Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, January 13, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Timberwolves	84%	119	120	118.8	101	95.9
	29	Wizards	16%	105	106	106.0	100	105.6

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

+18

-18

101

WAS

+10

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.19 59.4%

WAS

1.07 53.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

9 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	36.4	41	73%	6	7	3	1	7	2	2	4	8-8	100%	9-14	64%	5-11	45%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	32.7	20	53%	10	3	0	0	3	1	3	7	4-8	50%	8-13	62%	0-2	0%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	32.6	11	79%	11	2	1	1	0	1	5	6	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	30.3	8	44%	8	0	0	1	2	1	2	6	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · PG · 6'4" 203 · 28	28.9	13	41%	3	0	1	0	3	1	2	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	3-11	27%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 25	23.9	12	86%	5	1	3	1	0	4	0	5	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	3-4	75%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	23.1	6	100%	3	3	0	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	20.3	7	70%	5	4	0	1	1	2	0	5	4-5	80%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	6.8	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 26	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21	1.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	1.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jesse Edwards #14 · C · 7'0" 236 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Terrence Shannon Jr. #00 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Mid-Foot; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	59%	53	20	8	6	18	15	14	39	24-31	77%	27-46	59%	14-37	38%

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9 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	36.4	41	73%	6	7	3	1	7	2	2	4	8-8	100%	9-14	64%	5-11	45%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	32.7	20	53%	10	3	0	0	3	1	3	7	4-8	50%	8-13	62%	0-2	0%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	32.6	11	79%	11	2	1	1	0	1	5	6	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	30.3	8	44%	8	0	0	1	2	1	2	6	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · PG · 6'4" 203 · 28	28.9	13	41%	3	0	1	0	3	1	2	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	3-11	27%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 25	23.9	12	86%	5	1	3	1	0	4	0	5	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	3-4	75%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	23.1	6	100%	3	3	0	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	20.3	7	70%	5	4	0	1	1	2	0	5	4-5	80%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	6.8	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 26	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21	1.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	1.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jesse Edwards #14 · C · 7'0" 236 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Terrence Shannon Jr. #00 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Mid-Foot; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	59%	53	20	8	6	18	15	14	39	24-31	77%	27-46	59%	14-37	38%

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29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 29	35.5	22	48%	5	5	3	0	1	3	0	5	1-4	25%	6-13	46%	3-8	38%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 20	34.7	15	75%	1	3	1	0	2	2	1	0	1-1	100%	4-8	50%	2-2	100%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 19	33.8	8	40%	5	2	1	0	0	2	1	4	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	2-6	33%
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 26	33.2	20	48%	7	4	2	1	5	2	2	5	0-0	-	4-10	40%	4-11	36%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	27.9	13	54%	3	5	2	2	1	2	2	1	2-4	50%	1-5	20%	3-5	60%

Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	18.8	8	100%	8	4	2	0	0	3	2	6	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	17.8	2	25%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	17.5	10	71%	1	3	2	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	9.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	6.9	7	70%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	1.4	1	25%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	1.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Plantar Fascia Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	54%	34	27	13	3	11	18	8	26	9-15	60%	23-51	45%	17-40	43%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	WAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.19 59.4%

WAS

1.07 53.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

75%

WAS

63%

Midrange

MIN

33%

WAS

19%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

21.0

38%

57%

WAS

25.5

43%

64%

Free Throws

MIN

77%

WAS

60%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	41	73%	20.5 / 28
J. Randle	20	53%	10.0 / 19
D. DiVincenzo	13	41%	6.5 / 16
N. Reid	12	86%	6.0 / 7
R. Gobert	11	79%	5.5 / 7
J. McDaniels	8	44%	4.0 / 9
M. Conley	7	70%	3.5 / 5
N. Alexander-Walker	6	100%	3.0 / 3
J. Minott	2	50%	1.0 / 2
L. Garza	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Kuzma	22	48%	11.0 / 23
J. Poole	20	48%	10.0 / 21
B. Coulibaly	15	75%	7.5 / 10
A. Sarr	13	54%	6.5 / 12
K. George	10	71%	5.0 / 7
B. Carrington	8	40%	4.0 / 10
J. Valančiūnas	8	100%	4.0 / 4
J. Butler	7	70%	3.5 / 5
C. Kispert	2	25%	1.0 / 4
A. Gill	1	25%	0.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 115.7 30 105.8	MIN 118.8 +12.8 WAS 106.0
Pace	25 98.1 4 101.8	MIN 95.9 WAS 105.6 +9.6
Avg. Poss. Time	11 14.8 23 14.0	MIN 15.0 WAS 13.6 −1.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.4% 28 51.2%	MIN 57.8% +4.5% WAS 53.3%
TO %	19 13.9% 27 14.6%	MIN 16.4% WAS 10.1% −6.3%
ORB %	14 25.7% 25 22.7%	MIN 35.0% +18.0% WAS 17.0%
FTrt	11 24.9 26 22.9	MIN 37.3 +20.8 WAS 16.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 63.7% 12 63.7%	MIN 48.8% WAS 67.5% +18.7%
STL %	16 8.1% 25 7.4%	MIN 7.9% WAS 13.0% +5.1%
BLK %	14 9.5% 12 9.6%	MIN 11.8% +5.3% WAS 6.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.3% 29 53.2%	MIN 59.4% +5.9% WAS 53.5%
Rim FG%	12 64.8% 17 63.7%	MIN 75.0% +11.7% WAS 63.3%
Mid FG%	27 39.5% 30 38.0%	MIN 33.3% +14.3% WAS 19.0%
3P %	4 37.7% 29 33.5%	MIN 37.8% WAS 42.5% +4.7%
FT %	10 78.9% 16 77.8%	MIN 77.4% +17.4% WAS 60.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 32.2% 21 30.5%	MIN 33.7% +0.8% WAS 33.0%
Mid Att. %	6 22.3% 11 25.9%	MIN 21.7% −1.4% WAS 23.1%
3P Att. %	6 45.5% 10 43.6%	MIN 44.6% +0.6% WAS 44.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	WAS
Possessions	101	100
Possession Minutes	25.3	22.7
Points	120	106
Rebounds	53	34
Assists	20	27
Steals	8	13
Blocks	6	3
Turnovers (Team)	18 (1)	11 (0)
Fouls	15	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (4)	8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (5)	26 (0)
Field Goals	41-83	40-91
At-the-Rim FG	21-28	19-30
Midrange FG	6-18	4-21
2-Point FG	27-46	23-51
3-Point FG	14-37	17-40
Free Throws	24-31	9-15
Fast Break Pts	18	17
2nd Chance Pts	15	13
Points in Paint	48	42
Pts off Turnovers	12	22
Bench Points	27	28
Biggest Lead	17	6

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg