Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 8, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Clippers	62%	115	103	105.1	98	92.2
	23	Nuggets	38%	111	126	127.3	99	107.1

Scoring Opportunities

LAC

+13

-11

100

DEN

+10

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.02 51.0%

DEN

1.29 64.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

10 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 28	28.6	10	71%	8	3	0	1	2	1	1	7	6-7	86%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Norman Powell #24 · SF · 6'4" 215 · 32	28.3	30	65%	4	1	0	0	0	2	0	4	10-13	77%	4-7	57%	4-10	40%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 35	27.4	16	47%	3	4	0	1	5	0	0	3	4-5	80%	3-7	43%	2-8	25%
Kris Dunn #8 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 31	19.6	0	0%	3	1	1	1	1	3	2	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 28	14.6	4	67%	2	0	0	0	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%

Amir Coffey #7 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 28	33.4	6	25%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	2-8	25%	0-3	0%
Mo Bamba #4 · C · 7'0" 231 · 27	15.4	4	33%	8	0	1	2	0	0	2	6	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Jordan Miller #11 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 25	15.3	6	43%	5	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	4-4	100%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Kevin Porter Jr. #77 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 25	15.3	10	56%	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	1-4	25%	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	12.4	3	38%	0	0	1	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Kobe Brown #21 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 25	11.0	6	150%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Bones Hyland #5 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 24	9.3	5	50%	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Nicolas Batum #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 36	9.3	3	75%	2	1	2	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 19	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Kai Jones #23 · C · 6'11" 221 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trentyn Flowers #9 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
P.J. Tucker #17 · SF · 6'6" 245 · 40	Inactive - Not With Team
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 34	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	51%	40	14	8	6	11	15	9	31	32-40	80%	19-42	45%	11-38	29%

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10 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 28	28.6	10	71%	8	3	0	1	2	1	1	7	6-7	86%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Norman Powell #24 · SF · 6'4" 215 · 32	28.3	30	65%	4	1	0	0	0	2	0	4	10-13	77%	4-7	57%	4-10	40%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 35	27.4	16	47%	3	4	0	1	5	0	0	3	4-5	80%	3-7	43%	2-8	25%
Kris Dunn #8 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 31	19.6	0	0%	3	1	1	1	1	3	2	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 28	14.6	4	67%	2	0	0	0	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%

Amir Coffey #7 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 28	33.4	6	25%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	2-8	25%	0-3	0%
Mo Bamba #4 · C · 7'0" 231 · 27	15.4	4	33%	8	0	1	2	0	0	2	6	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Jordan Miller #11 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 25	15.3	6	43%	5	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	4-4	100%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Kevin Porter Jr. #77 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 25	15.3	10	56%	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	1-4	25%	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	12.4	3	38%	0	0	1	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Kobe Brown #21 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 25	11.0	6	150%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Bones Hyland #5 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 24	9.3	5	50%	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Nicolas Batum #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 36	9.3	3	75%	2	1	2	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 19	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Kai Jones #23 · C · 6'11" 221 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trentyn Flowers #9 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
P.J. Tucker #17 · SF · 6'6" 245 · 40	Inactive - Not With Team
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 34	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	51%	40	14	8	6	11	15	9	31	32-40	80%	19-42	45%	11-38	29%

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23 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	33.7	21	75%	3	9	1	1	2	1	0	3	3-3	100%	3-7	43%	4-6	67%
Russell Westbrook #4 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 36	29.4	19	53%	6	8	0	0	3	3	2	4	2-5	40%	7-11	64%	1-5	20%
Christian Braun #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	28.4	15	94%	2	1	1	0	0	4	0	2	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	2-2	100%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 27	27.1	19	79%	8	2	1	0	2	1	0	8	0-0	-	5-7	71%	3-5	60%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	23.3	12	86%	9	2	2	0	0	2	2	7	2-3	67%	5-6	83%	0-0	-

Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	31.6	16	73%	4	2	0	0	1	3	0	4	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	4-8	50%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	24.0	9	41%	4	1	1	2	1	3	0	4	1-3	33%	4-8	50%	0-2	0%
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	20.3	7	44%	7	2	1	0	2	2	3	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	8.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	4.5	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	4.5	6	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	4.5	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Adductor; Strain
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	64%	45	29	7	3	11	24	7	38	11-17	65%	32-54	59%	17-35	49%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.02 51.0%

DEN

1.29 64.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAC

52%

DEN

66%

Midrange

LAC

38%

DEN

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAC

16.5

29%

43%

DEN

25.5

49%

73%

Free Throws

LAC

80%

DEN

65%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Powell	30	65%	15.0 / 23
J. Harden	16	47%	8.0 / 17
I. Zubac	10	71%	5.0 / 7
K. Porter	10	56%	5.0 / 9
A. Coffey	6	25%	3.0 / 12
J. Miller	6	43%	3.0 / 7
K. Brown	6	150%	3.0 / 2
B. Hyland	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. Jones	4	67%	2.0 / 3
M. Bamba	4	33%	2.0 / 6
T. Mann	3	38%	1.5 / 4
N. Batum	3	75%	1.5 / 2
K. Dunn	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	21	75%	10.5 / 14
R. Westbrook	19	53%	9.5 / 18
M. Porter	19	79%	9.5 / 12
J. Strawther	16	73%	8.0 / 11
C. Braun	15	94%	7.5 / 8
D. Jordan	12	86%	6.0 / 7
P. Watson	9	41%	4.5 / 11
D. Šarić	7	44%	3.5 / 8
J. Pickett	6	150%	3.0 / 2
Z. Nnaji	2	100%	1.0 / 1
H. Tyson	0	-	0.0 / 1
T. Alexander	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	15 114.3 4 118.9	LAC 105.1 DEN 127.3 +22.2
Pace	24 98.1 8 100.6	LAC 92.2 DEN 107.1 +14.9
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.1 22 14.2	LAC 15.6 DEN 13.4 −2.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 55.4% 2 57.3%	LAC 44.4% DEN 64.6% +20.2%
TO %	22 14.0% 15 13.3%	LAC 10.9% −0.2% DEN 11.1%
ORB %	19 24.4% 7 26.7%	LAC 19.1% +0.7% DEN 18.4%
FTrt	9 25.1 5 25.9	LAC 50.0 +30.9 DEN 19.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 60.5% 4 68.3%	LAC 46.7% DEN 59.2% +12.5%
STL %	2 9.5% 19 7.9%	LAC 8.2% +1.1% DEN 7.1%
BLK %	16 9.3% 21 9.0%	LAC 11.1% +4.0% DEN 7.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 57.5% 2 58.8%	LAC 51.0% DEN 64.3% +13.3%
Rim FG%	13 64.2% 7 66.2%	LAC 52.4% DEN 65.8% +13.4%
Mid FG%	10 45.3% 8 45.5%	LAC 38.1% DEN 43.8% +5.7%
3P %	7 37.3% 5 37.6%	LAC 28.9% DEN 48.6% +19.7%
FT %	7 79.7% 23 77.0%	LAC 80.0% +15.3% DEN 64.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 31.6% 1 38.3%	LAC 26.3% DEN 42.7% +16.4%
Mid Att. %	28 29.7% 13 26.1%	LAC 26.3% DEN 18.0% −8.3%
3P Att. %	25 38.7% 30 35.6%	LAC 47.5% +8.2% DEN 39.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Game Totals	LAC	DEN
Possessions	98	99
Possession Minutes	25.5	22.2
Points	103	126
Rebounds	40	45
Assists	14	29
Steals	8	7
Blocks	6	3
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	11 (1)
Fouls	15	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (4)	7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (3)	38 (1)
Field Goals	30-80	49-89
At-the-Rim FG	11-21	25-38
Midrange FG	8-21	7-16
2-Point FG	19-42	32-54
3-Point FG	11-38	17-35
Free Throws	32-40	11-17
Fast Break Pts	16	29
2nd Chance Pts	9	15
Points in Paint	24	56
Pts off Turnovers	9	10
Bench Points	43	40
Biggest Lead	0	29

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg