Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Kings	22%	109	114	114.0	100	93.1
	2	Celtics	78%	120	97	98.0	99	106.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 35	40.2	24	43%	4	9	1	1	0	2	0	4	4-5	80%	7-21	33%	2-5	40%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	38.9	23	77%	28	3	0	1	4	3	8	20	0-0	-	7-11	64%	3-4	75%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	37.1	19	79%	3	0	2	3	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	5-8	63%
Malik Monk #0 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 27	36.6	22	44%	3	8	1	1	1	4	1	2	1-1	100%	6-13	46%	3-11	27%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 25	22.9	6	50%	3	2	3	1	1	1	1	2	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	1-5	20%

Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	28.0	7	58%	11	3	1	1	1	2	5	6	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	18.8	2	17%	0	0	3	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-5	0%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	17.4	11	69%	4	1	0	0	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-5	60%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan McLaughlin #3 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaac Jones #17 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Glute; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	51%	56	26	11	8	9	18	16	40	8-9	89%	26-55	47%	18-47	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

12 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 35	40.2	24	43%	4	9	1	1	0	2	0	4	4-5	80%	7-21	33%	2-5	40%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	38.9	23	77%	28	3	0	1	4	3	8	20	0-0	-	7-11	64%	3-4	75%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	37.1	19	79%	3	0	2	3	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	5-8	63%
Malik Monk #0 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 27	36.6	22	44%	3	8	1	1	1	4	1	2	1-1	100%	6-13	46%	3-11	27%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 25	22.9	6	50%	3	2	3	1	1	1	1	2	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	1-5	20%

Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	28.0	7	58%	11	3	1	1	1	2	5	6	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	18.8	2	17%	0	0	3	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-5	0%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	17.4	11	69%	4	1	0	0	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-5	60%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan McLaughlin #3 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaac Jones #17 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Glute; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	51%	56	26	11	8	9	18	16	40	8-9	89%	26-55	47%	18-47	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

2 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 28	35.1	28	58%	1	5	1	1	1	2	1	0	9-11	82%	8-14	57%	1-5	20%
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 27	35.0	15	54%	12	5	0	0	8	3	0	12	2-3	67%	2-6	33%	3-7	43%
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 29	29.2	22	61%	10	0	0	2	0	2	1	9	6-7	86%	2-8	25%	4-7	57%
Jrue Holiday #4 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 35	27.9	5	63%	5	2	1	1	1	1	0	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 31	27.4	3	19%	1	3	1	2	0	1	0	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-6	0%

Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 27	27.4	9	41%	2	2	1	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-7	14%
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 39	23.2	2	25%	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 29	15.4	6	75%	6	2	1	0	1	0	3	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 27	12.9	7	58%	2	1	0	1	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-4	25%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 25	2.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Xavier Tillman #26 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 26	2.1	0	0%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jaden Springer #44 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 22	2.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Non-Covid
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Anton Watson #28 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Drew Peterson #13 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Concussion; Protocol
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	51%	43	22	5	7	15	14	8	35	18-22	82%	23-43	53%	11-41	27%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	BOS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.03 51.4%

BOS

1.02 51.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

22

30

73%

BOS

16

25

64%

Midrange

SAC

4

25

16%

BOS

7

18

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

18

27.0

47

38%

57%

BOS

11

16.5

41

27%

40%

Free Throws

SAC

8

9

89%

BOS

18

22

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	24	43%	12.0 / 28
D. Sabonis	23	77%	11.5 / 15
M. Monk	22	44%	11.0 / 25
K. Murray	19	79%	9.5 / 12
D. Carter	11	69%	5.5 / 8
T. Lyles	7	58%	3.5 / 6
K. Ellis	6	50%	3.0 / 6
K. Huerter	2	17%	1.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Brown	28	58%	14.0 / 24
K. Porziņģis	22	61%	11.0 / 18
J. Tatum	15	54%	7.5 / 14
P. Pritchard	9	41%	4.5 / 11
S. Hauser	7	58%	3.5 / 6
L. Kornet	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Holiday	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. White	3	19%	1.5 / 8
A. Horford	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 115.9 2 119.5	SAC 114.0 +16.0 BOS 98.0
Pace	19 98.9 29 96.6	SAC 93.1 BOS 106.9 +13.9
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.4 2 15.5	SAC 15.5 BOS 13.5 −2.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.8% 5 56.1%	SAC 52.0% +5.0% BOS 47.0%
TO %	6 12.6% 2 11.7%	SAC 10.2% −3.6% BOS 13.8%
ORB %	16 25.4% 15 25.6%	SAC 31.4% +14.7% BOS 16.7%
FTrt	21 23.5 30 21.2	SAC 8.8 BOS 26.2 +17.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 61.5% 20 62.8%	SAC 59.1% BOS 64.7% +5.6%
STL %	23 7.6% 26 7.4%	SAC 11.0% +5.9% BOS 5.1%
BLK %	23 8.8% 4 10.5%	SAC 18.6% +5.9% BOS 12.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 56.8% 6 57.8%	SAC 51.4% +0.3% BOS 51.1%
Rim FG%	2 67.6% 4 67.3%	SAC 73.3% +9.3% BOS 64.0%
Mid FG%	4 46.0% 14 43.9%	SAC 16.0% BOS 38.9% +22.9%
3P %	19 35.7% 10 36.8%	SAC 38.3% +11.5% BOS 26.8%
FT %	4 80.6% 6 79.9%	SAC 88.9% +7.1% BOS 81.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 26.8% 29 26.2%	SAC 29.4% BOS 29.8% +0.4%
Mid Att. %	29 34.1% 1 20.2%	SAC 24.5% BOS 21.4% −3.1%
3P Att. %	23 39.1% 1 53.6%	SAC 46.1% BOS 48.8% +2.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.17 and 3.17.

Game Totals	SAC	BOS
Possessions	100	99
Possession Minutes	25.8	22.2
Points	114	97
Rebounds	56	43
Assists	26	22
Steals	11	5
Blocks	8	7
Turnovers (Team)	9 (3)	15 (0)
Fouls	18	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (4)	8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	40 (1)	35 (3)
Field Goals	44-102	34-84
At-the-Rim FG	22-30	16-25
Midrange FG	4-25	7-18
2-Point FG	26-55	23-43
3-Point FG	18-47	11-41
Free Throws	8-9	18-22
Fast Break Pts	17	7
2nd Chance Pts	13	8
Points in Paint	48	40
Pts off Turnovers	16	8
Bench Points	20	24
Biggest Lead	19	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg