Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, January 5, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	24	Pelicans	60%	118	110	112.2	98	88.6
	29	Wizards	40%	114	98	99.0	99	110.7

Scoring Opportunities

NOP

+15

-11

102

WAS

+14

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.08 53.9%

WAS

1.00 50.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

24 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 26	37.6	11	61%	4	1	2	2	1	1	0	4	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 33	35.7	25	66%	3	3	0	1	3	1	0	3	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	6-11	55%
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 28	35.6	14	44%	10	12	0	0	4	2	2	8	3-4	75%	4-9	44%	1-5	20%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 21	32.8	16	89%	7	1	1	3	1	3	3	4	8-8	100%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Trey Murphy III #25 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 25	29.4	22	55%	8	2	2	1	0	2	3	5	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	4-10	40%

Brandon Boston #11 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 23	18.6	5	31%	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	3	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	1-4	25%
Daniel Theis #10 · C · 6'9" 243 · 33	15.3	5	83%	7	2	1	1	0	0	1	6	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 27	12.4	3	38%	0	3	1	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	12.3	6	30%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-7	29%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	10.4	3	75%	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Javonte Green #4 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Jemison III #55 · C · 6'10" 270 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brandon Ingram #14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Disc Protrusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	54%	49	26	7	8	11	13	11	38	18-20	90%	19-41	46%	18-49	37%

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24 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 26	37.6	11	61%	4	1	2	2	1	1	0	4	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 33	35.7	25	66%	3	3	0	1	3	1	0	3	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	6-11	55%
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 28	35.6	14	44%	10	12	0	0	4	2	2	8	3-4	75%	4-9	44%	1-5	20%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 21	32.8	16	89%	7	1	1	3	1	3	3	4	8-8	100%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Trey Murphy III #25 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 25	29.4	22	55%	8	2	2	1	0	2	3	5	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	4-10	40%

Brandon Boston #11 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 23	18.6	5	31%	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	3	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	1-4	25%
Daniel Theis #10 · C · 6'9" 243 · 33	15.3	5	83%	7	2	1	1	0	0	1	6	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 27	12.4	3	38%	0	3	1	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	12.3	6	30%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-7	29%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	10.4	3	75%	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Javonte Green #4 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Jemison III #55 · C · 6'10" 270 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brandon Ingram #14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Disc Protrusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	54%	49	26	7	8	11	13	11	38	18-20	90%	19-41	46%	18-49	37%

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29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bub Carrington #8 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 19	33.5	16	89%	7	4	1	0	1	1	1	6	0-0	-	2-2	100%	4-7	57%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 29	30.8	28	61%	5	1	2	1	3	0	1	4	0-0	-	11-18	61%	2-5	40%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	28.3	18	82%	11	3	0	0	2	2	2	9	3-5	60%	3-3	100%	3-6	50%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	27.3	3	25%	5	4	0	1	1	2	2	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	14.6	4	29%	3	5	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-2	0%

Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	27.0	1	7%	3	1	1	0	2	5	1	2	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	0-6	0%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	26.4	5	23%	1	0	0	1	1	2	0	1	3-3	100%	1-3	33%	0-7	0%
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	19.9	17	61%	4	5	1	0	2	3	1	3	4-5	80%	5-9	56%	1-3	33%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	19.7	6	60%	7	2	0	1	1	2	1	6	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	7.3	0	0%	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	5.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Non-Covid Illness
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Contusion
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	50%	46	25	6	4	15	18	9	37	11-14	79%	27-48	56%	11-41	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	WAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.08 53.9%

WAS

1.00 50.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOP

58%

WAS

61%

Midrange

NOP

29%

WAS

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOP

27.0

37%

55%

WAS

16.5

27%

40%

Free Throws

NOP

90%

WAS

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. McCollum	25	66%	12.5 / 19
T. Murphy	22	55%	11.0 / 20
Y. Missi	16	89%	8.0 / 9
D. Murray	14	44%	7.0 / 16
H. Jones	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Hawkins	6	30%	3.0 / 10
B. Boston Jr.	5	31%	2.5 / 8
D. Theis	5	83%	2.5 / 3
J. Alvarado	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Robinson-Earl	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Kuzma	28	61%	14.0 / 23
A. Sarr	18	82%	9.0 / 11
J. Butler	17	61%	8.5 / 14
B. Carrington	16	89%	8.0 / 9
J. Valančiūnas	6	60%	3.0 / 5
C. Kispert	5	23%	2.5 / 11
M. Brogdon	4	29%	2.0 / 7
J. Champagnie	3	25%	1.5 / 6
K. George	1	7%	0.5 / 7
J. Davis	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 109.6 30 105.8	NOP 112.2 +13.3 WAS 99.0
Pace	15 99.8 4 101.8	NOP 88.6 WAS 110.7 +22.1
Avg. Poss. Time	17 14.4 23 14.0	NOP 16.3 WAS 13.0 −3.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 51.9% 28 51.2%	NOP 51.1% +2.2% WAS 48.9%
TO %	20 13.9% 27 14.6%	NOP 10.8% −3.6% WAS 14.4%
ORB %	9 26.3% 25 22.7%	NOP 22.9% +3.8% WAS 19.1%
FTrt	15 24.4 26 22.9	NOP 22.2 +6.5 WAS 15.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 63.6% 12 63.7%	NOP 70.3% +4.5% WAS 65.8%
STL %	8 8.5% 25 7.4%	NOP 7.1% +1.0% WAS 6.1%
BLK %	7 10.4% 12 9.6%	NOP 16.7% +6.9% WAS 9.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 53.8% 29 53.2%	NOP 53.9% +3.9% WAS 50.0%
Rim FG%	26 61.0% 17 63.7%	NOP 58.3% WAS 60.7% +2.4%
Mid FG%	23 40.7% 30 38.0%	NOP 29.4% WAS 50.0% +20.6%
3P %	24 34.7% 29 33.5%	NOP 36.7% +9.9% WAS 26.8%
FT %	27 75.4% 16 77.8%	NOP 90.0% +11.4% WAS 78.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 33.6% 21 30.5%	NOP 26.7% WAS 31.5% +4.8%
Mid Att. %	22 27.9% 11 25.9%	NOP 18.9% −3.6% WAS 22.5%
3P Att. %	26 38.6% 10 43.6%	NOP 54.4% +8.4% WAS 46.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	NOP	WAS
Possessions	98	99
Possession Minutes	26.5	21.5
Points	110	98
Rebounds	49	46
Assists	26	25
Steals	7	6
Blocks	8	4
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	15 (1)
Fouls	13	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (4)	9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (1)	37 (1)
Field Goals	37-90	38-89
At-the-Rim FG	14-24	17-28
Midrange FG	5-17	10-20
2-Point FG	19-41	27-48
3-Point FG	18-49	11-41
Free Throws	18-20	11-14
Fast Break Pts	17	14
2nd Chance Pts	18	16
Points in Paint	32	48
Pts off Turnovers	14	14
Bench Points	22	29
Biggest Lead	21	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg