Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, January 19, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Nuggets	61%	111	113	116.5	97	102.7
	22	Magic	39%	107	100	102.0	98	92.9

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+14

-20

ORL

+21

-7

112

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.24 62.1%

ORL

0.89 44.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

10 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 28	37.7	19	59%	2	4	1	0	1	2	1	1	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	1-6	17%
Christian Braun #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	35.6	20	77%	11	2	0	0	1	3	5	6	7-7	100%	5-7	71%	1-3	33%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	30.1	20	83%	14	10	3	3	2	0	1	13	6-7	86%	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 27	27.5	15	75%	6	0	0	2	1	2	1	5	2-3	67%	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	25.1	12	60%	5	6	0	0	5	1	1	4	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	1-3	33%

Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	25.9	7	39%	3	1	2	0	1	4	1	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	15.7	4	33%	7	0	0	0	3	4	2	5	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	11.6	4	67%	2	1	0	3	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	2.5	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	2.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	2.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	2.1	1	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	62%	57	24	6	8	20	16	13	44	26-31	84%	33-52	63%	7-25	28%

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10 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 28	37.7	19	59%	2	4	1	0	1	2	1	1	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	1-6	17%
Christian Braun #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	35.6	20	77%	11	2	0	0	1	3	5	6	7-7	100%	5-7	71%	1-3	33%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	30.1	20	83%	14	10	3	3	2	0	1	13	6-7	86%	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 27	27.5	15	75%	6	0	0	2	1	2	1	5	2-3	67%	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	25.1	12	60%	5	6	0	0	5	1	1	4	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	1-3	33%

Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	25.9	7	39%	3	1	2	0	1	4	1	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	15.7	4	33%	7	0	0	0	3	4	2	5	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	11.6	4	67%	2	1	0	3	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	2.5	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	2.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	2.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	2.1	1	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	62%	57	24	6	8	20	16	13	44	26-31	84%	33-52	63%	7-25	28%

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22 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 32	34.7	12	40%	1	4	1	0	1	1	1	0	2-3	67%	2-7	29%	2-7	29%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 26	34.2	16	47%	13	5	3	1	0	4	5	8	3-4	75%	5-10	50%	1-5	20%
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 24	31.0	12	60%	4	2	2	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-6	33%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 22	29.3	10	29%	7	5	2	1	1	1	3	4	2-3	67%	4-14	29%	0-2	0%
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 25	28.6	9	35%	6	5	2	0	0	4	2	4	0-0	-	3-10	30%	1-3	33%

Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 21	28.1	14	58%	1	5	2	1	2	2	1	0	3-4	75%	4-7	57%	1-3	33%
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 28	24.0	8	36%	1	2	3	1	2	0	1	0	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-5	0%
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	16.0	6	100%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 27	11.6	10	56%	6	1	0	2	0	3	3	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Cory Joseph #10 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 33	2.5	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Jalen Suggs #4 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Back; Low back strain
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Mac McClung #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	Inactive – Concussion Protocol
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 23	Inactive – Return to Competition Reconditioning
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	45%	39	30	15	6	7	19	16	23	12-16	75%	26-61	43%	12-41	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	ORL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.24 62.1%

ORL

0.89 44.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

63%

ORL

51%

Midrange

DEN

65%

ORL

31%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

10.5

28%

42%

ORL

18.0

29%

44%

Free Throws

DEN

84%

ORL

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Braun	20	77%	10.0 / 13
N. Jokić	20	83%	10.0 / 12
J. Murray	19	59%	9.5 / 16
M. Porter	15	75%	7.5 / 10
R. Westbrook	12	60%	6.0 / 10
A. Gordon	9	90%	4.5 / 5
J. Strawther	7	39%	3.5 / 9
D. Jordan	4	33%	2.0 / 6
P. Watson	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Pickett	2	50%	1.0 / 2
P. Hall	1	50%	0.5 / 1
H. Tyson	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
W. Carter	16	47%	8.0 / 17
A. Black	14	58%	7.0 / 12
K. Caldwell-Pope	12	40%	6.0 / 15
T. da Silva	12	60%	6.0 / 10
P. Banchero	10	29%	5.0 / 17
J. Isaac	10	56%	5.0 / 9
C. Anthony	9	35%	4.5 / 13
T. Queen	8	36%	4.0 / 11
C. Houstan	6	100%	3.0 / 3
C. Joseph	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 118.9 27 109.1	DEN 116.5 +14.5 ORL 102.0
Pace	8 100.6 30 96.4	DEN 102.7 +9.8 ORL 92.9
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.2 1 15.5	DEN 14.0 −1.5 ORL 15.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 57.3% 29 51.0%	DEN 56.5% +13.4% ORL 43.1%
TO %	15 13.3% 18 13.5%	DEN 18.8% ORL 6.0% −12.8%
ORB %	7 26.7% 17 25.3%	DEN 36.1% +9.4% ORL 26.7%
FTrt	5 25.9 2 26.9	DEN 40.3 +24.6 ORL 15.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 68.3% 25 60.3%	DEN 60.0% ORL 78.9% +18.9%
STL %	19 7.9% 6 9.2%	DEN 6.2% ORL 15.3% +9.1%
BLK %	21 9.0% 1 11.9%	DEN 13.1% +1.6% ORL 11.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 58.8% 28 53.3%	DEN 62.1% +17.5% ORL 44.6%
Rim FG%	7 66.2% 19 63.6%	DEN 62.9% +11.5% ORL 51.4%
Mid FG%	8 45.5% 22 41.4%	DEN 64.7% +33.9% ORL 30.8%
3P %	5 37.6% 30 31.8%	DEN 28.0% ORL 29.3% +1.3%
FT %	23 77.0% 19 77.5%	DEN 83.9% +8.9% ORL 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 38.3% 15 31.5%	DEN 45.5% +11.1% ORL 34.3%
Mid Att. %	13 26.1% 19 27.4%	DEN 22.1% −3.4% ORL 25.5%
3P Att. %	30 35.6% 18 41.1%	DEN 32.5% ORL 40.2% +7.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.

Game Totals	DEN	ORL
Possessions	97	98
Possession Minutes	22.7	25.3
Points	113	100
Rebounds	57	39
Assists	24	30
Steals	6	15
Blocks	8	6
Turnovers (Team)	20 (1)	7 (0)
Fouls	16	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (1)	16 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	44 (2)	23 (2)
Field Goals	40-77	38-102
At-the-Rim FG	22-35	18-35
Midrange FG	11-17	8-26
2-Point FG	33-52	26-61
3-Point FG	7-25	12-41
Free Throws	26-31	12-16
Fast Break Pts	14	17
2nd Chance Pts	13	20
Points in Paint	52	42
Pts off Turnovers	9	23
Bench Points	27	41
Biggest Lead	24	10

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg