Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, January 25, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	7	Nuggets	48%	113	104	106.1	98	106.1
	9	Timberwolves	52%	114	133	134.3	99	91.9

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+17

-19

MIN

+20

-16

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.08 54.2%

MIN

1.29 64.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

7 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	34.5	25	74%	2	5	0	0	2	2	0	2	2-2	100%	7-11	64%	3-5	60%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	32.4	20	77%	3	11	0	0	7	0	1	2	0-1	0%	7-9	78%	2-4	50%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 27	30.5	11	55%	0	2	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	3-6	50%
Russell Westbrook #4 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 36	27.7	13	65%	6	4	2	0	4	4	2	4	1-1	100%	6-7	86%	0-3	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	26.2	10	63%	5	3	0	0	1	0	1	4	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%

Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	24.6	13	59%	3	2	2	0	2	1	2	1	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	18.4	2	25%	3	3	1	3	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	18.3	2	13%	1	1	1	0	2	3	0	1	0-2	0%	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	5.8	4	100%	6	0	0	0	0	1	4	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	5.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	5.4	0	0%	4	0	1	0	0	0	1	3	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	5.4	2	33%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	5.4	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	54%	36	32	7	3	19	13	14	22	7-13	54%	32-56	57%	11-32	34%

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7 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	34.5	25	74%	2	5	0	0	2	2	0	2	2-2	100%	7-11	64%	3-5	60%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	32.4	20	77%	3	11	0	0	7	0	1	2	0-1	0%	7-9	78%	2-4	50%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 27	30.5	11	55%	0	2	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	3-6	50%
Russell Westbrook #4 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 36	27.7	13	65%	6	4	2	0	4	4	2	4	1-1	100%	6-7	86%	0-3	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	26.2	10	63%	5	3	0	0	1	0	1	4	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%

Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	24.6	13	59%	3	2	2	0	2	1	2	1	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	18.4	2	25%	3	3	1	3	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	18.3	2	13%	1	1	1	0	2	3	0	1	0-2	0%	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	5.8	4	100%	6	0	0	0	0	1	4	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	5.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	5.4	0	0%	4	0	1	0	0	0	1	3	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	5.4	2	33%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	5.4	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	54%	36	32	7	3	19	13	14	22	7-13	54%	32-56	57%	11-32	34%

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9 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	33.3	34	68%	1	9	0	0	3	4	1	0	3-4	75%	11-15	73%	3-8	38%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	32.2	21	50%	7	7	2	1	2	2	5	2	2-2	100%	8-14	57%	1-6	17%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	32.0	13	81%	8	4	1	1	0	2	2	6	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-1	100%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	29.6	14	88%	14	5	4	0	0	2	4	10	2-3	67%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	22.6	9	150%	1	5	3	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-3	100%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 25	25.3	13	65%	2	4	2	2	2	1	2	0	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	1-2	50%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	21.4	10	71%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 20	19.9	10	56%	5	4	1	0	6	1	2	3	0-0	-	2-7	29%	2-2	100%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	10.3	5	83%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 26	4.5	2	50%	4	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21	4.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	4.5	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jesse Edwards #14 · C · 7'0" 236 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Sprain
Terrence Shannon Jr. #00 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Mid-foot; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	65%	45	38	14	4	16	14	18	27	13-15	87%	39-65	60%	14-30	47%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MIN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.08 54.2%

MIN

1.29 64.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

69%

MIN

70%

Midrange

DEN

44%

MIN

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

16.5

34%

52%

MIN

21.0

47%

70%

Free Throws

DEN

54%

MIN

87%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	25	74%	12.5 / 17
N. Jokić	20	77%	10.0 / 13
R. Westbrook	13	65%	6.5 / 10
A. Gordon	13	59%	6.5 / 11
M. Porter	11	55%	5.5 / 10
C. Braun	10	63%	5.0 / 8
D. Jordan	4	100%	2.0 / 2
P. Watson	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Strawther	2	13%	1.0 / 8
Z. Nnaji	2	33%	1.0 / 3
P. Hall	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Pickett	0	-	0.0 / 1
H. Tyson	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	34	68%	17.0 / 25
J. Randle	21	50%	10.5 / 21
R. Gobert	14	88%	7.0 / 8
J. McDaniels	13	81%	6.5 / 8
N. Reid	13	65%	6.5 / 10
N. Alexander-Walker	10	71%	5.0 / 7
R. Dillingham	10	56%	5.0 / 9
M. Conley	9	150%	4.5 / 3
J. Minott	5	83%	2.5 / 3
L. Garza	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Clark	2	50%	1.0 / 2
L. Miller	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 118.9 8 115.7	DEN 106.1 MIN 134.3 +28.2
Pace	8 100.6 25 98.1	DEN 106.1 +14.2 MIN 91.9
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.2 11 14.8	DEN 13.6 −2.1 MIN 15.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 57.3% 10 55.4%	DEN 55.1% MIN 63.2% +8.1%
TO %	15 13.3% 19 13.9%	DEN 17.6% MIN 13.6% −4.0%
ORB %	7 26.7% 14 25.7%	DEN 34.1% MIN 45.0% +10.9%
FTrt	5 25.9 11 24.9	DEN 14.8 MIN 15.8 +1.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 68.3% 11 63.7%	DEN 74.4% +2.7% MIN 71.7%
STL %	19 7.9% 16 8.1%	DEN 7.1% MIN 14.1% +7.0%
BLK %	21 9.0% 14 9.5%	DEN 4.6% MIN 7.1% +2.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 58.8% 11 57.3%	DEN 54.2% MIN 64.6% +10.4%
Rim FG%	7 66.2% 12 64.8%	DEN 69.0% MIN 70.3% +1.3%
Mid FG%	8 45.5% 27 39.5%	DEN 44.4% MIN 46.4% +2.0%
3P %	5 37.6% 4 37.7%	DEN 34.4% MIN 46.7% +12.3%
FT %	23 77.0% 10 78.9%	DEN 53.8% MIN 86.7% +32.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 38.3% 12 32.2%	DEN 33.0% MIN 38.9% +6.0%
Mid Att. %	13 26.1% 6 22.3%	DEN 30.7% MIN 29.5% −1.2%
3P Att. %	30 35.6% 6 45.5%	DEN 36.4% +4.8% MIN 31.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Game Totals	DEN	MIN
Possessions	98	99
Possession Minutes	22.2	25.8
Points	104	133
Rebounds	36	45
Assists	32	38
Steals	7	14
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	19 (1)	16 (0)
Fouls	13	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (3)	18 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	22 (1)	27 (5)
Field Goals	43-88	53-95
At-the-Rim FG	20-29	26-37
Midrange FG	12-27	13-28
2-Point FG	32-56	39-65
3-Point FG	11-32	14-30
Free Throws	7-13	13-15
Fast Break Pts	8	16
2nd Chance Pts	18	20
Points in Paint	58	72
Pts off Turnovers	17	37
Bench Points	25	42
Biggest Lead	0	29

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg