Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, January 14, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Thunder	88%	115	118	120.4	98	95.6
	28	76ers	12%	98	102	103.0	99	101.6

Scoring Opportunities

OKC

+10

-17

PHI

+17

-21

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.28 64.1%

PHI

1.07 53.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

2 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	34.0	18	82%	5	4	1	0	1	3	3	2	2-2	100%	5-5	100%	2-5	40%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 24	33.8	24	67%	4	6	3	1	4	3	1	3	6-6	100%	6-10	60%	2-5	40%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	33.2	32	89%	3	9	2	1	4	4	1	2	7-8	88%	11-12	92%	1-3	33%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	30.8	9	56%	16	3	1	1	2	2	3	13	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 26	26.7	8	50%	2	1	0	0	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-5	40%

Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	20.9	10	63%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-6	33%
Alex Caruso #9 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 31	17.8	3	38%	1	1	2	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	15.8	6	60%	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	13.3	5	50%	1	3	1	0	2	4	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	9.7	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	2.5	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	1.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Iliac Wing; Fracture
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	64%	38	32	10	4	17	22	10	28	16-18	89%	33-45	73%	12-36	33%

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2 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	34.0	18	82%	5	4	1	0	1	3	3	2	2-2	100%	5-5	100%	2-5	40%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 24	33.8	24	67%	4	6	3	1	4	3	1	3	6-6	100%	6-10	60%	2-5	40%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	33.2	32	89%	3	9	2	1	4	4	1	2	7-8	88%	11-12	92%	1-3	33%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	30.8	9	56%	16	3	1	1	2	2	3	13	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 26	26.7	8	50%	2	1	0	0	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-5	40%

Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	20.9	10	63%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-6	33%
Alex Caruso #9 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 31	17.8	3	38%	1	1	2	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	15.8	6	60%	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	13.3	5	50%	1	3	1	0	2	4	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	9.7	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	2.5	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	1.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Iliac Wing; Fracture
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	64%	38	32	10	4	17	22	10	28	16-18	89%	33-45	73%	12-36	33%

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28 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ricky Council IV #14 · PF · 6'6" 207 · 23	35.4	13	41%	4	4	0	0	6	2	2	2	2-3	67%	4-7	57%	1-8	13%
Guerschon Yabusele #28 · C · 6'7" 265 · 29	30.7	17	77%	7	4	0	0	1	3	5	2	2-4	50%	3-4	75%	3-5	60%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 29	29.9	8	33%	4	2	4	0	1	3	1	3	4-5	80%	2-6	33%	0-4	0%
Eric Gordon #23 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 36	28.3	10	56%	3	1	1	0	1	2	1	2	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	3-8	38%
Reggie Jackson #00 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 35	16.9	4	40%	2	4	1	0	5	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-3	0%

Justin Edwards #19 · SG · 6'7" 217 · 21	35.0	25	69%	6	4	1	0	3	1	1	5	3-4	75%	5-7	71%	4-9	44%
Jeff Dowtin Jr. #11 · PG · 6'3" 177 · 28	29.5	18	60%	5	3	2	1	1	2	0	5	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	2-5	40%
Pete Nance #22 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 25	17.8	0	0%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Adem Bona #30 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 22	16.6	7	117%	3	0	0	0	3	3	1	2	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin Strain
Paul George #8 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Soreness
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand Sprain
KJ Martin #1 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Stress Reaction
Andre Drummond #5 · C · 6'11" 279 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Sprain
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Sprain
Jared McCain #20 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Surgery
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 39	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	54%	35	23	10	1	21	18	11	24	15-20	75%	24-40	60%	13-44	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	PHI
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	PHI

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.28 64.1%

PHI

1.07 53.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

84%

PHI

72%

Midrange

OKC

50%

PHI

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

18.0

33%

50%

PHI

19.5

30%

44%

Free Throws

OKC

89%

PHI

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	32	89%	16.0 / 18
J. Williams	24	67%	12.0 / 18
C. Wallace	18	82%	9.0 / 11
I. Joe	10	63%	5.0 / 8
I. Hartenstein	9	56%	4.5 / 8
L. Dort	8	50%	4.0 / 8
A. Wiggins	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Williams	5	50%	2.5 / 5
A. Caruso	3	38%	1.5 / 4
B. Carlson	3	150%	1.5 / 1
K. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Edwards	25	69%	12.5 / 18
J. Dowtin	18	60%	9.0 / 15
G. Yabusele	17	77%	8.5 / 11
R. Council	13	41%	6.5 / 16
E. Gordon	10	56%	5.0 / 9
K. Oubre	8	33%	4.0 / 12
A. Bona	7	117%	3.5 / 3
R. Jackson	4	40%	2.0 / 5
P. Nance	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	3 119.2 22 110.9	OKC 120.4 +17.4 PHI 103.0
Pace	5 100.9 22 98.2	OKC 95.6 PHI 101.6 +6.0
Avg. Poss. Time	25 13.9 10 14.8	OKC 15.1 PHI 14.2 −0.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 56.0% 22 52.7%	OKC 63.0% +11.2% PHI 51.8%
TO %	1 10.9% 9 13.0%	OKC 16.8% −2.4% PHI 19.2%
ORB %	21 24.2% 22 23.4%	OKC 29.4% +1.2% PHI 28.2%
FTrt	28 22.0 6 25.7	OKC 22.2 PHI 23.8 +1.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 60.2% 29 58.4%	OKC 71.1% +8.9% PHI 62.2%
STL %	1 10.2% 5 9.3%	OKC 10.2% +0.1% PHI 10.1%
BLK %	2 11.9% 19 9.1%	OKC 10.0% +7.8% PHI 2.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.52 and 2.52.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	4 57.9% 22 54.8%	OKC 64.1% +10.4% PHI 53.7%
Rim FG%	10 65.7% 23 61.8%	OKC 83.9% +11.9% PHI 72.0%
Mid FG%	7 45.7% 19 42.0%	OKC 50.0% +10.0% PHI 40.0%
3P %	6 37.4% 27 34.1%	OKC 33.3% +3.8% PHI 29.5%
FT %	1 81.9% 15 78.0%	OKC 88.9% +13.9% PHI 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 29.5% 7 34.0%	OKC 38.3% +8.5% PHI 29.8%
Mid Att. %	25 28.6% 8 23.5%	OKC 17.3% −0.6% PHI 17.9%
3P Att. %	16 41.9% 14 42.5%	OKC 44.4% PHI 52.4% +7.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	OKC	PHI
Possessions	98	99
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	118	102
Rebounds	38	35
Assists	32	23
Steals	10	10
Blocks	4	1
Turnovers (Team)	17 (1)	21 (1)
Fouls	22	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (0)	11 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (5)	24 (2)
Field Goals	45-81	37-84
At-the-Rim FG	26-31	18-25
Midrange FG	7-14	6-15
2-Point FG	33-45	24-40
3-Point FG	12-36	13-44
Free Throws	16-18	15-20
Fast Break Pts	15	14
2nd Chance Pts	10	15
Points in Paint	62	42
Pts off Turnovers	29	18
Bench Points	27	50
Biggest Lead	21	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg