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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 1, 2025
8:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Heat54%112105
19Spurs46%111103
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.1
23.4
20.7
7
44%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
58%
1-5
20%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 27.5
37.7
34.3
30
69%
12
9
2
1
3
3
3
9
2-2
100%
11-16
6-11
69%
55%
2-5
40%
Kel'el Ware
C · 7'0" 230 · 20.8
34.1
29.0
6
50%
12
2
0
1
2
0
4
8
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
59%
0-1
0%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.8
27.1
30.9
8
58%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-3
0%
58%
2-4
50%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 25.0
36.3
33.6
11
30%
4
8
1
1
0
3
0
4
3-5
60%
4-8
4-8
50%
53%
0-8
0%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.9
32.7
26.7
19
64%
7
4
0
1
0
0
1
6
0-2
0%
2-5
3-6
40%
51%
5-9
56%
Nikola Jović
F · 6'10" 205 · 21.7
24.6
30.2
14
64%
7
4
3
1
0
2
0
7
1-2
50%
2-3
3-5
67%
56%
3-7
43%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'7" 225 · 24.0
22.9
13.0
10
57%
6
1
1
1
0
2
3
3
2-4
50%
4-5
2-3
80%
54%
0-2
0%
Pelle Larsson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.9
1.3
12.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-1
0%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 33.5
4.1
0
0-0
43%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 36.4
2.5
0
0-0
50%
Keshad Johnson
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.6
1.6
0
0-0
54%
Josh Christopher
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.2
1.5
0
0-0
54%
Isaiah Stevens
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.3
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 35.4
Dru Smith
G · 6'3" 203 · 27.1
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Castle
G · 6'6" 215 · 20.3
23.4
29.5
10
50%
6
6
2
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
2-6
4-9
33%
51%
2-4
50%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 32.7
27.7
26.0
12
72%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
2-3
67%
2-3
2-4
67%
55%
2-4
50%
Charles Bassey
C-F · 6'10" 230 · 24.3
27.0
3.0
9
51%
15
1
0
0
1
1
7
8
1-2
50%
4-8
1-1
50%
62%
0-0
-
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24.4
35.5
29.1
18
40%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
7-12
4-7
58%
52%
1-10
10%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 39.7
32.0
25.8
12
61%
4
7
3
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
52%
2-4
50%
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 25.3
25.9
23.1
19
52%
5
1
0
1
0
1
3
2
7-10
70%
3-9
3-6
33%
54%
2-5
40%
Jeremy Sochan
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.7
19.3
22.2
2
20%
5
3
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-5
3-5
20%
53%
0-0
-
Julian Champagnie
F · 6'7" 217 · 23.6
17.4
16.1
6
60%
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
2-5
40%
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.1
13.8
15.4
3
39%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
55%
0-1
0%
Sandro Mamukelashvili
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 25.7
9.8
5.4
10
78%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
3-3
1-1
100%
58%
1-3
33%
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 27.2
8.2
3.6
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
55%
0-0
-
David Duke Jr.
G · 6'4" 204 · 25.3
4.3
0
1-1
48%
Sidy Cissoko
G · 6'8" 200 · 20.8
3.7
0
0-1
54%
Malaki Branham
F · 6'5" 180 · 21.7
3.4
0
0-1
51%
Blake Wesley
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.9
3.3
0
0-1
49%
Victor Wembanyama
F-C · 7'4" 210 · 21.1
Harrison Ingram
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.2
Riley Minix
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.