Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, February 3, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Pelicans	22%	116	113	118.9	95	103.7
	3	Nuggets	78%	127	125	133.0	94	86.7

Scoring Opportunities

NOP

+16

-10

101

DEN

+16

-5

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.12 55.9%

DEN

1.19 59.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

22 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 25	37.9	41	85%	3	3	2	1	0	1	1	2	7-7	100%	5-9	56%	8-12	67%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33	34.9	30	63%	6	5	0	1	3	4	0	6	5-5	100%	5-13	38%	5-9	56%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 21	34.0	8	44%	6	3	2	0	2	3	5	1	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Javonte Green #4 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	28.4	4	33%	4	2	0	0	0	1	1	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 25	28.4	14	44%	6	5	1	1	1	3	1	5	4-6	67%	5-13	38%	0-0	-

Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 24	27.0	5	42%	11	4	0	1	1	4	5	6	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	1-2	50%
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 27	22.3	8	57%	2	4	0	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	14.5	0	0%	2	1	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-4	0%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	8.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	4.5	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daniel Theis #10 · C · 6'9" 243 · 33	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Sprain
Brandon Boston #11 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 23	INACTIVE
Keion Brooks Jr. #0 · NA · 6'7" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Strain
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
Brandon Ingram #14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	56%	41	27	5	4	10	21	14	27	19-22	86%	20-50	40%	18-38	47%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

22 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 25	37.9	41	85%	3	3	2	1	0	1	1	2	7-7	100%	5-9	56%	8-12	67%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33	34.9	30	63%	6	5	0	1	3	4	0	6	5-5	100%	5-13	38%	5-9	56%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 21	34.0	8	44%	6	3	2	0	2	3	5	1	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Javonte Green #4 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	28.4	4	33%	4	2	0	0	0	1	1	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 25	28.4	14	44%	6	5	1	1	1	3	1	5	4-6	67%	5-13	38%	0-0	-

Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 24	27.0	5	42%	11	4	0	1	1	4	5	6	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	1-2	50%
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 27	22.3	8	57%	2	4	0	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	14.5	0	0%	2	1	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-4	0%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	8.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	4.5	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daniel Theis #10 · C · 6'9" 243 · 33	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Sprain
Brandon Boston #11 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 23	INACTIVE
Keion Brooks Jr. #0 · NA · 6'7" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Strain
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
Brandon Ingram #14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	56%	41	27	5	4	10	21	14	27	19-22	86%	20-50	40%	18-38	47%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	41.0	11	37%	6	4	1	0	0	1	2	4	1-2	50%	5-10	50%	0-4	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 27	39.5	36	75%	7	2	0	1	1	2	4	3	5-5	100%	5-10	50%	7-12	58%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	36.1	27	75%	14	10	1	2	1	2	1	13	8-10	80%	8-10	80%	1-3	33%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	35.4	20	53%	5	8	2	0	0	5	1	4	5-5	100%	6-13	46%	1-4	25%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	31.2	12	67%	5	0	0	1	1	5	2	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-4	50%

Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	23.7	15	68%	3	2	2	0	2	1	1	2	2-4	50%	5-5	100%	1-5	20%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	12.6	0	0%	1	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	11.9	4	67%	3	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	8.7	0	0%	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Injury Management
Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	60%	46	28	7	6	5	16	14	32	21-26	81%	34-59	58%	12-33	36%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.12 55.9%

DEN

1.19 59.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOP

50%

DEN

69%

Midrange

NOP

27%

DEN

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOP

27.0

47%

71%

DEN

18.0

36%

55%

Free Throws

NOP

86%

DEN

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Murphy	41	85%	20.5 / 24
C. McCollum	30	63%	15.0 / 24
Z. Williamson	14	44%	7.0 / 16
Y. Missi	8	44%	4.0 / 9
J. Alvarado	8	57%	4.0 / 7
K. Matković	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Green	4	33%	2.0 / 6
A. Reeves	3	150%	1.5 / 1
J. Hawkins	0	-	0.0 / 4
J. Robinson-Earl	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Porter	36	75%	18.0 / 24
N. Jokić	27	75%	13.5 / 18
J. Murray	20	53%	10.0 / 19
J. Strawther	15	68%	7.5 / 11
Z. Nnaji	12	67%	6.0 / 9
C. Braun	11	37%	5.5 / 15
D. Jordan	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Pickett	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 109.6 4 118.9	NOP 118.9 DEN 133.0 +14.0
Pace	15 99.8 8 100.6	NOP 103.7 +17.0 DEN 86.7
Avg. Poss. Time	17 14.4 22 14.2	NOP 13.9 −2.7 DEN 16.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 51.9% 2 57.3%	NOP 53.4% DEN 56.5% +3.1%
TO %	20 13.9% 15 13.3%	NOP 9.3% DEN 5.5% −3.8%
ORB %	9 26.3% 7 26.7%	NOP 30.4% DEN 34.1% +3.7%
FTrt	15 24.4 5 25.9	NOP 25.0 DEN 28.3 +3.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 63.6% 4 68.3%	NOP 71.1% +10.2% DEN 60.9%
STL %	8 8.5% 19 7.9%	NOP 5.3% DEN 7.4% +2.1%
BLK %	7 10.4% 21 9.0%	NOP 6.8% DEN 12.0% +5.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 53.8% 2 58.8%	NOP 55.9% DEN 59.5% +3.6%
Rim FG%	26 61.0% 7 66.2%	NOP 50.0% DEN 68.8% +18.8%
Mid FG%	23 40.7% 8 45.5%	NOP 27.3% DEN 44.4% +17.1%
3P %	24 34.7% 5 37.6%	NOP 47.4% +11.0% DEN 36.4%
FT %	27 75.4% 23 77.0%	NOP 86.4% +5.6% DEN 80.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 33.6% 1 38.3%	NOP 31.8% DEN 34.8% +3.0%
Mid Att. %	22 27.9% 13 26.1%	NOP 25.0% −4.3% DEN 29.3%
3P Att. %	26 38.6% 30 35.6%	NOP 43.2% +7.3% DEN 35.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Game Totals	NOP	DEN
Possessions	95	94
Possession Minutes	22.0	26.0
Points	113	125
Rebounds	41	46
Assists	27	28
Steals	5	7
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	5 (1)
Fouls	21	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (2)	14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (6)	32 (4)
Field Goals	38-88	46-92
At-the-Rim FG	14-28	22-32
Midrange FG	6-22	12-27
2-Point FG	20-50	34-59
3-Point FG	18-38	12-33
Free Throws	19-22	21-26
Fast Break Pts	9	21
2nd Chance Pts	21	19
Points in Paint	38	60
Pts off Turnovers	6	16
Bench Points	16	19
Biggest Lead	5	20

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg