Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, January 5, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Kings	44%	113	129	129.0	100	97.9
	10	Warriors	56%	115	99	101.0	98	100.2

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+16

-15

101

GSW

+12

-22

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.28 63.9%

GSW

1.13 56.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

15 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 35	31.4	12	40%	0	1	1	0	3	2	0	0	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	0-4	0%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	29.9	22	85%	13	7	0	0	0	3	3	10	1-2	50%	9-11	82%	1-2	50%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	29.2	26	87%	3	12	4	1	4	3	0	3	3-3	100%	4-6	67%	5-8	63%
Keegan Murray #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 24	26.3	11	50%	4	2	1	1	0	3	2	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-8	38%
Keon Ellis #23 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 25	24.5	11	61%	1	2	2	0	0	1	0	1	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%

Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	24.2	7	70%	9	1	2	0	2	3	2	7	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	23.4	13	50%	7	2	1	0	2	1	1	6	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	2-7	29%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	19.9	16	100%	1	0	2	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	4-6	67%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 32	9.6	2	100%	2	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #3 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	8.4	0	0%	1	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	6.7	6	150%	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Orlando Robinson #77 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	6.7	3	75%	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaac Jones #17 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Glute; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	64%	43	31	15	3	15	19	10	33	20-22	91%	26-44	59%	19-43	44%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

15 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 35	31.4	12	40%	0	1	1	0	3	2	0	0	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	0-4	0%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	29.9	22	85%	13	7	0	0	0	3	3	10	1-2	50%	9-11	82%	1-2	50%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	29.2	26	87%	3	12	4	1	4	3	0	3	3-3	100%	4-6	67%	5-8	63%
Keegan Murray #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 24	26.3	11	50%	4	2	1	1	0	3	2	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-8	38%
Keon Ellis #23 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 25	24.5	11	61%	1	2	2	0	0	1	0	1	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%

Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	24.2	7	70%	9	1	2	0	2	3	2	7	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	23.4	13	50%	7	2	1	0	2	1	1	6	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	2-7	29%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	19.9	16	100%	1	0	2	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	4-6	67%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 32	9.6	2	100%	2	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #3 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	8.4	0	0%	1	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	6.7	6	150%	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Orlando Robinson #77 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	6.7	3	75%	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaac Jones #17 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Glute; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	64%	43	31	15	3	15	19	10	33	20-22	91%	26-44	59%	19-43	44%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

10 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 37	29.7	26	93%	7	0	1	0	4	3	0	7	6-6	100%	4-4	100%	4-8	50%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 30	26.0	18	60%	4	1	0	0	2	3	1	3	3-4	75%	6-10	60%	1-3	33%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 35	25.2	10	63%	4	4	2	1	5	3	1	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Dennis Schröder #71 · SG · 6'1" 175 · 31	21.0	3	19%	2	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	0-2	0%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 25	17.8	0	0%	2	3	0	0	3	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-

Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 23	26.1	13	65%	1	2	2	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-6	50%
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 27	19.8	5	50%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 32	18.4	7	50%	3	3	0	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-5	20%
Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 31	16.4	2	50%	2	2	0	1	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Kevon Looney #5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 29	15.6	9	64%	5	0	2	1	1	1	4	1	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	12.0	4	33%	1	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	2-4	50%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23	12.0	2	33%	2	1	1	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Gary Payton II #0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Abdominal; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	56%	35	22	10	3	22	21	9	26	13-18	72%	25-46	54%	12-35	34%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	GSW

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.28 63.9%

GSW

1.13 56.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

78%

GSW

54%

Midrange

SAC

38%

GSW

56%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

28.5

44%

66%

GSW

18.0

34%

51%

Free Throws

SAC

91%

GSW

72%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Monk	26	87%	13.0 / 15
D. Sabonis	22	85%	11.0 / 13
K. Huerter	16	100%	8.0 / 8
D. Carter	13	50%	6.5 / 13
D. DeRozan	12	40%	6.0 / 15
K. Murray	11	50%	5.5 / 11
K. Ellis	11	61%	5.5 / 9
T. Lyles	7	70%	3.5 / 5
D. McDermott	6	150%	3.0 / 2
O. Robinson	3	75%	1.5 / 2
A. Len	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. McLaughlin	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	26	93%	13.0 / 14
A. Wiggins	18	60%	9.0 / 15
M. Moody	13	65%	6.5 / 10
D. Green	10	63%	5.0 / 8
K. Looney	9	64%	4.5 / 7
B. Hield	7	50%	3.5 / 7
L. Waters	5	50%	2.5 / 5
P. Spencer	4	33%	2.0 / 6
D. Schröder	3	19%	1.5 / 8
K. Anderson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
G. Santos	2	33%	1.0 / 3
T. Jackson-Davis	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 115.9 16 114.2	SAC 129.0 +28.0 GSW 101.0
Pace	19 98.9 17 99.4	SAC 97.9 GSW 100.2 +2.3
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.4 18 14.3	SAC 14.7 GSW 14.4 −0.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.8% 20 53.6%	SAC 62.6% +9.5% GSW 53.1%
TO %	6 12.6% 13 13.2%	SAC 14.2% −5.6% GSW 19.8%
ORB %	16 25.4% 5 27.3%	SAC 27.8% +6.4% GSW 21.4%
FTrt	21 23.5 14 24.4	SAC 25.3 +3.1 GSW 22.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 61.5% 1 71.4%	SAC 68.9% +9.4% GSW 59.5%
STL %	23 7.6% 3 9.4%	SAC 15.0% +4.8% GSW 10.2%
BLK %	23 8.8% 13 9.5%	SAC 6.5% GSW 6.8% +0.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 56.8% 21 55.3%	SAC 63.9% +7.6% GSW 56.3%
Rim FG%	2 67.6% 21 62.7%	SAC 78.3% +24.7% GSW 53.6%
Mid FG%	4 46.0% 25 39.9%	SAC 38.1% GSW 55.6% +17.5%
3P %	19 35.7% 16 36.4%	SAC 44.2% +9.9% GSW 34.3%
FT %	4 80.6% 25 76.3%	SAC 90.9% +18.7% GSW 72.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 26.8% 23 30.1%	SAC 26.4% GSW 34.6% +8.1%
Mid Att. %	29 34.1% 7 23.1%	SAC 24.1% GSW 22.2% −1.9%
3P Att. %	23 39.1% 2 46.9%	SAC 49.4% +6.2% GSW 43.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Game Totals	SAC	GSW
Possessions	100	98
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.5
Points	129	99
Rebounds	43	35
Assists	31	22
Steals	15	10
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	22 (0)
Fouls	19	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (6)	9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (1)	26 (2)
Field Goals	45-87	37-81
At-the-Rim FG	18-23	15-28
Midrange FG	8-21	10-18
2-Point FG	26-44	25-46
3-Point FG	19-43	12-35
Free Throws	20-22	13-18
Fast Break Pts	15	5
2nd Chance Pts	15	15
Points in Paint	42	42
Pts off Turnovers	34	22
Bench Points	47	42
Biggest Lead	39	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg