Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, January 12, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Thunder	90%	122	136	127.1	107	101.7
	30	Wizards	10%	103	95	89.6	106	111.8

Scoring Opportunities

OKC

+20

-13

114

WAS

+12

-16

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.19 59.6%

WAS

0.93 46.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

2 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	30.1	27	54%	7	4	2	0	3	3	1	6	16-17	94%	4-13	31%	1-4	25%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	29.8	14	88%	2	5	2	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-3	67%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 26	24.1	11	69%	2	1	2	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	21.7	10	63%	12	2	0	0	0	1	6	6	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 24	21.3	17	50%	6	2	0	0	3	1	0	6	8-8	100%	3-9	33%	1-4	25%

Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	30.5	23	77%	9	4	1	1	1	4	3	6	7-8	88%	5-7	71%	2-4	50%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	24.1	9	64%	9	4	1	2	0	1	3	6	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	21.9	10	56%	4	1	1	0	3	3	0	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-4	50%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	20.2	7	35%	2	2	1	0	2	4	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-6	17%
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	8.2	5	63%	3	0	0	1	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	8.2	3	150%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Alex Caruso #9 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Strain
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Iliac Wing; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	136	60%	56	26	11	4	13	22	15	41	33-35	94%	32-60	53%	13-35	37%

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2 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	30.1	27	54%	7	4	2	0	3	3	1	6	16-17	94%	4-13	31%	1-4	25%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	29.8	14	88%	2	5	2	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-3	67%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 26	24.1	11	69%	2	1	2	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	21.7	10	63%	12	2	0	0	0	1	6	6	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 24	21.3	17	50%	6	2	0	0	3	1	0	6	8-8	100%	3-9	33%	1-4	25%

Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	30.5	23	77%	9	4	1	1	1	4	3	6	7-8	88%	5-7	71%	2-4	50%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	24.1	9	64%	9	4	1	2	0	1	3	6	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	21.9	10	56%	4	1	1	0	3	3	0	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-4	50%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	20.2	7	35%	2	2	1	0	2	4	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-6	17%
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	8.2	5	63%	3	0	0	1	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	8.2	3	150%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Alex Caruso #9 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Strain
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Iliac Wing; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	136	60%	56	26	11	4	13	22	15	41	33-35	94%	32-60	53%	13-35	37%

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30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 19	34.4	5	25%	7	7	0	0	1	4	0	7	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-6	17%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 29	29.8	6	21%	2	3	1	0	3	2	1	1	2-4	50%	2-6	33%	0-6	0%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 20	28.9	10	36%	5	1	2	2	2	1	1	4	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	1-7	14%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	24.7	10	71%	6	0	0	2	0	1	1	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 26	23.3	13	50%	3	4	0	0	6	3	0	3	7-7	100%	3-4	75%	0-6	0%

Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	23.6	17	85%	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	3-5	60%
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	20.1	8	44%	2	2	2	0	0	4	1	1	8-8	100%	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	18.1	11	92%	8	0	0	0	3	3	2	6	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	13.2	2	20%	2	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	8.2	6	150%	4	2	0	1	1	2	1	3	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	5.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	5.3	4	67%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	5.3	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Plantar Fascia Contusion
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	47%	39	20	6	6	16	23	8	31	30-33	91%	19-37	51%	9-46	20%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	WAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.19 59.6%

WAS

0.93 46.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

64%

WAS

83%

Midrange

OKC

46%

WAS

21%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

19.5

37%

56%

WAS

13.5

20%

29%

Free Throws

OKC

94%

WAS

91%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	27	54%	13.5 / 25
A. Wiggins	23	77%	11.5 / 15
J. Williams	17	50%	8.5 / 17
C. Wallace	14	88%	7.0 / 8
L. Dort	11	69%	5.5 / 8
I. Hartenstein	10	63%	5.0 / 8
K. Williams	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Williams	9	64%	4.5 / 7
I. Joe	7	35%	3.5 / 10
B. Carlson	5	63%	2.5 / 4
A. Ducas	3	150%	1.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Kispert	17	85%	8.5 / 10
J. Poole	13	50%	6.5 / 13
J. Valančiūnas	11	92%	5.5 / 6
B. Coulibaly	10	36%	5.0 / 14
A. Sarr	10	71%	5.0 / 7
K. George	8	44%	4.0 / 9
K. Kuzma	6	21%	3.0 / 14
J. Butler	6	150%	3.0 / 2
B. Carrington	5	25%	2.5 / 10
A. Gill	4	67%	2.0 / 3
P. Baldwin	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Champagnie	2	20%	1.0 / 5
J. Davis	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	3 119.2 30 105.8	OKC 127.1 +37.5 WAS 89.6
Pace	5 100.9 4 101.8	OKC 101.7 WAS 111.8 +10.1
Avg. Poss. Time	25 13.9 23 14.0	OKC 14.2 WAS 12.9 −1.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 56.0% 28 51.2%	OKC 54.2% +15.0% WAS 39.2%
TO %	1 10.9% 27 14.6%	OKC 10.5% −5.1% WAS 15.6%
ORB %	21 24.2% 25 22.7%	OKC 32.6% +16.3% WAS 16.3%
FTrt	28 22.0 26 22.9	OKC 36.8 WAS 39.8 +3.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 60.2% 12 63.7%	OKC 57.8% WAS 71.4% +13.6%
STL %	1 10.2% 25 7.4%	OKC 10.3% +4.6% WAS 5.7%
BLK %	2 11.9% 12 9.6%	OKC 10.8% +0.8% WAS 10.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.52 and 2.52.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	4 57.9% 29 53.2%	OKC 59.6% +13.0% WAS 46.6%
Rim FG%	10 65.7% 17 63.7%	OKC 64.0% WAS 83.3% +19.3%
Mid FG%	7 45.7% 30 38.0%	OKC 45.7% +24.6% WAS 21.1%
3P %	6 37.4% 29 33.5%	OKC 37.1% +17.5% WAS 19.6%
FT %	1 81.9% 16 77.8%	OKC 94.3% +3.4% WAS 90.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 29.5% 21 30.5%	OKC 26.3% +4.6% WAS 21.7%
Mid Att. %	25 28.6% 11 25.9%	OKC 36.8% WAS 22.9% −14.0%
3P Att. %	16 41.9% 10 43.6%	OKC 36.8% WAS 55.4% +18.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	OKC	WAS
Possessions	107	106
Possession Minutes	25.2	22.8
Points	136	95
Rebounds	56	39
Assists	26	20
Steals	11	6
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	16 (2)
Fouls	22	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (5)	8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	41 (4)	31 (1)
Field Goals	45-95	28-83
At-the-Rim FG	16-25	15-18
Midrange FG	16-35	4-19
2-Point FG	32-60	19-37
3-Point FG	13-35	9-46
Free Throws	33-35	30-33
Fast Break Pts	19	8
2nd Chance Pts	23	12
Points in Paint	44	36
Pts off Turnovers	25	9
Bench Points	57	51
Biggest Lead	44	1

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg