Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, January 5, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Hornets	18%	107	105	106.1	99	98.2
	3	Cavaliers	82%	121	115	115.0	100	100.8

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+17

-15

101

CLE

+13

-12

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.03 51.5%

CLE

1.14 56.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

26 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 23	33.2	24	50%	3	4	0	0	3	3	1	2	7-9	78%	4-9	44%	3-11	27%
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	31.7	24	80%	2	2	0	1	1	2	1	1	2-3	67%	2-4	50%	6-10	60%
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 23	28.3	11	69%	9	1	1	1	2	5	1	8	3-3	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 27	26.5	11	39%	8	3	1	0	1	3	1	7	0-0	-	4-8	50%	1-6	17%
Josh Green #10 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 24	22.3	0	0%	1	1	2	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%

Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 19	22.6	6	33%	9	1	1	0	2	1	5	4	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-5	20%
Cody Martin #11 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 29	21.6	8	80%	6	5	4	0	2	2	1	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 21	19.4	18	75%	5	2	0	1	0	1	0	5	0-0	-	3-6	50%	4-6	67%
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 22	13.0	2	25%	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Nick Richards #4 · C · 6'11" 245 · 27	8.1	0	0%	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Taj Gibson #67 · PF · 6'9" 232 · 40	8.0	1	50%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Vasilije Micić #22 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 31	5.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 34	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
DaQuan Jeffries #3 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Moussa Diabaté #14 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Tear
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Disc; Irritation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	52%	48	19	9	4	15	18	13	35	14-19	74%	23-49	47%	15-42	36%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

26 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 23	33.2	24	50%	3	4	0	0	3	3	1	2	7-9	78%	4-9	44%	3-11	27%
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	31.7	24	80%	2	2	0	1	1	2	1	1	2-3	67%	2-4	50%	6-10	60%
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 23	28.3	11	69%	9	1	1	1	2	5	1	8	3-3	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 27	26.5	11	39%	8	3	1	0	1	3	1	7	0-0	-	4-8	50%	1-6	17%
Josh Green #10 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 24	22.3	0	0%	1	1	2	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%

Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 19	22.6	6	33%	9	1	1	0	2	1	5	4	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-5	20%
Cody Martin #11 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 29	21.6	8	80%	6	5	4	0	2	2	1	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 21	19.4	18	75%	5	2	0	1	0	1	0	5	0-0	-	3-6	50%	4-6	67%
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 22	13.0	2	25%	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Nick Richards #4 · C · 6'11" 245 · 27	8.1	0	0%	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Taj Gibson #67 · PF · 6'9" 232 · 40	8.0	1	50%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Vasilije Micić #22 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 31	5.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 34	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
DaQuan Jeffries #3 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Moussa Diabaté #14 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Tear
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Disc; Irritation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	52%	48	19	9	4	15	18	13	35	14-19	74%	23-49	47%	15-42	36%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

3 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 24	31.4	17	57%	5	1	1	2	1	1	1	4	4-5	80%	5-7	71%	1-6	17%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 28	29.3	19	59%	3	4	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	5-9	56%	3-7	43%
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 25	29.3	25	78%	3	2	1	0	2	3	0	3	5-5	100%	4-7	57%	4-7	57%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 27	28.1	19	86%	11	2	0	2	1	0	5	6	1-2	50%	9-10	90%	0-0	-
Dean Wade #32 · SF · 6'9" 228 · 28	21.8	6	75%	4	2	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%

Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 29	24.8	9	45%	3	4	0	1	1	0	0	3	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-5	20%
Caris LeVert #3 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 30	24.7	2	17%	5	6	1	0	2	2	1	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 27	20.2	8	40%	4	5	2	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	2-5	40%
Georges Niang #20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 32	18.4	10	71%	2	3	0	0	3	5	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Tristan Thompson #13 · PF · 6'9" 254 · 34	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jaylon Tyson #24 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22	3.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
JT Thor #15 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 22	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Emoni Bates #21 · SF · 6'9" 202 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Luke Travers #33 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaac Okoro #35 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; AC Joint Sprain
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	57%	41	29	5	5	12	17	9	32	12-16	75%	29-49	59%	15-43	35%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	CLE
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	CLE

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.03 51.5%

CLE

1.14 56.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHA

64%

CLE

65%

Midrange

CHA

33%

CLE

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHA

22.5

36%

54%

CLE

22.5

35%

52%

Free Throws

CHA

74%

CLE

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Ball	24	50%	12.0 / 24
B. Miller	24	80%	12.0 / 15
N. Smith	18	75%	9.0 / 12
M. Williams	11	69%	5.5 / 8
M. Bridges	11	39%	5.5 / 14
C. Martin	8	80%	4.0 / 5
T. Salaün	6	33%	3.0 / 9
K. Simpson	2	25%	1.0 / 4
T. Gibson	1	50%	0.5 / 1
J. Green	0	-	0.0 / 4
N. Richards	0	-	0.0 / 2
V. Micić	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Garland	25	78%	12.5 / 16
D. Mitchell	19	59%	9.5 / 16
J. Allen	19	86%	9.5 / 11
E. Mobley	17	57%	8.5 / 15
G. Niang	10	71%	5.0 / 7
M. Strus	9	45%	4.5 / 10
T. Jerome	8	40%	4.0 / 10
D. Wade	6	75%	3.0 / 4
C. LeVert	2	17%	1.0 / 6
T. Thompson	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Tyson	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 106.7 1 120.9	CHA 106.1 CLE 115.0 +8.9
Pace	23 98.2 10 100.4	CHA 98.2 CLE 100.8 +2.6
Avg. Poss. Time	8 14.9 26 13.8	CHA 14.7 CLE 14.3 −0.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	30 50.3% 1 57.8%	CHA 50.0% CLE 56.0% +6.0%
TO %	28 15.1% 5 12.4%	CHA 13.9% CLE 10.8% −3.1%
ORB %	8 26.5% 13 25.9%	CHA 28.9% +8.4% CLE 20.5%
FTrt	27 22.2 18 24.1	CHA 20.9 +3.5 CLE 17.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 63.5% 19 63.1%	CHA 50.0% CLE 65.9% +15.9%
STL %	24 7.5% 15 8.1%	CHA 9.1% +4.1% CLE 5.0%
BLK %	18 9.2% 28 7.9%	CHA 8.2% CLE 10.2% +2.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	30 52.5% 1 59.2%	CHA 51.5% CLE 56.9% +5.4%
Rim FG%	30 59.7% 9 66.0%	CHA 63.6% CLE 65.4% +1.8%
Mid FG%	29 38.5% 2 47.9%	CHA 33.3% CLE 52.2% +18.9%
3P %	28 33.9% 2 38.3%	CHA 35.7% +0.8% CLE 34.9%
FT %	14 78.3% 17 77.6%	CHA 73.7% CLE 75.0% +1.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 30.7% 20 30.6%	CHA 24.2% CLE 28.3% +4.1%
Mid Att. %	16 26.3% 9 23.7%	CHA 29.7% CLE 25.0% −4.7%
3P Att. %	11 43.0% 5 45.7%	CHA 46.2% CLE 46.7% +0.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CHA	CLE
Possessions	99	100
Possession Minutes	24.2	23.8
Points	105	115
Rebounds	48	41
Assists	19	29
Steals	9	5
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	12 (0)
Fouls	18	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (4)	9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (3)	32 (5)
Field Goals	38-91	44-92
At-the-Rim FG	14-22	17-26
Midrange FG	9-27	12-23
2-Point FG	23-49	29-49
3-Point FG	15-42	15-43
Free Throws	14-19	12-16
Fast Break Pts	13	13
2nd Chance Pts	11	7
Points in Paint	38	48
Pts off Turnovers	13	14
Bench Points	35	29
Biggest Lead	2	24

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg