Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 10, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Wizards	27%	116	105	100.0	105	107.0
	17	Bulls	73%	125	138	131.4	105	103.1

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+16

-15

106

CHI

+13

-13

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.99 49.5%

CHI

1.31 65.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 20	29.3	7	39%	2	5	2	1	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	26.5	11	37%	11	1	0	0	1	2	3	8	2-3	67%	3-10	30%	1-4	25%
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 26	24.0	22	79%	2	2	0	0	3	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	6-9	67%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 19	22.3	2	17%	1	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-5	0%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 29	20.7	5	31%	5	3	0	1	3	1	0	5	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	0-2	0%

Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	25.5	12	55%	4	2	0	1	2	2	2	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	4-8	50%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	22.4	0	0%	1	3	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	20.6	18	75%	6	4	0	1	1	2	2	4	1-2	50%	7-10	70%	1-2	50%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	15.2	6	38%	9	1	1	0	2	3	4	5	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	11.3	11	92%	2	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-4	75%
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	6.2	5	83%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	6.2	3	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	6.2	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	3.5	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left ACL; Surgery
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Plantar Fascia Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	50%	45	26	6	4	15	15	13	32	9-13	69%	21-52	40%	18-46	39%

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30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 20	29.3	7	39%	2	5	2	1	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	26.5	11	37%	11	1	0	0	1	2	3	8	2-3	67%	3-10	30%	1-4	25%
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 26	24.0	22	79%	2	2	0	0	3	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	6-9	67%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 19	22.3	2	17%	1	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-5	0%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 29	20.7	5	31%	5	3	0	1	3	1	0	5	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	0-2	0%

Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	25.5	12	55%	4	2	0	1	2	2	2	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	4-8	50%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	22.4	0	0%	1	3	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	20.6	18	75%	6	4	0	1	1	2	2	4	1-2	50%	7-10	70%	1-2	50%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	15.2	6	38%	9	1	1	0	2	3	4	5	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	11.3	11	92%	2	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-4	75%
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	6.2	5	83%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	6.2	3	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	6.2	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	3.5	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left ACL; Surgery
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Plantar Fascia Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	50%	45	26	6	4	15	15	13	32	9-13	69%	21-52	40%	18-46	39%

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17 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zach LaVine #8 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 30	33.0	33	72%	5	3	1	0	1	0	0	5	2-4	50%	11-14	79%	3-7	43%
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 22	31.6	12	55%	13	7	3	0	1	0	2	11	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-4	50%
Coby White #0 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25	27.9	15	58%	4	6	0	1	4	0	1	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	3-9	33%
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 34	27.1	23	88%	13	6	0	1	0	1	3	10	1-3	33%	5-6	83%	4-6	67%
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 23	19.4	2	13%	3	3	3	0	2	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-4	0%

Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 27	22.1	12	86%	1	6	3	1	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-7	57%
Jalen Smith #7 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 25	17.5	15	107%	6	4	0	1	0	1	2	4	2-3	67%	2-2	100%	3-4	75%
Matas Buzelis #14 · SF · 6'8" 196 · 20	15.7	8	100%	3	0	0	2	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Talen Horton-Tucker #22 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 24	14.7	12	75%	3	3	0	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
Julian Phillips #15 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 21	12.9	2	33%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Dalen Terry #25 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 22	10.9	0	0%	1	1	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 29	4.0	4	100%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Chris Duarte #27 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 28	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
E.J. Liddell #32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Adama Sanogo #21 · C · 6'9" 245 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Emanuel Miller #20 · NA · 6'5" 215 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ayo Dosunmu #11 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus; Strain
Torrey Craig #13 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	138	66%	55	39	11	7	13	12	11	44	9-14	64%	30-46	65%	23-49	47%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	CHI
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	CHI

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.99 49.5%

CHI

1.31 65.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

43%

CHI

78%

Midrange

WAS

36%

CHI

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

27.0

39%

59%

CHI

34.5

47%

70%

Free Throws

WAS

69%

CHI

64%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Poole	22	79%	11.0 / 14
J. Butler	18	75%	9.0 / 12
K. George	12	55%	6.0 / 11
A. Sarr	11	37%	5.5 / 15
J. Champagnie	11	92%	5.5 / 6
B. Coulibaly	7	39%	3.5 / 9
J. Valančiūnas	6	38%	3.0 / 8
K. Kuzma	5	31%	2.5 / 8
J. Davis	5	83%	2.5 / 3
R. Holmes	3	50%	1.5 / 3
P. Baldwin	3	75%	1.5 / 2
B. Carrington	2	17%	1.0 / 6
C. Kispert	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Z. LaVine	33	72%	16.5 / 23
N. Vučević	23	88%	11.5 / 13
C. White	15	58%	7.5 / 13
J. Smith	15	107%	7.5 / 7
J. Giddey	12	55%	6.0 / 11
L. Ball	12	86%	6.0 / 7
T. Horton-Tucker	12	75%	6.0 / 8
M. Buzelis	8	100%	4.0 / 4
J. Carter	4	100%	2.0 / 2
P. Williams	2	13%	1.0 / 8
J. Phillips	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Terry	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	30 105.8 20 113.2	WAS 100.0 CHI 131.4 +31.4
Pace	4 101.8 2 103.7	WAS 107.0 +3.9 CHI 103.1
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 29 13.3	WAS 13.5 −0.5 CHI 14.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 51.2% 13 55.3%	WAS 49.0% CHI 67.9% +18.9%
TO %	27 14.6% 17 13.4%	WAS 13.4% CHI 12.9% −0.5%
ORB %	25 22.7% 28 22.3%	WAS 22.8% CHI 25.6% +2.8%
FTrt	26 22.9 29 21.4	WAS 13.3 CHI 14.7 +1.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 63.7% 7 67.2%	WAS 66.7% CHI 73.6% +6.9%
STL %	25 7.4% 29 7.2%	WAS 5.7% CHI 10.5% +4.8%
BLK %	12 9.6% 26 8.5%	WAS 8.7% CHI 13.5% +4.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 53.2% 13 57.0%	WAS 49.5% CHI 65.7% +16.2%
Rim FG%	17 63.7% 24 61.6%	WAS 43.3% CHI 78.1% +34.8%
Mid FG%	30 38.0% 3 46.2%	WAS 36.4% +0.7% CHI 35.7%
3P %	29 33.5% 13 36.7%	WAS 39.1% CHI 46.9% +7.8%
FT %	16 77.8% 3 80.9%	WAS 69.2% +4.9% CHI 64.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 30.5% 11 33.2%	WAS 30.6% CHI 33.7% +3.1%
Mid Att. %	11 25.9% 2 21.1%	WAS 22.4% CHI 14.7% −7.7%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 4 45.7%	WAS 46.9% CHI 51.6% +4.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	CHI
Possessions	105	105
Possession Minutes	23.6	24.4
Points	105	138
Rebounds	45	55
Assists	26	39
Steals	6	11
Blocks	4	7
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	13 (2)
Fouls	15	12
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (3)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (0)	44 (3)
Field Goals	39-98	53-95
At-the-Rim FG	13-30	25-32
Midrange FG	8-22	5-14
2-Point FG	21-52	30-46
3-Point FG	18-46	23-49
Free Throws	9-13	9-14
Fast Break Pts	11	24
2nd Chance Pts	8	17
Points in Paint	42	52
Pts off Turnovers	17	26
Bench Points	58	53
Biggest Lead	3	35

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg