Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, January 27, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Bucks	66%	119	125	126.3	99	102.2
	27	Jazz	34%	113	110	111.1	99	96.0

Scoring Opportunities

MIL

-12

UTA

+19

-10

108

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.33 66.5%

UTA

1.02 50.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

12 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	41.4	35	76%	5	8	0	1	6	0	0	5	3-4	75%	10-12	83%	4-10	40%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30	36.6	35	65%	18	7	2	0	2	2	1	17	3-10	30%	16-22	73%	0-1	0%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37	35.5	10	63%	6	1	0	3	0	3	2	4	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 31	32.1	6	50%	4	8	2	0	1	4	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 23	25.7	6	100%	5	2	2	0	1	4	2	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-

Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26	27.2	8	40%	2	2	0	1	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	2-7	29%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 33	27.0	22	85%	3	3	0	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	8-8	100%	2-5	40%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 23	7.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32	7.0	3	75%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
AJ Johnson #77 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Liam Robbins #15 · C · 7'0" 250 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Non-covid; Illness
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Strain
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	67%	46	33	6	5	12	18	5	41	9-17	53%	40-52	77%	12-34	35%

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12 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	41.4	35	76%	5	8	0	1	6	0	0	5	3-4	75%	10-12	83%	4-10	40%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30	36.6	35	65%	18	7	2	0	2	2	1	17	3-10	30%	16-22	73%	0-1	0%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37	35.5	10	63%	6	1	0	3	0	3	2	4	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 31	32.1	6	50%	4	8	2	0	1	4	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 23	25.7	6	100%	5	2	2	0	1	4	2	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-

Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26	27.2	8	40%	2	2	0	1	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	2-7	29%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 33	27.0	22	85%	3	3	0	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	8-8	100%	2-5	40%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 23	7.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32	7.0	3	75%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
AJ Johnson #77 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Liam Robbins #15 · C · 7'0" 250 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Non-covid; Illness
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Strain
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	67%	46	33	6	5	12	18	5	41	9-17	53%	40-52	77%	12-34	35%

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27 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · SF · 7'1" 240 · 28	36.1	19	50%	9	1	0	0	1	3	1	8	1-2	50%	6-6	100%	2-12	17%
Isaiah Collier #13 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 20	27.9	12	67%	2	8	3	0	4	1	0	2	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-1	0%
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 26	26.6	19	68%	5	4	0	0	0	2	4	1	4-5	80%	3-8	38%	3-5	60%
Micah Potter #25 · PF · 6'9" 248 · 27	22.9	3	21%	4	0	1	1	2	1	2	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-6	17%
Drew Eubanks #15 · C · 6'10" 245 · 28	22.4	4	22%	10	1	1	0	0	0	3	7	0-0	-	2-9	22%	0-0	-

Keyonte George #3 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 21	31.1	15	54%	4	5	1	0	1	3	0	4	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	3-8	38%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 21	25.6	6	38%	8	3	0	0	0	3	3	5	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 33
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 21	15.3	17	94%	0	1	2	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	5-8	63%
Elijah Harkless #16 · NA · 6'3" 195 · 25	10.3	2	33%	1	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Svi Mykhailiuk #19 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Contusion
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Fibula; Fracture
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Fracture
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness
Cody Williams #5 · SG · 6'8" 190 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	51%	46	28	8	1	10	19	15	31	10-13	77%	23-46	50%	18-54	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	UTA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.33 66.5%

UTA

1.02 50.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

92%

UTA

61%

Midrange

MIL

63%

UTA

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

18.0

35%

53%

UTA

27.0

33%

50%

Free Throws

MIL

53%

UTA

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Lillard	35	76%	17.5 / 23
G. Antetokounmpo	35	65%	17.5 / 27
K. Middleton	22	85%	11.0 / 13
B. Lopez	10	63%	5.0 / 8
G. Trent	8	40%	4.0 / 10
T. Prince	6	50%	3.0 / 6
A. Jackson	6	100%	3.0 / 3
P. Connaughton	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Markkanen	19	50%	9.5 / 19
C. Sexton	19	68%	9.5 / 14
B. Sensabaugh	17	94%	8.5 / 9
K. George	15	54%	7.5 / 14
J. Clarkson	13	50%	6.5 / 13
I. Collier	12	67%	6.0 / 9
K. Filipowski	6	38%	3.0 / 8
D. Eubanks	4	22%	2.0 / 9
M. Potter	3	21%	1.5 / 7
E. Harkless	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 115.2 24 110.3	MIL 126.3 +15.2 UTA 111.1
Pace	14 99.9 7 100.8	MIL 102.2 +6.3 UTA 96.0
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.6 13 14.7	MIL 14.1 −0.9 UTA 15.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 56.8% 21 53.3%	MIL 67.4% +17.4% UTA 50.0%
TO %	7 12.7% 30 16.2%	MIL 11.4% UTA 9.4% −2.0%
ORB %	30 19.3% 6 26.9%	MIL 13.9% UTA 26.8% +12.9%
FTrt	3 26.8 7 25.2	MIL 19.8 +6.8 UTA 13.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	23 60.7% 18 63.3%	MIL 63.5% UTA 68.3% +4.8%
STL %	27 7.3% 30 6.6%	MIL 6.1% UTA 8.1% +2.0%
BLK %	20 9.1% 25 8.5%	MIL 10.9% +9.0% UTA 1.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.5 and 2.5.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 58.6% 20 55.4%	MIL 66.5% +15.6% UTA 50.9%
Rim FG%	5 66.9% 15 63.8%	MIL 92.0% +31.1% UTA 60.9%
Mid FG%	13 44.1% 17 43.1%	MIL 63.0% +23.9% UTA 39.1%
3P %	1 38.7% 22 35.0%	MIL 35.3% +2.0% UTA 33.3%
FT %	28 75.0% 22 77.4%	MIL 52.9% UTA 76.9% +24.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 30.0% 27 28.8%	MIL 29.1% +6.1% UTA 23.0%
Mid Att. %	21 27.5% 15 26.2%	MIL 31.4% UTA 23.0% −8.4%
3P Att. %	15 42.4% 7 44.9%	MIL 39.5% UTA 54.0% +14.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIL	UTA
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	125	110
Rebounds	46	46
Assists	33	28
Steals	6	8
Blocks	5	1
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	10 (1)
Fouls	18	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (2)	15 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	41 (2)	31 (1)
Field Goals	52-86	41-100
At-the-Rim FG	23-25	14-23
Midrange FG	17-27	9-23
2-Point FG	40-52	23-46
3-Point FG	12-34	18-54
Free Throws	9-17	10-13
Fast Break Pts	26	14
2nd Chance Pts	10	9
Points in Paint	64	42
Pts off Turnovers	19	10
Bench Points	33	53
Biggest Lead	24	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg