Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 31, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Bucks	53%	114	118	115.7	102	102.2
	16	Spurs	47%	113	144	138.5	104	103.8

Scoring Opportunities

MIL

+19

-10

111

SAS

100

+19

-4

119

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.06 53.2%

SAS

1.21 60.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

10 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	37.5	22	55%	3	7	0	1	1	2	1	2	7-7	100%	3-10	30%	3-7	43%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30	34.0	35	60%	14	6	0	1	2	3	4	10	9-14	64%	13-22	59%	0-1	0%
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 31	29.9	13	46%	5	3	0	1	0	5	1	4	0-0	-	2-6	33%	3-8	38%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37	24.1	6	38%	5	3	0	1	1	2	3	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 23	14.9	7	50%	4	0	1	1	1	1	1	3	0-1	0%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%

Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26	24.0	2	14%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 33
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32	13.5	8	133%	2	1	0	2	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 23	10.5	0	0%	1	2	0	0	2	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 24	3.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	3.8	2	50%	3	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	3.8	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
AJ Johnson #77 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Liam Robbins #15 · C · 7'0" 250 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	53%	47	24	3	8	10	19	17	30	20-26	77%	31-63	49%	12-37	32%

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10 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	37.5	22	55%	3	7	0	1	1	2	1	2	7-7	100%	3-10	30%	3-7	43%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30	34.0	35	60%	14	6	0	1	2	3	4	10	9-14	64%	13-22	59%	0-1	0%
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 31	29.9	13	46%	5	3	0	1	0	5	1	4	0-0	-	2-6	33%	3-8	38%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37	24.1	6	38%	5	3	0	1	1	2	3	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 23	14.9	7	50%	4	0	1	1	1	1	1	3	0-1	0%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%

Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26	24.0	2	14%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 33
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32	13.5	8	133%	2	1	0	2	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 23	10.5	0	0%	1	2	0	0	2	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 24	3.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	3.8	2	50%	3	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	3.8	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
AJ Johnson #77 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Liam Robbins #15 · C · 7'0" 250 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	53%	47	24	3	8	10	19	17	30	20-26	77%	31-63	49%	12-37	32%

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16 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	30.5	30	65%	14	1	0	6	1	3	2	12	7-7	100%	4-9	44%	5-11	45%
Stephon Castle #5 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20	30.1	20	53%	8	6	0	0	0	1	2	6	7-10	70%	2-8	25%	3-6	50%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 24	27.4	12	46%	2	3	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-8	25%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	26.4	12	67%	5	9	1	0	0	3	1	4	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	25.3	16	62%	6	2	0	1	0	2	2	4	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	2-5	40%

Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	25.3	24	80%	4	2	0	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	6-10	60%	4-5	80%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	21.9	2	25%	7	2	0	1	0	4	3	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	17.5	6	60%	5	1	1	0	0	1	3	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25	16.7	9	75%	0	7	1	0	1	2	0	0	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	3.8	5	83%	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	3.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 27	3.8	3	150%	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	3.8	3	150%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	3.8	2	100%	0	3	4	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	144	61%	53	37	7	11	4	20	13	40	20-25	80%	26-52	50%	24-50	48%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.06 53.2%

SAS

1.21 60.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

49%

SAS

55%

Midrange

MIL

50%

SAS

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

18.0

32%

49%

SAS

36.0

48%

72%

Free Throws

MIL

77%

SAS

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	35	60%	17.5 / 29
D. Lillard	22	55%	11.0 / 20
K. Middleton	21	105%	10.5 / 10
T. Prince	13	46%	6.5 / 14
P. Connaughton	8	133%	4.0 / 3
A. Jackson	7	50%	3.5 / 7
B. Lopez	6	38%	3.0 / 8
G. Trent	2	14%	1.0 / 7
C. Livingston	2	50%	1.0 / 2
S. Umude	2	50%	1.0 / 2
A. Green	0	-	0.0 / 3
R. Rollins	0	-	0.0 / 5
M. Beauchamp	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Wembanyama	30	65%	15.0 / 23
K. Johnson	24	80%	12.0 / 15
S. Castle	20	53%	10.0 / 19
H. Barnes	16	62%	8.0 / 13
D. Vassell	12	46%	6.0 / 13
C. Paul	12	67%	6.0 / 9
T. Jones	9	75%	4.5 / 6
J. Champagnie	6	60%	3.0 / 5
S. Mamukelashvili	5	83%	2.5 / 3
Z. Collins	3	150%	1.5 / 1
M. Branham	3	150%	1.5 / 1
J. Sochan	2	25%	1.0 / 4
B. Wesley	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 115.2 19 113.5	MIL 115.7 SAS 138.5 +22.8
Pace	14 99.9 13 100.1	MIL 102.2 SAS 103.8 +1.6
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.6 20 14.3	MIL 14.1 SAS 13.9 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 56.8% 18 54.4%	MIL 49.0% SAS 60.8% +11.8%
TO %	7 12.7% 11 13.2%	MIL 8.2% SAS 5.0% −3.2%
ORB %	30 19.3% 20 24.3%	MIL 29.8% SAS 30.2% +0.4%
FTrt	3 26.8 22 23.4	MIL 26.0 +1.5 SAS 24.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	23 60.7% 3 68.5%	MIL 55.8% SAS 74.0% +18.2%
STL %	27 7.3% 14 8.2%	MIL 2.9% SAS 6.7% +3.8%
BLK %	20 9.1% 5 10.5%	MIL 15.4% SAS 17.5% +2.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 58.6% 18 56.3%	MIL 53.2% SAS 60.5% +7.3%
Rim FG%	5 66.9% 14 63.9%	MIL 48.6% SAS 55.3% +6.7%
Mid FG%	13 44.1% 20 41.8%	MIL 50.0% +14.3% SAS 35.7%
3P %	1 38.7% 20 35.7%	MIL 32.4% SAS 48.0% +15.6%
FT %	28 75.0% 21 77.4%	MIL 76.9% SAS 80.0% +3.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 30.0% 8 33.7%	MIL 37.0% SAS 37.3% +0.3%
Mid Att. %	21 27.5% 4 22.2%	MIL 26.0% SAS 13.7% −12.3%
3P Att. %	15 42.4% 8 44.1%	MIL 37.0% SAS 49.0% +12.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIL	SAS
Possessions	102	104
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	118	144
Rebounds	47	53
Assists	24	37
Steals	3	7
Blocks	8	11
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	4 (2)
Fouls	19	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	17 (2)	13 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (4)	40 (1)
Field Goals	43-100	50-102
At-the-Rim FG	18-37	21-38
Midrange FG	13-26	5-14
2-Point FG	31-63	26-52
3-Point FG	12-37	24-50
Free Throws	20-26	20-25
Fast Break Pts	6	31
2nd Chance Pts	27	14
Points in Paint	40	46
Pts off Turnovers	4	12
Bench Points	35	54
Biggest Lead	5	28

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg