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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 19, 2025
3:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Spurs44%110107
16Heat56%112128
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Castle
G · 6'6" 215 · 20.2
27.2
25.8
11
62%
4
1
0
1
0
4
4
0
2-2
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
50%
1-1
100%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 32.6
31.4
27.0
10
51%
5
2
0
0
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
3-6
2-4
50%
54%
1-3
33%
Victor Wembanyama
F-C · 7'4" 210 · 21.0
30.1
31.1
21
51%
10
3
0
1
1
3
1
9
2-6
33%
5-10
5-9
50%
56%
3-8
38%
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24.4
34.6
30.9
23
54%
3
2
1
1
2
1
0
3
3-3
100%
4-10
4-8
40%
52%
4-10
40%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 39.7
27.9
27.8
10
78%
4
9
0
1
1
0
0
4
1-1
100%
0-0
1-3
-
52%
3-6
50%
Julian Champagnie
F · 6'7" 217 · 23.6
22.1
20.1
5
31%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
1-6
17%
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 25.3
18.0
22.5
8
44%
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
54%
0-2
0%
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.0
16.0
14.4
5
63%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
54%
1-2
50%
Charles Bassey
C-F · 6'10" 230 · 24.2
9.4
12.7
2
50%
4
0
2
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
61%
0-0
-
Sandro Mamukelashvili
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 25.7
9.1
3.3
4
69%
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
58%
1-2
50%
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 27.2
7.1
3.9
2
100%
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
54%
0-0
-
Blake Wesley
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.8
2.4
3.4
2
100%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Malaki Branham
F · 6'5" 180 · 21.7
2.4
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Sidy Cissoko
G · 6'8" 200 · 20.8
2.4
1.5
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
53%
0-0
-
Riley Minix
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.3
Harrison Ingram
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.1
Jeremy Sochan
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.7
David Duke Jr.
G · 6'4" 204 · 25.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 35.3
27.8
18.4
8
51%
3
7
0
1
2
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
54%
0-1
0%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.1
8.5
23.1
2
33%
3
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
58%
0-0
-
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 27.5
25.2
28.0
6
33%
11
5
1
1
1
3
3
8
0-0
-
3-7
5-9
43%
55%
0-2
0%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.7
27.8
23.4
21
88%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
58%
5-7
71%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 25.0
33.2
34.5
18
70%
6
7
1
1
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
53%
2-4
50%
Kel'el Ware
C · 7'0" 230 · 20.8
33.7
17.9
25
60%
8
2
0
1
2
0
4
4
4-4
100%
9-14
3-5
64%
59%
1-5
20%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.8
30.9
24.5
20
67%
4
5
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
3-9
3-5
33%
51%
4-5
80%
Nikola Jović
F · 6'10" 205 · 21.6
23.9
29.4
14
88%
2
5
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
56%
4-6
67%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'7" 225 · 23.9
22.0
25.7
12
86%
6
1
3
1
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
55%
2-2
100%
Pelle Larsson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.9
2.4
3.0
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
55%
0-1
0%
Keshad Johnson
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.6
2.4
2.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
55%
0-0
-
Josh Christopher
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.1
2.4
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
55%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 33.5
9.5
0
0-1
44%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 36.4
4.2
0
0-1
50%
Isaiah Stevens
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.2
Dru Smith
G · 6'3" 203 · 27.1
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.