Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, February 3, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Bucks	10%	101	96	93.2	103	104.3
	2	Thunder	90%	119	125	121.4	103	101.7

Scoring Opportunities

MIL

+16

-14

105

OKC

+17

-17

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

0.91 45.7%

OKC

1.21 60.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chris Livingston #7 · C · 6'6" 220 · 21	26.5	10	45%	6	0	2	0	2	2	1	5	2-4	50%	4-6	67%	0-4	0%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 23	22.5	10	56%	4	2	2	1	1	1	3	1	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
AJ Green #20 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 25	21.1	2	25%	1	3	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Ryan Rollins #13 · SG · 6'3" 180 · 23	18.3	16	80%	0	1	2	1	3	0	0	0	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	2-3	67%
Taurean Prince #12 · PF · 6'6" 218 · 31	15.6	8	57%	2	2	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%

AJ Johnson #77 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	29.1	13	50%	4	4	1	0	2	0	0	4	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	2-4	50%
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20	27.3	12	38%	7	3	2	0	3	2	2	5	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	3-10	30%
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 33	21.2	1	10%	3	3	2	1	0	0	0	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32	20.9	8	57%	3	1	0	0	0	2	2	1	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	1-1	100%
Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26	20.5	10	42%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	1-4	25%
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 24	17.0	6	38%	6	4	1	0	0	3	1	5	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	1-2	50%
Liam Robbins #15 · C · 7'0" 250 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Soreness
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Soreness
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Ankle; Injury Management
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patella; Tendinopathy
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	46%	37	24	12	3	14	12	9	28	13-21	62%	22-54	41%	13-39	33%

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29 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chris Livingston #7 · C · 6'6" 220 · 21	26.5	10	45%	6	0	2	0	2	2	1	5	2-4	50%	4-6	67%	0-4	0%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 23	22.5	10	56%	4	2	2	1	1	1	3	1	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
AJ Green #20 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 25	21.1	2	25%	1	3	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Ryan Rollins #13 · SG · 6'3" 180 · 23	18.3	16	80%	0	1	2	1	3	0	0	0	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	2-3	67%
Taurean Prince #12 · PF · 6'6" 218 · 31	15.6	8	57%	2	2	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%

AJ Johnson #77 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	29.1	13	50%	4	4	1	0	2	0	0	4	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	2-4	50%
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20	27.3	12	38%	7	3	2	0	3	2	2	5	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	3-10	30%
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 33	21.2	1	10%	3	3	2	1	0	0	0	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32	20.9	8	57%	3	1	0	0	0	2	2	1	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	1-1	100%
Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26	20.5	10	42%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	1-4	25%
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 24	17.0	6	38%	6	4	1	0	0	3	1	5	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	1-2	50%
Liam Robbins #15 · C · 7'0" 250 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Soreness
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Soreness
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Ankle; Injury Management
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patella; Tendinopathy
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	46%	37	24	12	3	14	12	9	28	13-21	62%	22-54	41%	13-39	33%

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2 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	25.7	13	72%	1	4	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-2	50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	22.4	34	85%	3	6	0	0	3	1	0	3	2-3	67%	13-16	81%	2-3	67%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	21.8	4	22%	3	4	2	0	1	3	2	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-3	0%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 26	20.6	12	120%	2	0	1	0	1	3	0	2	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-2	100%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	18.5	6	43%	12	3	1	2	3	2	3	9	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-1	0%

Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	31.0	21	81%	8	5	1	0	4	1	3	5	0-0	-	6-8	75%	3-5	60%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	26.3	13	72%	7	0	0	3	2	3	3	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	25.3	0	0%	9	4	0	0	2	2	1	8	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	22.6	18	100%	3	2	1	0	0	2	0	3	3-3	100%	0-1	0%	5-8	63%
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	13.8	2	17%	7	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	12.0	2	9%	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-8	0%
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Alex Caruso #9 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Strain
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Iliac Wing; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	61%	55	28	9	5	17	18	14	41	7-8	88%	35-58	60%	16-41	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	OKC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIL

0.91 45.7%

OKC

1.21 60.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

52%

OKC

69%

Midrange

MIL

26%

OKC

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

19.5

33%

50%

OKC

24.0

39%

59%

Free Throws

MIL

62%

OKC

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Rollins	16	80%	8.0 / 10
A. Johnson	13	50%	6.5 / 13
T. Smith	12	38%	6.0 / 16
C. Livingston	10	45%	5.0 / 11
A. Jackson	10	56%	5.0 / 9
G. Trent	10	42%	5.0 / 12
T. Prince	8	57%	4.0 / 7
P. Connaughton	8	57%	4.0 / 7
M. Beauchamp	6	38%	3.0 / 8
A. Green	2	25%	1.0 / 4
D. Wright	1	10%	0.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	34	85%	17.0 / 20
O. Dieng	21	81%	10.5 / 13
I. Joe	18	100%	9.0 / 9
A. Wiggins	13	72%	6.5 / 9
J. Williams	13	72%	6.5 / 9
L. Dort	12	120%	6.0 / 5
I. Hartenstein	6	43%	3.0 / 7
K. Williams	4	22%	2.0 / 9
A. Ducas	2	17%	1.0 / 6
A. Flagler	2	9%	1.0 / 11
D. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 115.2 3 119.2	MIL 93.2 OKC 121.4 +28.2
Pace	14 99.9 5 100.9	MIL 104.3 +2.6 OKC 101.7
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.6 25 13.9	MIL 13.8 −0.3 OKC 14.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 56.8% 7 56.0%	MIL 44.6% OKC 59.6% +15.0%
TO %	7 12.7% 1 10.9%	MIL 12.8% −1.4% OKC 14.2%
ORB %	30 19.3% 21 24.2%	MIL 18.0% OKC 33.3% +15.3%
FTrt	3 26.8 28 22.0	MIL 22.6 +14.5 OKC 8.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	23 60.7% 26 60.2%	MIL 68.6% +13.7% OKC 54.9%
STL %	27 7.3% 1 10.2%	MIL 11.7% +3.0% OKC 8.7%
BLK %	20 9.1% 2 11.9%	MIL 5.2% OKC 9.3% +4.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.52 and 2.52.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 58.6% 4 57.9%	MIL 45.7% OKC 60.7% +15.0%
Rim FG%	5 66.9% 10 65.7%	MIL 51.6% OKC 69.2% +17.6%
Mid FG%	13 44.1% 7 45.7%	MIL 26.1% OKC 42.1% +16.0%
3P %	1 38.7% 6 37.4%	MIL 33.3% OKC 39.0% +5.7%
FT %	28 75.0% 1 81.9%	MIL 61.9% OKC 87.5% +25.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 30.0% 26 29.5%	MIL 33.3% OKC 39.4% +6.1%
Mid Att. %	21 27.5% 25 28.6%	MIL 24.7% OKC 19.2% −5.5%
3P Att. %	15 42.4% 16 41.9%	MIL 41.9% +0.5% OKC 41.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIL	OKC
Possessions	103	103
Possession Minutes	23.7	24.3
Points	96	125
Rebounds	37	55
Assists	24	28
Steals	12	9
Blocks	3	5
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	17 (0)
Fouls	12	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (7)	14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (4)	41 (3)
Field Goals	35-93	51-99
At-the-Rim FG	16-31	27-39
Midrange FG	6-23	8-19
2-Point FG	22-54	35-58
3-Point FG	13-39	16-41
Free Throws	13-21	7-8
Fast Break Pts	16	19
2nd Chance Pts	15	20
Points in Paint	36	62
Pts off Turnovers	16	17
Bench Points	50	56
Biggest Lead	0	44

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg