Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, February 1, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Nuggets	79%	122	107	108.1	99	108.7
	29	Hornets	21%	110	104	104.0	100	91.8

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

-11

CHA

+18

-12

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.10 55.2%

CHA

0.98 49.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 27	40.8	15	50%	10	2	1	1	2	2	4	6	3-4	75%	6-8	75%	0-6	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	38.4	24	75%	11	2	2	0	0	3	1	10	4-4	100%	7-10	70%	2-5	40%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	36.5	28	67%	13	17	4	1	4	2	1	12	8-9	89%	7-10	70%	2-7	29%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	33.1	20	59%	1	5	0	0	3	0	0	1	3-3	100%	7-10	70%	1-6	17%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	30.1	6	30%	3	2	0	1	1	4	2	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-4	0%

Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	24.0	5	31%	1	1	0	1	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-6	17%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	22.2	6	75%	3	0	1	5	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	14.8	3	38%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	55%	43	29	9	9	11	16	8	35	18-20	90%	34-51	67%	7-37	19%

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3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 27	40.8	15	50%	10	2	1	1	2	2	4	6	3-4	75%	6-8	75%	0-6	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	38.4	24	75%	11	2	2	0	0	3	1	10	4-4	100%	7-10	70%	2-5	40%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	36.5	28	67%	13	17	4	1	4	2	1	12	8-9	89%	7-10	70%	2-7	29%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	33.1	20	59%	1	5	0	0	3	0	0	1	3-3	100%	7-10	70%	1-6	17%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	30.1	6	30%	3	2	0	1	1	4	2	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-4	0%

Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	24.0	5	31%	1	1	0	1	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-6	17%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	22.2	6	75%	3	0	1	5	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	14.8	3	38%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	55%	43	29	9	9	11	16	8	35	18-20	90%	34-51	67%	7-37	19%

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29 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 27	33.9	24	48%	12	2	0	1	1	1	2	10	3-4	75%	9-18	50%	1-5	20%
Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 21	33.2	19	79%	1	2	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	5-8	63%
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 23	31.9	20	53%	15	3	0	3	1	2	6	9	4-4	100%	8-17	47%	0-0	-
Josh Green #10 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 24	31.6	6	50%	1	5	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Vasilije Micić #22 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 31	15.1	0	0%	3	2	0	0	3	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-1	0%

KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 22	27.4	8	36%	6	8	0	0	2	0	2	4	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	0-4	0%
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 34	21.0	10	100%	3	2	2	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-2	100%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 23	20.8	12	60%	7	3	1	1	3	1	3	4	0-3	0%	6-7	86%	0-2	0%
DaQuan Jeffries #3 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 27	13.7	5	63%	0	1	1	1	0	3	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	11.4	0	0%	3	3	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	0-5	0%	0-1	0%
Taj Gibson #67 · PF · 6'9" 232 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Acl; Repair
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 19	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Brandon Miller #24 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Ligament Repair
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Disc; Irritation
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Cody Martin #11 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Sports Hernia
Josh Okogie #12 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	49%	51	31	5	6	12	13	13	38	13-17	76%	32-69	46%	9-26	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	CHA
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	CHA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.10 55.2%

CHA

0.98 49.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

71%

CHA

50%

Midrange

DEN

63%

CHA

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

10.5

19%

28%

CHA

13.5

35%

52%

Free Throws

DEN

90%

CHA

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	28	67%	14.0 / 21
C. Braun	24	75%	12.0 / 16
J. Murray	20	59%	10.0 / 17
M. Porter	15	50%	7.5 / 15
A. Gordon	6	30%	3.0 / 10
Z. Nnaji	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Strawther	5	31%	2.5 / 8
J. Pickett	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Bridges	24	48%	12.0 / 25
M. Williams	20	53%	10.0 / 19
N. Smith	19	79%	9.5 / 12
M. Diabaté	12	60%	6.0 / 10
S. Curry	10	100%	5.0 / 5
K. Simpson	8	36%	4.0 / 11
J. Green	6	50%	3.0 / 6
D. Jeffries	5	63%	2.5 / 4
V. Micić	0	-	0.0 / 5
I. Wong	0	-	0.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 118.9 29 106.7	DEN 108.1 +4.1 CHA 104.0
Pace	8 100.6 23 98.2	DEN 108.7 +16.9 CHA 91.8
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.2 8 14.9	DEN 13.2 −2.4 CHA 15.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 57.3% 30 50.3%	DEN 50.6% +2.7% CHA 47.9%
TO %	15 13.3% 28 15.1%	DEN 10.2% −0.3% CHA 10.5%
ORB %	7 26.7% 8 26.5%	DEN 17.4% CHA 27.1% +9.7%
FTrt	5 25.9 27 22.2	DEN 22.7 +4.8 CHA 17.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 68.3% 16 63.5%	DEN 70.7% CHA 75.6% +4.9%
STL %	19 7.9% 24 7.5%	DEN 9.1% +4.1% CHA 5.0%
BLK %	21 9.0% 18 9.2%	DEN 13.0% +1.2% CHA 11.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 58.8% 30 52.5%	DEN 55.2% +6.1% CHA 49.1%
Rim FG%	7 66.2% 30 59.7%	DEN 70.8% +20.8% CHA 50.0%
Mid FG%	8 45.5% 29 38.5%	DEN 63.0% +17.9% CHA 45.1%
3P %	5 37.6% 28 33.9%	DEN 18.9% CHA 34.6% +15.7%
FT %	23 77.0% 14 78.3%	DEN 90.0% +13.5% CHA 76.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 38.3% 19 30.7%	DEN 27.3% +8.3% CHA 18.9%
Mid Att. %	13 26.1% 16 26.3%	DEN 30.7% −23.0% CHA 53.7%
3P Att. %	30 35.6% 11 43.0%	DEN 42.0% +14.7% CHA 27.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Game Totals	DEN	CHA
Possessions	99	100
Possession Minutes	21.9	26.1
Points	107	104
Rebounds	43	51
Assists	29	31
Steals	9	5
Blocks	9	6
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	12 (0)
Fouls	16	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (1)	13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (3)	38 (1)
Field Goals	41-88	41-95
At-the-Rim FG	17-24	9-18
Midrange FG	17-27	23-51
2-Point FG	34-51	32-69
3-Point FG	7-37	9-26
Free Throws	18-20	13-17
Fast Break Pts	26	9
2nd Chance Pts	13	17
Points in Paint	66	54
Pts off Turnovers	13	15
Bench Points	14	35
Biggest Lead	17	4

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg