Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, February 1, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Wizards	19%	102	105	105.0	100	98.9
	14	Timberwolves	81%	115	103	103.0	100	101.0

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

-16

MIN

+17

-14

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.13 56.5%

MIN

1.00 50.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 21	36.8	14	64%	4	5	2	2	3	3	1	3	4-5	80%	2-7	29%	2-2	100%
Jordan Poole #13 · PG · 6'4" 194 · 26	34.8	19	63%	4	3	0	2	3	4	0	4	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	4-9	44%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 30	33.6	31	65%	8	2	0	0	2	1	0	8	0-0	-	8-14	57%	5-10	50%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	30.0	13	59%	10	2	1	0	3	4	2	8	1-1	100%	6-11	55%	0-0	-
Kyshawn George #18 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	22.9	11	61%	6	2	2	0	2	2	0	6	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	2-6	33%

Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	28.3	8	50%	4	1	0	1	3	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-6	33%
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	21.2	3	21%	5	4	0	0	0	2	1	4	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	17.9	6	75%	3	3	1	1	0	1	2	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	14.4	0	0%	0	4	1	0	0	4	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL surgery
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Alex Sarr #20 · PF · 7'0" 205 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	56%	44	26	7	6	16	21	7	37	14-17	82%	23-50	46%	15-33	45%

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30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 21	36.8	14	64%	4	5	2	2	3	3	1	3	4-5	80%	2-7	29%	2-2	100%
Jordan Poole #13 · PG · 6'4" 194 · 26	34.8	19	63%	4	3	0	2	3	4	0	4	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	4-9	44%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 30	33.6	31	65%	8	2	0	0	2	1	0	8	0-0	-	8-14	57%	5-10	50%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	30.0	13	59%	10	2	1	0	3	4	2	8	1-1	100%	6-11	55%	0-0	-
Kyshawn George #18 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	22.9	11	61%	6	2	2	0	2	2	0	6	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	2-6	33%

Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	28.3	8	50%	4	1	0	1	3	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-6	33%
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	21.2	3	21%	5	4	0	0	0	2	1	4	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	17.9	6	75%	3	3	1	1	0	1	2	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	14.4	0	0%	0	4	1	0	0	4	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL surgery
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Alex Sarr #20 · PF · 7'0" 205 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	56%	44	26	7	6	16	21	7	37	14-17	82%	23-50	46%	15-33	45%

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14 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	40.9	14	47%	3	5	1	0	1	3	1	2	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	2-9	22%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	40.3	23	64%	12	4	4	1	1	0	2	10	4-5	80%	5-11	45%	3-5	60%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	37.3	16	62%	16	4	2	2	3	1	5	11	2-3	67%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	34.1	16	62%	3	5	0	0	2	2	0	3	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	2-7	29%
Naz Reid #11 · PF · 6'9" 264 · 25	19.5	8	40%	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-6	33%

Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	19.9	9	50%	4	0	1	0	0	3	3	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 37	19.5	10	83%	1	3	1	0	4	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 20	17.8	7	39%	3	7	1	0	2	4	0	3	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 26	10.7	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-3	0%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Terrence Shannon Jr. #00 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jesse Edwards #14 · C · 7'0" 236 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Sprain
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	50%	47	29	10	3	14	16	11	36	15-18	83%	26-53	49%	12-40	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MIN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.13 56.5%

MIN

1.00 50.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

73%

MIN

62%

Midrange

WAS

25%

MIN

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

22.5

45%

68%

MIN

18.0

30%

45%

Free Throws

WAS

82%

MIN

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Kuzma	31	65%	15.5 / 24
J. Poole	19	63%	9.5 / 15
B. Coulibaly	14	64%	7.0 / 11
J. Valančiūnas	13	59%	6.5 / 11
K. George	11	61%	5.5 / 9
C. Kispert	8	50%	4.0 / 8
R. Holmes	6	75%	3.0 / 4
M. Brogdon	3	21%	1.5 / 7
B. Carrington	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. McDaniels	23	64%	11.5 / 18
R. Gobert	16	62%	8.0 / 13
M. Conley	16	62%	8.0 / 13
N. Alexander-Walker	14	47%	7.0 / 15
J. Ingles	10	83%	5.0 / 6
J. Clark	9	50%	4.5 / 9
N. Reid	8	40%	4.0 / 10
R. Dillingham	7	39%	3.5 / 9
L. Garza	0	-	0.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	30 105.8 8 115.7	WAS 105.0 +2.0 MIN 103.0
Pace	4 101.8 25 98.1	WAS 98.9 MIN 101.0 +2.1
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 11 14.8	WAS 14.6 MIN 14.3 −0.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 51.2% 10 55.4%	WAS 54.8% +7.5% MIN 47.3%
TO %	27 14.6% 19 13.9%	WAS 15.8% MIN 13.7% −2.1%
ORB %	25 22.7% 14 25.7%	WAS 16.3% MIN 22.9% +6.6%
FTrt	26 22.9 11 24.9	WAS 20.5 +1.1 MIN 19.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 63.7% 11 63.7%	WAS 68.4% MIN 76.3% +7.9%
STL %	25 7.4% 16 8.1%	WAS 7.0% MIN 10.0% +3.0%
BLK %	12 9.6% 14 9.5%	WAS 11.3% +5.3% MIN 6.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 53.2% 11 57.3%	WAS 56.5% +6.5% MIN 50.0%
Rim FG%	17 63.7% 12 64.8%	WAS 72.7% +10.6% MIN 62.1%
Mid FG%	30 38.0% 27 39.5%	WAS 25.0% MIN 33.3% +8.3%
3P %	29 33.5% 4 37.7%	WAS 45.5% +15.5% MIN 30.0%
FT %	16 77.8% 10 78.9%	WAS 82.4% MIN 83.3% +0.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 30.5% 12 32.2%	WAS 26.5% MIN 31.2% +4.7%
Mid Att. %	11 25.9% 6 22.3%	WAS 33.7% MIN 25.8% −7.9%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 6 45.5%	WAS 39.8% MIN 43.0% +3.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	MIN
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.8
Points	105	103
Rebounds	44	47
Assists	26	29
Steals	7	10
Blocks	6	3
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	14 (2)
Fouls	21	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (2)	11 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (3)	36 (2)
Field Goals	38-83	38-93
At-the-Rim FG	16-22	18-29
Midrange FG	7-28	8-24
2-Point FG	23-50	26-53
3-Point FG	15-33	12-40
Free Throws	14-17	15-18
Fast Break Pts	20	9
2nd Chance Pts	9	8
Points in Paint	38	46
Pts off Turnovers	18	18
Bench Points	17	26
Biggest Lead	11	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg