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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 5, 2025
6:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Pelicans60%118110
29Wizards40%11498
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Herbert Jones
F · 6'7" 206 · 26.3
37.6
33.3
11
62%
4
1
2
2
2
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
55%
1-4
25%
Trey Murphy III
F · 6'8" 206 · 24.6
29.4
35.0
22
55%
8
2
2
1
1
0
3
5
2-2
100%
4-9
4-7
44%
56%
4-10
40%
Yves Missi
C · 6'11" 235 · 20.6
32.8
30.3
16
94%
7
1
1
1
3
1
3
4
8-8
100%
4-5
4-7
80%
58%
0-0
-
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 33.3
35.7
31.9
25
66%
3
3
0
1
1
3
0
3
1-2
50%
3-7
5-10
43%
51%
6-11
55%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'4" 180 · 28.3
35.6
30.4
14
44%
10
12
0
2
0
4
2
8
3-4
75%
4-9
5-10
44%
50%
1-5
20%
Brandon Boston
G · 6'6" 188 · 23.1
18.6
20.6
5
32%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
0-3
3-5
0%
50%
1-4
25%
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 32.8
15.3
15.2
5
83%
7
2
1
0
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
62%
1-2
50%
Jose Alvarado
G · 6'0" 179 · 26.7
12.4
13.6
3
38%
0
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-4
25%
Jordan Hawkins
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.7
12.3
17.6
6
30%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
46%
2-7
29%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
F · 6'8" 242 · 24.2
10.4
5.9
3
75%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
56%
1-2
50%
Javonte Green
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.5
7.0
0
1-1
59%
Antonio Reeves
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.1
2.1
0
0-1
51%
Trey Jemison III
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.1
Zion Williamson
F · 6'6" 284 · 24.5
Jamal Cain
F · 6'6" 191 · 25.8
Karlo Matković
F-C · 6'10" 231 · 23.8
Brandon Ingram
F · 6'8" 190 · 27.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Justin Champagnie
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 23.5
27.3
25.8
3
25%
5
4
0
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
0-2
3-4
0%
64%
1-4
25%
Kyle Kuzma
F · 6'9" 221 · 29.5
30.8
24.4
28
61%
5
1
2
0
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
11-18
4-8
61%
55%
2-5
40%
Alexandre Sarr
C · 7'0" 205 · 19.7
28.3
25.6
18
80%
11
3
0
1
0
2
2
9
3-5
60%
3-3
3-6
100%
54%
3-6
50%
Carlton Carrington
G · 6'4" 190 · 19.5
33.5
31.7
16
89%
7
4
1
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
53%
4-7
57%
Malcolm Brogdon
G · 6'5" 215 · 32.1
14.6
25.2
4
29%
3
5
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
52%
0-2
0%
Kyshawn George
F · 6'8" 200 · 21.1
27.0
20.2
1
7%
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
0-6
0%
Corey Kispert
F · 6'6" 224 · 25.8
26.4
23.3
5
22%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
3-3
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
63%
0-7
0%
Jared Butler
G · 6'2" 193 · 24.4
19.9
2.6
17
60%
4
5
1
0
0
2
1
3
4-5
80%
5-9
0-1
56%
53%
1-3
33%
Jonas Valančiūnas
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.7
19.7
19.6
6
60%
7
2
0
0
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
3-5
5-8
60%
59%
0-0
-
Anthony Gill
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.2
7.3
2.1
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
64%
0-0
-
Johnny Davis
G · 6'5" 195 · 22.9
5.2
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-1
0%
Richaun Holmes
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.2
2.7
0
0-1
65%
Patrick Baldwin Jr.
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.1
1.2
0
0-0
53%
Bilal Coulibaly
G · 6'8" 195 · 20.4
Tristan Vukcevic
F · 7'0" 220 · 21.8
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.8
Jordan Poole
G · 6'4" 194 · 25.5
Saddiq Bey
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.