Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, January 21, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Wizards	23%	109	88	86.3	102	109.7
	16	Lakers	77%	119	111	112.1	99	92.5

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+16

-11

107

LAL

-10

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.82 41.1%

LAL

1.13 56.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 26	34.5	15	42%	7	3	2	0	2	3	1	6	1-1	100%	1-6	17%	4-12	33%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 20	32.4	17	53%	6	4	1	2	1	4	3	3	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	1-5	20%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	29.0	3	19%	4	2	2	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-4	25%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 29	27.6	12	40%	9	5	0	0	2	0	2	7	1-4	25%	4-9	44%	1-4	25%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	27.2	10	36%	6	2	1	5	1	1	1	5	0-0	-	5-11	45%	0-3	0%

Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	31.4	15	68%	4	2	1	0	0	2	1	3	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	3-7	43%
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	31.1	8	44%	2	5	1	1	3	3	0	2	3-4	75%	1-1	100%	1-6	17%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	19.2	8	67%	7	2	0	0	0	2	1	6	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	2.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Plantar Fascia Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	41%	46	25	8	8	11	18	9	37	9-13	69%	23-52	44%	11-43	26%

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30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 26	34.5	15	42%	7	3	2	0	2	3	1	6	1-1	100%	1-6	17%	4-12	33%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 20	32.4	17	53%	6	4	1	2	1	4	3	3	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	1-5	20%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	29.0	3	19%	4	2	2	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-4	25%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 29	27.6	12	40%	9	5	0	0	2	0	2	7	1-4	25%	4-9	44%	1-4	25%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	27.2	10	36%	6	2	1	5	1	1	1	5	0-0	-	5-11	45%	0-3	0%

Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	31.4	15	68%	4	2	1	0	0	2	1	3	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	3-7	43%
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	31.1	8	44%	2	5	1	1	3	3	0	2	3-4	75%	1-1	100%	1-6	17%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	19.2	8	67%	7	2	0	0	0	2	1	6	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	2.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Plantar Fascia Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	41%	46	25	8	8	11	18	9	37	9-13	69%	23-52	44%	11-43	26%

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16 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Austin Reaves #15 · PG · 6'5" 197 · 27	36.1	16	44%	2	8	1	0	2	1	1	1	7-7	100%	3-7	43%	1-8	13%
LeBron James #23 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 40	35.6	21	55%	10	13	2	1	5	0	0	10	3-3	100%	6-12	50%	2-6	33%
Anthony Davis #3 · C · 6'10" 253 · 32	32.5	29	66%	16	5	1	4	1	3	4	12	0-1	0%	13-19	68%	1-3	33%
Max Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	30.7	5	36%	5	1	0	3	2	1	0	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Rui Hachimura #28 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 27	26.4	9	41%	5	0	1	0	0	2	0	5	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	0-2	0%

Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 29	25.1	3	75%	2	3	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Dorian Finney-Smith #17 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 32	22.2	16	100%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	4-6	67%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 25	19.4	8	100%	3	0	0	2	0	1	0	3	2-3	67%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 24	8.1	3	38%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Trey Jemison III #55 · C · 6'10" 270 · 25	2.0	1	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 20	2.0	0	0%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Shake Milton #20 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Reddish #5 · SF · 6'8" 208 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Armel Traore #94 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Christian Koloko #10 · C · 6'11" 225 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery Recovery
Christian Wood #35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Recovery
Jalen Hood-Schifino #0 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	57%	50	30	6	10	10	11	7	43	14-18	78%	32-56	57%	11-34	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.82 41.1%

LAL

1.13 56.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

50%

LAL

69%

Midrange

WAS

38%

LAL

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

16.5

26%

38%

LAL

16.5

32%

49%

Free Throws

WAS

69%

LAL

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Coulibaly	17	53%	8.5 / 16
J. Poole	15	42%	7.5 / 18
C. Kispert	15	68%	7.5 / 11
K. Kuzma	12	40%	6.0 / 15
A. Sarr	10	36%	5.0 / 14
K. George	8	44%	4.0 / 9
J. Valančiūnas	8	67%	4.0 / 6
B. Carrington	3	19%	1.5 / 8
T. Vukcevic	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Davis	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Davis	29	66%	14.5 / 22
L. James	21	55%	10.5 / 19
A. Reaves	16	44%	8.0 / 18
D. Finney-Smith	16	100%	8.0 / 8
R. Hachimura	9	41%	4.5 / 11
J. Hayes	8	100%	4.0 / 4
M. Christie	5	36%	2.5 / 7
G. Vincent	3	75%	1.5 / 2
D. Knecht	3	38%	1.5 / 4
T. Jemison	1	50%	0.5 / 1
B. James	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	30 105.8 11 114.9	WAS 86.3 LAL 112.1 +25.8
Pace	4 101.8 20 98.4	WAS 109.7 +17.1 LAL 92.5
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 7 15.0	WAS 13.1 −2.4 LAL 15.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 51.2% 8 55.7%	WAS 41.6% LAL 53.9% +12.3%
TO %	27 14.6% 14 13.3%	WAS 11.4% LAL 10.1% −1.3%
ORB %	25 22.7% 24 23.3%	WAS 17.3% +1.4% LAL 15.9%
FTrt	26 22.9 1 27.1	WAS 13.7 LAL 20.0 +6.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 63.7% 14 63.5%	WAS 73.5% +3.7% LAL 69.8%
STL %	25 7.4% 21 7.8%	WAS 7.8% +1.7% LAL 6.1%
BLK %	12 9.6% 24 8.7%	WAS 14.3% LAL 19.2% +4.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 53.2% 8 57.6%	WAS 41.1% LAL 56.6% +15.5%
Rim FG%	17 63.7% 1 68.0%	WAS 50.0% LAL 68.6% +18.6%
Mid FG%	30 38.0% 18 42.1%	WAS 38.5% +0.4% LAL 38.1%
3P %	29 33.5% 14 36.6%	WAS 25.6% LAL 32.4% +6.8%
FT %	16 77.8% 13 78.5%	WAS 69.2% LAL 77.8% +8.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 30.5% 18 31.4%	WAS 27.4% LAL 38.9% +11.5%
Mid Att. %	11 25.9% 12 26.1%	WAS 27.4% LAL 23.3% −4.0%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 13 42.5%	WAS 45.3% +7.5% LAL 37.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	LAL
Possessions	102	99
Possession Minutes	22.3	25.7
Points	88	111
Rebounds	46	50
Assists	25	30
Steals	8	6
Blocks	8	10
Turnovers (Team)	11 (2)	10 (1)
Fouls	18	11
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (7)	7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (2)	43 (4)
Field Goals	34-95	43-90
At-the-Rim FG	13-26	24-35
Midrange FG	10-26	8-21
2-Point FG	23-52	32-56
3-Point FG	11-43	11-34
Free Throws	9-13	14-18
Fast Break Pts	15	18
2nd Chance Pts	10	10
Points in Paint	42	58
Pts off Turnovers	10	9
Bench Points	31	31
Biggest Lead	4	23

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg