle
G · 6'6" 215 · 20.2
24.5
17.4
8
45%
3
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Keldon Johnson
F-G · 6'5" 220 · 25.2
26.4
20.0
16
55%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
1-1
100%
3-8
3-5
38%
51%
3-6
50%
Julian Champagnie
F · 6'7" 217 · 23.5
25.0
17.3
15
68%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
55%
3-6
50%
Tre Jones
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.0
16.8
16.3
2
50%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Zach Collins
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.1
14.6
10.4
4
40%
5
0
1
0
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
56%
0-1
0%
Charles Bassey
C-F · 6'10" 230 · 24.2
5.8
0
1-2
61%
Blake Wesley
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.8
5.7
0
1-1
55%
Sandro Mamukelashvili
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 25.6
5.0
0
0-1
56%
Malaki Branham
F · 6'4" 180 · 21.6
4.8
0
1-1
51%
Sidy Cissoko
G · 6'6" 200 · 20.8
3.3
0
0-0
50%
Jeremy Sochan
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.6
Harrison Ingram
F · 6'5" 230 · 22.1
David Duke Jr.
G · 6'4" 204 · 25.2
Riley Minix
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
42.8
31.2
11
47%
8
5
0
1
2
0
1
7
3-4
75%
1-4
4-7
25%
59%
2-6
33%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 218 · 26.5
41.8
29.2
22
79%
4
1
0
1
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
5-6
4-6
83%
58%
4-8
50%
Nikola Jokić
C · 6'11" 284 · 29.9
36.6
33.2
41
51%
18
9
2
1
0
2
4
14
8-9
89%
12-26
9-14
46%
61%
3-10
30%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.9
36.5
36.2
14
41%
4
7
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-12
5-10
33%
51%
2-5
40%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.1
31.2
27.2
9
57%
6
8
2
1
0
3
1
5
0-2
0%
3-5
3-6
60%
49%
1-2
50%
Julian Strawther
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.7
22.9
23.3
11
79%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
55%
3-6
50%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'7" 200 · 22.3
18.6
23.7
2
23%
2
2
2
1
2
0
1
1
0-1
0%
1-3
3-4
33%
58%
0-1
0%
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.6
5.3
6.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
56%
0-1
0%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.5
4.1
12.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-2
0%
66%
0-0
-
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'2" 202 · 25.2
7.6
0
0-1
54%
Dario Šarić
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 30.7
2.7
0
0-0
49%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 24.0
2.6
0
0-1
59%
Spencer Jones
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.6
1.8
0
0-0
53%
PJ Hall
C · 6'10" 245 · 22.9
DaRon Holmes II
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.4
Trey Alexander
G · 6'4" 185 · 21.7
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.3
Vlatko Čančar
F · 6'9" 215 · 27.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.