Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 3, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Grizzlies	48%	118	133	123.1	108	115.9
	12	Kings	52%	119	138	130.2	106	99.3

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+16

-17

107

SAC

+12

-9

109

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.24 62.1%

SAC

1.25 62.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

11 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 21	36.1	30	94%	5	2	0	0	0	1	3	2	0-0	-	3-7	43%	8-9	89%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	34.9	22	61%	7	8	2	1	5	2	1	6	8-8	100%	7-10	70%	0-4	0%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 25	34.0	28	56%	6	5	0	1	4	6	0	6	7-10	70%	6-12	50%	3-9	33%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	25.0	16	114%	2	5	1	0	4	4	0	2	5-5	100%	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Brandon Clarke #15 · C · 6'8" 215 · 28	23.0	11	61%	8	0	0	1	1	0	4	4	5-6	83%	3-6	50%	0-0	-

Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	31.6	11	50%	8	9	1	0	1	2	2	6	3-3	100%	1-5	20%	2-5	40%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	21.8	9	41%	7	0	0	1	1	3	3	4	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	14.7	0	0%	4	0	0	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	3.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colin Castleton #8 · C · 6'10" 250 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Soreness
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Fifth Metatarsal; Repair
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ac Joint; Sprain
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Index Finger; Partial Extensor Hood Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	62%	51	31	5	4	17	20	14	37	30-36	83%	26-52	50%	17-37	46%

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11 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 21	36.1	30	94%	5	2	0	0	0	1	3	2	0-0	-	3-7	43%	8-9	89%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	34.9	22	61%	7	8	2	1	5	2	1	6	8-8	100%	7-10	70%	0-4	0%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 25	34.0	28	56%	6	5	0	1	4	6	0	6	7-10	70%	6-12	50%	3-9	33%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	25.0	16	114%	2	5	1	0	4	4	0	2	5-5	100%	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Brandon Clarke #15 · C · 6'8" 215 · 28	23.0	11	61%	8	0	0	1	1	0	4	4	5-6	83%	3-6	50%	0-0	-

Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	31.6	11	50%	8	9	1	0	1	2	2	6	3-3	100%	1-5	20%	2-5	40%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	21.8	9	41%	7	0	0	1	1	3	3	4	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	14.7	0	0%	4	0	0	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	3.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colin Castleton #8 · C · 6'10" 250 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Soreness
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Fifth Metatarsal; Repair
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ac Joint; Sprain
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Index Finger; Partial Extensor Hood Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	62%	51	31	5	4	17	20	14	37	30-36	83%	26-52	50%	17-37	46%

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12 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	39.8	23	44%	3	5	3	0	1	4	0	3	8-9	89%	6-15	40%	1-8	13%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	38.1	17	71%	10	6	0	2	1	5	3	7	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	3-6	50%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 35	37.8	29	69%	3	5	0	1	1	4	1	2	5-7	71%	6-11	55%	4-7	57%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 25	33.9	13	54%	4	3	3	1	2	4	2	2	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	2-5	40%
Malik Monk #0 · SF · 6'3" 200 · 27	33.4	31	74%	2	6	1	0	2	2	0	2	3-3	100%	5-8	63%	6-12	50%

Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	22.0	16	133%	6	1	1	2	1	1	1	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	4-4	100%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	14.3	5	50%	3	4	1	1	1	0	2	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 32	9.9	4	100%	1	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaac Jones #17 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan McLaughlin #3 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Orlando Robinson #77 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keegan Murray #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	138	63%	37	32	10	8	9	23	10	27	19-23	83%	28-52	54%	21-47	45%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.24 62.1%

SAC

1.25 62.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

52%

SAC

78%

Midrange

MEM

48%

SAC

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

25.5

46%

69%

SAC

31.5

45%

67%

Free Throws

MEM

83%

SAC

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Wells	30	94%	15.0 / 16
J. Jackson	28	56%	14.0 / 25
D. Bane	22	61%	11.0 / 18
S. Pippen	16	114%	8.0 / 7
B. Clarke	11	61%	5.5 / 9
L. Kennard	11	50%	5.5 / 11
Z. Edey	9	41%	4.5 / 11
J. LaRavia	6	100%	3.0 / 3
J. Konchar	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Monk	31	74%	15.5 / 21
D. DeRozan	29	69%	14.5 / 21
D. Fox	23	44%	11.5 / 26
D. Sabonis	17	71%	8.5 / 12
T. Lyles	16	133%	8.0 / 6
K. Ellis	13	54%	6.5 / 12
K. Huerter	5	50%	2.5 / 5
A. Len	4	100%	2.0 / 2
D. Carter	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 117.2 7 115.9	MEM 123.1 SAC 130.2 +7.0
Pace	1 103.7 19 98.9	MEM 115.9 +16.6 SAC 99.3
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.4 15 14.4	MEM 12.4 −2.1 SAC 14.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 55.4% 15 54.8%	MEM 57.9% SAC 60.1% +2.2%
TO %	25 14.4% 6 12.6%	MEM 14.0% SAC 8.4% −5.6%
ORB %	3 28.7% 16 25.4%	MEM 34.1% +12.8% SAC 21.3%
FTrt	10 24.9 21 23.5	MEM 40.4 +17.2 SAC 23.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 63.5% 22 61.5%	MEM 72.1% +6.8% SAC 65.3%
STL %	7 8.5% 23 7.6%	MEM 4.6% SAC 9.4% +4.8%
BLK %	3 10.8% 23 8.8%	MEM 7.7% SAC 15.4% +7.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.4% 15 56.8%	MEM 62.1% SAC 62.7% +0.6%
Rim FG%	11 65.3% 2 67.6%	MEM 52.2% SAC 77.8% +25.6%
Mid FG%	9 45.4% 4 46.0%	MEM 48.3% +7.1% SAC 41.2%
3P %	12 36.7% 19 35.7%	MEM 45.9% +1.2% SAC 44.7%
FT %	12 78.6% 4 80.6%	MEM 83.3% +0.7% SAC 82.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 30.5% 28 26.8%	MEM 25.8% +7.7% SAC 18.2%
Mid Att. %	26 29.0% 29 34.1%	MEM 32.6% −1.8% SAC 34.3%
3P Att. %	20 40.6% 23 39.1%	MEM 41.6% SAC 47.5% +5.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Game Totals	MEM	SAC
Possessions	108	106
Possession Minutes	22.4	25.6
Points	133	138
Rebounds	51	37
Assists	31	32
Steals	5	10
Blocks	4	8
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	9 (1)
Fouls	20	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (2)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (1)	27 (8)
Field Goals	43-89	49-99
At-the-Rim FG	12-23	14-18
Midrange FG	14-29	14-34
2-Point FG	26-52	28-52
3-Point FG	17-37	21-47
Free Throws	30-36	19-23
Fast Break Pts	12	15
2nd Chance Pts	16	15
Points in Paint	46	48
Pts off Turnovers	12	19
Bench Points	26	25
Biggest Lead	2	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg