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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 13, 2025
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Grizzlies47%114118
6Rockets53%115120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jaylen Wells
F · 6'8" 205 · 21.4
30.0
28.6
14
79%
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
51%
3-4
75%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 25.3
30.1
33.1
17
58%
2
3
3
1
1
2
0
2
4-6
67%
5-9
7-14
56%
53%
1-3
33%
Zach Edey
C · 7'4" 305 · 22.7
23.6
18.7
2
25%
7
0
1
0
1
2
1
6
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
58%
0-2
0%
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.6
34.1
30.7
25
87%
3
2
2
1
0
3
1
2
3-3
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
52%
4-5
80%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.4
37.1
27.7
29
54%
3
4
4
1
0
7
0
3
3-6
50%
7-13
6-11
54%
51%
4-11
36%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 28.3
24.4
18.3
6
51%
4
0
1
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
63%
0-0
-
Jake LaRavia
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.2
21.0
17.6
12
86%
7
0
2
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
50%
2-3
67%
Santi Aldama
F-C · 6'11" 215 · 24.0
17.9
16.7
5
43%
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
56%
0-2
0%
Scotty Pippen Jr.
G · 6'3" 170 · 24.2
11.4
17.7
4
67%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.6
10.3
22.3
4
50%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-1
0%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.8
8.2
0
0-1
55%
Yuki Kawamura
G · 5'8" 159 · 23.7
1.7
0
0-0
45%
Vince Williams Jr.
G · 6'6" 205 · 24.4
GG Jackson
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.1
Jay Huff
F · 7'1" 240 · 27.4
Cam Spencer
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.8
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.9
Zyon Pullin
G · 6'4" 206 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 29.0
39.1
28.7
9
38%
5
2
4
1
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
1-3
3-5
33%
48%
2-8
25%
Amen Thompson
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 22.0
41.2
32.7
19
53%
13
4
2
1
5
4
4
9
4-7
57%
6-12
5-8
50%
61%
1-3
33%
Alperen Sengun
C · 6'10" 243 · 22.5
32.2
31.4
17
43%
8
5
3
1
1
6
3
5
3-6
50%
7-16
8-15
44%
56%
0-1
0%
Jalen Green
G · 6'6" 186 · 22.9
40.1
33.3
42
92%
3
4
1
1
0
3
0
3
11-11
100%
8-12
5-10
67%
51%
5-6
83%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 30.9
36.3
36.4
9
67%
2
9
1
2
1
2
0
2
3-4
75%
0-2
3-6
0%
47%
2-3
67%
Cam Whitmore
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.5
21.5
17.4
16
89%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
54%
4-7
57%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.5
13.0
11.2
2
41%
7
1
0
0
1
2
6
1
0-1
0%
1-2
1-2
50%
58%
0-0
-
Aaron Holiday
G · 6'1" 187 · 28.3
9.1
13.8
6
75%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
2-3
67%
Jae'Sean Tate
F · 6'4" 230 · 29.2
7.5
16.1
0
0%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
57%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 38.4
6.3
0
0-1
55%
Reed Sheppard
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.6
4.6
0
0-1
48%
Jock Landale
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.2
2.8
0
0-1
58%
Nate Williams
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.9
1.8
0
0-0
52%
Jack McVeigh
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 28.5
N'Faly Dante
C · 7'0" 230 · 23.2
Jabari Smith Jr.
F · 6'10" 220 · 21.7
Tari Eason
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.