Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, January 7, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Hawks	56%	119	124	122.8	101	104.0
	27	Jazz	44%	116	121	119.8	101	99.7

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+15

-10

106

UTA

+23

-15

109

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.17 58.5%

UTA

1.11 55.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

20 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 26	36.6	24	60%	2	20	0	1	2	1	0	2	9-10	90%	3-6	50%	3-10	30%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 22	35.2	16	67%	6	7	2	2	1	4	1	5	0-0	-	5-8	63%	2-4	50%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	25.3	18	82%	6	0	0	3	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	9-11	82%	0-0	-
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 20	23.9	14	50%	6	0	0	0	0	2	3	3	0-0	-	4-10	40%	2-4	50%
Vít Krejčí #27 · SF · 6'8" 195 · 25	22.2	13	108%	4	0	1	0	0	4	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-4	75%

Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 32	28.1	11	55%	1	3	0	0	3	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-7	43%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 27	27.4	17	65%	4	1	0	0	2	3	1	3	3-5	60%	1-4	25%	4-7	57%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	22.7	2	20%	9	3	1	4	0	3	2	7	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 28	18.6	9	35%	6	1	2	1	1	0	2	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-8	13%
David Roddy #8 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 21	NWT - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Inflammation
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Fractured Fourth Metacarpal
Cody Zeller #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 32	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	59%	44	35	6	11	10	22	12	32	12-15	80%	29-54	54%	18-44	41%

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20 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 26	36.6	24	60%	2	20	0	1	2	1	0	2	9-10	90%	3-6	50%	3-10	30%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 22	35.2	16	67%	6	7	2	2	1	4	1	5	0-0	-	5-8	63%	2-4	50%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	25.3	18	82%	6	0	0	3	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	9-11	82%	0-0	-
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 20	23.9	14	50%	6	0	0	0	0	2	3	3	0-0	-	4-10	40%	2-4	50%
Vít Krejčí #27 · SF · 6'8" 195 · 25	22.2	13	108%	4	0	1	0	0	4	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-4	75%

Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 32	28.1	11	55%	1	3	0	0	3	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-7	43%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 27	27.4	17	65%	4	1	0	0	2	3	1	3	3-5	60%	1-4	25%	4-7	57%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	22.7	2	20%	9	3	1	4	0	3	2	7	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 28	18.6	9	35%	6	1	2	1	1	0	2	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-8	13%
David Roddy #8 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 21	NWT - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Inflammation
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Fractured Fourth Metacarpal
Cody Zeller #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 32	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	59%	44	35	6	11	10	22	12	32	12-15	80%	29-54	54%	18-44	41%

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27 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 28	30.7	35	73%	2	1	2	1	2	4	0	2	5-6	83%	3-6	50%	8-15	53%
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 26	30.6	24	63%	4	3	0	0	1	3	2	2	8-9	89%	5-13	38%	2-3	67%
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 23	30.2	21	81%	10	0	1	3	0	0	8	2	5-6	83%	8-11	73%	0-0	-
Isaiah Collier #13 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 20	26.2	3	25%	6	9	0	0	2	3	1	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Johnny Juzang #33 · SF · 6'7" 226 · 24	24.9	11	50%	4	4	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-8	38%

Cody Williams #5 · SG · 6'8" 190 · 20	29.4	4	29%	3	3	1	0	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 36	18.1	13	46%	1	2	3	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	3-9	33%
Drew Eubanks #15 · C · 6'10" 245 · 28	17.8	4	40%	8	2	1	0	5	1	1	7	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 21	17.2	3	30%	8	1	0	0	3	1	0	8	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	15.0	3	75%	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Svi Mykhailiuk #19 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keyonte George #3 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Heel; Inflammation
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Elijah Harkless #16 · NA · 6'3" 195 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Fibula; Fracture
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Plantar; Fasciitis
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 27	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	56%	47	25	8	4	15	17	13	34	22-25	88%	21-48	44%	19-48	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	UTA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.17 58.5%

UTA

1.11 55.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

70%

UTA

38%

Midrange

ATL

42%

UTA

53%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

27.0

41%

61%

UTA

28.5

40%

59%

Free Throws

ATL

80%

UTA

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Young	24	60%	12.0 / 20
C. Capela	18	82%	9.0 / 11
D. Hunter	17	65%	8.5 / 13
D. Daniels	16	67%	8.0 / 12
Z. Risacher	14	50%	7.0 / 14
V. Krejčí	13	108%	6.5 / 6
B. Bogdanović	11	55%	5.5 / 10
G. Mathews	9	35%	4.5 / 13
O. Okongwu	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Markkanen	35	73%	17.5 / 24
C. Sexton	24	63%	12.0 / 19
W. Kessler	21	81%	10.5 / 13
P. Mills	13	46%	6.5 / 14
J. Juzang	11	50%	5.5 / 11
C. Williams	4	29%	2.0 / 7
D. Eubanks	4	40%	2.0 / 5
I. Collier	3	25%	1.5 / 6
K. Filipowski	3	30%	1.5 / 5
M. Potter	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 113.7 24 110.3	ATL 122.8 +3.0 UTA 119.8
Pace	3 103.4 7 100.8	ATL 104.0 +4.2 UTA 99.7
Avg. Poss. Time	30 13.3 13 14.7	ATL 13.8 −0.6 UTA 14.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 54.6% 21 53.3%	ATL 57.1% +5.5% UTA 51.6%
TO %	23 14.1% 30 16.2%	ATL 8.7% −4.3% UTA 13.0%
ORB %	10 26.3% 6 26.9%	ATL 26.1% UTA 28.9% +2.8%
FTrt	8 25.2 7 25.2	ATL 15.3 UTA 26.0 +10.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 68.3% 18 63.3%	ATL 74.5% +12.0% UTA 62.5%
STL %	4 9.4% 30 6.6%	ATL 5.9% UTA 7.9% +2.0%
BLK %	11 9.7% 25 8.5%	ATL 22.9% +15.5% UTA 7.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.5 and 2.5.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 56.5% 20 55.4%	ATL 58.5% +3.0% UTA 55.5%
Rim FG%	20 62.9% 15 63.8%	ATL 69.6% +31.7% UTA 37.9%
Mid FG%	11 44.5% 17 43.1%	ATL 41.9% UTA 52.6% +10.7%
3P %	18 35.8% 22 35.0%	ATL 40.9% +1.3% UTA 39.6%
FT %	18 77.5% 22 77.4%	ATL 80.0% UTA 88.0% +8.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 34.1% 27 28.8%	ATL 23.5% UTA 30.2% +6.7%
Mid Att. %	10 24.8% 15 26.2%	ATL 31.6% UTA 19.8% −11.8%
3P Att. %	19 41.0% 7 44.9%	ATL 44.9% UTA 50.0% +5.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	UTA
Possessions	101	101
Possession Minutes	23.3	24.3
Points	124	121
Rebounds	44	47
Assists	35	25
Steals	6	8
Blocks	11	4
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	15 (1)
Fouls	22	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (3)	13 (10)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (4)	34 (4)
Field Goals	47-98	40-96
At-the-Rim FG	16-23	11-29
Midrange FG	13-31	10-19
2-Point FG	29-54	21-48
3-Point FG	18-44	19-48
Free Throws	12-15	22-25
Fast Break Pts	12	12
2nd Chance Pts	10	17
Points in Paint	50	38
Pts off Turnovers	25	14
Bench Points	39	27
Biggest Lead	16	2

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg