Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, January 23, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Kings	40%	116	123	110.8	111	119.5
	9	Nuggets	60%	120	132	118.9	111	103.6

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+19

-13

117

DEN

101

+18

-10

119

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.05 52.6%

DEN

1.11 55.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

8 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	40.2	17	35%	5	6	1	1	2	2	1	4	0-0	-	4-14	29%	3-10	30%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	39.4	23	52%	19	8	0	0	4	4	6	13	2-2	100%	9-17	53%	1-4	25%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 35	37.0	24	63%	6	1	0	1	1	1	2	4	6-8	75%	9-14	64%	0-2	0%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	31.0	15	47%	2	7	1	0	2	5	0	2	5-7	71%	5-9	56%	0-4	0%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	29.9	11	55%	9	2	1	1	2	2	5	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	3-5	60%

Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	21.5	12	60%	9	1	1	0	1	0	1	8	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	3-7	43%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 25	21.2	6	75%	3	5	1	0	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	11.0	15	107%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	5-6	83%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	6.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	2.5	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan McLaughlin #3 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaac Jones #17 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	53%	53	31	5	3	13	20	17	36	14-19	74%	32-66	48%	15-41	37%

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8 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	40.2	17	35%	5	6	1	1	2	2	1	4	0-0	-	4-14	29%	3-10	30%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	39.4	23	52%	19	8	0	0	4	4	6	13	2-2	100%	9-17	53%	1-4	25%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 35	37.0	24	63%	6	1	0	1	1	1	2	4	6-8	75%	9-14	64%	0-2	0%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	31.0	15	47%	2	7	1	0	2	5	0	2	5-7	71%	5-9	56%	0-4	0%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	29.9	11	55%	9	2	1	1	2	2	5	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	3-5	60%

Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	21.5	12	60%	9	1	1	0	1	0	1	8	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	3-7	43%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 25	21.2	6	75%	3	5	1	0	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	11.0	15	107%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	5-6	83%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	6.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	2.5	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan McLaughlin #3 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaac Jones #17 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	53%	53	31	5	3	13	20	17	36	14-19	74%	32-66	48%	15-41	37%

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9 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	39.8	18	47%	6	5	3	0	2	0	1	5	1-2	50%	7-12	58%	1-6	17%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	37.4	35	73%	22	17	1	2	1	5	3	19	9-10	90%	10-16	63%	2-3	67%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 27	33.9	20	56%	8	0	1	1	1	0	4	4	4-4	100%	5-8	63%	2-8	25%
Russell Westbrook #4 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 36	31.6	18	69%	5	3	1	0	3	1	1	4	2-6	33%	5-6	83%	2-4	50%
Christian Braun #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	25.5	21	66%	2	1	2	1	0	4	2	0	3-4	75%	6-9	67%	2-5	40%

Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	25.1	6	38%	6	1	1	4	0	1	2	4	1-4	25%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	19.3	9	50%	0	2	1	0	1	1	0	0	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	2-6	33%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	16.9	3	19%	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-5	0%	1-3	33%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	10.6	2	100%	5	0	0	0	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	56%	56	30	10	8	10	14	15	41	21-31	68%	36-64	56%	13-37	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.05 52.6%

DEN

1.11 55.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

59%

DEN

74%

Midrange

SAC

41%

DEN

34%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

22.5

37%

55%

DEN

19.5

35%

53%

Free Throws

SAC

74%

DEN

68%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	24	63%	12.0 / 19
D. Sabonis	23	52%	11.5 / 22
D. Fox	17	35%	8.5 / 24
M. Monk	15	47%	7.5 / 16
D. McDermott	15	107%	7.5 / 7
T. Lyles	12	60%	6.0 / 10
K. Murray	11	55%	5.5 / 10
K. Ellis	6	75%	3.0 / 4
K. Huerter	0	-	0.0 / 2
D. Carter	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	35	73%	17.5 / 24
C. Braun	21	66%	10.5 / 16
M. Porter	20	56%	10.0 / 18
J. Murray	18	47%	9.0 / 19
R. Westbrook	18	69%	9.0 / 13
J. Strawther	9	50%	4.5 / 9
P. Watson	6	38%	3.0 / 8
A. Gordon	3	19%	1.5 / 8
D. Jordan	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 115.9 4 118.9	SAC 110.8 DEN 118.9 +8.1
Pace	19 98.9 8 100.6	SAC 119.5 +15.9 DEN 103.6
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.4 22 14.2	SAC 12.1 −1.8 DEN 13.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.8% 2 57.3%	SAC 50.9% DEN 55.0% +4.1%
TO %	6 12.6% 15 13.3%	SAC 10.1% DEN 8.8% −1.3%
ORB %	16 25.4% 7 26.7%	SAC 29.3% DEN 29.4% +0.1%
FTrt	21 23.5 5 25.9	SAC 17.8 DEN 30.7 +12.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 61.5% 4 68.3%	SAC 66.0% +4.8% DEN 61.2%
STL %	23 7.6% 19 7.9%	SAC 4.5% DEN 9.0% +4.5%
BLK %	23 8.8% 21 9.0%	SAC 4.7% DEN 12.1% +7.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 56.8% 2 58.8%	SAC 52.6% DEN 55.5% +2.9%
Rim FG%	2 67.6% 7 66.2%	SAC 58.6% DEN 74.3% +15.7%
Mid FG%	4 46.0% 8 45.5%	SAC 40.5% +6.0% DEN 34.5%
3P %	19 35.7% 5 37.6%	SAC 36.6% +1.5% DEN 35.1%
FT %	4 80.6% 23 77.0%	SAC 73.7% +6.0% DEN 67.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 26.8% 1 38.3%	SAC 27.1% DEN 34.7% +7.6%
Mid Att. %	29 34.1% 13 26.1%	SAC 34.6% DEN 28.7% −5.9%
3P Att. %	23 39.1% 30 35.6%	SAC 38.3% +1.7% DEN 36.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Game Totals	SAC	DEN
Possessions	111	111
Possession Minutes	22.3	25.7
Points	123	132
Rebounds	53	56
Assists	31	30
Steals	5	10
Blocks	3	8
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	10 (1)
Fouls	20	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	17 (2)	15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (1)	41 (3)
Field Goals	47-107	49-101
At-the-Rim FG	17-29	26-35
Midrange FG	15-37	10-29
2-Point FG	32-66	36-64
3-Point FG	15-41	13-37
Free Throws	14-19	21-31
Fast Break Pts	16	18
2nd Chance Pts	22	19
Points in Paint	52	68
Pts off Turnovers	10	17
Bench Points	33	20
Biggest Lead	2	25

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg