Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, January 28, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Rockets	68%	117	100	99.0	101	99.2
	22	Hawks	32%	111	96	94.1	102	103.9

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

-21

ATL

+14

-16

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.11 55.6%

ATL

0.96 48.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

3 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 31	36.0	5	28%	4	6	1	0	2	4	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-7	14%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 23	33.4	25	50%	7	0	2	1	7	3	0	7	2-2	100%	10-15	67%	1-9	11%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29	32.4	11	46%	2	1	0	0	3	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	3-8	38%
Amen Thompson #1 · PF · 6'7" 200 · 22	30.8	11	69%	5	3	3	1	2	2	1	4	7-7	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 23	29.3	18	64%	10	2	1	0	2	3	2	8	4-4	100%	7-11	64%	0-1	0%

Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 29	25.3	16	100%	3	0	4	0	0	1	0	3	4-5	80%	6-6	100%	0-0	-
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 21	19.5	2	25%	6	1	1	0	3	3	1	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 28	16.9	8	80%	1	4	0	1	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 29	16.3	4	67%	6	2	0	1	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Reed Sheppard #15 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Leg; Injury Management
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Metacarpal; Fracture
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
Jack McVeigh #58 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
N'Faly Dante #3 · C · 6'11" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	56%	44	19	12	4	21	20	6	38	19-20	95%	30-49	61%	7-30	23%

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3 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 31	36.0	5	28%	4	6	1	0	2	4	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-7	14%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 23	33.4	25	50%	7	0	2	1	7	3	0	7	2-2	100%	10-15	67%	1-9	11%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29	32.4	11	46%	2	1	0	0	3	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	3-8	38%
Amen Thompson #1 · PF · 6'7" 200 · 22	30.8	11	69%	5	3	3	1	2	2	1	4	7-7	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 23	29.3	18	64%	10	2	1	0	2	3	2	8	4-4	100%	7-11	64%	0-1	0%

Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 29	25.3	16	100%	3	0	4	0	0	1	0	3	4-5	80%	6-6	100%	0-0	-
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 21	19.5	2	25%	6	1	1	0	3	3	1	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 28	16.9	8	80%	1	4	0	1	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 29	16.3	4	67%	6	2	0	1	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Reed Sheppard #15 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Lower Leg; Injury Management
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Metacarpal; Fracture
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
Jack McVeigh #58 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
N'Faly Dante #3 · C · 6'11" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	56%	44	19	12	4	21	20	6	38	19-20	95%	30-49	61%	7-30	23%

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22 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 22	36.7	12	46%	10	6	4	1	1	3	2	8	3-3	100%	3-7	43%	1-5	20%
Vít Krejčí #27 · SF · 6'8" 195 · 25	36.1	13	43%	5	2	2	1	1	1	0	5	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	2-10	20%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 26	34.4	21	58%	3	9	0	0	8	2	1	2	5-5	100%	5-7	71%	2-9	22%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	28.2	7	88%	6	1	2	1	1	4	2	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 22	22.1	11	50%	7	0	0	1	0	1	2	5	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-4	25%

De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 27	28.6	16	47%	5	0	0	0	2	2	0	5	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	1-7	14%
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	21.9	7	88%	1	0	1	0	3	2	1	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 32	19.8	6	38%	2	1	2	1	0	2	0	2	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 28	12.0	3	25%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Back; Spasms
David Roddy #8 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dominick Barlow #0 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Injury Management
Cody Zeller #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 32	Inactive - Not With Team
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 32	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	48%	40	19	11	5	16	18	9	31	13-16	81%	25-42	60%	11-47	23%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	ATL
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	ATL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.11 55.6%

ATL

0.96 48.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

79%

ATL

68%

Midrange

HOU

35%

ATL

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

10.5

23%

35%

ATL

16.5

23%

35%

Free Throws

HOU

95%

ATL

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Green	25	50%	12.5 / 25
A. Sengun	18	64%	9.0 / 14
J. Tate	16	100%	8.0 / 8
D. Brooks	11	46%	5.5 / 12
A. Thompson	11	69%	5.5 / 8
A. Holiday	8	80%	4.0 / 5
F. VanVleet	5	28%	2.5 / 9
J. Landale	4	67%	2.0 / 3
C. Whitmore	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Young	21	58%	10.5 / 18
D. Hunter	16	47%	8.0 / 17
V. Krejčí	13	43%	6.5 / 15
D. Daniels	12	46%	6.0 / 13
M. Gueye	11	50%	5.5 / 11
O. Okongwu	7	88%	3.5 / 4
K. Wallace	7	88%	3.5 / 4
L. Nance	6	38%	3.0 / 8
G. Mathews	3	25%	1.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 114.9 17 113.7	HOU 99.0 +4.9 ATL 94.1
Pace	18 99.0 3 103.4	HOU 99.2 ATL 103.9 +4.7
Avg. Poss. Time	12 14.8 30 13.3	HOU 14.5 ATL 13.9 −0.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 52.3% 17 54.6%	HOU 51.3% +4.7% ATL 46.6%
TO %	10 13.1% 23 14.1%	HOU 19.3% ATL 15.8% −3.5%
ORB %	1 31.7% 10 26.3%	HOU 16.2% ATL 19.1% +2.9%
FTrt	16 24.2 8 25.2	HOU 25.3 +7.3 ATL 18.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 54.9% 5 68.3%	HOU 51.4% ATL 52.8% +1.4%
STL %	9 8.4% 4 9.4%	HOU 11.9% +1.1% ATL 10.8%
BLK %	15 9.3% 11 9.7%	HOU 9.5% ATL 10.2% +0.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 53.9% 17 56.5%	HOU 55.6% +7.6% ATL 48.0%
Rim FG%	25 61.5% 20 62.9%	HOU 79.3% +11.1% ATL 68.2%
Mid FG%	24 40.4% 11 44.5%	HOU 35.0% ATL 50.0% +15.0%
3P %	21 35.3% 18 35.8%	HOU 23.3% ATL 23.4% +0.1%
FT %	30 73.8% 18 77.5%	HOU 95.0% +13.7% ATL 81.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 33.3% 6 34.1%	HOU 36.7% +12.0% ATL 24.7%
Mid Att. %	23 28.3% 10 24.8%	HOU 25.3% ATL 22.5% −2.8%
3P Att. %	27 38.4% 19 41.0%	HOU 38.0% ATL 52.8% +14.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.2 and 2.2.

Game Totals	HOU	ATL
Possessions	101	102
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.6
Points	100	96
Rebounds	44	40
Assists	19	19
Steals	12	11
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	21 (0)	16 (2)
Fouls	20	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (3)	9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (3)	31 (3)
Field Goals	37-79	36-89
At-the-Rim FG	23-29	15-22
Midrange FG	7-20	10-20
2-Point FG	30-49	25-42
3-Point FG	7-30	11-47
Free Throws	19-20	13-16
Fast Break Pts	13	17
2nd Chance Pts	10	15
Points in Paint	58	46
Pts off Turnovers	23	14
Bench Points	30	32
Biggest Lead	16	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg