Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 16, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Hornets	21%	104	88	88.9	99	102.7
	6	Clippers	79%	116	123	124.2	99	95.6

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+12

-11

100

LAC

+17

-10

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

0.88 44.0%

LAC

1.16 58.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DaQuan Jeffries #3 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 28	36.5	5	23%	5	3	0	2	0	0	1	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-6	17%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	30.9	16	40%	2	5	0	0	4	3	0	2	4-5	80%	3-10	30%	2-8	25%
Josh Green #10 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 24	27.2	8	44%	1	2	1	1	0	2	1	0	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-4	0%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 27	25.0	7	35%	4	3	0	1	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-7	14%
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 23	24.6	18	60%	15	7	1	1	1	3	5	10	0-0	-	9-15	60%	0-0	-

Wendell Moore Jr. #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	21.2	8	80%	6	2	1	0	1	3	1	5	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 21	20.0	9	50%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Marcus Garrett #28 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	17.1	7	70%	1	2	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 23	13.1	6	60%	3	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	12.4	0	0%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Jusuf Nurkić #11 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	12.0	4	33%	5	0	1	0	2	1	0	5	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Damion Baugh #7 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brandon Miller #24 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Ligament Repair
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Disc; Herniation
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Repair
Josh Okogie #12 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	44%	44	27	5	5	11	18	11	33	8-9	89%	31-61	51%	6-33	18%

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27 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DaQuan Jeffries #3 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 28	36.5	5	23%	5	3	0	2	0	0	1	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-6	17%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	30.9	16	40%	2	5	0	0	4	3	0	2	4-5	80%	3-10	30%	2-8	25%
Josh Green #10 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 24	27.2	8	44%	1	2	1	1	0	2	1	0	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-4	0%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 27	25.0	7	35%	4	3	0	1	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-7	14%
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 23	24.6	18	60%	15	7	1	1	1	3	5	10	0-0	-	9-15	60%	0-0	-

Wendell Moore Jr. #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	21.2	8	80%	6	2	1	0	1	3	1	5	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 21	20.0	9	50%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Marcus Garrett #28 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	17.1	7	70%	1	2	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 23	13.1	6	60%	3	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	12.4	0	0%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Jusuf Nurkić #11 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	12.0	4	33%	5	0	1	0	2	1	0	5	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Damion Baugh #7 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brandon Miller #24 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Ligament Repair
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Disc; Herniation
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Repair
Josh Okogie #12 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	44%	44	27	5	5	11	18	11	33	8-9	89%	31-61	51%	6-33	18%

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6 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	31.4	31	86%	10	7	2	0	2	1	1	9	9-9	100%	5-8	63%	4-7	57%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 28	27.9	17	53%	14	8	1	2	5	1	5	9	3-4	75%	7-14	50%	0-0	-
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 28	27.9	12	75%	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	1-2	50%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 34	26.8	23	68%	6	5	2	1	1	1	1	5	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	3-4	75%
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 32	22.7	7	27%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-9	22%	1-4	25%

Amir Coffey #7 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 28	20.1	9	35%	3	1	1	0	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	3-9	33%	1-4	25%
Bogdan Bogdanović #10 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 33	19.2	7	88%	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 36	15.0	3	150%	5	1	1	0	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Ben Simmons #25 · PG · 6'10" 230 · 29	14.8	0	0%	2	3	0	1	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Drew Eubanks #15 · C · 6'10" 245 · 28	12.0	7	70%	9	1	0	1	1	1	4	5	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Kobe Brown #21 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 25	7.4	2	100%	1	1	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Patty Mills #88 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 37	7.4	5	125%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	7.4	0	0%	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Seth Lundy #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trentyn Flowers #9 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jordan Miller #11 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Soreness
Kris Dunn #8 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	58%	58	30	10	5	10	12	17	41	20-23	87%	32-67	48%	13-26	50%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	LAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

0.88 44.0%

LAC

1.16 58.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHA

64%

LAC

54%

Midrange

CHA

39%

LAC

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHA

9.0

18%

27%

LAC

19.5

50%

75%

Free Throws

CHA

89%

LAC

87%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Williams	18	60%	9.0 / 15
L. Ball	16	40%	8.0 / 20
N. Smith	9	50%	4.5 / 9
J. Green	8	44%	4.0 / 9
W. Moore	8	80%	4.0 / 5
M. Bridges	7	35%	3.5 / 10
M. Garrett	7	70%	3.5 / 5
M. Diabaté	6	60%	3.0 / 5
D. Jeffries	5	23%	2.5 / 11
J. Nurkić	4	33%	2.0 / 6
S. Curry	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Harden	31	86%	15.5 / 18
K. Leonard	23	68%	11.5 / 17
I. Zubac	17	53%	8.5 / 16
D. Jones	12	75%	6.0 / 8
A. Coffey	9	35%	4.5 / 13
N. Powell	7	27%	3.5 / 13
B. Bogdanović	7	88%	3.5 / 4
D. Eubanks	7	70%	3.5 / 5
P. Mills	5	125%	2.5 / 2
N. Batum	3	150%	1.5 / 1
K. Brown	2	100%	1.0 / 1
B. Simmons	0	-	0.0 / 3
C. Christie	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 106.7 15 114.3	CHA 88.9 LAC 124.2 +35.4
Pace	23 98.2 24 98.1	CHA 102.7 +7.1 LAC 95.6
Avg. Poss. Time	8 14.9 5 15.1	CHA 14.0 −1.0 LAC 15.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	30 50.3% 11 55.4%	CHA 42.6% LAC 55.4% +12.8%
TO %	28 15.1% 22 14.0%	CHA 10.1% LAC 9.6% −0.5%
ORB %	8 26.5% 19 24.4%	CHA 21.2% LAC 34.0% +12.8%
FTrt	27 22.2 9 25.1	CHA 9.6 LAC 24.7 +15.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 63.5% 24 60.5%	CHA 73.0% +6.3% LAC 66.7%
STL %	24 7.5% 2 9.5%	CHA 5.1% LAC 10.1% +5.0%
BLK %	18 9.2% 16 9.3%	CHA 7.5% LAC 8.2% +0.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	30 52.5% 9 57.5%	CHA 44.0% LAC 58.0% +14.0%
Rim FG%	30 59.7% 13 64.2%	CHA 64.3% +10.0% LAC 54.3%
Mid FG%	29 38.5% 10 45.3%	CHA 39.4% LAC 40.6% +1.2%
3P %	28 33.9% 7 37.3%	CHA 18.2% LAC 50.0% +31.8%
FT %	14 78.3% 7 79.7%	CHA 88.9% +1.9% LAC 87.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 30.7% 14 31.6%	CHA 29.8% LAC 37.6% +7.8%
Mid Att. %	16 26.3% 28 29.7%	CHA 35.1% LAC 34.4% −0.7%
3P Att. %	11 43.0% 25 38.7%	CHA 35.1% +7.1% LAC 28.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CHA	LAC
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.9
Points	88	123
Rebounds	44	58
Assists	27	30
Steals	5	10
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	10 (1)
Fouls	18	12
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (1)	17 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (0)	41 (4)
Field Goals	37-94	45-93
At-the-Rim FG	18-28	19-35
Midrange FG	13-33	13-32
2-Point FG	31-61	32-67
3-Point FG	6-33	13-26
Free Throws	8-9	20-23
Fast Break Pts	10	10
2nd Chance Pts	13	17
Points in Paint	54	52
Pts off Turnovers	8	11
Bench Points	34	33
Biggest Lead	2	38

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg