Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, January 16, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Cavaliers	39%	110	114	106.5	107	103.3
	2	Thunder	61%	114	134	127.6	105	108.9

Scoring Opportunities

CLE

+15

-21

101

OKC

+11

-6

110

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.13 56.4%

OKC

1.22 60.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

3 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dean Wade #32 · SF · 6'9" 228 · 28	24.6	6	75%	5	1	0	0	2	0	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 25	24.0	20	83%	2	9	0	1	3	2	1	1	5-6	83%	6-6	100%	1-4	25%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 28	20.7	8	25%	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	2-11	18%	1-4	25%
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 24	18.3	5	36%	3	1	0	1	2	0	1	2	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 27	16.4	13	108%	7	0	0	0	2	1	3	4	1-1	100%	6-6	100%	0-0	-

Isaac Okoro #35 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	22.7	7	35%	3	1	0	0	2	4	0	3	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-8	13%
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 29	19.9	3	38%	3	1	0	0	3	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Caris LeVert #3 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 30	19.8	9	64%	3	3	0	1	3	0	0	3	3-5	60%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28	16.3	12	100%	3	4	0	0	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-3	67%
Georges Niang #20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 32	14.4	5	36%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	12.0	9	75%	2	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-6	50%
Tristan Thompson #13 · PF · 6'9" 254 · 34	12.0	4	67%	7	2	0	1	0	0	1	6	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jaylon Tyson #24 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22	12.0	5	42%	6	1	0	0	1	0	2	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	7.0	8	133%	1	3	0	1	1	1	1	0	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
JT Thor #15 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Emoni Bates #21 · SF · 6'9" 202 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Luke Travers #33 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	56%	49	32	2	5	21	11	11	38	17-21	81%	29-48	60%	13-42	31%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

3 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dean Wade #32 · SF · 6'9" 228 · 28	24.6	6	75%	5	1	0	0	2	0	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 25	24.0	20	83%	2	9	0	1	3	2	1	1	5-6	83%	6-6	100%	1-4	25%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 28	20.7	8	25%	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	2-11	18%	1-4	25%
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 24	18.3	5	36%	3	1	0	1	2	0	1	2	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 27	16.4	13	108%	7	0	0	0	2	1	3	4	1-1	100%	6-6	100%	0-0	-

Isaac Okoro #35 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	22.7	7	35%	3	1	0	0	2	4	0	3	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-8	13%
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 29	19.9	3	38%	3	1	0	0	3	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Caris LeVert #3 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 30	19.8	9	64%	3	3	0	1	3	0	0	3	3-5	60%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28	16.3	12	100%	3	4	0	0	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-3	67%
Georges Niang #20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 32	14.4	5	36%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	12.0	9	75%	2	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-6	50%
Tristan Thompson #13 · PF · 6'9" 254 · 34	12.0	4	67%	7	2	0	1	0	0	1	6	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jaylon Tyson #24 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22	12.0	5	42%	6	1	0	0	1	0	2	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	7.0	8	133%	1	3	0	1	1	1	1	0	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
JT Thor #15 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Emoni Bates #21 · SF · 6'9" 202 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Luke Travers #33 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	56%	49	32	2	5	21	11	11	38	17-21	81%	29-48	60%	13-42	31%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

2 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 24	30.1	19	68%	6	5	3	2	0	2	1	5	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	1-4	25%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	29.2	40	71%	3	8	2	0	2	1	0	3	5-5	100%	16-21	76%	1-5	20%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	26.5	6	50%	6	2	0	0	1	2	0	6	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 26	19.7	22	100%	2	2	1	1	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	6-9	67%
Jaylin Williams #6 · C · 6'9" 240 · 23	14.2	5	42%	5	1	0	0	0	4	2	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-5	20%

Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	32.9	4	25%	5	3	0	0	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	21.4	12	86%	3	0	2	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-7	57%
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	17.4	11	69%	4	0	0	1	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-6	50%
Alex Caruso #9 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 31	13.6	10	125%	1	2	3	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	11.7	2	33%	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	9.2	3	38%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	7.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	7.0	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-8	0%
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Iliac Wing; Fracture
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Soleus; Strain
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	134	61%	39	25	12	5	6	20	8	31	10-11	91%	35-52	67%	18-53	34%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	OKC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.13 56.4%

OKC

1.22 60.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CLE

63%

OKC

72%

Midrange

CLE

54%

OKC

63%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CLE

19.5

31%

46%

OKC

27.0

34%

51%

Free Throws

CLE

81%

OKC

91%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Garland	20	83%	10.0 / 12
J. Allen	13	108%	6.5 / 6
T. Jerome	12	100%	6.0 / 6
C. LeVert	9	64%	4.5 / 7
S. Merrill	9	75%	4.5 / 6
D. Mitchell	8	25%	4.0 / 16
C. Porter	8	133%	4.0 / 3
I. Okoro	7	35%	3.5 / 10
D. Wade	6	75%	3.0 / 4
E. Mobley	5	36%	2.5 / 7
G. Niang	5	36%	2.5 / 7
J. Tyson	5	42%	2.5 / 6
T. Thompson	4	67%	2.0 / 3
M. Strus	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	40	71%	20.0 / 28
L. Dort	22	100%	11.0 / 11
J. Williams	19	68%	9.5 / 14
I. Joe	12	86%	6.0 / 7
B. Carlson	11	69%	5.5 / 8
A. Caruso	10	125%	5.0 / 4
C. Wallace	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Williams	5	42%	2.5 / 6
A. Wiggins	4	25%	2.0 / 8
O. Dieng	3	38%	1.5 / 4
K. Williams	2	33%	1.0 / 3
A. Ducas	0	-	0.0 / 1
A. Flagler	0	-	0.0 / 9

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 120.9 3 119.2	CLE 106.5 OKC 127.6 +21.1
Pace	10 100.4 5 100.9	CLE 103.3 OKC 108.9 +5.6
Avg. Poss. Time	26 13.8 25 13.9	CLE 13.9 OKC 13.2 −0.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.8% 7 56.0%	CLE 53.9% OKC 59.0% +5.1%
TO %	5 12.4% 1 10.9%	CLE 17.5% OKC 6.0% −11.5%
ORB %	13 25.9% 21 24.2%	CLE 26.2% +8.8% OKC 17.4%
FTrt	18 24.1 28 22.0	CLE 23.3 +12.8 OKC 10.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 63.1% 26 60.2%	CLE 76.2% +29.0% OKC 47.2%
STL %	15 8.1% 1 10.2%	CLE 1.9% OKC 11.4% +9.5%
BLK %	28 7.9% 2 11.9%	CLE 9.6% OKC 10.4% +0.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.52 and 2.52.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 59.2% 4 57.9%	CLE 56.4% OKC 60.9% +4.5%
Rim FG%	9 66.0% 10 65.7%	CLE 62.9% OKC 72.0% +9.1%
Mid FG%	2 47.9% 7 45.7%	CLE 53.8% OKC 63.0% +9.2%
3P %	2 38.3% 6 37.4%	CLE 31.0% OKC 34.0% +3.0%
FT %	17 77.6% 1 81.9%	CLE 81.0% OKC 90.9% +9.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 30.6% 26 29.5%	CLE 38.9% +15.1% OKC 23.8%
Mid Att. %	9 23.7% 25 28.6%	CLE 14.4% −11.3% OKC 25.7%
3P Att. %	5 45.7% 16 41.9%	CLE 46.7% OKC 50.5% +3.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CLE	OKC
Possessions	107	105
Possession Minutes	24.9	23.1
Points	114	134
Rebounds	49	39
Assists	32	25
Steals	2	12
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	21 (0)	6 (1)
Fouls	11	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (4)	8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (4)	31 (5)
Field Goals	42-90	53-105
At-the-Rim FG	22-35	18-25
Midrange FG	7-13	17-27
2-Point FG	29-48	35-52
3-Point FG	13-42	18-53
Free Throws	17-21	10-11
Fast Break Pts	8	21
2nd Chance Pts	14	12
Points in Paint	54	54
Pts off Turnovers	7	30
Bench Points	62	42
Biggest Lead	4	42

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg