Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 3, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Hawks	43%	115	102	102.0	100	108.1
	15	Lakers	57%	117	119	121.4	98	91.2

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+17

-8

109

LAL

+21

-18

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

0.94 46.8%

LAL

1.18 58.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

20 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 26	36.0	33	63%	0	9	1	0	3	1	0	0	10-12	83%	7-13	54%	3-9	33%
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 23	33.0	19	68%	8	1	0	1	3	2	2	6	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	1-3	33%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 22	30.9	13	46%	3	4	5	0	0	1	0	3	0-1	0%	5-9	56%	1-5	20%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 20	25.3	7	44%	3	0	1	0	1	3	0	3	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	22.4	8	50%	7	2	0	0	0	5	3	4	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-0	-

De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 27	27.2	3	12%	3	1	0	0	1	4	1	2	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	0-6	0%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	23.9	14	58%	11	2	0	1	0	4	7	4	0-0	-	7-11	64%	0-1	0%
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 32	23.1	5	42%	2	3	3	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 28	14.9	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-4	0%
David Roddy #8 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 24	1.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Dominick Barlow #0 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 22	1.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Fractured Fourth Metacarpal
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Injury Management
Cody Zeller #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 32	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	47%	39	22	10	3	8	22	13	26	14-18	78%	35-66	53%	6-34	18%

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20 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 26	36.0	33	63%	0	9	1	0	3	1	0	0	10-12	83%	7-13	54%	3-9	33%
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 23	33.0	19	68%	8	1	0	1	3	2	2	6	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	1-3	33%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 22	30.9	13	46%	3	4	5	0	0	1	0	3	0-1	0%	5-9	56%	1-5	20%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 20	25.3	7	44%	3	0	1	0	1	3	0	3	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	22.4	8	50%	7	2	0	0	0	5	3	4	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-0	-

De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 27	27.2	3	12%	3	1	0	0	1	4	1	2	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	0-6	0%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	23.9	14	58%	11	2	0	1	0	4	7	4	0-0	-	7-11	64%	0-1	0%
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 32	23.1	5	42%	2	3	3	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 28	14.9	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-4	0%
David Roddy #8 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 24	1.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Dominick Barlow #0 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 22	1.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Fractured Fourth Metacarpal
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Injury Management
Cody Zeller #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 32	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	47%	39	22	10	3	8	22	13	26	14-18	78%	35-66	53%	6-34	18%

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15 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Austin Reaves #15 · PG · 6'5" 197 · 27	38.6	20	48%	7	6	0	0	6	1	4	3	5-6	83%	3-11	27%	3-7	43%
Anthony Davis #3 · C · 6'10" 253 · 32	37.3	18	45%	19	4	3	3	4	2	4	15	6-7	86%	6-15	40%	0-2	0%
Max Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	32.5	9	90%	4	2	0	1	2	4	1	3	2-3	67%	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
LeBron James #23 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 40	30.0	30	71%	3	8	0	0	3	3	0	3	2-2	100%	11-15	73%	2-5	40%
Rui Hachimura #28 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 27	24.5	13	72%	8	1	0	1	1	2	3	5	0-1	0%	5-6	83%	1-3	33%

Dorian Finney-Smith #17 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 32	23.4	8	80%	5	0	0	0	0	5	3	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 24	14.9	13	81%	4	1	1	0	1	2	1	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	3-4	75%
Shake Milton #20 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 28	13.5	2	25%	4	4	0	1	1	1	0	4	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Cam Reddish #5 · SF · 6'8" 208 · 25	12.8	3	75%	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 25	10.7	3	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 20	1.7	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Oblique; Strain
Christian Koloko #10 · C · 6'11" 225 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Armel Traore #94 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Quincy Olivari #41 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery Recovery
Jalen Hood-Schifino #0 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Christian Wood #35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	59%	56	28	4	6	18	21	17	39	20-25	80%	30-58	52%	13-30	43%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	LAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ATL

0.94 46.8%

LAL

1.18 58.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

63%

LAL

61%

Midrange

ATL

30%

LAL

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

9.0

18%

26%

LAL

19.5

43%

65%

Free Throws

ATL

78%

LAL

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Young	33	63%	16.5 / 26
J. Johnson	19	68%	9.5 / 14
O. Okongwu	14	58%	7.0 / 12
D. Daniels	13	46%	6.5 / 14
C. Capela	8	50%	4.0 / 8
Z. Risacher	7	44%	3.5 / 8
B. Bogdanović	5	42%	2.5 / 6
D. Hunter	3	12%	1.5 / 13
G. Mathews	0	-	0.0 / 4
D. Roddy	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	30	71%	15.0 / 21
A. Reaves	20	48%	10.0 / 21
A. Davis	18	45%	9.0 / 20
R. Hachimura	13	72%	6.5 / 9
D. Knecht	13	81%	6.5 / 8
M. Christie	9	90%	4.5 / 5
D. Finney-Smith	8	80%	4.0 / 5
C. Reddish	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Hayes	3	50%	1.5 / 3
S. Milton	2	25%	1.0 / 4
B. James	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 113.7 11 114.9	ATL 102.0 LAL 121.4 +19.4
Pace	3 103.4 20 98.4	ATL 108.1 +16.9 LAL 91.2
Avg. Poss. Time	30 13.3 7 15.0	ATL 13.3 −2.5 LAL 15.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 54.6% 8 55.7%	ATL 44.0% LAL 56.3% +12.3%
TO %	23 14.1% 14 13.3%	ATL 6.9% −9.2% LAL 16.1%
ORB %	10 26.3% 24 23.3%	ATL 25.0% LAL 39.5% +14.5%
FTrt	8 25.2 1 27.1	ATL 18.0 LAL 28.4 +10.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 68.3% 14 63.5%	ATL 53.7% LAL 65.1% +11.4%
STL %	4 9.4% 21 7.8%	ATL 10.0% +5.9% LAL 4.1%
BLK %	11 9.7% 24 8.7%	ATL 5.2% LAL 9.1% +3.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 56.5% 8 57.6%	ATL 46.8% LAL 58.9% +12.1%
Rim FG%	20 62.9% 1 68.0%	ATL 63.0% +1.7% LAL 61.3%
Mid FG%	11 44.5% 18 42.1%	ATL 30.0% LAL 40.7% +10.7%
3P %	18 35.8% 14 36.6%	ATL 17.6% LAL 43.3% +25.7%
FT %	18 77.5% 13 78.5%	ATL 77.8% LAL 80.0% +2.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 34.1% 18 31.4%	ATL 46.0% +10.8% LAL 35.2%
Mid Att. %	10 24.8% 12 26.1%	ATL 20.0% −10.7% LAL 30.7%
3P Att. %	19 41.0% 13 42.5%	ATL 34.0% LAL 34.1% +0.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	LAL
Possessions	100	98
Possession Minutes	22.2	25.8
Points	102	119
Rebounds	39	56
Assists	22	28
Steals	10	4
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	8 (0)	18 (1)
Fouls	22	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (4)	17 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (0)	39 (5)
Field Goals	41-100	43-88
At-the-Rim FG	29-46	19-31
Midrange FG	6-20	11-27
2-Point FG	35-66	30-58
3-Point FG	6-34	13-30
Free Throws	14-18	20-25
Fast Break Pts	18	14
2nd Chance Pts	13	24
Points in Paint	64	46
Pts off Turnovers	14	12
Bench Points	22	29
Biggest Lead	5	17

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg