Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 17, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	24	Spurs	34%	109	109	110.1	99	106.4
	10	Lakers	66%	115	125	123.8	101	94.4

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+12

-17

LAL

+13

-9

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.16 58.0%

LAL

1.19 59.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

24 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 25	33.5	17	61%	8	2	0	1	2	2	0	8	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	3-8	38%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 20	27.6	23	52%	8	3	0	0	2	5	2	6	4-6	67%	5-13	38%	3-6	50%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	22.1	9	64%	6	8	0	0	2	0	1	5	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	2-3	67%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	19.9	4	67%	4	1	0	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	19.3	7	58%	2	3	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%

Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	28.5	6	38%	4	5	1	1	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-7	29%
Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	28.0	11	50%	4	2	2	2	3	2	1	3	3-3	100%	4-8	50%	0-2	0%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	26.1	15	83%	3	1	0	0	3	3	2	1	0-0	-	6-6	100%	1-3	33%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	22.4	7	50%	3	5	2	1	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	12.8	10	71%	2	0	1	0	1	1	2	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Jordan McLaughlin #11 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Soreness
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Acute-on-chronic Bone Bruise
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fifth Finger; Extensor Tendon Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	58%	44	30	6	5	17	18	9	35	12-14	86%	26-50	52%	15-38	39%

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24 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 25	33.5	17	61%	8	2	0	1	2	2	0	8	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	3-8	38%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 20	27.6	23	52%	8	3	0	0	2	5	2	6	4-6	67%	5-13	38%	3-6	50%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	22.1	9	64%	6	8	0	0	2	0	1	5	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	2-3	67%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	19.9	4	67%	4	1	0	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	19.3	7	58%	2	3	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%

Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	28.5	6	38%	4	5	1	1	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-7	29%
Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	28.0	11	50%	4	2	2	2	3	2	1	3	3-3	100%	4-8	50%	0-2	0%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	26.1	15	83%	3	1	0	0	3	3	2	1	0-0	-	6-6	100%	1-3	33%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	22.4	7	50%	3	5	2	1	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	12.8	10	71%	2	0	1	0	1	1	2	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Jordan McLaughlin #11 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Soreness
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Acute-on-chronic Bone Bruise
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fifth Finger; Extensor Tendon Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	58%	44	30	6	5	17	18	9	35	12-14	86%	26-50	52%	15-38	39%

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10 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 27	36.2	30	71%	7	6	2	0	2	0	0	7	1-1	100%	7-8	88%	5-13	38%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 26	33.9	21	40%	9	14	3	1	3	1	2	7	10-13	77%	4-13	31%	1-7	14%
Jordan Goodwin #30 · SF · 6'3" 215 · 26	32.7	15	83%	4	3	3	1	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	3-6	50%
Dorian Finney-Smith #17 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 32	28.0	15	58%	3	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	4-8	50%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 25	27.6	9	64%	11	3	2	1	2	1	2	9	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	0-0	-

Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 29	28.0	11	92%	2	1	2	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 24	20.4	13	54%	3	3	0	1	0	1	1	2	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	2-7	29%
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 26	14.9	2	50%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Christian Koloko #10 · C · 6'11" 225 · 25	8.8	4	100%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Shake Milton #20 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 28	7.0	2	100%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 20	2.5	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Len #27 · C · 7'0" 250 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Reddish #5 · SF · 6'8" 208 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Jemison III #55 · C · 6'10" 270 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; -
Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar; Tendinopathy
Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery Recovery
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 40	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	60%	42	34	13	4	9	10	8	34	18-24	75%	25-42	60%	19-48	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	LAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.16 58.0%

LAL

1.19 59.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

70%

LAL

76%

Midrange

SAS

30%

LAL

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

22.5

39%

59%

LAL

28.5

40%

59%

Free Throws

SAS

86%

LAL

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Castle	23	52%	11.5 / 22
D. Vassell	17	61%	8.5 / 14
J. Sochan	15	83%	7.5 / 9
K. Johnson	11	50%	5.5 / 11
S. Mamukelashvili	10	71%	5.0 / 7
C. Paul	9	64%	4.5 / 7
H. Barnes	7	58%	3.5 / 6
B. Wesley	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Champagnie	6	38%	3.0 / 8
B. Biyombo	4	67%	2.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Reaves	30	71%	15.0 / 21
L. Dončić	21	40%	10.5 / 26
J. Goodwin	15	83%	7.5 / 9
D. Finney-Smith	15	58%	7.5 / 13
D. Knecht	13	54%	6.5 / 12
G. Vincent	11	92%	5.5 / 6
J. Hayes	9	64%	4.5 / 7
C. Koloko	4	100%	2.0 / 2
B. James	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Vanderbilt	2	50%	1.0 / 2
S. Milton	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 113.5 11 114.9	SAS 110.1 LAL 123.8 +13.7
Pace	13 100.1 20 98.4	SAS 106.4 +12.0 LAL 94.4
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.3 7 15.0	SAS 13.5 −1.7 LAL 15.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 54.4% 8 55.7%	SAS 55.1% LAL 59.4% +4.3%
TO %	11 13.2% 14 13.3%	SAS 15.3% LAL 8.2% −7.1%
ORB %	20 24.3% 24 23.3%	SAS 20.9% +2.3% LAL 18.6%
FTrt	22 23.4 1 27.1	SAS 15.9 LAL 26.7 +10.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 68.5% 14 63.5%	SAS 73.2% LAL 77.3% +4.1%
STL %	14 8.2% 21 7.8%	SAS 6.1% LAL 12.9% +6.8%
BLK %	5 10.5% 24 8.7%	SAS 11.9% +3.9% LAL 8.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.3% 8 57.6%	SAS 58.0% LAL 59.5% +1.5%
Rim FG%	14 63.9% 1 68.0%	SAS 70.4% LAL 76.0% +5.6%
Mid FG%	20 41.8% 18 42.1%	SAS 30.4% LAL 35.3% +4.9%
3P %	20 35.7% 14 36.6%	SAS 39.5% LAL 39.6% +0.1%
FT %	21 77.4% 13 78.5%	SAS 85.7% +10.7% LAL 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	8 33.7% 18 31.4%	SAS 30.7% +2.9% LAL 27.8%
Mid Att. %	4 22.2% 12 26.1%	SAS 26.1% LAL 18.9% −7.2%
3P Att. %	8 44.1% 13 42.5%	SAS 43.2% LAL 53.3% +10.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	LAL
Possessions	99	101
Possession Minutes	22.3	25.7
Points	109	125
Rebounds	44	42
Assists	30	34
Steals	6	13
Blocks	5	4
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	9 (0)
Fouls	18	10
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (3)	8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (1)	34 (1)
Field Goals	41-88	44-90
At-the-Rim FG	19-27	19-25
Midrange FG	7-23	6-17
2-Point FG	26-50	25-42
3-Point FG	15-38	19-48
Free Throws	12-14	18-24
Fast Break Pts	19	14
2nd Chance Pts	17	12
Points in Paint	48	48
Pts off Turnovers	11	28
Bench Points	49	35
Biggest Lead	7	28

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg