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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 8, 2025
4:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Pacers53%112117
18Lakers47%111124
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bennedict Mathurin
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.6
24.9
25.6
16
56%
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
5-5
100%
4-9
3-7
44%
52%
1-3
33%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 30.9
33.3
31.7
23
58%
6
4
2
1
0
0
3
3
11-11
100%
6-13
6-11
46%
56%
0-2
0%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 27.5
23.0
21.3
13
65%
8
4
0
0
0
0
4
4
0-0
-
5-7
3-4
71%
64%
1-3
33%
Andrew Nembhard
G-F · 6'5" 191 · 25.1
21.8
28.3
2
53%
0
3
1
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
3-6
-
55%
0-1
0%
Tyrese Haliburton
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.9
35.9
30.9
19
62%
2
9
2
1
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
57%
4-9
44%
Ben Sheppard
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.6
27.5
18.4
10
78%
3
1
2
1
1
0
1
2
1-1
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
56%
3-5
60%
Obi Toppin
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.9
22.5
19.3
14
72%
5
3
0
1
0
2
1
4
3-4
75%
1-3
2-4
33%
67%
3-5
60%
Aaron Nesmith
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.3
21.3
21.0
6
33%
5
2
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
55%
0-6
0%
Jarace Walker
F · 6'8" 235 · 21.4
16.6
8.1
2
17%
3
0
2
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
0-2
1-1
0%
54%
0-3
0%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 32.9
13.1
15.6
12
69%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
6-6
100%
3-5
4-7
60%
55%
0-1
0%
Enrique Freeman
F · 6'7" 206 · 24.5
4.7
0
0-1
53%
Quenton Jackson
G · 6'5" 173 · 26.4
2.9
0
0-1
54%
Johnny Furphy
G · 6'9" 200 · 20.2
1.8
0
0-0
50%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 38.0
1.5
0
0-0
52%
Isaiah Jackson
F · 6'10" 205 · 23.1
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.9
RayJ Dennis
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 31.8
34.7
27.2
7
44%
3
6
0
1
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
57%
1-5
20%
Rui Hachimura
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.0
33.1
33.4
24
77%
9
0
1
1
0
1
1
8
6-6
100%
6-10
4-6
60%
57%
2-3
67%
Jaxson Hayes
C · 6'11" 220 · 24.7
29.2
22.7
9
92%
12
2
0
1
2
0
3
9
1-2
50%
4-4
3-4
100%
69%
0-0
-
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.7
24.9
24.9
12
46%
0
7
2
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
52%
2-8
25%
Austin Reaves
G · 6'5" 197 · 26.7
40.5
32.0
45
71%
7
7
3
1
0
4
0
7
13-13
100%
10-17
4-6
59%
59%
4-9
44%
Jordan Goodwin
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.3
24.8
19.9
10
67%
4
1
0
1
0
2
2
2
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
1-2
50%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 25.9
19.8
18.0
4
50%
6
1
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
60%
0-2
0%
Shake Milton
G · 6'6" 207 · 28.4
15.2
14.5
2
23%
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-1
0%
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Trey Jemison III
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.2
11.7
3.9
8
80%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
4-5
0-1
80%
56%
0-0
-
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 35.4
6.0
1.9
3
38%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Christian Koloko
C · 7'1" 230 · 24.6
4.6
0
0-1
57%
Bronny James
G · 6'2" 210 · 20.3
Mark Williams
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.1
Luka Dončić
G · 6'6" 218 · 25.9
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 33.0
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 29.4
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 40.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.