Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 8, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Wizards	23%	107	103	112.0	92	90.9
	22	76ers	77%	119	109	119.8	91	92.1

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+25

-17

100

PHI

+15

-7

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.03 51.5%

PHI

1.10 55.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 29	31.2	16	42%	5	2	0	0	3	1	0	5	0-0	-	5-11	45%	2-8	25%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 19	30.7	8	40%	2	5	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-4	0%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 20	30.5	5	28%	4	2	0	1	2	3	3	1	0-2	0%	1-7	14%	1-1	100%
Kyshawn George #18 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	27.8	3	25%	4	2	1	1	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	21.1	14	54%	14	1	0	1	8	3	8	6	1-1	100%	5-12	42%	1-1	100%

Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	35.3	23	77%	5	5	1	0	1	3	0	5	3-3	100%	4-6	67%	4-8	50%
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	26.6	3	50%	11	1	0	2	0	4	2	9	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	20.1	26	68%	4	7	1	0	1	1	3	1	1-2	50%	8-16	50%	3-3	100%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	16.6	5	83%	2	1	0	1	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Sarr #20 · PF · 7'0" 205 · 20	DND - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Non-Covid Illness
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Non-Covid Illness
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Contusion
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Pain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	52%	51	26	3	6	17	18	18	33	6-9	67%	29-64	45%	13-30	43%

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30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 29	31.2	16	42%	5	2	0	0	3	1	0	5	0-0	-	5-11	45%	2-8	25%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 19	30.7	8	40%	2	5	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-4	0%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 20	30.5	5	28%	4	2	0	1	2	3	3	1	0-2	0%	1-7	14%	1-1	100%
Kyshawn George #18 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	27.8	3	25%	4	2	1	1	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	21.1	14	54%	14	1	0	1	8	3	8	6	1-1	100%	5-12	42%	1-1	100%

Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	35.3	23	77%	5	5	1	0	1	3	0	5	3-3	100%	4-6	67%	4-8	50%
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	26.6	3	50%	11	1	0	2	0	4	2	9	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	20.1	26	68%	4	7	1	0	1	1	3	1	1-2	50%	8-16	50%	3-3	100%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	16.6	5	83%	2	1	0	1	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Sarr #20 · PF · 7'0" 205 · 20	DND - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Non-Covid Illness
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Non-Covid Illness
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Contusion
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Pain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	52%	51	26	3	6	17	18	18	33	6-9	67%	29-64	45%	13-30	43%

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22 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24	38.5	29	52%	3	6	2	0	1	2	0	3	4-6	67%	8-13	62%	3-14	21%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 29	38.3	15	54%	4	4	2	2	3	3	1	3	0-0	-	6-8	75%	1-6	17%
Caleb Martin #16 · PF · 6'5" 205 · 29	35.4	8	57%	5	2	1	3	0	2	0	5	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Guerschon Yabusele #28 · C · 6'7" 265 · 29	33.8	21	81%	8	3	1	2	1	1	4	4	4-4	100%	1-4	25%	5-7	71%
Eric Gordon #23 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 36	30.9	15	83%	2	1	1	0	1	2	0	2	1-3	33%	1-1	100%	4-7	57%

Ricky Council IV #14 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	18.6	8	57%	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	3	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Adem Bona #30 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 22	14.3	2	50%	3	2	0	3	0	2	2	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Justin Edwards #19 · SG · 6'7" 217 · 21	12.4	2	25%	3	0	0	1	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Jeff Dowtin Jr. #11 · PG · 6'3" 177 · 28	9.4	3	38%	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Reggie Jackson #00 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 35	8.5	6	50%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Andre Drummond #5 · C · 6'11" 279 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Sprain
Paul George #8 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Tightness
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 39	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Soreness
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Sprain
Jared McCain #20 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Surgery
KJ Martin #1 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Stress Reaction
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	55%	36	21	8	11	7	14	10	26	14-19	74%	25-44	57%	15-44	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	PHI
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	PHI

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.03 51.5%

PHI

1.10 55.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

55%

PHI

64%

Midrange

WAS

27%

PHI

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

19.5

43%

65%

PHI

22.5

34%

51%

Free Throws

WAS

67%

PHI

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Butler	26	68%	13.0 / 19
C. Kispert	23	77%	11.5 / 15
K. Kuzma	16	42%	8.0 / 19
J. Valančiūnas	14	54%	7.0 / 13
B. Carrington	8	40%	4.0 / 10
B. Coulibaly	5	28%	2.5 / 9
J. Champagnie	5	83%	2.5 / 3
K. George	3	25%	1.5 / 6
R. Holmes	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Maxey	29	52%	14.5 / 28
G. Yabusele	21	81%	10.5 / 13
K. Oubre	15	54%	7.5 / 14
E. Gordon	15	83%	7.5 / 9
C. Martin	8	57%	4.0 / 7
R. Council	8	57%	4.0 / 7
R. Jackson	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Dowtin	3	38%	1.5 / 4
A. Bona	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Edwards	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	30 105.8 22 110.9	WAS 112.0 PHI 119.8 +7.8
Pace	4 101.8 22 98.2	WAS 90.9 PHI 92.1 +1.1
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 10 14.8	WAS 15.8 PHI 15.6 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 51.2% 22 52.7%	WAS 51.6% PHI 54.0% +2.4%
TO %	27 14.6% 9 13.0%	WAS 15.5% PHI 8.5% −7.0%
ORB %	25 22.7% 22 23.4%	WAS 40.9% +17.6% PHI 23.3%
FTrt	26 22.9 6 25.7	WAS 9.6 PHI 21.6 +12.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 63.7% 29 58.4%	WAS 61.9% +9.4% PHI 52.5%
STL %	25 7.4% 5 9.3%	WAS 3.3% PHI 8.8% +5.5%
BLK %	12 9.6% 19 9.1%	WAS 13.6% PHI 17.2% +3.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 53.2% 22 54.8%	WAS 51.5% PHI 55.1% +3.6%
Rim FG%	17 63.7% 23 61.8%	WAS 54.8% PHI 64.3% +9.5%
Mid FG%	30 38.0% 19 42.0%	WAS 27.3% PHI 43.8% +16.5%
3P %	29 33.5% 27 34.1%	WAS 43.3% +9.2% PHI 34.1%
FT %	16 77.8% 15 78.0%	WAS 66.7% PHI 73.7% +7.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 30.5% 7 34.0%	WAS 44.7% +12.9% PHI 31.8%
Mid Att. %	11 25.9% 8 23.5%	WAS 23.4% PHI 18.2% −5.2%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 14 42.5%	WAS 31.9% PHI 50.0% +18.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	PHI
Possessions	92	91
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.7
Points	103	109
Rebounds	51	36
Assists	26	21
Steals	3	8
Blocks	6	11
Turnovers (Team)	17 (1)	7 (2)
Fouls	18	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	18 (7)	10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (3)	26 (3)
Field Goals	42-94	40-88
At-the-Rim FG	23-42	18-28
Midrange FG	6-22	7-16
2-Point FG	29-64	25-44
3-Point FG	13-30	15-44
Free Throws	6-9	14-19
Fast Break Pts	14	13
2nd Chance Pts	23	23
Points in Paint	52	42
Pts off Turnovers	16	27
Bench Points	57	21
Biggest Lead	3	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg