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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 9, 2025
9:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Heat60%11397
27Jazz40%10992
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.0
37.4
32.4
23
63%
7
5
1
1
1
1
0
7
5-5
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
52%
4-9
44%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.9
36.2
28.8
20
78%
7
7
2
1
0
3
2
5
3-4
75%
4-6
4-7
67%
56%
3-5
60%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.8
32.8
27.7
9
35%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
1-8
13%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'9" 255 · 27.5
28.7
30.8
15
51%
7
3
3
1
2
1
2
5
2-4
50%
5-11
6-10
45%
56%
1-2
50%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'5" 220 · 28.1
22.0
26.0
5
36%
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
56%
1-6
17%
Nikola Jović
F · 6'10" 205 · 21.6
27.3
26.0
11
37%
6
5
0
1
1
1
3
3
1-2
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
56%
2-8
25%
Kel'el Ware
C · 7'0" 230 · 20.7
19.3
16.1
8
80%
7
1
1
0
2
2
4
3
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
60%
0-0
-
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.7
18.2
21.4
0
0%
3
1
1
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
57%
0-5
0%
Alec Burks
G · 6'5" 214 · 33.5
18.1
13.5
6
43%
7
1
1
0
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
2-7
29%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.3
5.3
0
0-1
52%
Keshad Johnson
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.5
5.0
0
0-1
55%
Pelle Larsson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.9
4.2
0
0-1
57%
Josh Christopher
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.1
2.9
0
0-1
54%
Dru Smith
G · 6'2" 203 · 27.0
Kevin Love
F-C · 6'8" 251 · 36.3
Isaiah Stevens
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.2
Jimmy Butler
F · 6'7" 230 · 35.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Isaiah Collier
G · 6'3" 210 · 20.3
33.5
23.3
8
68%
3
9
0
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
3-3
2-3
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Lauri Markkanen
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27.6
30.0
24.2
23
46%
5
1
0
1
1
1
2
3
1-2
50%
2-9
3-5
22%
56%
6-15
40%
Walker Kessler
C · 7'0" 245 · 23.5
30.0
28.6
9
77%
15
0
0
1
2
2
5
10
1-2
50%
4-5
4-6
80%
69%
0-0
-
Collin Sexton
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.0
28.7
28.5
23
58%
1
5
1
1
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
8-15
5-9
53%
51%
1-3
33%
Johnny Juzang
G · 6'6" 209 · 23.8
23.6
22.1
5
28%
6
0
1
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
50%
1-5
20%
Cody Williams
F · 6'7" 190 · 20.1
23.5
22.2
5
64%
0
0
3
1
2
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Kyle Filipowski
C · 6'11" 250 · 21.2
23.1
19.0
4
52%
11
1
2
1
1
2
1
10
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
58%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 36.4
18.0
13.0
9
36%
1
1
2
0
1
2
0
1
1-1
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
49%
2-9
22%
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.9
18.0
12.5
6
61%
4
3
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
60%
0-0
-
Micah Potter
C · 6'10" 248 · 26.8
11.6
13.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
58%
0-0
-
Svi Mykhailiuk
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 27.6
9.3
0
0-1
51%
Oscar Tshiebwe
F-C · 6'8" 255 · 25.1
Taylor Hendricks
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.1
Keyonte George
G · 6'4" 185 · 21.2
Brice Sensabaugh
F · 6'5" 235 · 21.2
Elijah Harkless
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.9
John Collins
F-C · 6'9" 226 · 27.3
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'3" 194 · 32.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.