Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Nuggets79%122107
29Hornets21%110104
Updated: Feb 1, 2025 11:43 PM
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 26.6
40.8
28.6
15
48%
10
2
1
1
1
2
4
6
3-4
75%
6-8
4-6
75%
59%
0-6
0%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.4
30.1
27.6
6
30%
3
2
0
1
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-6
4-6
50%
60%
0-4
0%
Nikola Jokić
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.0
36.5
35.0
28
67%
13
17
4
2
1
4
1
12
8-9
89%
7-10
8-13
70%
62%
2-7
29%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.8
38.4
29.4
24
72%
11
2
2
1
0
0
1
10
4-4
100%
7-10
4-7
70%
60%
2-5
40%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 27.9
33.1
37.3
20
58%
1
5
0
1
0
3
0
1
3-3
100%
7-10
7-13
70%
52%
1-6
17%
Julian Strawther
G · 6'7" 205 · 22.8
24.0
19.1
5
31%
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
53%
1-6
17%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24.1
22.2
2.5
6
75%
3
0
1
0
5
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
59%
0-1
0%
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'4" 202 · 25.3
14.8
2.6
3
38%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
55%
1-2
50%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.5
5.8
0
1-1
66%
Dario Šarić
F · 6'10" 223 · 30.8
4.1
0
0-1
52%
Trey Alexander
G · 6'4" 185 · 21.8
3.9
0
0-1
50%
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.6
2.2
0
0-0
55%
Spencer Jones
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.6
1.7
0
0-0
54%
PJ Hall
C · 6'10" 245 · 22.9
1.6
0
0-0
57%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.2
DaRon Holmes II
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.5
Vlatko Čančar
F · 6'9" 215 · 27.8
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Green
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.2
31.6
31.4
6
50%
1
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
57%
0-1
0%
Miles Bridges
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.9
33.9
33.9
24
48%
12
2
0
1
1
1
2
10
3-4
75%
9-18
6-11
50%
56%
1-5
20%
Mark Williams
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.1
31.9
31.0
20
53%
15
3
0
1
3
1
6
9
4-4
100%
8-17
7-12
47%
61%
0-0
-
Nick Smith Jr.
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.8
33.2
25.5
19
79%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
5-8
63%
Vasilije Micić
G · 6'4" 188 · 31.1
15.1
27.3
0
0%
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
48%
0-1
0%
KJ Simpson
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.5
27.4
20.5
8
37%
6
8
0
1
0
2
2
4
4-4
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
0-4
0%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.4
21.0
12.6
10
100%
3
2
2
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
52%
2-2
100%
Moussa Diabaté
F · 6'11" 210 · 23.0
20.8
24.8
12
58%
7
3
1
1
1
3
3
4
0-3
0%
6-7
3-5
86%
57%
0-2
0%
DaQuan Jeffries
F · 6'5" 216 · 27.4
13.7
14.3
5
64%
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
56%
1-2
50%
Isaiah Wong
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.0
11.4
7.7
0
0%
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-5
1-2
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 39.6
12.0
0
1-2
55%
Brandon Miller
F · 6'9" 200 · 22.2
Tre Mann
G · 6'3" 178 · 24.0
LaMelo Ball
G · 6'8" 180 · 23.4
Grant Williams
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.2
Tidjane Salaün
F · 6'9" 207 · 19.5
Cody Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 29.3
Josh Okogie
G · 6'5" 211 · 26.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.