Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, January 20, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Jazz	29%	109	119	105.3	113	95.5
	23	Pelicans	71%	117	123	107.9	114	111.2

Scoring Opportunities

UTA

100

+22

-13

122

NOP

101

-13

109

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

0.98 48.8%

NOP

1.13 56.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keyonte George #3 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 21	38.3	23	46%	4	7	1	0	0	1	1	3	9-10	90%	4-9	44%	2-11	18%
Isaiah Collier #13 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 20	36.6	20	45%	3	11	1	0	4	4	1	2	5-7	71%	6-18	33%	1-2	50%
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 23	34.0	19	95%	13	2	1	1	0	1	5	8	3-4	75%	8-9	89%	0-1	0%
Svi Mykhailiuk #19 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 28	26.4	19	68%	4	0	0	2	1	1	1	3	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	4-10	40%
Cody Williams #5 · PF · 6'8" 190 · 20	20.4	2	25%	3	2	1	0	2	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%

Kyle Filipowski #22 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 21	38.1	10	36%	17	1	0	0	0	5	4	13	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	1-6	17%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 21	24.1	11	39%	5	1	0	0	2	2	0	5	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	2-10	20%
Drew Eubanks #15 · C · 6'10" 245 · 28	19.0	10	71%	8	0	0	1	1	1	3	5	2-3	67%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 36	17.8	3	50%	4	0	1	0	3	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Elijah Harkless #16 · NA · 6'3" 195 · 25	10.4	2	33%	2	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Fracture
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Fibula; Fracture
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Plantar; Fasciitis
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Spasms
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Injury Management
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 26	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	119	49%	63	25	6	4	13	19	19	44	24-30	80%	31-60	52%	11-46	24%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

30 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keyonte George #3 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 21	38.3	23	46%	4	7	1	0	0	1	1	3	9-10	90%	4-9	44%	2-11	18%
Isaiah Collier #13 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 20	36.6	20	45%	3	11	1	0	4	4	1	2	5-7	71%	6-18	33%	1-2	50%
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 23	34.0	19	95%	13	2	1	1	0	1	5	8	3-4	75%	8-9	89%	0-1	0%
Svi Mykhailiuk #19 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 28	26.4	19	68%	4	0	0	2	1	1	1	3	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	4-10	40%
Cody Williams #5 · PF · 6'8" 190 · 20	20.4	2	25%	3	2	1	0	2	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%

Kyle Filipowski #22 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 21	38.1	10	36%	17	1	0	0	0	5	4	13	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	1-6	17%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 21	24.1	11	39%	5	1	0	0	2	2	0	5	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	2-10	20%
Drew Eubanks #15 · C · 6'10" 245 · 28	19.0	10	71%	8	0	0	1	1	1	3	5	2-3	67%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 36	17.8	3	50%	4	0	1	0	3	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Elijah Harkless #16 · NA · 6'3" 195 · 25	10.4	2	33%	2	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Fracture
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Fibula; Fracture
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Plantar; Fasciitis
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Spasms
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Injury Management
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 26	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	119	49%	63	25	6	4	13	19	19	44	24-30	80%	31-60	52%	11-46	24%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

23 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 28	44.9	26	46%	9	11	3	0	3	4	0	9	8-8	100%	6-16	38%	2-8	25%
Trey Murphy III #25 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 25	44.9	24	60%	7	2	2	2	1	4	0	7	8-10	80%	2-5	40%	4-10	40%
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 33	43.7	45	68%	8	4	0	3	2	3	0	8	4-4	100%	13-19	68%	5-12	42%
Daniel Theis #10 · C · 6'9" 243 · 33	37.2	4	50%	8	6	0	0	3	5	3	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Javonte Green #4 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 31	26.2	1	17%	3	0	2	1	1	2	1	2	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	20.8	18	90%	1	0	2	0	0	1	1	0	5-5	100%	2-5	40%	3-3	100%
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 27	17.0	3	30%	2	2	2	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 24	15.4	2	50%	3	2	1	1	1	4	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	14.9	0	0%	4	1	0	1	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Strain
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 21	NWT - Not With Team
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Brandon Boston #11 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keion Brooks Jr. #0 · NA · 6'7" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Non-COVID; Illness
Brandon Ingram #14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	123	56%	45	28	12	8	13	24	6	39	26-29	90%	26-51	51%	15-41	37%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	NOP
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	NOP

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

0.98 48.8%

NOP

1.13 56.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

60%

NOP

59%

Midrange

UTA

29%

NOP

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

16.5

24%

36%

NOP

22.5

37%

55%

Free Throws

UTA

80%

NOP

90%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. George	23	46%	11.5 / 25
I. Collier	20	45%	10.0 / 22
W. Kessler	19	95%	9.5 / 10
S. Mykhailiuk	19	68%	9.5 / 14
B. Sensabaugh	11	39%	5.5 / 14
K. Filipowski	10	36%	5.0 / 14
D. Eubanks	10	71%	5.0 / 7
P. Mills	3	50%	1.5 / 3
C. Williams	2	25%	1.0 / 4
E. Harkless	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. McCollum	45	68%	22.5 / 33
D. Murray	26	46%	13.0 / 28
T. Murphy	24	60%	12.0 / 20
J. Hawkins	18	90%	9.0 / 10
D. Theis	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Alvarado	3	30%	1.5 / 5
K. Matković	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Green	1	17%	0.5 / 3
J. Robinson-Earl	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	24 110.3 25 109.6	UTA 105.3 NOP 107.9 +2.6
Pace	7 100.8 15 99.8	UTA 95.5 NOP 111.2 +15.7
Avg. Poss. Time	13 14.7 17 14.4	UTA 15.1 NOP 12.9 −2.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 53.3% 26 51.9%	UTA 44.8% NOP 52.7% +7.9%
TO %	30 16.2% 20 13.9%	UTA 10.5% −1.3% NOP 11.8%
ORB %	6 26.9% 9 26.3%	UTA 32.8% +20.8% NOP 12.0%
FTrt	7 25.2 15 24.4	UTA 28.3 NOP 31.5 +3.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 63.3% 13 63.6%	UTA 59.5% NOP 68.3% +8.8%
STL %	30 6.6% 8 8.5%	UTA 5.3% NOP 10.5% +5.2%
BLK %	25 8.5% 7 10.4%	UTA 7.8% NOP 13.3% +5.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.5 and 2.5.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 55.4% 26 53.8%	UTA 48.8% NOP 56.4% +7.6%
Rim FG%	15 63.8% 26 61.0%	UTA 60.5% +1.2% NOP 59.3%
Mid FG%	17 43.1% 23 40.7%	UTA 29.4% NOP 41.7% +12.3%
3P %	22 35.0% 24 34.7%	UTA 23.9% NOP 36.6% +12.7%
FT %	22 77.4% 27 75.4%	UTA 80.0% NOP 89.7% +9.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 28.8% 9 33.6%	UTA 40.6% +11.2% NOP 29.3%
Mid Att. %	15 26.2% 22 27.9%	UTA 16.0% −10.0% NOP 26.1%
3P Att. %	7 44.9% 26 38.6%	UTA 43.4% NOP 44.6% +1.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	UTA	NOP
Possessions	113	114
Possession Minutes	28.4	24.6
Points	119	123
Rebounds	63	45
Assists	25	28
Steals	6	12
Blocks	4	8
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	13 (1)
Fouls	19	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	19 (3)	6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	44 (2)	39 (5)
Field Goals	42-106	41-92
At-the-Rim FG	26-43	16-27
Midrange FG	5-17	10-24
2-Point FG	31-60	26-51
3-Point FG	11-46	15-41
Free Throws	24-30	26-29
Fast Break Pts	18	28
2nd Chance Pts	23	13
Points in Paint	60	40
Pts off Turnovers	20	9
Bench Points	36	23
Biggest Lead	25	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg