Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, January 19, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Wizards	15%	110	100	92.6	108	105.9
	6	Kings	85%	126	123	113.9	108	110.1

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+15

-16

107

SAC

+12

-11

109

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.93 46.7%

SAC

1.13 56.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 29	33.5	13	36%	7	3	1	0	4	0	2	5	6-6	100%	2-8	25%	1-7	14%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 20	32.9	11	46%	4	0	0	0	1	3	3	1	5-7	71%	3-6	50%	0-3	0%
Jordan Poole #13 · PG · 6'4" 194 · 26	27.7	11	50%	1	3	1	0	6	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-9	33%
Bub Carrington #8 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 19	26.6	6	50%	6	3	0	0	0	0	0	6	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	21.8	6	30%	7	1	0	0	2	1	0	7	3-4	75%	0-3	0%	1-5	20%

Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	23.8	6	60%	3	3	1	1	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	23.0	14	50%	3	1	1	0	0	1	2	1	2-3	67%	3-6	50%	2-7	29%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	22.9	23	82%	12	3	1	0	1	2	1	11	5-6	83%	9-11	82%	0-0	-
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	10.4	6	33%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	3-4	75%	0-4	0%	1-4	25%
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	7.3	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	3.4	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	3.4	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Plantar Fascia Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	47%	46	19	6	1	16	16	10	36	26-32	81%	22-47	47%	10-42	24%

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29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 29	33.5	13	36%	7	3	1	0	4	0	2	5	6-6	100%	2-8	25%	1-7	14%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 20	32.9	11	46%	4	0	0	0	1	3	3	1	5-7	71%	3-6	50%	0-3	0%
Jordan Poole #13 · PG · 6'4" 194 · 26	27.7	11	50%	1	3	1	0	6	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-9	33%
Bub Carrington #8 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 19	26.6	6	50%	6	3	0	0	0	0	0	6	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	21.8	6	30%	7	1	0	0	2	1	0	7	3-4	75%	0-3	0%	1-5	20%

Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	23.8	6	60%	3	3	1	1	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	23.0	14	50%	3	1	1	0	0	1	2	1	2-3	67%	3-6	50%	2-7	29%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	22.9	23	82%	12	3	1	0	1	2	1	11	5-6	83%	9-11	82%	0-0	-
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	10.4	6	33%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	3-4	75%	0-4	0%	1-4	25%
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	7.3	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	3.4	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	3.4	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Plantar Fascia Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	47%	46	19	6	1	16	16	10	36	26-32	81%	22-47	47%	10-42	24%

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6 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 35	38.4	24	50%	6	1	2	1	0	3	1	5	6-7	86%	9-17	53%	0-4	0%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	35.3	12	43%	5	13	2	1	2	1	0	5	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	0-5	0%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	31.8	4	25%	5	1	2	1	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-5	0%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	31.6	29	81%	18	4	1	0	5	4	4	14	3-5	60%	10-13	77%	2-3	67%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	30.4	23	68%	1	4	1	1	0	3	0	1	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	3-6	50%

Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	19.8	4	33%	5	0	1	0	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 25	17.7	18	113%	3	1	1	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	6-8	75%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 32	16.4	4	100%	4	2	2	0	0	2	3	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	9.2	3	21%	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-4	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #3 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	3.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	2.7	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Jones #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26	INACTIVE
Isaac Jones #17 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	INACTIVE
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	56%	51	28	12	4	11	20	10	41	19-24	79%	34-56	61%	12-39	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.93 46.7%

SAC

1.13 56.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

53%

SAC

83%

Midrange

WAS

44%

SAC

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

15.0

24%

36%

SAC

18.0

31%

46%

Free Throws

WAS

81%

SAC

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Valančiūnas	23	82%	11.5 / 14
C. Kispert	14	50%	7.0 / 14
K. Kuzma	13	36%	6.5 / 18
B. Coulibaly	11	46%	5.5 / 12
J. Poole	11	50%	5.5 / 11
B. Carrington	6	50%	3.0 / 6
A. Sarr	6	30%	3.0 / 10
K. George	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Champagnie	6	33%	3.0 / 9
J. Davis	2	100%	1.0 / 1
A. Gill	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Butler	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Sabonis	29	81%	14.5 / 18
D. DeRozan	24	50%	12.0 / 24
M. Monk	23	68%	11.5 / 17
K. Ellis	18	113%	9.0 / 8
D. Fox	12	43%	6.0 / 14
K. Murray	4	25%	2.0 / 8
T. Lyles	4	33%	2.0 / 6
A. Len	4	100%	2.0 / 2
K. Huerter	3	21%	1.5 / 7
I. Crawford	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	30 105.8 7 115.9	WAS 92.6 SAC 113.9 +21.3
Pace	4 101.8 19 98.9	WAS 105.9 SAC 110.1 +4.2
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 15 14.4	WAS 13.6 SAC 13.1 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 51.2% 15 54.8%	WAS 41.6% SAC 54.7% +13.1%
TO %	27 14.6% 6 12.6%	WAS 14.2% SAC 10.2% −4.0%
ORB %	25 22.7% 16 25.4%	WAS 19.6% SAC 21.7% +2.1%
FTrt	26 22.9 21 23.5	WAS 36.0 +10.7 SAC 25.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 63.7% 22 61.5%	WAS 59.4% SAC 60.9% +1.5%
STL %	25 7.4% 23 7.6%	WAS 5.6% SAC 11.1% +5.5%
BLK %	12 9.6% 23 8.8%	WAS 1.8% SAC 8.5% +6.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 53.2% 15 56.8%	WAS 46.7% SAC 56.4% +9.7%
Rim FG%	17 63.7% 2 67.6%	WAS 53.3% SAC 83.3% +30.0%
Mid FG%	30 38.0% 4 46.0%	WAS 43.8% SAC 50.0% +6.2%
3P %	29 33.5% 19 35.7%	WAS 23.8% SAC 30.8% +7.0%
FT %	16 77.8% 4 80.6%	WAS 81.3% +2.1% SAC 79.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 30.5% 28 26.8%	WAS 16.9% SAC 18.9% +2.1%
Mid Att. %	11 25.9% 29 34.1%	WAS 36.0% −4.0% SAC 40.0%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 23 39.1%	WAS 47.2% +6.1% SAC 41.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Game Totals	WAS	SAC
Possessions	108	108
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.5
Points	100	123
Rebounds	46	51
Assists	19	28
Steals	6	12
Blocks	1	4
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	11 (1)
Fouls	16	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (5)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (2)	41 (3)
Field Goals	32-89	46-95
At-the-Rim FG	8-15	15-18
Midrange FG	14-32	19-38
2-Point FG	22-47	34-56
3-Point FG	10-42	12-39
Free Throws	26-32	19-24
Fast Break Pts	15	17
2nd Chance Pts	12	12
Points in Paint	40	52
Pts off Turnovers	16	18
Bench Points	53	31
Biggest Lead	6	24

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg