Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 8, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Bulls	40%	119	113	108.7	104	107.5
	11	Pacers	60%	123	129	127.7	101	97.8

Scoring Opportunities

CHI

+12

-18

IND

+22

-8

115

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI

1.15 57.7%

IND

1.12 56.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

17 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zach LaVine #8 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 30	34.9	31	70%	4	4	0	1	3	2	0	4	5-6	83%	10-14	71%	2-6	33%
Coby White #0 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25	31.1	19	53%	2	5	0	0	2	2	0	2	0-1	0%	5-7	71%	3-10	30%
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 34	26.9	10	56%	7	1	0	2	1	1	2	5	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 22	21.8	9	64%	5	5	1	0	5	2	2	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 23	21.4	2	14%	3	0	0	1	2	3	0	3	2-4	50%	0-2	0%	0-3	0%

Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 27	19.3	5	42%	3	1	2	1	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-5	20%
Jalen Smith #7 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 25	16.9	13	130%	7	3	0	1	2	3	2	5	3-3	100%	2-2	100%	2-2	100%
Julian Phillips #15 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 21	14.9	6	60%	2	0	0	0	1	2	1	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Chris Duarte #27 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 28	14.4	5	50%	3	3	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Matas Buzelis #14 · SF · 6'8" 196 · 20	13.1	2	50%	2	0	1	0	0	4	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Talen Horton-Tucker #22 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 24	10.2	8	100%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Dalen Terry #25 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 22	8.4	2	33%	1	1	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 29	6.9	1	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Emanuel Miller #20 · NA · 6'5" 215 · 25	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Adama Sanogo #21 · C · 6'9" 245 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
E.J. Liddell #32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ayo Dosunmu #11 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus; Strain
Torrey Craig #13 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	58%	39	23	6	6	18	24	9	30	13-19	68%	32-51	63%	12-35	34%

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17 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zach LaVine #8 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 30	34.9	31	70%	4	4	0	1	3	2	0	4	5-6	83%	10-14	71%	2-6	33%
Coby White #0 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25	31.1	19	53%	2	5	0	0	2	2	0	2	0-1	0%	5-7	71%	3-10	30%
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 34	26.9	10	56%	7	1	0	2	1	1	2	5	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 22	21.8	9	64%	5	5	1	0	5	2	2	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 23	21.4	2	14%	3	0	0	1	2	3	0	3	2-4	50%	0-2	0%	0-3	0%

Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 27	19.3	5	42%	3	1	2	1	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-5	20%
Jalen Smith #7 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 25	16.9	13	130%	7	3	0	1	2	3	2	5	3-3	100%	2-2	100%	2-2	100%
Julian Phillips #15 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 21	14.9	6	60%	2	0	0	0	1	2	1	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Chris Duarte #27 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 28	14.4	5	50%	3	3	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Matas Buzelis #14 · SF · 6'8" 196 · 20	13.1	2	50%	2	0	1	0	0	4	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Talen Horton-Tucker #22 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 24	10.2	8	100%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Dalen Terry #25 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 22	8.4	2	33%	1	1	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 29	6.9	1	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Emanuel Miller #20 · NA · 6'5" 215 · 25	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Adama Sanogo #21 · C · 6'9" 245 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
E.J. Liddell #32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ayo Dosunmu #11 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus; Strain
Torrey Craig #13 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	58%	39	23	6	6	18	24	9	30	13-19	68%	32-51	63%	12-35	34%

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11 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 25	31.1	14	54%	6	5	2	0	2	3	0	6	4-5	80%	5-8	63%	0-3	0%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 25	30.2	16	62%	3	13	2	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	5-10	50%	2-3	67%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 31	28.6	26	72%	6	3	0	0	2	0	2	4	1-3	33%	8-10	80%	3-7	43%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	27.8	22	65%	8	1	2	0	0	2	5	3	2-2	100%	7-12	58%	2-4	50%
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 23	24.8	8	31%	3	4	1	0	0	2	2	1	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	0-4	0%

Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 27	23.1	12	60%	5	2	0	0	0	3	1	4	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	1-4	25%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	20.9	7	70%	7	0	0	0	0	4	3	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21	19.2	12	75%	2	3	1	1	1	2	0	2	1-3	33%	4-5	80%	1-2	50%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 33	16.4	6	38%	2	5	3	0	1	0	1	1	2-3	67%	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Enrique Freeman #8 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 24	16.0	6	60%	4	1	0	0	1	2	1	3	2-4	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 26	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	0.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
RayJ Dennis #10 · NA · 6'1" 180 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
James Wiseman #13 · C · 6'11" 240 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	56%	46	37	11	1	8	19	15	31	15-24	63%	42-71	59%	10-29	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	IND
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI

1.15 57.7%

IND

1.12 56.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHI

73%

IND

64%

Midrange

CHI

36%

IND

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHI

18.0

34%

51%

IND

15.0

34%

52%

Free Throws

CHI

68%

IND

63%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Z. LaVine	31	70%	15.5 / 22
C. White	19	53%	9.5 / 18
J. Smith	13	130%	6.5 / 5
N. Vučević	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Giddey	9	64%	4.5 / 7
T. Horton-Tucker	8	100%	4.0 / 4
J. Phillips	6	60%	3.0 / 5
L. Ball	5	42%	2.5 / 6
C. Duarte	5	50%	2.5 / 5
P. Williams	2	14%	1.0 / 7
M. Buzelis	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. Terry	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Carter	1	50%	0.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Siakam	26	72%	13.0 / 18
T. Bryant	22	65%	11.0 / 17
T. Haliburton	16	62%	8.0 / 13
A. Nembhard	14	54%	7.0 / 13
O. Toppin	12	60%	6.0 / 10
J. Walker	12	75%	6.0 / 8
B. Mathurin	8	31%	4.0 / 13
B. Sheppard	7	70%	3.5 / 5
T. McConnell	6	38%	3.0 / 8
E. Freeman	6	60%	3.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 113.2 9 115.3	CHI 108.7 IND 127.7 +19.1
Pace	2 103.7 6 100.9	CHI 107.5 +9.7 IND 97.8
Avg. Poss. Time	29 13.3 24 14.0	CHI 13.4 −1.3 IND 14.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.3% 4 56.2%	CHI 58.1% +1.1% IND 57.0%
TO %	17 13.4% 3 12.0%	CHI 16.0% IND 10.5% −5.5%
ORB %	28 22.3% 29 21.3%	CHI 22.5% IND 33.3% +10.8%
FTrt	29 21.4 17 24.1	CHI 22.1 IND 24.0 +1.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 67.2% 8 67.1%	CHI 52.3% IND 71.2% +18.9%
STL %	29 7.2% 10 8.3%	CHI 5.8% IND 10.9% +5.1%
BLK %	26 8.5% 8 10.2%	CHI 8.5% +6.5% IND 2.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 57.0% 7 57.6%	CHI 57.7% +1.6% IND 56.1%
Rim FG%	24 61.6% 6 66.7%	CHI 73.0% +9.2% IND 63.8%
Mid FG%	3 46.2% 6 45.8%	CHI 35.7% IND 50.0% +14.3%
3P %	13 36.7% 9 36.8%	CHI 34.3% IND 34.5% +0.2%
FT %	3 80.9% 9 78.9%	CHI 68.4% +5.9% IND 62.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 33.2% 17 31.4%	CHI 43.0% IND 47.0% +4.0%
Mid Att. %	2 21.1% 24 28.6%	CHI 16.3% −7.7% IND 24.0%
3P Att. %	4 45.7% 21 40.0%	CHI 40.7% +11.7% IND 29.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CHI	IND
Possessions	104	101
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	113	129
Rebounds	39	46
Assists	23	37
Steals	6	11
Blocks	6	1
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	8 (5)
Fouls	24	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (3)	15 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (1)	31 (4)
Field Goals	44-86	52-100
At-the-Rim FG	27-37	30-47
Midrange FG	5-14	12-24
2-Point FG	32-51	42-71
3-Point FG	12-35	10-29
Free Throws	13-19	15-24
Fast Break Pts	8	12
2nd Chance Pts	12	21
Points in Paint	54	76
Pts off Turnovers	16	17
Bench Points	42	43
Biggest Lead	2	34

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg