Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, January 9, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Rockets	46%	114	119	114.4	104	98.9
	6	Grizzlies	54%	115	115	110.6	104	109.6

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+22

-12

114

MEM

+14

-19

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.04 52.2%

MEM

1.15 57.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

5 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 31	40.6	22	85%	1	4	4	0	3	4	0	1	3-3	100%	5-6	83%	3-7	43%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 23	38.2	27	68%	2	3	3	1	3	0	1	1	1-2	50%	7-13	54%	4-8	50%
Amen Thompson #1 · PF · 6'7" 200 · 22	35.5	10	56%	7	5	1	1	0	4	0	7	6-7	86%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 22	35.2	32	59%	14	5	0	1	3	4	5	9	7-15	47%	11-19	58%	1-1	100%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29	34.6	5	17%	5	4	1	0	0	4	2	3	0-0	-	1-7	14%	1-8	13%

Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 29	18.5	12	60%	4	0	1	0	0	4	3	1	4-8	50%	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 21	15.0	9	30%	2	0	3	0	1	0	1	1	1-2	50%	1-8	13%	2-6	33%
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31	12.4	0	0%	9	0	0	0	2	2	4	5	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 28	10.0	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Metacarpal; Fracture
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Leg; Injury Management
Reed Sheppard #15 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
N'Faly Dante #3 · C · 6'11" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jack McVeigh #58 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	52%	44	21	13	3	12	23	16	28	24-41	59%	28-62	45%	13-34	38%

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5 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 31	40.6	22	85%	1	4	4	0	3	4	0	1	3-3	100%	5-6	83%	3-7	43%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 23	38.2	27	68%	2	3	3	1	3	0	1	1	1-2	50%	7-13	54%	4-8	50%
Amen Thompson #1 · PF · 6'7" 200 · 22	35.5	10	56%	7	5	1	1	0	4	0	7	6-7	86%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 22	35.2	32	59%	14	5	0	1	3	4	5	9	7-15	47%	11-19	58%	1-1	100%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29	34.6	5	17%	5	4	1	0	0	4	2	3	0-0	-	1-7	14%	1-8	13%

Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 29	18.5	12	60%	4	0	1	0	0	4	3	1	4-8	50%	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 21	15.0	9	30%	2	0	3	0	1	0	1	1	1-2	50%	1-8	13%	2-6	33%
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31	12.4	0	0%	9	0	0	0	2	2	4	5	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 28	10.0	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Metacarpal; Fracture
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Leg; Injury Management
Reed Sheppard #15 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
N'Faly Dante #3 · C · 6'11" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jack McVeigh #58 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	52%	44	21	13	3	12	23	16	28	24-41	59%	28-62	45%	13-34	38%

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6 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 25	34.0	21	66%	8	4	2	6	3	2	2	6	2-3	67%	8-11	73%	1-4	25%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 25	29.1	27	52%	3	3	1	0	4	2	1	2	8-11	73%	8-17	47%	1-5	20%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	27.4	16	73%	4	4	2	0	4	4	0	4	2-3	67%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 21	22.9	4	33%	3	1	0	0	2	1	1	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	17.6	4	100%	3	0	0	1	0	5	0	3	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-1	100%

Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	25.0	11	79%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-5	60%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	23.2	12	43%	9	0	1	0	2	1	3	6	2-5	40%	2-6	33%	2-6	33%
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	19.7	4	50%	5	2	0	1	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 28	17.4	8	80%	4	1	2	0	0	6	2	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	13.4	0	0%	2	2	1	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	10.1	8	80%	2	1	0	0	2	3	0	2	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colin Castleton #8 · C · 6'10" 250 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Fifth Metatarsal; Repair
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Soreness
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Index Finger; Partial Extensor Hood Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	57%	43	20	9	8	19	28	10	33	21-30	70%	32-52	62%	10-32	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	MEM

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.04 52.2%

MEM

1.15 57.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

46%

MEM

79%

Midrange

HOU

43%

MEM

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

19.5

38%

57%

MEM

15.0

31%

47%

Free Throws

HOU

59%

MEM

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Sengun	32	59%	16.0 / 27
J. Green	27	68%	13.5 / 20
F. VanVleet	22	85%	11.0 / 13
J. Tate	12	60%	6.0 / 10
A. Thompson	10	56%	5.0 / 9
C. Whitmore	9	30%	4.5 / 15
D. Brooks	5	17%	2.5 / 15
A. Holiday	2	100%	1.0 / 1
S. Adams	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Morant	27	52%	13.5 / 26
J. Jackson	21	66%	10.5 / 16
D. Bane	16	73%	8.0 / 11
S. Aldama	12	43%	6.0 / 14
L. Kennard	11	79%	5.5 / 7
B. Clarke	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Huff	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Wells	4	33%	2.0 / 6
Z. Edey	4	100%	2.0 / 2
J. LaRavia	4	50%	2.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 114.9 6 117.2	HOU 114.4 +3.8 MEM 110.6
Pace	18 99.0 1 103.7	HOU 98.9 MEM 109.6 +10.7
Avg. Poss. Time	12 14.8 28 13.4	HOU 14.6 MEM 13.1 −1.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 52.3% 12 55.4%	HOU 49.5% MEM 56.0% +6.5%
TO %	10 13.1% 25 14.4%	HOU 10.2% −6.9% MEM 17.1%
ORB %	1 31.7% 3 28.7%	HOU 32.7% +6.4% MEM 26.3%
FTrt	16 24.2 10 24.9	HOU 42.7 +7.0 MEM 35.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 54.9% 15 63.5%	HOU 51.2% +3.6% MEM 47.6%
STL %	9 8.4% 7 8.5%	HOU 12.5% +3.8% MEM 8.7%
BLK %	15 9.3% 3 10.8%	HOU 5.8% MEM 12.9% +7.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 53.9% 10 57.4%	HOU 52.2% MEM 57.5% +5.3%
Rim FG%	25 61.5% 11 65.3%	HOU 46.2% MEM 78.6% +32.4%
Mid FG%	24 40.4% 9 45.4%	HOU 43.5% +1.8% MEM 41.7%
3P %	21 35.3% 12 36.7%	HOU 38.2% +6.9% MEM 31.3%
FT %	30 73.8% 12 78.6%	HOU 58.5% MEM 70.0% +11.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 33.3% 22 30.5%	HOU 40.6% +7.3% MEM 33.3%
Mid Att. %	23 28.3% 26 29.0%	HOU 24.0% −4.6% MEM 28.6%
3P Att. %	27 38.4% 20 40.6%	HOU 35.4% MEM 38.1% +2.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.2 and 2.2.

Game Totals	HOU	MEM
Possessions	104	104
Possession Minutes	25.2	22.8
Points	119	115
Rebounds	44	43
Assists	21	20
Steals	13	9
Blocks	3	8
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	19 (1)
Fouls	23	28
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (6)	10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (5)	33 (6)
Field Goals	41-96	42-84
At-the-Rim FG	18-39	22-28
Midrange FG	10-23	10-24
2-Point FG	28-62	32-52
3-Point FG	13-34	10-32
Free Throws	24-41	21-30
Fast Break Pts	22	8
2nd Chance Pts	18	11
Points in Paint	48	62
Pts off Turnovers	31	11
Bench Points	23	43
Biggest Lead	17	4

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg