Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Timberwolves40%112106
4Grizzlies60%116108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jaden McDaniels
F · 6'10" 185 · 24.3
42.2
33.9
11
46%
12
1
2
1
2
2
2
10
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
56%
1-6
17%
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 30.1
33.5
32.8
5
17%
11
7
0
1
2
1
4
7
1-3
33%
2-6
5-9
33%
52%
0-7
0%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 32.6
24.9
30.9
4
34%
4
2
2
1
1
3
2
2
2-2
100%
1-5
4-6
20%
65%
0-0
-
Anthony Edwards
G · 6'5" 225 · 23.5
37.7
38.1
32
59%
4
3
0
1
1
5
1
3
13-18
72%
5-11
6-11
45%
51%
3-8
38%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 37.3
25.3
21.4
5
36%
4
8
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
1-4
25%
Naz Reid
C-F · 6'9" 249 · 25.4
33.0
25.9
29
69%
8
1
0
1
0
2
3
5
2-2
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
56%
5-10
50%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
G · 6'5" 204 · 26.4
22.3
20.7
5
25%
5
1
0
1
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
1-6
1-3
17%
49%
1-4
25%
Rob Dillingham
G · 6'3" 175 · 20.0
17.1
11.3
15
94%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
48%
3-4
75%
Luka Garza
C · 6'10" 243 · 26.1
3.9
1.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
56%
0-0
-
Josh Minott
F · 6'8" 205 · 22.2
4.4
0
1-1
54%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 37.3
3.2
0
0-0
50%
Leonard Miller
F · 6'10" 210 · 21.2
1.1
0
0-0
52%
Jaylen Clark
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.3
1.0
0
0-0
47%
Jesse Edwards
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.8
Donte DiVincenzo
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.0
Tristen Newton
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.7
Terrence Shannon Jr.
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jaylen Wells
F · 6'8" 205 · 21.4
29.3
28.8
13
63%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
53%
2-6
33%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 25.3
32.0
28.6
24
57%
11
0
1
1
2
2
2
9
6-7
86%
9-15
6-12
60%
54%
0-3
0%
Zach Edey
C · 7'4" 305 · 22.7
19.0
13.8
2
50%
7
0
0
0
1
0
2
5
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
61%
0-0
-
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.6
37.1
31.7
22
70%
6
5
2
1
0
1
2
4
4-4
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
54%
4-6
67%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.4
30.0
30.7
19
44%
4
7
1
1
0
2
0
4
9-13
69%
5-12
6-11
42%
53%
0-4
0%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.6
19.9
23.5
7
72%
4
2
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 28.3
15.6
17.6
7
81%
5
0
2
1
0
2
3
2
3-3
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
64%
0-0
-
Jake LaRavia
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.2
14.6
22.3
2
50%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Santi Aldama
F-C · 6'11" 215 · 24.0
14.5
24.5
2
11%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-2
0%
1-1
3-5
100%
58%
0-7
0%
Scotty Pippen Jr.
G · 6'3" 170 · 24.2
14.0
16.3
6
75%
2
3
2
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
53%
0-1
0%
GG Jackson
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.1
10.8
12.9
4
40%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
0-3
0%
Jay Huff
F · 7'1" 240 · 27.4
3.2
9.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
66%
0-1
0%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.8
5.4
0
0-0
58%
Vince Williams Jr.
G · 6'6" 205 · 24.4
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.9
Cam Spencer
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.8
Zyon Pullin
G · 6'4" 206 · 23.9
Yuki Kawamura
G · 5'8" 159 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.