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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 15, 2025
10:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Heat49%109108
15Lakers51%110117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.1
29.3
31.3
12
60%
3
1
0
1
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
57%
2-4
50%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'7" 225 · 23.9
24.6
29.8
11
66%
5
3
1
1
0
1
0
5
3-3
100%
1-3
4-7
33%
55%
2-4
50%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 27.5
31.0
20.0
10
57%
4
5
1
1
0
3
0
4
3-4
75%
2-4
4-7
50%
55%
1-3
33%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 25.0
38.3
34.2
34
88%
4
3
1
1
0
7
0
4
3-3
100%
5-6
4-8
83%
52%
7-12
58%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.8
24.4
26.2
6
43%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
50%
0-3
0%
Nikola Jović
F · 6'10" 205 · 21.6
32.3
27.7
12
76%
4
8
0
1
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
55%
2-3
67%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.7
22.0
21.3
7
42%
2
1
0
1
1
2
0
2
3-3
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
57%
0-4
0%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 33.5
20.6
11.2
8
133%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
42%
2-2
100%
Kel'el Ware
C · 7'0" 230 · 20.7
17.5
22.5
8
57%
11
2
0
1
2
0
1
10
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
59%
0-1
0%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 36.4
8.1
0
1-1
50%
Pelle Larsson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.9
4.2
0
0-1
54%
Isaiah Stevens
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.2
2.8
0
0-0
48%
Keshad Johnson
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.6
2.3
0
0-0
53%
Josh Christopher
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.1
1.5
0
0-0
52%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 35.3
Dru Smith
G · 6'3" 203 · 27.0
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rui Hachimura
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.9
33.3
23.4
23
69%
8
1
1
1
0
2
2
6
3-4
75%
7-10
2-4
70%
56%
2-5
40%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 40.0
38.1
27.0
22
69%
5
9
2
1
0
2
1
4
1-2
50%
6-9
5-9
67%
58%
3-6
50%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 31.8
36.6
27.9
22
50%
11
4
2
1
2
1
2
9
1-2
50%
9-18
7-11
50%
57%
1-3
33%
Max Christie
G · 6'6" 190 · 21.9
37.1
25.9
16
62%
3
0
2
1
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-5
2-3
60%
53%
3-7
43%
Austin Reaves
G · 6'5" 197 · 26.6
35.2
28.7
14
71%
3
14
3
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
58%
2-3
67%
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.6
25.9
14.2
14
78%
1
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-4
1-1
100%
50%
2-5
40%
Jaxson Hayes
C · 6'11" 220 · 24.6
14.2
10.6
4
67%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
67%
0-0
-
Dalton Knecht
F · 6'6" 215 · 23.7
13.8
12.7
2
20%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
58%
0-4
0%
Shake Milton
G · 6'6" 207 · 28.3
5.7
5.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Cam Reddish
F-G · 6'8" 208 · 25.4
11.2
0
0-1
49%
Armel Traoré
F · 6'8" 215 · 22.0
2.6
0
0-0
52%
Bronny James
G · 6'2" 210 · 20.3
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 31.7
Jalen Hood-Schifino
G · 6'6" 215 · 21.6
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 29.3
Christian Koloko
C · 7'1" 230 · 24.6
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 25.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.